UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys Fauquier 1
  
Fauquier              
W-L: ( 5- 0) PR = 85.0880

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Liberty Bealeton ( 2- 2, 79.0) 16- 3 319 A Kettle Run ( 1- 6, 82.2) 14-13 323 A Culpeper County ( 2- 3, 81.7) 9- 3 326 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 2, 77.8) 13- 5 327 H Potomac Falls ( 0- 4, 82.2) 9- 6 414 A Tuscarora ( 0- 1, 74.7) 417 A Liberty Bealeton ( 2- 2, 79.0) 420 H Briar Woods ( 2- 0, 89.5) 424 H Kettle Run ( 1- 6, 82.2) 428 A Heritage Leesburg ( 1- 2, 88.8) 430 H Meridian ( 4- 0, 91.3) 504 H Culpeper County ( 2- 3, 81.7) 509 A Fluvanna County ( 3- 3, 84.9) 511 H Loudoun Valley ( 0- 3, 76.8) 514 A Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Liberty  Bealeton      16- 3      13     6           0.00
   319 A Kettle Run             14-13       1     3          -1.81
   323 A Culpeper County         9- 3       6     3           1.67
   326 H Rock Ridge             13- 5       8     7           0.00
   327 H Potomac Falls           9- 6       3     3           0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Fauquier Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Fauquier   Fauquier
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Fauquier   Fauquier
Bishop Ireton Fauquier   Fauquier
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Broad Run
Brooke Point Fauquier   Fauquier
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Fauquier   Fauquier
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Fauquier   Fauquier
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Fauquier Fauquier  
Deep Run Fauquier   Fauquier
Dominion Dominion tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Fauquier Fauquier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Fauquier   Fauquier
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
First Colonial Fauquier   Fauquier
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Fauquier   Fauquier
Fluvanna County Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Forest Park Fauquier   Fauquier
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Fauquier   Fauquier
Fredericksburg Acade Fauquier   Fauquier
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Fauquier   Fauquier
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Goochland
Grafton LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Grassfield LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Fauquier   Fauquier
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Fauquier   Fauquier
Highland School Fauquier   Fauquier
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Fauquier   Fauquier
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Fauquier   Fauquier
Justice Fauquier   Fauquier
Kellam Fauquier   Fauquier
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Fauquier Fauquier  
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Fauquier   Fauquier
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Fauquier   Fauquier
Liberty Bealeton Fauquier Fauquier  
Lightridge Lightridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Fauquier   Fauquier
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Fauquier   Fauquier
Marshall Fauquier   Fauquier
Massaponax Fauquier   Fauquier
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Fauquier   Fauquier
Monacan Fauquier   Fauquier
Monticello Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Mount Vernon Fauquier   Fauquier
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Fauquier   Fauquier
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Fauquier   Fauquier
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Fauquier   Fauquier
Northern VA Home Sch Fauquier   Fauquier
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Fauquier   Fauquier
Orange County Fauquier insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fauquier
Osbourn Fauquier insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fauquier
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Fauquier   Fauquier
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Fauquier Fauquier  
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Fauquier   Fauquier
Powhatan Fauquier   Fauquier
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Fauquier Fauquier  
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Fauquier   Fauquier
Seton School Fauquier   Fauquier
South County Fauquier   Fauquier
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Fauquier   Fauquier
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Fauquier   Fauquier
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Fauquier   Fauquier
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale Fauquier   Fauquier
Thomas Jefferson Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Christian Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Episcopal Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Fauquier   Fauquier
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Fauquier   Fauquier
Virginia Academy Fauquier   Fauquier
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Fauquier   Fauquier
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty Fauquier   Fauquier
West Potomac Fauquier   Fauquier
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Fauquier   Fauquier
Woodgrove Fauquier   Fauquier
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 73


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Liberty  Beale  ( 2- 2, 79.0)    16- 3      -20.92       6.84      -0.08         0.65             4.42
   0 A Kettle Run      ( 1- 6, 82.2)    14-13      -17.71      10.05       0.08         0.65             6.62
   0 A Culpeper Count  ( 2- 3, 81.7)     9- 3      -18.23       9.53       0.08         0.65             6.28
   0 H Rock Ridge      ( 0- 2, 77.8)    13- 5      -22.09       5.67      -0.08         0.65             3.65
   0 H Potomac Falls   ( 0- 4, 82.2)     9- 6      -17.65      10.11      -0.08         0.65             6.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        27.51

winning pts = 27.5129 losing points = 0.0000

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------