UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Fauquier 1
  
Fauquier              
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 80.8603

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Liberty Bealeton ( 3- 9, 73.7) 16- 3 319 A Kettle Run ( 3-10, 76.5) 14-13 323 A Culpeper County ( 6- 8, 76.8) 9- 3 326 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2) 13- 5 327 H Potomac Falls ( 2-11, 75.2) 9- 6 414 A Tuscarora ( 0-10, 70.8) 14- 2 417 A Liberty Bealeton ( 3- 9, 73.7) 16- 3 424 H Kettle Run ( 3-10, 76.5) 8- 5 427 H Briar Woods ( 9- 4, 85.0) 7-18 428 A Heritage Leesburg ( 5- 8, 81.8) 10- 9 430 H Meridian (14- 0, 86.1) 3-14 504 H Culpeper County ( 6- 8, 76.8) 11- 6 509 A Fluvanna County ( 7- 6, 79.3) 13- 6 511 H Loudoun Valley ( 4-10, 79.3) 10- 7 514 A Brentsville (11- 2, 81.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Liberty  Bealeton      16- 3      13     8           0.00
   319 A Kettle Run             14-13       1     4    -     -2.88
   323 A Culpeper County         9- 3       6     4           1.42
   326 H Rock Ridge             13- 5       8     9           0.00
   327 H Potomac Falls           9- 6       3     6    -     -2.00
   414 A Tuscarora              14- 2      12    10           0.00
   417 A Liberty  Bealeton      16- 3      13     7           0.00
   424 H Kettle Run              8- 5       3     5          -1.78
   427 H Briar Woods             7-18     -11    -4          -1.27
   428 A Heritage  Leesburg     10- 9       1    -1    +      2.37
   430 H Meridian                3-14     -11    -5          -0.21
   504 H Culpeper County        11- 6       5     4           0.51
   509 A Fluvanna County        13- 6       7     1    +      3.91
   511 H Loudoun Valley         10- 7       3     2           0.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Kettle Run             14-13       1     4    -     -2.88
   327 H Potomac Falls           9- 6       3     6    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Heritage  Leesburg     10- 9       1    -1    +      2.37
   509 A Fluvanna County        13- 6       7     1    +      3.91

Fauquier PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle tied -  1- 0 Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City tied -  0- 1 Alexandria City
Annandale Fauquier   Fauquier
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Fauquier   Fauquier
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied -  3- 1 Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods  
Broad Run Fauquier Fauquier   5- 2 vs 4- 3
Brooke Point Fauquier   Fauquier
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Fauquier Fauquier   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Fauquier   Fauquier
Colgan Fauquier tied -  0- 1 Fauquier
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Fauquier   Fauquier
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Fauquier Fauquier  
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Fauquier Fauquier   4- 2 vs 3- 3
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Fauquier Fauquier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Fauquier   Fauquier
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Falls Church Fauquier tied -  1- 0 Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fauquier Fauquier  
Forest Park Fauquier tied -  0- 1 Fauquier
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Fauquier   Fauquier
Fredericksburg Acade Fauquier   Fauquier
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Fauquier   Fauquier
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland tied -  2- 0 Goochland
Grafton LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Grassfield LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Green Run Fauquier   Fauquier
Handley Handley tied -  1- 0 Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Fauquier   Fauquier
Heritage Leesburg Fauquier Fauquier  
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Fauquier   Fauquier
Highland School Fauquier   Fauquier
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Fauquier   Fauquier
Independence Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 1- 1
James Monroe James Monroe tied -  2- 0 James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Fauquier Fauquier   4- 2 vs 3- 3
Justice Fauquier Fauquier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Fauquier   Fauquier
Kettle Run Fauquier Fauquier  
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Fauquier   Fauquier
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Fauquier   Fauquier
Liberty Bealeton Fauquier Fauquier  
Lightridge Lightridge tied -  4- 0 Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied -  4- 1 Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Fauquier Fauquier  
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Fauquier   Fauquier
Marshall Fauquier   Fauquier
Massaponax Fauquier Fauquier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Fauquier   Fauquier
Menchville LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Fauquier   Fauquier
Monticello Fauquier Fauquier   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Mount Vernon Fauquier   Fauquier
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Fauquier   Fauquier
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Fauquier   Fauquier
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Fauquier   Fauquier
Northern VA Home Sch Fauquier   Fauquier
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Fauquier   Fauquier
Orange County Fauquier Fauquier   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Osbourn Fauquier Fauquier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Osbourn Park Fauquier   Fauquier
Park View Fauquier Fauquier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Patrick Henry Ashla Fauquier   Fauquier
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Fauquier Fauquier  
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Fauquier   Fauquier
Powhatan Fauquier tied -  1- 0 Fauquier
Princess Anne Fauquier   Fauquier
Riverbend Fauquier   Fauquier
Riverside Riverside Riverside   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Fauquier Fauquier  
Rockbridge County Fauquier tied -  1- 0 Fauquier
Rockingham LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Fauquier   Fauquier
Seton School Fauquier   Fauquier
South County Fauquier   Fauquier
South Lakes Fauquier Fauquier   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Fauquier   Fauquier
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Fauquier tied -  1- 0 Fauquier
Steward School Fauquier   Fauquier
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   4- 0 vs 3- 1
Strasburg LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Fauquier   Fauquier
Tandem Friends Fauquier   Fauquier
Thomas Dale Fauquier   Fauquier
Thomas Jefferson Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Christian Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Episcopal Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Fauquier Fauquier  
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Fauquier   Fauquier
Virginia Academy Fauquier tied -  1- 0 Fauquier
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Fauquier   Fauquier
Wakefield School Fauquier   Fauquier
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty tied -  1- 0 Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle tied -  1- 1 Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Fauquier   Fauquier
Woodgrove Fauquier Fauquier   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 82


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Liberty  Beale  ( 3- 9, 73.7)    16- 3      -26.24      10.71      -0.45         0.82             8.41
   0 A Kettle Run      ( 3-10, 76.5)    14-13      -23.37      13.58       0.45         0.82            11.51
   0 A Culpeper Count  ( 6- 8, 76.8)     9- 3      -23.07      13.87       0.45         0.82            11.75
   0 H Rock Ridge      ( 0- 8, 72.2)    13- 5      -27.72       9.23      -0.45         0.82             7.19
   0 H Potomac Falls   ( 2-11, 75.2)     9- 6      -24.68      12.27      -0.45         0.82             9.69
   0 A Tuscarora       ( 0-10, 70.8)    14- 2      -29.12       7.82       0.45         0.82             6.79
   0 A Liberty  Beale  ( 3- 9, 73.7)    16- 3      -26.24      10.71       0.45         0.82             9.15
   0 H Kettle Run      ( 3-10, 76.5)     8- 5      -23.37      13.58      -0.45         0.82            10.76
   0 H Briar Woods     ( 9- 4, 85.0)     7-18      -14.85      22.09      -0.45         0.82           -12.55
   0 A Heritage  Lees  ( 5- 8, 81.8)    10- 9      -18.12      18.83       0.45         0.82            15.81
   0 H Meridian        (14- 0, 86.1)     3-14      -13.80      23.15      -0.45         0.82           -11.69
   0 H Culpeper Count  ( 6- 8, 76.8)    11- 6      -23.07      13.87      -0.45         0.82            11.00
   0 A Fluvanna Count  ( 7- 6, 79.3)    13- 6      -20.58      16.36       0.45         0.82            13.79
   0 H Loudoun Valley  ( 4-10, 79.3)    10- 7      -20.61      16.34      -0.45         0.82            13.02
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       104.64

winning pts = 128.8719 losing points = -24.2369

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------