Falls Church
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 76.9435
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 A Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2) 21- 7
325 A Centreville ( 5- 8, 81.3) 6-14
409 A Northern VA Home Sch ( 2- 6, 75.8) 11- 9
414 H Edison ( 9- 2, 79.2) 8- 9
420 A Lewis ( 1-10, 68.1) 16- 4
424 H Hayfield ( 6- 6, 78.6) 9-11
430 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 6, 72.7) 6- 1
504 A Thomas Jefferson ( 5- 4, 75.4) 4- 6
507 A Justice ( 2- 8, 70.5) 14- 0
511 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 72.3) 15- 3
514 H Mount Vernon ( 5- 6, 72.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Rock Ridge 21- 7 14 4 0.69
325 A Centreville 6-14 -8 -5 -0.15
409 A Northern VA Home Sch 11- 9 2 1 1.27
414 H Edison 8- 9 -1 -2 0.80
420 A Lewis 16- 4 12 8 0.00
424 H Hayfield 9-11 -2 -1 -0.82
430 A Mount Vernon 6- 1 5 4 1.18
504 A Thomas Jefferson 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.06
507 A Justice 14- 0 14 6 0.00
511 H Annandale 15- 3 12 5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
504 A Thomas Jefferson 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.06
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Falls Church PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Alexandria City |
| Annandale |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
 
| Benedictine |
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
 
| Brentsville |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Broad Run |
| Brooke Point |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
Centreville |
 
| |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
Chantilly   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Charlottesville |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
Christiansburg |
|
 
| Christiansburg |
| Clover Hill |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Colgan |
Colgan |
|
 
| Colgan |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
 
| Colonial Forge |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
Cox |
|
 
| Cox |
| Culpeper County |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
 
| Deep Run |
| Dominion |
Dominion |
|
 
| Dominion |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
Edison |
Edison |
 
| |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
| Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
Fairfax   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Fauquier |
Fauquier |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fauquier |
| First Colonial |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fishburne Military A |
Fishburne Military A |
|
 
| Fishburne Military A |
| Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
| Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
|
 
| Fluvanna County |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Forest Park |
| Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
| Franklin County |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
Falls Church |
|
Falls Church   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
Grafton LC |
|
 
| Grafton LC |
| Grassfield LC |
Grassfield LC |
|
 
| Grassfield LC |
| Green Run |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Handley |
Handley |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Handley |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
| Hayfield |
Hayfield |
Hayfield |
 
| |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
 
| Heritage Leesburg |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
Herndon   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Hickory LC |
Hickory LC |
|
 
| Hickory LC |
| Hidden Valley |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Highland School |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Highland Springs |
Highland Springs |
|
 
| Highland Springs |
| Hylton |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
John Champe |
|
 
| John Champe |
| Justice |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
| Kellam |
Kellam |
|
 
| Kellam |
| Kempsville |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Kettle Run |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
| Lewis |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
| Liberty Bealeton |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
Lightridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
| Lord Botetourt |
Lord Botetourt |
|
 
| Lord Botetourt |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
Madison   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Manchester |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Marshall |
Falls Church |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Falls Church |
| Massaponax |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Matoaca |
Matoaca |
|
 
| Matoaca |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Meridian |
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
Mills Godwin |
|
 
| Mills Godwin |
| Monacan |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
| Mount Vernon |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
| New Covenant School |
New Covenant School |
|
 
| New Covenant School |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Norfolk Christian |
| Norfolk Collegiate |
Norfolk Collegiate |
|
 
| Norfolk Collegiate |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
Oakton   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Ocean Lakes |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Orange County |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Osbourn |
Falls Church |
|
Falls Church   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Osbourn Park |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Park View |
Falls Church |
|
Falls Church   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
Patriot |
|
 
| Patriot |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
Falls Church |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Falls Church |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Powhatan |
Powhatan |
|
 
| Powhatan |
| Princess Anne |
Princess Anne |
|
 
| Princess Anne |
| Riverbend |
Riverbend |
|
 
| Riverbend |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
| Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
 
| Rockbridge County |
| Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rockingham LC |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Seton School |
Seton School |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Seton School |
| South County |
South County |
|
South County   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| South Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
South Lakes |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
Falls Church |
|
Falls Church   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
Stafford |
|
 
| Stafford |
| Steward School |
Steward School |
|
 
| Steward School |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Tandem Friends |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Thomas Dale |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
 
| |
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Trinity Christian |
| Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Episcopal |
|
 
| Trinity Episcopal |
| Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
 
| Trinity Meadow View |
| Tuscarora |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Unity Reed |
Unity Reed |
|
 
| Unity Reed |
| Veritas School |
Veritas School |
|
 
| Veritas School |
| Virginia Academy |
Falls Church |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Falls Church |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
| Wakefield HS |
Falls Church |
|
Falls Church   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Wakefield School |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
Washington-Liberty   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
 
| West Potomac |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
West Springfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Westfield |
|
Westfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Woodgrove |
Woodgrove |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Woodgrove |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Woodson |
| York LC |
York LC |
|
 
| York LC |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PairWisePlus = 46

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2) 21- 7 -27.72 9.23 0.45 1.15 11.11
0 A Centreville ( 5- 8, 81.3) 6-14 -18.56 18.39 0.45 1.15 -20.79
0 A Northern VA Ho ( 2- 6, 75.8) 11- 9 -24.14 12.81 0.45 1.15 15.22
0 H Edison ( 9- 2, 79.2) 8- 9 -20.70 16.24 -0.45 1.15 -24.29
0 A Lewis ( 1-10, 68.1) 16- 4 -31.83 5.12 0.45 1.15 6.39
0 H Hayfield ( 6- 6, 78.6) 9-11 -21.33 15.62 -0.45 1.15 -25.00
0 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 6, 72.7) 6- 1 -27.23 9.71 0.45 1.15 11.67
0 A Thomas Jeffers ( 5- 4, 75.4) 4- 6 -24.47 12.48 0.45 1.15 -27.57
0 A Justice ( 2- 8, 70.5) 14- 0 -29.39 7.55 0.45 1.15 9.19
0 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 72.3) 15- 3 -27.62 9.32 -0.45 1.15 10.18
------
-33.87
|
winning pts = 63.7757 losing points = -97.6479
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------