UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Fairfax 1
  
Fairfax               
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 81.6497

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Centreville ( 5- 8, 81.3) 9- 7 323 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 6, 72.7) 10- 2 328 A South Lakes ( 2-12, 79.1) 10- 9 330 N McLean ( 8- 7, 83.9) 6-12 406 H Westfield ( 8- 7, 83.4) 5-11 408 A Meridian (14- 0, 86.1) 4- 9 414 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 7, 84.3) 6- 3 417 A Woodson ( 8- 8, 84.2) 5-13 422 H West Potomac ( 9- 4, 86.5) 8-15 424 A Robinson (14- 1, 93.1) 3-19 430 H South County ( 2-14, 80.8) 10- 9 504 H West Springfield ( 9- 6, 84.3) 6-11 506 H Alexandria City ( 5- 9, 81.0) 8- 6 511 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 7, 84.3) 7- 5 513 A West Potomac ( 9- 4, 86.5) 6-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Centreville             9- 7       2     1           1.24
   323 A Mount Vernon           10- 2       8     9           0.00
   328 A South Lakes            10- 9       1     2          -1.08
   330 N McLean                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -2.76
   406 H Westfield               5-11      -6    -1    -     -3.67
   408 A Meridian                4- 9      -5    -5          -0.09
   414 A Lake Braddock           6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.10
   417 A Woodson                 5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.04
   422 H West Potomac            8-15      -7    -4          -0.62
   424 A Robinson                3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   430 H South County           10- 9       1     1          -0.29
   504 H West Springfield        6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.82
   506 H Alexandria City         8- 6       2     1           0.92
   511 A Lake Braddock           7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.10
   513 A West Potomac            6-14      -8    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 N McLean                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -2.76
   406 H Westfield               5-11      -6    -1    -     -3.67
   417 A Woodson                 5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.04
   504 H West Springfield        6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Lake Braddock           6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.10
   511 A Lake Braddock           7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.10

Fairfax PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Fairfax Fairfax  
Annandale Fairfax Fairfax   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield Battlefield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bayside Fairfax   Fairfax
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied -  0- 1 Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Brooke Point Fairfax   Fairfax
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Fairfax   Fairfax
Centreville Fairfax Fairfax  
Chantilly Chantilly Chantilly   7- 1 vs 4- 4
Charlottesville Fairfax   Fairfax
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Fairfax   Fairfax
Clover Hill Fairfax   Fairfax
Colgan Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Fairfax   Fairfax
Cosby Cosby tied -  0- 1 Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Fairfax   Fairfax
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Fairfax   Fairfax
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Fairfax Fairfax   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Fairfax Fairfax   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Fauquier Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fairfax   Fairfax
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fairfax   Fairfax
Forest Park Fairfax Fairfax   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Fairfax   Fairfax
Fredericksburg Acade Fairfax   Fairfax
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin tied -  0- 1 Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Fairfax   Fairfax
Gainesville Gainesville tied -  0- 1 Gainesville
Gar-field Fairfax Fairfax   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Fairfax   Fairfax
Grassfield LC Fairfax   Fairfax
Green Run Fairfax   Fairfax
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Fairfax Fairfax   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg tied -  1- 0 Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon tied -  2- 2 Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Fairfax   Fairfax
Highland School Fairfax   Fairfax
Highland Springs Fairfax   Fairfax
Hylton Fairfax   Fairfax
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Justice Fairfax Fairfax   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Fairfax   Fairfax
Kettle Run Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Fairfax Fairfax  
Landstown Fairfax   Fairfax
Langley Langley tied -  1- 2 Langley
Lewis Fairfax Fairfax   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Liberty Bealeton Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Fairfax   Fairfax
Lord Botetourt Fairfax   Fairfax
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Fairfax   Fairfax
Madison Madison Madison   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Manchester Fairfax   Fairfax
Marshall Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Massaponax Fairfax   Fairfax
Matoaca Fairfax   Fairfax
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean McLean  
Mechanicsville Fairfax   Fairfax
Menchville LC Fairfax   Fairfax
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Fairfax   Fairfax
Monticello Fairfax   Fairfax
Mount Vernon Fairfax Fairfax  
Mountain View Mountain View tied -  1- 0 Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Fairfax   Fairfax
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Fairfax   Fairfax
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Fairfax   Fairfax
Northern VA Home Sch Fairfax   Fairfax
Oakton Oakton Oakton   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Ocean Lakes Fairfax   Fairfax
Orange County Fairfax   Fairfax
Osbourn Fairfax   Fairfax
Osbourn Park Fairfax   Fairfax
Park View Fairfax   Fairfax
Patrick Henry Ashla Fairfax   Fairfax
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot Patriot   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Fairfax   Fairfax
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Fairfax   Fairfax
Powhatan Fairfax   Fairfax
Princess Anne Fairfax   Fairfax
Riverbend Fairfax   Fairfax
Riverside Riverside Riverside   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Robinson Robinson Robinson  
Rock Ridge Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Rockbridge County Fairfax   Fairfax
Rockingham LC Fairfax   Fairfax
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Fairfax   Fairfax
Seton School Fairfax   Fairfax
South County Fairfax Fairfax  
South Lakes Fairfax Fairfax  
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Fairfax   Fairfax
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Fairfax   Fairfax
Steward School Fairfax   Fairfax
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Fairfax   Fairfax
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Fairfax   Fairfax
Tandem Friends Fairfax   Fairfax
Thomas Dale Fairfax   Fairfax
Thomas Jefferson Fairfax tied -  1- 1 Fairfax
Trinity Christian Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Trinity Episcopal Fairfax   Fairfax
Trinity Meadow View Fairfax   Fairfax
Tuscarora Fairfax   Fairfax
Unity Reed Fairfax   Fairfax
Veritas School Fairfax   Fairfax
Virginia Academy Fairfax   Fairfax
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Fairfax Fairfax   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wakefield School Fairfax   Fairfax
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty tied -  3- 3 Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac West Potomac  
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield  
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle tied -  0- 1 Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield  
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming Fairfax   Fairfax
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Fairfax   Fairfax
Woodgrove Fairfax Fairfax   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodson Woodson Woodson  
York LC Fairfax   Fairfax
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PairWisePlus = 96


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Centreville     ( 5- 8, 81.3)     9- 7      -18.56      18.39      -0.45         0.77            13.73
   0 A Mount Vernon    ( 5- 6, 72.7)    10- 2      -27.23       9.71       0.45         0.77             7.78
   0 A South Lakes     ( 2-12, 79.1)    10- 9      -20.78      16.17       0.45         0.77            12.72
   0 N McLean          ( 8- 7, 83.9)     6-12      -16.01      20.94      -0.00         0.77           -12.25
   0 H Westfield       ( 8- 7, 83.4)     5-11      -16.47      20.48      -0.45         0.77           -12.95
   0 A Meridian        (14- 0, 86.1)     4- 9      -13.80      23.15       0.45         0.77           -10.21
   0 A Lake Braddock   ( 9- 7, 84.3)     6- 3      -15.60      21.35       0.45         0.77            16.68
   0 A Woodson         ( 8- 8, 84.2)     5-13      -15.75      21.20       0.45         0.77           -11.71
   0 H West Potomac    ( 9- 4, 86.5)     8-15      -13.42      23.53      -0.45         0.77           -10.62
   0 A Robinson        (14- 1, 93.1)     3-19       -6.83      30.12       0.45         0.77            -4.88
   0 H South County    ( 2-14, 80.8)    10- 9      -19.09      17.86      -0.45         0.77            13.32
   0 H West Springfie  ( 9- 6, 84.3)     6-11      -15.62      21.33      -0.45         0.77           -12.30
   0 H Alexandria Cit  ( 5- 9, 81.0)     8- 6      -18.88      18.07      -0.45         0.77            13.48
   0 A Lake Braddock   ( 9- 7, 84.3)     7- 5      -15.60      21.35       0.45         0.77            16.68
   0 A West Potomac    ( 9- 4, 86.5)     6-14      -13.42      23.53       0.45         0.77            -9.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         9.56

winning pts = 94.3964 losing points = -84.8395

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------