Essex Junction
W-L: ( 1-10) PR = 90.2669
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
415 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 6- 6, 95.2) 5-13
422 H South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 4-16
425 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 6-10
429 H Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 3-16
502 A Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 10- 5
509 H Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 4-14
512 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 6- 6, 95.2) 5-11
515 A South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 4-14
519 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 4-12
522 A Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 0-13
526 H Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 4-10
529 A Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 H Mt Mansfield Union 5-13 -8 -5 -0.08
422 H South Burlington 4-16 -12 -10 0.00
425 A Rice Memorial 6-10 -4 -4 0.38
429 H Champlain Valley Uni 3-16 -13 -9 0.00
502 A Bellows Free Academy 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.24
509 H Middlebury Union 4-14 -10 -6 0.00
512 A Mt Mansfield Union 5-11 -6 -5 -0.06
515 A South Burlington 4-14 -10 -10 0.00
519 H Rice Memorial 4-12 -8 -4 -0.64
522 A Champlain Valley Uni 0-13 -13 -9 0.00
526 H Bellows Free Academy 4-10 -6 0 -- -4.78
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
526 H Bellows Free Academy 4-10 -6 0 -- -4.78
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 A Bellows Free Academy 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.24
|
Essex Junction PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
tied -  0- 5 |
Bellows Free Academy |
| Brattleboro Union |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Burlington |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Burr and Burton Acad |
Burr and Burton Acad |
|
Burr and Burton Acad   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
 
| |
| Colchester |
Essex Junction |
|
Essex Junction   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Green Mountain Valle |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
|
 
| Hartford Union |
| Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
|
Harwood Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lamoille Union |
Lamoille Union |
|
 
| Lamoille Union |
| Lyndon Institute |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Middlebury Union |
Middlebury Union |
Middlebury Union |
 
| |
| Milton |
Milton |
|
 
| Milton |
| Montpelier |
Montpelier |
|
 
| Montpelier |
| Mount Abraham |
Mount Abraham |
|
 
| Mount Abraham |
| Mt Anthony Union |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
 
| |
| Otter Valley Union |
Otter Valley Union |
|
 
| Otter Valley Union |
| Randolph Union |
Essex Junction |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Essex Junction |
| Rice Memorial |
Rice Memorial |
Rice Memorial |
 
| |
| Rutland |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| South Burlington |
South Burlington |
South Burlington |
 
| |
| Spaulding |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| St Johnsbury Academy |
Essex Junction |
|
Essex Junction   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Stowe |
Stowe |
|
 
| Stowe |
| Stratton Mountain Sc |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
|
Woodstock Union   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
PairWisePlus = 12

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 6- 6, 95.2) 5-13 -4.70 11.10 -0.01 0.99 -4.67
0 H South Burlingt (10- 3, 99.9) 4-16 -0.00 15.80 -0.01 0.99 -0.01
0 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 6-10 -5.26 10.53 0.01 0.99 -5.20
0 H Champlain Vall (10- 3, 99.0) 3-16 -0.93 14.86 -0.01 0.99 -0.93
0 A Bellows Free A ( 3- 9, 90.5) 10- 5 -9.40 6.39 0.01 0.99 6.34
0 H Middlebury Uni ( 7- 6, 96.5) 4-14 -3.45 12.35 -0.01 0.99 -3.42
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 6- 6, 95.2) 5-11 -4.70 11.10 0.01 0.99 -4.65
0 A South Burlingt (10- 3, 99.9) 4-14 -0.00 15.80 0.01 0.99 -0.01
0 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 4-12 -5.26 10.53 -0.01 0.99 -5.22
0 A Champlain Vall (10- 3, 99.0) 0-13 -0.93 14.86 0.01 0.99 -0.91
0 H Bellows Free A ( 3- 9, 90.5) 4-10 -9.40 6.39 -0.01 0.99 -9.32
------
-28.00
|
winning pts = 6.3446 losing points = -34.3484
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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