UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Essex Junction 1
  
Essex Junction        
W-L: ( 0- 3) PR = 89.8435

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 2- 1, 94.2) 5-13 422 H South Burlington ( 1- 2, 94.8) 4-16 425 A Rice Memorial ( 4- 0, 95.6) 6-10 429 H Champlain Valley Uni ( 1- 1, 96.8) 502 A Bellows Free Academy ( 1- 2, 90.0) 505 H Middlebury Union ( 2- 1, 95.8) 512 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 2- 1, 94.2) 515 A South Burlington ( 1- 2, 94.8) 519 H Rice Memorial ( 4- 0, 95.6) 522 A Champlain Valley Uni ( 1- 1, 96.8) 526 H Bellows Free Academy ( 1- 2, 90.0) 529 A Middlebury Union ( 2- 1, 95.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Mt Mansfield Union      5-13      -8    -3          -1.65
   422 H South Burlington        4-16     -12    -4          -1.04
   425 A Rice Memorial           6-10      -4    -7           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Essex Junction PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy tied -  0- 1 Bellows Free Academy
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union   Brattleboro Union
Burlington Essex Junction   Essex Junction
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Colchester Colchester   Colchester
Green Mountain Valle Green Mountain Valle   Green Mountain Valle
Hartford Union Hartford Union   Hartford Union
Harwood Union Harwood Union   Harwood Union
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Lyndon Institute   Lyndon Institute
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Milton Milton   Milton
Montpelier Montpelier   Montpelier
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham   Mount Abraham
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union   Mt Anthony Union
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union  
Otter Valley Union Otter Valley Union   Otter Valley Union
Randolph Union Randolph Union tied -  0- 1 Randolph Union
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Rutland Rutland   Rutland
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington  
Spaulding Essex Junction   Essex Junction
St Johnsbury Academy Essex Junction   Essex Junction
Stowe Stowe   Stowe
Stratton Mountain Sc Stratton Mountain Sc   Stratton Mountain Sc
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   Woodstock Union

PairWisePlus = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 1.66

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Mt Mansfield U  ( 2- 1, 94.2)     5-13       -5.71       6.97      -1.00         0.55            -3.70
   0 H South Burlingt  ( 1- 2, 94.8)     4-16       -5.10       7.58      -1.00         0.55            -3.36
   0 A Rice Memorial   ( 4- 0, 95.6)     6-10       -4.30       8.37       1.00         0.55            -1.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -8.89

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -8.8886

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------