UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Erskine Academy 1
  
Erskine Academy       
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 82.3030

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 H Camden Hills Regiona ( 3- 8, 79.0) 13- 3 423 H Oak Hill ( 0-11, 80.2) 9- 5 428 H Oak Hill ( 0-11, 80.2) 7- 4 501 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 5-14 504 H MCI-Nokomis ( 0-11, 71.1) 18- 2 507 A Massabesic ( 5- 7, 86.3) 7-10 509 A Houlton/Hogdon ( 1- 7, 71.8) 18- 1 512 H Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 8-11 516 H Lawrence/Winslow ( 2- 9, 75.7) 21- 4 519 A Oxford Hills ( 1-10, 77.8) 13- 8 522 H John Bapst Memorial ( 3- 4, 76.3) 15- 2 525 A Maranacook-Winthrop ( 6- 4, 85.4) 11-21 527 H Gardiner Area ( 6- 5, 87.0) 4-16 529 A Lincoln Academy ( 6- 5, 80.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Camden Hills Regiona   13- 3      10     3           1.64
   423 H Oak Hill                9- 5       4     2           1.85
   428 H Oak Hill                7- 4       3     2           0.85
   501 A Morse/Boothbay          5-14      -9    -2    -     -2.80
   504 H MCI-Nokomis            18- 2      16    11           0.00
   507 A Massabesic              7-10      -3    -4           1.06
   509 A Houlton/Hogdon         18- 1      17    10           0.00
   512 H Morse/Boothbay          8-11      -3    -2          -0.82
   516 H Lawrence/Winslow       21- 4      17     7           0.00
   519 A Oxford Hills           13- 8       5     5           0.50
   522 H John Bapst Memorial    15- 2      13     6           0.00
   525 A Maranacook-Winthrop    11-21     -10    -3          -1.93
   527 H Gardiner Area           4-16     -12    -5          -0.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Morse/Boothbay          5-14      -9    -2    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Erskine Academy PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor   Bangor
Biddeford Erskine Academy tied -  1- 2 Erskine Academy
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brewer Erskine Academy Erskine Academy   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Camden Hills Regiona Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cheverus tied -  1- 1 Cheverus
Cony Cony tied -  5- 1 Cony
Deering Deering Deering   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Edward Little Edward Little tied -  1- 0 Edward Little
Falmouth Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport Freeport   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gardiner Area Gardiner Area Gardiner Area  
Gorham Gorham   Gorham
Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Greely Greely Greely   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hampden Academy Hampden Academy tied -  5- 0 Hampden Academy
Houlton/Hogdon Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
John Bapst Memorial Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Kennebunk Kennebunk   Kennebunk
Lake Region Erskine Academy Erskine Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lawrence/Winslow Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Lewiston Lewiston tied -  2- 0 Lewiston
Lincoln Academy Erskine Academy tied -  4- 2 Erskine Academy
Maranacook-Winthrop Maranacook-Winthrop Maranacook-Winthrop  
Marshwood Marshwood tied -  1- 0 Marshwood
Massabesic Massabesic Massabesic  
MCI-Nokomis Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Morse/Boothbay Morse/Boothbay Morse/Boothbay  
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount Blue Mount Blue tied -  2- 0 Mount Blue
Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Oak Hill Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Oxford Hills Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Portland Portland Portland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Scarborough Scarborough tied -  1- 0 Scarborough
South Portland South Portland   South Portland
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Erskine Academy tied -  0- 1 Erskine Academy
Waynflete School Waynflete School   Waynflete School
Wells Wells Wells   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Westbrook Westbrook tied -  0- 1 Westbrook
Windham Windham Windham   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Yarmouth Yarmouth   Yarmouth
York York   York

PairWisePlus = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.40

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Camden Hills R  ( 3- 8, 79.0)    13- 3      -20.95      10.21      -0.01         0.80             8.16
   0 H Oak Hill        ( 0-11, 80.2)     9- 5      -19.73      11.42      -0.01         0.80             9.13
   0 H Oak Hill        ( 0-11, 80.2)     7- 4      -19.73      11.42      -0.01         0.80             9.13
   0 A Morse/Boothbay  ( 6- 5, 84.5)     5-14      -15.41      15.74       0.01         0.80           -12.32
   0 H MCI-Nokomis     ( 0-11, 71.1)    18- 2      -28.75       2.40      -0.01         0.80             1.91
   0 A Massabesic      ( 5- 7, 86.3)     7-10      -13.55      17.60       0.01         0.80           -10.83
   0 A Houlton/Hogdon  ( 1- 7, 71.8)    18- 1      -28.08       3.07       0.01         0.80             2.46
   0 H Morse/Boothbay  ( 6- 5, 84.5)     8-11      -15.41      15.74      -0.01         0.80           -12.34
   0 H Lawrence/Winsl  ( 2- 9, 75.7)    21- 4      -24.25       6.91      -0.01         0.80             5.52
   0 A Oxford Hills    ( 1-10, 77.8)    13- 8      -22.11       9.05       0.01         0.80             7.24
   0 H John Bapst Mem  ( 3- 4, 76.3)    15- 2      -23.55       7.60      -0.01         0.80             6.07
   0 A Maranacook-Win  ( 6- 4, 85.4)    11-21      -14.54      16.62       0.01         0.80           -11.62
   0 H Gardiner Area   ( 6- 5, 87.0)     4-16      -12.94      18.21      -0.01         0.80           -10.36
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -7.85

winning pts = 49.6263 losing points = -57.4725

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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