UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Ephrata 1
  
Ephrata               
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 89.0085

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Warwick ( 7- 1, 89.3) 5- 3 319 H Manheim Township ( 4- 0, 96.5) 1-14 321 A Garden Spot ( 3- 3, 86.0) 5- 1 323 H Wyomissing ( 1- 5, 83.1) 13- 8 325 H Penn Manor ( 6- 0, 97.4) 12-21 327 A Daniel Boone ( 1- 6, 80.7) 15- 7 330 H Cocalico ( 5- 3, 91.1) 6-10 331 H Hempfield ( 3- 2, 93.9) 2-12 407 A Manheim Township ( 4- 0, 96.5) 413 H Conestoga Valley ( 0- 5, 90.0) 417 A Cedar Crest ( 2- 2, 90.6) 421 A Penn Manor ( 6- 0, 97.4) 425 H Elizabethtown ( 1- 6, 83.7) 427 H Cedar Crest ( 2- 2, 90.6) 501 A Hempfield ( 3- 2, 93.9) 506 A Conestoga Valley ( 0- 5, 90.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Warwick                 5- 3       2    -1    +      2.59
   319 H Manheim Township        1-14     -13    -7           0.00
   321 A Garden Spot             5- 1       4     3           1.37
   323 H Wyomissing             13- 8       5     6           0.00
   325 H Penn Manor             12-21      -9    -8           0.00
   327 A Daniel Boone           15- 7       8     8           0.00
   330 H Cocalico                6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.24
   331 H Hempfield               2-12     -10    -5          -0.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Cocalico                6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Warwick                 5- 3       2    -1    +      2.59

Ephrata Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Ephrata   Ephrata
Academy New Church Academy New Church   Academy New Church
AIM Academy Ephrata   Ephrata
Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca   Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll Ephrata   Ephrata
Archbishop Ryan Ephrata   Ephrata
Archbishop Wood Ephrata   Ephrata
Avon Grove Avon Grove insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter Ephrata   Ephrata
Bayard Rustin Bayard Rustin   Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
Bishop Shanahan Bishop Shanahan   Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter Ephrata   Ephrata
Bonner-Prendergast Ephrata   Ephrata
Boyertown Boyertown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Boyertown
Cardinal OHara Cardinal OHara   Cardinal OHara
Central Bucks East Central Bucks East   Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South Central Bucks South   Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West Central Bucks West   Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia Ephrata   Ephrata
Cheltenham Ephrata   Ephrata
Church Farm School Ephrata   Ephrata
Coatesville Ephrata   Ephrata
Conestoga Conestoga   Conestoga
Conwell Egan Ephrata   Ephrata
Council Rock North Council Rock North   Council Rock North
Council Rock South Council Rock South   Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie Ephrata   Ephrata
Devon Prep Ephrata   Ephrata
Downingtown East Downingtown East   Downingtown East
Downingtown West Downingtown West   Downingtown West
Easton Area Easton Area   Easton Area
Emmaus Ephrata   Ephrata
Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy   Episcopal Academy
Father Judge Ephrata   Ephrata
Frankford Ephrata   Ephrata
Freedom Bethlehem Ephrata   Ephrata
Garnet Valley Garnet Valley   Garnet Valley
George School Ephrata   Ephrata
George Washington Ephrata   Ephrata
Germantown Academy Germantown Academy   Germantown Academy
Great Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Harriton Ephrata   Ephrata
Hatboro-Horsham Ephrata   Ephrata
Haverford HS Haverford HS   Haverford HS
Haverford School Haverford School   Haverford School
Hill School Hill School   Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep Ephrata   Ephrata
Interboro Ephrata   Ephrata
Jack Barrack Academy Ephrata   Ephrata
Kennett Kennett   Kennett
La Salle College La Salle College   La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
Liberty Bethlehem Ephrata   Ephrata
Lower Merion Ephrata   Ephrata
Malvern Prep Malvern Prep   Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown Marple Newtown   Marple Newtown
Masterman Masterman   Masterman
Mastery Charter Nort Ephrata   Ephrata
Methacton Ephrata   Ephrata
Moravian Academy Ephrata   Ephrata
Nazareth Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Neshaminy Ephrata   Ephrata
New Hope-Solebury Ephrata   Ephrata
North Penn Ephrata   Ephrata
Northampton Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Northeast Ephrata   Ephrata
Northwestern Lehigh Ephrata   Ephrata
Olney Charter Ephrata   Ephrata
Owen J Roberts Ephrata   Ephrata
Oxford Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Parkland Parkland   Parkland
Penn Charter Penn Charter   Penn Charter
Penncrest Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennridge Pennridge   Pennridge
Pennsbury Pennsbury   Pennsbury
Perkiomen School Perkiomen School   Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley Perkiomen Valley   Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville Ephrata tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ephrata
Pleasant Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Plymouth-Whitemarsh Ephrata   Ephrata
Pope John Paul II Pope John Paul II   Pope John Paul II
Pottsgrove Ephrata   Ephrata
Quakertown Ephrata   Ephrata
Radnor Radnor   Radnor
Ridley Ridley   Ridley
Roman Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
Saucon Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Shipley School Ephrata   Ephrata
Solanco Ephrata   Ephrata
Souderton Souderton   Souderton
South Philadelphia Ephrata   Ephrata
Southern Lehigh Ephrata   Ephrata
Spring-Ford Spring-Ford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp Ephrata   Ephrata
Springfield-Delco Springfield-Delco   Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut Springside Chestnut   Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep St Josephs Prep   St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven Ephrata   Ephrata
Sun Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Truman Ephrata   Ephrata
Unionville Unionville   Unionville
Upper Darby Ephrata   Ephrata
Upper Dublin Upper Dublin   Upper Dublin
Upper Merion Ephrata   Ephrata
Upper Moreland Ephrata   Ephrata
West Chester East Ephrata tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ephrata
West Chester Henders West Chester Henders   West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia Ephrata   Ephrata
Westtown Ephrata   Ephrata
William Tennent Ephrata   Ephrata
Wissahickon Ephrata   Ephrata
Baldwin Ephrata   Ephrata
Bethel Park Bethel Park   Bethel Park
Butler Area Butler Area   Butler Area
Canon-McMillan Canon-McMillan   Canon-McMillan
Cathedral Prep Ephrata   Ephrata
Central Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
Chartiers Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Conneaut Ephrata   Ephrata
Erie-McDowell Ephrata   Ephrata
Fairview Ephrata   Ephrata
Fox Chapel Fox Chapel   Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional Ephrata   Ephrata
Freeport Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Gateway Ephrata   Ephrata
Greensburg Central C Ephrata   Ephrata
Hampton Hampton   Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg Ephrata   Ephrata
Hickory Ephrata   Ephrata
Indiana Area Indiana Area   Indiana Area
Knoch Ephrata   Ephrata
Latrobe Ephrata   Ephrata
Mars Area Mars Area   Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C Ephrata   Ephrata
Moon Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Mount Lebanon Mount Lebanon   Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny North Allegheny   North Allegheny
North Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
North Hills Ephrata   Ephrata
Norwin Ephrata   Ephrata
Penn-Trafford Ephrata   Ephrata
Peters Township Peters Township   Peters Township
Pine Richland Pine Richland   Pine Richland
Plum Ephrata   Ephrata
Quaker Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle Ephrata   Ephrata
Sewickley Academy Sewickley Academy   Sewickley Academy
Shady Side Academy Ephrata   Ephrata
Shaler Area Ephrata   Ephrata
South Fayette South Fayette   South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice Ephrata   Ephrata
Trinity Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Upper St Clair Upper St Clair   Upper St Clair
West Allegheny Ephrata   Ephrata
Winchester Thurston Ephrata   Ephrata
Abington Heights Ephrata   Ephrata
Bellefonte Ephrata   Ephrata
Berks Catholic Ephrata tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ephrata
Bishop McDevitt Ephrata   Ephrata
Carlisle Carlisle   Carlisle
Cedar Cliff Ephrata   Ephrata
Cedar Crest Cedar Crest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cedar Crest
Central Dauphin Ephrata   Ephrata
Central Dauphin East Ephrata   Ephrata
Central York Central York   Central York
Chambersburg Ephrata   Ephrata
Cocalico Cocalico Cocalico  
Conestoga Valley Conestoga Valley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser Ephrata   Ephrata
Crestwood Ephrata   Ephrata
Cumberland Valley Cumberland Valley   Cumberland Valley
Dallas Ephrata   Ephrata
Dallastown Ephrata tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ephrata
Daniel Boone Ephrata Ephrata  
Danville Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Delaware Valley Ephrata   Ephrata
Delone Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
Dover Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Eastern York Ephrata insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ephrata
Elizabethtown Ephrata Ephrata   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Exeter Township Ephrata tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ephrata
Garden Spot Ephrata Ephrata  
Gettysburg Ephrata insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ephrata
Governor Mifflin Ephrata insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ephrata
Hempfield Hempfield Hempfield  
Hershey Ephrata   Ephrata
Kennard-Dale Ephrata   Ephrata
Lake-Lehman Ephrata   Ephrata
Lakeland Ephrata   Ephrata
Lampeter-Strasburg Lampeter-Strasburg insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS Ephrata insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ephrata
Lewisburg Ephrata   Ephrata
Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township Manheim Township Manheim Township  
Mechanicsburg Ephrata   Ephrata
Mifflin County Ephrata   Ephrata
Mifflinburg Ephrata   Ephrata
Muhlenberg Ephrata tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ephrata
New Oxford New Oxford   New Oxford
North Pocono Ephrata   Ephrata
Northern York Ephrata   Ephrata
Palmyra Ephrata tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ephrata
Penn Manor Penn Manor Penn Manor  
Red Land Ephrata   Ephrata
Red Lion Red Lion   Red Lion
Schuylkill Valley Ephrata Ephrata   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Scranton Prep Scranton Prep   Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove Ephrata   Ephrata
South-Western Ephrata tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ephrata
Spring Grove Spring Grove   Spring Grove
State College State College   State College
Susquehannock Ephrata   Ephrata
Trinity HS Trinity HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Trinity HS
Tunkhannock Ephrata   Ephrata
Twin Valley Twin Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Twin Valley
Warwick Ephrata Ephrata  
West York Ephrata   Ephrata
Wilkes-Barre Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Wilson West Lawn Wilson West Lawn   Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area Ephrata   Ephrata
Wyoming Seminary Wyoming Seminary   Wyoming Seminary
Wyomissing Ephrata Ephrata  
York Catholic Ephrata   Ephrata
York Suburban Ephrata tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ephrata

PowerWise = 146


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 4.78

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Warwick         ( 7- 1, 89.3)     5- 3      -10.65      17.22       0.35         0.60            10.51
   0 H Manheim Townsh  ( 4- 0, 96.5)     1-14       -3.44      24.42      -0.35         0.60            -2.27
   0 A Garden Spot     ( 3- 3, 86.0)     5- 1      -13.88      13.99       0.35         0.60             8.58
   0 H Wyomissing      ( 1- 5, 83.1)    13- 8      -16.83      11.04      -0.35         0.60             6.39
   0 H Penn Manor      ( 6- 0, 97.4)    12-21       -2.52      25.34      -0.35         0.60            -1.72
   0 A Daniel Boone    ( 1- 6, 80.7)    15- 7      -19.17       8.70       0.35         0.60             5.41
   0 H Cocalico        ( 5- 3, 91.1)     6-10       -8.78      19.09      -0.35         0.60            -5.46
   0 H Hempfield       ( 3- 2, 93.9)     2-12       -6.00      21.87      -0.35         0.60            -3.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        17.64

winning pts = 30.8853 losing points = -13.2448

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------