UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Ellington 1
  
Ellington             
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 79.6337

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Wolcott (10- 6, 77.7) 17- 5 408 H Tolland ( 6-10, 78.3) 11- 4 414 H Rockville Co-op ( 4-11, 75.0) 9- 4 416 A South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 8- 9 421 A Somers (14- 2, 89.0) 2-10 423 H Canton ( 8- 8, 83.3) 6- 8 425 A Rocky Hill ( 9- 7, 75.8) 8- 9 428 H Granby Memorial ( 9- 7, 86.2) 3-18 430 A Suffield (15- 1, 90.0) 1-15 505 A Rockville Co-op ( 4-11, 75.0) 7- 3 507 H Somers (14- 2, 89.0) 1-15 512 A Canton ( 8- 8, 83.3) 2-15 514 A Granby Memorial ( 9- 7, 86.2) 7-18 518 A Woodstock Academy ( 9- 7, 79.9) 3- 8 520 H Woodstock Academy ( 9- 7, 79.9) 9- 8 521 H Suffield (15- 1, 90.0) 3-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Wolcott                17- 5      12     2    +      2.75
   408 H Tolland                11- 4       7     2    +      3.33
   414 H Rockville Co-op         9- 4       5     5           0.02
   416 A South Windsor           8- 9      -1    -3           1.89
   421 A Somers                  2-10      -8   -10           0.00
   423 H Canton                  6- 8      -2    -3           1.31
   425 A Rocky Hill              8- 9      -1     4    --    -4.54
   428 H Granby Memorial         3-18     -15    -6           0.00
   430 A Suffield                1-15     -14   -11           0.00
   505 A Rockville Co-op         7- 3       4     4          -0.31
   507 H Somers                  1-15     -14    -9           0.00
   512 A Canton                  2-15     -13    -4          -1.02
   514 A Granby Memorial         7-18     -11    -7           0.00
   518 A Woodstock Academy       3- 8      -5    -1    --    -4.39
   520 H Woodstock Academy       9- 8       1     0           0.94
   521 H Suffield                3-17     -14   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Rocky Hill              8- 9      -1     4    --    -4.54
   518 A Woodstock Academy       3- 8      -5    -1    --    -4.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Wolcott                17- 5      12     2    +      2.75
   408 H Tolland                11- 4       7     2    +      3.33

Ellington PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS tied -  1- 2 Avon HS
Bacon Academy Ellington Ellington   1- 3 vs 0- 3
Berlin Ellington tied -  2- 2 Ellington
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied -  0- 1 Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bunnell-Stratford Ellington Ellington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Canton Canton  
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cromwell Ellington tied -  0- 1 Ellington
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied -  1- 2 East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 2
Enfield Enfield Enfield   2- 3 vs 0- 5
EO Smith EO Smith EO Smith   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial  
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hall Hall tied -  1- 0 Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Ellington tied -  1- 0 Ellington
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury tied -  0- 1 Immaculate Danbury
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Ellington   Ellington
Lakeview United Ellington Ellington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ledyard-Griswold Ellington Ellington   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Maloney-Platt Ellington tied -  0- 1 Ellington
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown Ellington tied -  0- 1 Ellington
Montville Montville Montville   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Ellington Ellington   2- 3 vs 0- 4
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Ellington   Ellington
Northwest Catholic Ellington tied -  0- 1 Ellington
Norwalk Ellington   Ellington
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Ellington Ellington   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame-Fairfield Ellington Ellington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Ellington   Ellington
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied -  0- 1 Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Ellington Ellington   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Ellington Ellington  
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill Rocky Hill  
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   2- 0 vs 2- 1
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Ellington Ellington   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Suffield Suffield Suffield  
Tolland Ellington Ellington  
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Ellington   Ellington
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Ellington Ellington   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Waterford Waterford Waterford   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Watertown Ellington tied -  1- 0 Ellington
West Haven Ellington Ellington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Westhill Ellington   Ellington
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Wilbur Cross Ellington Ellington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Ellington Ellington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wolcott Ellington Ellington  
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy
Xavier Xavier Xavier   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 29


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Wolcott         (10- 6, 77.7)    17- 5      -22.18      15.55      -0.33         0.91            13.85
   0 H Tolland         ( 6-10, 78.3)    11- 4      -21.61      16.12      -0.33         0.91            14.37
   0 H Rockville Co-o  ( 4-11, 75.0)     9- 4      -24.92      12.82      -0.33         0.91            11.36
   0 A South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)     8- 9      -17.71      20.02       0.33         0.91           -15.82
   0 A Somers          (14- 2, 89.0)     2-10      -10.93      26.80       0.33         0.91            -9.65
   0 H Canton          ( 8- 8, 83.3)     6- 8      -16.62      21.11      -0.33         0.91           -15.44
   0 A Rocky Hill      ( 9- 7, 75.8)     8- 9      -24.14      13.59       0.33         0.91           -21.67
   0 H Granby Memoria  ( 9- 7, 86.2)     3-18      -13.69      24.04      -0.33         0.91           -12.76
   0 A Suffield        (15- 1, 90.0)     1-15       -9.88      27.85       0.33         0.91            -8.69
   0 A Rockville Co-o  ( 4-11, 75.0)     7- 3      -24.92      12.82       0.33         0.91            11.97
   0 H Somers          (14- 2, 89.0)     1-15      -10.93      26.80      -0.33         0.91           -10.26
   0 A Canton          ( 8- 8, 83.3)     2-15      -16.62      21.11       0.33         0.91           -14.83
   0 A Granby Memoria  ( 9- 7, 86.2)     7-18      -13.69      24.04       0.33         0.91           -12.15
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 9- 7, 79.9)     3- 8      -20.00      17.73       0.33         0.91           -17.90
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 9- 7, 79.9)     9- 8      -20.00      17.73      -0.33         0.91            15.84
   0 H Suffield        (15- 1, 90.0)     3-17       -9.88      27.85      -0.33         0.91            -9.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -81.06

winning pts = 67.3955 losing points = -148.4585

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------