UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys East Chapel Hill 1
  
East Chapel Hill      
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 89.4278

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 10- 9 310 H Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 6-10 311 A Clayton ( 5- 7, 86.5) 13- 5 313 H Southern Alamance ( 9- 5, 87.5) 7- 5 324 A Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 4- 7 325 A RJ Reynolds (11- 3, 96.3) 7-17 407 H Cedar Ridge ( 2- 9, 84.2) 11- 6 409 H Hillsborough Orange ( 9- 4, 91.2) 12- 9 410 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 9- 4 415 A Union Pines (12- 0, 91.4) 9-11 417 H Seaforth ( 3- 5, 87.6) 420 H Jordan ( 1- 9, 84.4) 421 A Riverside Durham ( 4- 5, 80.7) 429 A Heritage ( 3- 7, 89.4) 430 H Pinecrest ( 8- 2, 89.9) 505 A Walter M Williams ( 6- 5, 87.4) 506 H Riverside Durham ( 4- 5, 80.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Northwood              10- 9       1     2          -0.79
   310 H Carrboro                6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.93
   311 A Clayton                13- 5       8     3    +      2.43
   313 H Southern Alamance       7- 5       2     2          -0.27
   324 A Chapel Hill             4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.31
   325 A RJ Reynolds             7-17     -10    -7           0.00
   407 H Cedar Ridge            11- 6       5     6           0.00
   409 H Hillsborough Orange    12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.46
   410 A New Bern                9- 4       5     4           0.72
   415 A Union Pines             9-11      -2    -2           0.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Carrboro                6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.93
   324 A Chapel Hill             4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Hillsborough Orange    12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.46
   311 A Clayton                13- 5       8     3    +      2.43

East Chapel Hill Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Asheville HS East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Asheville School East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Ballantyne Ridge East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Bishop McGuinness East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Bradford Prep East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Cary HS East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Cedar Ridge East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
Cleveland East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
Cornerstone Charter East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Forsyth East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Eastern Alamance East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eastern Guilford East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Enloe East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) East Chapel Hill
Fike East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Fuquay-Varina East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Garner East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Glenn East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Grays Creek East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Havelock East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
High Point Central East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Hillsborough Orange East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Independence East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Jack Britt East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Jacksonville East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
JF Webb East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
JH Rose East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
John Paul II Catholi East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Jordan East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Laney
Leesville Road East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Lincoln Charter East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Mount Tabor East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Mountain Island Char East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
New Hanover East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
North Brunswick East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
North Davidson East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Northern Durham East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
Page Page insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Page
Panther Creek East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Parkwood East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Patton Morganton East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Pine Forest East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Ravenscroft School East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East Chapel Hill
Reagan East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
Riverside Durham East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 2 vs 0- 4
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Rolesville East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Roxboro Community East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) East Chapel Hill
South Brunswick East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
South Garner East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
South Iredell East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
South Mecklenburg East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
South View East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Southeast Alamance East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southeast Guilford East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Southern Alamance East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
St Davids School East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
St Stephens East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Sun Valley East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Swansboro East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
TC Roberson East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Terry Sanford East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East Chapel Hill
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Vance Charter East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Voyager Academy East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Wake Forest East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Wake Prep East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Watauga East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
West Carteret East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
West Forsyth East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East Chapel Hill
West Stokes East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Western Alamance East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Western Guilford East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 93


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northwood       ( 8- 5, 88.0)    10- 9      -11.94      18.09      -0.32         0.94            16.72
   0 H Carrboro        ( 8- 5, 90.8)     6-10       -9.08      20.95      -0.32         0.94            -8.84
   0 A Clayton         ( 5- 7, 86.5)    13- 5      -13.36      16.66       0.32         0.94            15.98
   0 H Southern Alama  ( 9- 5, 87.5)     7- 5      -12.42      17.60      -0.32         0.94            16.26
   0 A Chapel Hill     ( 7- 6, 88.8)     4- 7      -11.10      18.93       0.32         0.94           -10.14
   0 A RJ Reynolds     (11- 3, 96.3)     7-17       -3.63      26.40       0.32         0.94            -3.11
   0 H Cedar Ridge     ( 2- 9, 84.2)    11- 6      -15.71      14.32      -0.32         0.94            13.17
   0 H Hillsborough O  ( 9- 4, 91.2)    12- 9       -8.69      21.34      -0.32         0.94            19.78
   0 A New Bern        ( 3-10, 84.8)     9- 4      -15.07      14.95       0.32         0.94            14.37
   0 A Union Pines     (12- 0, 91.4)     9-11       -8.53      21.50       0.32         0.94            -7.72
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        66.46

winning pts = 96.2837 losing points = -29.8195

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------