East Chapel Hill
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 89.4278
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
306 H Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 10- 9
310 H Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 6-10
311 A Clayton ( 5- 7, 86.5) 13- 5
313 H Southern Alamance ( 9- 5, 87.5) 7- 5
324 A Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 4- 7
325 A RJ Reynolds (11- 3, 96.3) 7-17
407 H Cedar Ridge ( 2- 9, 84.2) 11- 6
409 H Hillsborough Orange ( 9- 4, 91.2) 12- 9
410 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 9- 4
415 A Union Pines (12- 0, 91.4) 9-11
417 H Seaforth ( 3- 5, 87.6)
420 H Jordan ( 1- 9, 84.4)
421 A Riverside Durham ( 4- 5, 80.7)
429 A Heritage ( 3- 7, 89.4)
430 H Pinecrest ( 8- 2, 89.9)
505 A Walter M Williams ( 6- 5, 87.4)
506 H Riverside Durham ( 4- 5, 80.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Northwood 10- 9 1 2 -0.79
310 H Carrboro 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.93
311 A Clayton 13- 5 8 3 + 2.43
313 H Southern Alamance 7- 5 2 2 -0.27
324 A Chapel Hill 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.31
325 A RJ Reynolds 7-17 -10 -7 0.00
407 H Cedar Ridge 11- 6 5 6 0.00
409 H Hillsborough Orange 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.46
410 A New Bern 9- 4 5 4 0.72
415 A Union Pines 9-11 -2 -2 0.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
310 H Carrboro 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.93
324 A Chapel Hill 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.31
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 H Hillsborough Orange 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.46
311 A Clayton 13- 5 8 3 + 2.43
|
East Chapel Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Apex |
Apex |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Apex |
| Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
| Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
|
 
| Ardrey Kell |
| Arendell Parrott Aca |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Asheville HS |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Asheville School |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Ashley |
Ashley |
|
 
| Ashley |
| Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
| Atkins |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Ballantyne Ridge |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Bishop McGuinness |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Bradford Prep |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
| Butler |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
 
| Cannon School |
| Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Cape Fear HS |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
| Carrboro |
Carrboro |
Carrboro |
 
| |
| Cary Academy |
Cary Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Cary Academy |
| Cary Christian |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Cary HS |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Cedar Ridge |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| Chapel Hill |
Chapel Hill |
Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Charlotte Catholic |
| Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
|
 
| Charlotte CDS |
| Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
|
 
| Charlotte Christian |
| Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
|
 
| Charlotte Latin |
| Christ School |
Christ School |
|
 
| Christ School |
| Christ The King |
Christ The King |
|
 
| Christ The King |
| Clayton |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| Cleveland |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
|
 
| Community School-Dav |
| Corinth Holders |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Cornerstone Charter |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Croatan |
Croatan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Croatan |
| Cuthbertson |
Cuthbertson |
|
 
| Cuthbertson |
| Davie |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
| DH Conley |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
| East Forsyth |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Eastern Alamance |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Eastern Guilford |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Enloe |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Fike |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| First Flight |
First Flight |
|
 
| First Flight |
| Forsyth Country Day |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Fuquay-Varina |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Garner |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Glenn |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Grays Creek |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
 
| Green Hope |
| Green Level |
Green Level |
|
 
| Green Level |
| Greensboro Day |
Greensboro Day |
|
 
| Greensboro Day |
| Grimsley |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Havelock |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Heritage |
Heritage |
|
 
| Heritage |
| Hickory |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| High Point Central |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Hillsborough Orange |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hoggard |
| Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
| Hough |
Hough |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Hough |
| Hunt |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Independence |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Jack Britt |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Jacksonville |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
East Chapel Hill |
| JF Webb |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| JH Rose |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
East Chapel Hill |
| John Paul II Catholi |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Jordan |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
|
 
| Lake Norman Charter |
| Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lake Norman HS |
| Laney |
Laney |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Laney |
| Leesville Road |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Lincoln Charter |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
|
 
| Marvin Ridge |
| Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Millbrook |
Millbrook |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Millbrook |
| Mooresville |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Mount Tabor |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Mountain Island Char |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Myers Park |
Myers Park |
|
 
| Myers Park |
| New Bern |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| New Hanover |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| North Brunswick |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| North Davidson |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
| North Raleigh Christ |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Northern Durham |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Northern Guilford |
Northern Guilford |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Northern Guilford |
| Northside |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northwest Guilford |
| Northwood |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| Page |
Page |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Page |
| Panther Creek |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Parkwood |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Patton Morganton |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Pine Forest |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Pine Lake Prep |
Pine Lake Prep |
|
 
| Pine Lake Prep |
| Pinecrest |
Pinecrest |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Pinecrest |
| Porter Ridge |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Providence |
Providence |
|
 
| Providence |
| Providence Day |
Providence Day |
|
 
| Providence Day |
| Queens Grant |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
|
 
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
| Ragsdale |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Ravenscroft School |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Reagan |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Riverside Durham |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
 
| |
| Rolesville |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Roxboro Community |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Sanderson |
Sanderson |
|
 
| Sanderson |
| Seaforth |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) |
East Chapel Hill |
| South Brunswick |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| South Garner |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
| South Iredell |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| South Mecklenburg |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| South View |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Southeast Alamance |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Southeast Guilford |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Southern Alamance |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
 
| |
| Southlake Christian |
Southlake Christian |
|
 
| Southlake Christian |
| Southwest Guilford |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| St Davids School |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| St Stephens |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Sun Valley |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Swansboro |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| TC Roberson |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Terry Sanford |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
East Chapel Hill |
| Topsail |
Topsail |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Topsail |
| Union Pines |
Union Pines |
Union Pines |
 
| |
| Vance Charter |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Voyager Academy |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Wake Forest |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Wake Prep |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Wakefield |
Wakefield |
|
 
| Wakefield |
| Walter M Williams |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Watauga |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Weddington |
Weddington |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Weddington |
| West Brunswick |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| West Carteret |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
East Chapel Hill |
| West Forsyth |
East Chapel Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
East Chapel Hill |
| West Stokes |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Western Alamance |
East Chapel Hill |
|
East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Western Guilford |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| Willow Spring |
Willow Spring |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 93

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 10- 9 -11.94 18.09 -0.32 0.94 16.72
0 H Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 6-10 -9.08 20.95 -0.32 0.94 -8.84
0 A Clayton ( 5- 7, 86.5) 13- 5 -13.36 16.66 0.32 0.94 15.98
0 H Southern Alama ( 9- 5, 87.5) 7- 5 -12.42 17.60 -0.32 0.94 16.26
0 A Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 4- 7 -11.10 18.93 0.32 0.94 -10.14
0 A RJ Reynolds (11- 3, 96.3) 7-17 -3.63 26.40 0.32 0.94 -3.11
0 H Cedar Ridge ( 2- 9, 84.2) 11- 6 -15.71 14.32 -0.32 0.94 13.17
0 H Hillsborough O ( 9- 4, 91.2) 12- 9 -8.69 21.34 -0.32 0.94 19.78
0 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 9- 4 -15.07 14.95 0.32 0.94 14.37
0 A Union Pines (12- 0, 91.4) 9-11 -8.53 21.50 0.32 0.94 -7.72
------
66.46
|
winning pts = 96.2837 losing points = -29.8195
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------