East Catholic
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 83.9774
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
406 H Tolland ( 3- 5, 76.9) 17- 4
409 A Wethersfield ( 5- 2, 85.3) 13-18
411 H Xavier ( 2- 5, 85.4) 6-16
414 H Farmington ( 5- 2, 89.0) 6-15
416 H St Paul Catholic ( 3- 4, 80.3) 19-10
421 A Glastonbury ( 4- 1, 94.8) 1-17
423 H Hall ( 2- 5, 86.4) 13-11
425 H Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0) 15- 2
430 H Simsbury ( 4- 3, 88.0)
505 H Lewis Mills ( 6- 1, 86.5)
509 H Suffield ( 4- 1, 91.0)
511 A Southington ( 3- 4, 89.1)
514 H Conard ( 7- 1, 90.3)
516 A Canton ( 4- 3, 84.0)
518 H Avon HS ( 1- 7, 86.2)
521 A Northwest Catholic ( 2- 5, 80.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
406 H Tolland 17- 4 13 7 0.00
409 A Wethersfield 13-18 -5 -1 - -3.58
411 H Xavier 6-16 -10 -1 - -3.67
414 H Farmington 6-15 -9 -5 -0.13
416 H St Paul Catholic 19-10 9 4 1.20
421 A Glastonbury 1-17 -16 -11 0.00
423 H Hall 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.27
425 H Bacon Academy 15- 2 13 3 1.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 A Wethersfield 13-18 -5 -1 - -3.58
411 H Xavier 6-16 -10 -1 - -3.67
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
423 H Hall 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.27
|
East Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
Amity Regional |
|
Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Avon HS |
Avon HS |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Avon HS |
| Bacon Academy |
East Catholic |
East Catholic |
 
| |
| Berlin |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Bethel |
Bethel |
|
 
| Bethel |
| Branford |
Branford |
|
 
| Branford |
| Brien McMahon |
Brien McMahon |
|
 
| Brien McMahon |
| Bristol Co-Op |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Brookfield |
Brookfield |
|
 
| Brookfield |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Canton |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
East Catholic |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
Capital-Classical Pr |
|
 
| Capital-Classical Pr |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Cheshire HS |
| Conard |
Conard |
|
 
| Conard |
| Cromwell |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Danbury |
Danbury |
|
 
| Danbury |
| Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Daniel Hand |
| Darien |
Darien |
|
 
| Darien |
| East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Ellington |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Catholic |
| Enfield |
Enfield |
|
 
| Enfield |
| EO Smith |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
 
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
Fairfield Prep   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Farmington |
Farmington |
Farmington |
 
| |
| Fitch Groton |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Foran |
Foran |
|
 
| Foran |
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
 
| |
| Granby Memorial |
Granby Memorial |
|
Granby Memorial   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
|
 
| Greenwich HS |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
 
| Guilford |
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Haddam-Killingworth |
| Hall |
East Catholic |
East Catholic |
 
| |
| Hamden |
Hamden |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Hamden |
| Holy Cross |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Immaculate Danbury |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
 
| Joel Barlow |
| Jonathan Law |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Lakeview United |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Ledyard-Griswold |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
East Catholic |
| Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lewis Mills |
| Lyman Hall |
Lyman Hall |
|
 
| Lyman Hall |
| Maloney-Platt |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Masuk |
Masuk |
|
 
| Masuk |
| Middletown |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Montville |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Morgan School |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
 
| New Fairfield |
| New Milford |
New Milford |
|
 
| New Milford |
| Newington |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
 
| Newtown |
| North Branford |
North Branford |
|
 
| North Branford |
| North Haven |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Northwest Catholic |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Catholic |
| Norwalk |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Norwich Free Academy |
Norwich Free Academy |
|
 
| Norwich Free Academy |
| Norwich Tech |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
Notre Dame-West Have   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Old Lyme |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
| Pomperaug |
Pomperaug |
|
 
| Pomperaug |
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
Prince-Cheney Tech |
|
 
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
| RHAM |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
East Catholic |
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
 
| Ridgefield |
| Rockville Co-op |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Rocky Hill |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Sheehan |
Sheehan |
|
 
| Sheehan |
| Shelton |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Simsbury |
Simsbury |
|
Simsbury   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Somers |
Somers |
|
Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| South Windsor |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
East Catholic |
| Southington |
Southington |
|
Southington   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Catholic |
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
|
 
| St Joseph Trumbull |
| St Paul Catholic |
East Catholic |
East Catholic |
 
| |
| Stamford |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
| Tolland |
East Catholic |
East Catholic |
 
| |
| Trumbull |
Trumbull |
|
 
| Trumbull |
| Valley Regional |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Waterford |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Watertown |
East Catholic |
|
East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| West Haven |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Westhill |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Weston |
Weston |
|
 
| Weston |
| Wethersfield |
Wethersfield |
Wethersfield |
 
| |
| Wilbur Cross |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Windsor |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Wolcott |
East Catholic |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Catholic |
| Woodstock Academy |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| Xavier |
Xavier |
Xavier |
 
| |
PairWisePlus = 46

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Tolland ( 3- 5, 76.9) 17- 4 -23.02 9.14 -0.12 0.83 7.52
0 A Wethersfield ( 5- 2, 85.3) 13-18 -14.62 17.55 0.12 0.83 -12.08
0 H Xavier ( 2- 5, 85.4) 6-16 -14.47 17.69 -0.12 0.83 -12.16
0 H Farmington ( 5- 2, 89.0) 6-15 -10.93 21.23 -0.12 0.83 -9.21
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 3- 4, 80.3) 19-10 -19.61 12.55 -0.12 0.83 10.37
0 A Glastonbury ( 4- 1, 94.8) 1-17 -5.06 27.10 0.12 0.83 -4.12
0 H Hall ( 2- 5, 86.4) 13-11 -13.54 18.62 -0.12 0.83 15.42
0 H Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0) 15- 2 -18.89 13.27 -0.12 0.83 10.97
------
6.71
|
winning pts = 44.2775 losing points = -37.5719
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------