UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys East Catholic 1
  
East Catholic         
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 83.1125

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Tolland ( 6-10, 78.3) 17- 4 409 A Wethersfield (12- 4, 83.8) 13-18 411 H Xavier ( 7- 9, 85.8) 6-16 414 H Farmington (13- 3, 88.0) 6-15 416 H St Paul Catholic ( 9- 7, 79.9) 19-10 421 A Glastonbury (12- 2, 94.3) 1-17 423 H Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 13-11 425 H Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 79.5) 15- 2 501 H Simsbury ( 9- 7, 87.2) 9-13 505 H Lewis Mills (15- 1, 85.7) 14-18 511 A Southington ( 9- 8, 88.2) 9-13 514 H Conard (11- 4, 88.3) 10-17 516 A Canton ( 8- 8, 83.3) 13-19 518 H Avon HS ( 5-11, 83.6) 18- 9 523 A Northwest Catholic ( 2-13, 79.2) 13- 3 527 H Suffield (15- 1, 90.0) 12-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Tolland                17- 4      13     5           0.00
   409 A Wethersfield           13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   411 H Xavier                  6-16     -10    -2    -     -2.62
   414 H Farmington              6-15      -9    -5          -0.43
   416 H St Paul Catholic       19-10       9     4           1.49
   421 A Glastonbury             1-17     -16   -12           0.00
   423 H Hall                   13-11       2    -1    +      3.15
   425 H Bacon Academy          15- 2      13     4           1.07
   501 H Simsbury                9-13      -4    -4          -0.24
   505 H Lewis Mills            14-18      -4    -2          -1.76
   511 A Southington             9-13      -4    -5           1.00
   514 H Conard                 10-17      -7    -5          -0.19
   516 A Canton                 13-19      -6    -1    --    -4.50
   518 H Avon HS                18- 9       9     0    ++     5.13
   523 A Northwest Catholic     13- 3      10     4           1.47
   527 H Suffield               12-23     -11    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Canton                 13-19      -6    -1    --    -4.50
   409 A Wethersfield           13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   411 H Xavier                  6-16     -10    -2    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Avon HS                18- 9       9     0    ++     5.13
   423 H Hall                   13-11       2    -1    +      3.15

East Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Avon HS East Catholic East Catholic  
Bacon Academy East Catholic East Catholic  
Berlin East Catholic East Catholic   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Bethel East Catholic   East Catholic
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op East Catholic East Catholic   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  0- 1 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford East Catholic   East Catholic
Canton Canton Canton  
Capital-Classical Pr East Catholic   East Catholic
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell East Catholic   East Catholic
Danbury East Catholic   East Catholic
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Darien Darien   Darien
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ellington East Catholic tied -  1- 2 East Catholic
Enfield Enfield tied -  2- 2 Enfield
EO Smith East Catholic East Catholic   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton East Catholic tied -  1- 0 East Catholic
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied -  1- 1 Haddam-Killingworth
Hall East Catholic East Catholic  
Hamden Hamden tied -  0- 1 Hamden
Holy Cross East Catholic tied -  1- 0 East Catholic
Immaculate Danbury East Catholic East Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  0- 1 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law East Catholic   East Catholic
Lakeview United East Catholic East Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ledyard-Griswold East Catholic East Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall East Catholic tied -  0- 1 East Catholic
Maloney-Platt East Catholic   East Catholic
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown East Catholic   East Catholic
Montville East Catholic East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Morgan School East Catholic   East Catholic
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Milford East Catholic tied -  0- 1 East Catholic
Newington East Catholic East Catholic   1- 6 vs 0- 7
Newtown Newtown Newtown   3- 0 vs 1- 2
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven East Catholic tied -  0- 1 East Catholic
Northwest Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
Norwalk East Catholic   East Catholic
Norwich Free Academy East Catholic   East Catholic
Norwich Tech East Catholic East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-Fairfield East Catholic   East Catholic
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Old Lyme East Catholic East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug East Catholic East Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Prince-Cheney Tech East Catholic   East Catholic
RHAM East Catholic East Catholic   3- 5 vs 1- 7
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op East Catholic tied -  0- 2 East Catholic
Rocky Hill East Catholic   East Catholic
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton East Catholic   East Catholic
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers Somers   4- 1 vs 1- 4
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor   5- 4 vs 4- 5
Southington Southington Southington  
St Bernard-Wheeler East Catholic East Catholic   3- 0 vs 2- 1
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
Stamford East Catholic   East Catholic
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington East Catholic East Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Suffield Suffield Suffield  
Tolland East Catholic East Catholic  
Trumbull Trumbull tied -  0- 1 Trumbull
Valley Regional East Catholic tied -  0- 1 East Catholic
Vinal/Goodwin Tech East Catholic   East Catholic
Waterford East Catholic tied -  1- 0 East Catholic
Watertown East Catholic East Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
West Haven East Catholic   East Catholic
Westhill East Catholic   East Catholic
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield  
Wilbur Cross East Catholic   East Catholic
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Windsor East Catholic East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wolcott East Catholic tied -  1- 0 East Catholic
Woodstock Academy East Catholic tied -  2- 0 East Catholic
Xavier Xavier Xavier  

PairWisePlus = 53


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Tolland         ( 6-10, 78.3)    17- 4      -21.61      16.12      -0.33         0.91            14.37
   0 A Wethersfield    (12- 4, 83.8)    13-18      -16.07      21.66       0.33         0.91           -14.33
   0 H Xavier          ( 7- 9, 85.8)     6-16      -14.07      23.66      -0.33         0.91           -13.12
   0 H Farmington      (13- 3, 88.0)     6-15      -11.88      25.85      -0.33         0.91           -11.12
   0 H St Paul Cathol  ( 9- 7, 79.9)    19-10      -19.97      17.76      -0.33         0.91            15.87
   0 A Glastonbury     (12- 2, 94.3)     1-17       -5.56      32.17       0.33         0.91            -4.76
   0 H Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)    13-11      -15.30      22.43      -0.33         0.91            20.12
   0 H Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 79.5)    15- 2      -20.39      17.34      -0.33         0.91            15.49
   0 H Simsbury        ( 9- 7, 87.2)     9-13      -12.69      25.04      -0.33         0.91           -11.86
   0 H Lewis Mills     (15- 1, 85.7)    14-18      -14.21      23.52      -0.33         0.91           -13.24
   0 A Southington     ( 9- 8, 88.2)     9-13      -11.74      25.99       0.33         0.91           -10.38
   0 H Conard          (11- 4, 88.3)    10-17      -11.64      26.09      -0.33         0.91           -10.90
   0 A Canton          ( 8- 8, 83.3)    13-19      -16.62      21.11       0.33         0.91           -14.83
   0 H Avon HS         ( 5-11, 83.6)    18- 9      -16.32      21.41      -0.33         0.91            19.18
   0 A Northwest Cath  ( 2-13, 79.2)    13- 3      -20.65      17.08       0.33         0.91            15.85
   0 H Suffield        (15- 1, 90.0)    12-23       -9.88      27.85      -0.33         0.91            -9.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -12.95

winning pts = 100.8780 losing points = -113.8283

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------