Eastern
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 89.6265
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
305 A Sayre (11- 1, 95.0) 4- 9
307 A Owensboro ( 0- 5, 76.1) 16- 1
309 H Atherton ( 5- 5, 81.6) 12- 5
313 H Woodford County (13- 0, 98.3) 5-15
319 A Trinity Louisville ( 6- 1, 98.8) 4-16
323 A Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 17- 7
324 H Henry Clay ( 8- 1, 92.7) 7- 9
326 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 8- 3, 93.5) 3- 9
331 A DuPont Manual ( 5- 6, 82.3) 13- 0
413 A Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 21- 0
414 A Ballard Louisville ( 3-10, 77.9) 19- 5
416 H Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1) 19- 4
420 H Lexington Christian ( 6- 6, 90.4) 15-10
422 A Kentucky Country Day ( 6- 6, 90.9) 5-12
424 A North Oldham (11- 3, 91.6) 5-13
429 A Louisville Collegiat ( 8- 4, 85.8) 8- 5
430 H Frederick Douglass ( 6- 8, 90.2) 7- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 A Sayre 4- 9 -5 -6 0.00
307 A Owensboro 16- 1 15 13 0.00
309 H Atherton 12- 5 7 8 0.00
313 H Woodford County 5-15 -10 -8 0.00
319 A Trinity Louisville 4-16 -12 -10 0.00
323 A Cooper 17- 7 10 11 0.00
324 H Henry Clay 7- 9 -2 -3 0.64
326 H Christian Academy-Lo 3- 9 -6 -3 -1.58
331 A DuPont Manual 13- 0 13 7 0.00
413 A Oldham County 21- 0 21 20 0.00
414 A Ballard Louisville 19- 5 14 11 0.00
416 H Tates Creek 19- 4 15 8 0.00
420 H Lexington Christian 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.32
422 A Kentucky Country Day 5-12 -7 -2 - -3.28
424 A North Oldham 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.52
429 A Louisville Collegiat 8- 5 3 3 -0.38
430 H Frederick Douglass 7- 6 1 0 1.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 A Kentucky Country Day 5-12 -7 -2 - -3.28
424 A North Oldham 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.52
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
420 H Lexington Christian 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.32
|
Eastern PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson County |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
| Atherton |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Ballard Louisville |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Bluegrass |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
| Bowling Green |
Eastern |
|
tied -  4- 1 |
Eastern |
| Bryan Station |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Central Hardin |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
 
| |
| Collins |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Cooper |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Covington Catholic |
Eastern |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Eastern |
| DeSales |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Dixie Heights |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   3- 3 vs 2- 4 |
|
| DuPont Manual |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Frederick Douglass |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
|
| Great Crossing |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Greenwood |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
| Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
 
|
| Lafayette |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   3- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Lexington Catholic |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 5 vs 1- 6 |
|
| Lexington Christian |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Louisville Collegiat |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Male |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
| North Hardin |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
| North Oldham |
North Oldham |
North Oldham |
 
| |
| Oldham County |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Owensboro |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 2 vs 0- 6 |
|
| Ryle |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Sayre |
Sayre |
Sayre |
 
| |
| Scott County |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Shelby County |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 1 vs 3- 2 |
|
| South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
South Oldham   3- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| South Warren |
Eastern |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Eastern |
| St Henry |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
St Xavier Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Tates Creek |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
 
| |
| Walton-Verona |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Woodford County |
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
 
| |
PairWisePlus = 32

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Sayre (11- 1, 95.0) 4- 9 -4.95 26.08 0.47 0.62 -2.79
0 A Owensboro ( 0- 5, 76.1) 16- 1 -23.75 7.28 0.47 0.62 4.82
0 H Atherton ( 5- 5, 81.6) 12- 5 -18.27 12.76 -0.47 0.62 7.64
0 H Woodford Count (13- 0, 98.3) 5-15 -1.64 29.39 -0.47 0.62 -1.31
0 A Trinity Louisv ( 6- 1, 98.8) 4-16 -1.05 29.98 0.47 0.62 -0.36
0 A Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 17- 7 -21.65 9.38 0.47 0.62 6.13
0 H Henry Clay ( 8- 1, 92.7) 7- 9 -7.16 23.87 -0.47 0.62 -4.75
0 H Christian Acad ( 8- 3, 93.5) 3- 9 -6.38 24.65 -0.47 0.62 -4.26
0 A DuPont Manual ( 5- 6, 82.3) 13- 0 -17.65 13.38 0.47 0.62 8.61
0 A Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 21- 0 -31.03 1.00 0.47 0.62 0.91
0 A Ballard Louisv ( 3-10, 77.9) 19- 5 -22.04 8.99 0.47 0.62 5.88
0 H Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1) 19- 4 -17.81 13.22 -0.47 0.62 7.93
0 H Lexington Chri ( 6- 6, 90.4) 15-10 -9.48 21.55 -0.47 0.62 13.11
0 A Kentucky Count ( 6- 6, 90.9) 5-12 -9.02 22.01 0.47 0.62 -5.32
0 A North Oldham (11- 3, 91.6) 5-13 -8.27 22.76 0.47 0.62 -4.85
0 A Louisville Col ( 8- 4, 85.8) 8- 5 -14.13 16.91 0.47 0.62 10.80
0 H Frederick Doug ( 6- 8, 90.2) 7- 6 -9.70 21.33 -0.47 0.62 12.98
------
55.17
|
winning pts = 78.8084 losing points = -23.6335
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------