UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Catoctin 1
  
Catoctin              
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 90.0959

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Gov Thomas Johnson ( 2- 3, 81.4) 18- 3 326 A Francis Scott Key ( 2- 3, 85.7) 18- 3 331 A Tuscarora ( 0- 5, 75.6) 20- 0 402 A Middletown ( 3- 0, 93.7) 7-16 407 H Boonsboro ( 1- 3, 83.4) 409 H Smithsburg ( 4- 0, 86.7) 413 A South Hagerstown ( 5- 1, 85.6) 416 A Walkersville ( 4- 1, 90.6) 421 A Brunswick ( 1- 4, 79.7) 423 H North Hagerstown ( 2- 4, 80.6) 428 H South Carroll ( 0- 4, 87.3) 430 H Liberty ( 2- 1, 90.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Gov Thomas Johnson     18- 3      15     8           0.00
   326 A Francis Scott Key      18- 3      15     4           0.99
   331 A Tuscarora              20- 0      20    14           0.00
   402 A Middletown              7-16      -9    -4          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Catoctin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Catoctin   Catoctin
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Catoctin   Catoctin
Bishop McNamara Catoctin   Catoctin
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Catoctin   Catoctin
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Catoctin   Catoctin
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Catoctin   Catoctin
Garrett County LC Catoctin   Catoctin
Georgetown Day Catoctin   Catoctin
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Catoctin   Catoctin
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Catoctin   Catoctin
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Catoctin   Catoctin
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Catoctin   Catoctin
John Carroll Catoctin   Catoctin
Key School Catoctin   Catoctin
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Catoctin   Catoctin
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount Carmel Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Catoctin   Catoctin
Sandy Spring Friends Catoctin   Catoctin
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Catoctin   Catoctin
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Catoctin   Catoctin
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken Catoctin   Catoctin
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Catoctin   Catoctin
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Catoctin   Catoctin
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Catoctin   Catoctin
Atholton Catoctin   Catoctin
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Catoctin   Catoctin
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Catoctin   Catoctin
Blair Catoctin   Catoctin
Blake Catoctin   Catoctin
Bohemia Manor Catoctin   Catoctin
Boonsboro Catoctin   Catoctin
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Catoctin insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Catoctin
Calvert Catoctin   Catoctin
Cambridge SD Catoctin   Catoctin
Carver A&T Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Century
CH Flowers Catoctin   Catoctin
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Catoctin   Catoctin
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Catoctin   Catoctin
CM Wright Catoctin   Catoctin
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Catoctin   Catoctin
Digital Harbor Catoctin   Catoctin
Dr Henry Wise Catoctin   Catoctin
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Catoctin   Catoctin
Dundalk Catoctin   Catoctin
DuVal Catoctin   Catoctin
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Catoctin   Catoctin
Edgewood Catoctin   Catoctin
Edmondson-Westside Catoctin   Catoctin
Einstein Catoctin   Catoctin
Eleanor Roosevelt Catoctin   Catoctin
Elkton Catoctin   Catoctin
Fairmont Heights Catoctin   Catoctin
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Catoctin Catoctin  
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Catoctin   Catoctin
Frederick Douglass B Catoctin   Catoctin
Frederick Douglass P Catoctin   Catoctin
Friendly Catoctin   Catoctin
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Catoctin   Catoctin
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Catoctin Catoctin  
Great Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Guilford Park Catoctin   Catoctin
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Catoctin   Catoctin
Harford Tech Catoctin   Catoctin
Havre De Grace Catoctin   Catoctin
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Howard Catoctin   Catoctin
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Catoctin   Catoctin
Joppatowne Catoctin   Catoctin
Kennedy Catoctin   Catoctin
Kent County Catoctin   Catoctin
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Catoctin   Catoctin
La Plata Catoctin   Catoctin
Lackey Catoctin   Catoctin
Lake Clifton Catoctin   Catoctin
Lansdowne Catoctin   Catoctin
Laurel Catoctin   Catoctin
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Linganore
Loch Raven Catoctin   Catoctin
Long Reach Catoctin   Catoctin
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Catoctin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catoctin
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Catoctin   Catoctin
Mergenthaler Catoctin   Catoctin
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
MJ McDonough Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount Hebron Catoctin   Catoctin
National Academy Fou Catoctin   Catoctin
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Catoctin   Catoctin
North County Catoctin   Catoctin
North Dorchester Catoctin   Catoctin
North East Cecil Catoctin   Catoctin
North Hagerstown Catoctin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catoctin
North Harford Catoctin   Catoctin
North Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Catoctin   Catoctin
Northwest Catoctin   Catoctin
Northwestern PG Catoctin   Catoctin
Northwood Catoctin   Catoctin
Oakdale Catoctin   Catoctin
Oakland Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Old Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Overlea Catoctin   Catoctin
Owings Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Oxon Hill Catoctin   Catoctin
Paint Branch Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkdale Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Catoctin   Catoctin
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Catoctin   Catoctin
Patterson Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Patuxent Catoctin   Catoctin
Perry Hall Catoctin   Catoctin
Perryville Catoctin   Catoctin
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Catoctin   Catoctin
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Catoctin   Catoctin
Reginald F Lewis Catoctin   Catoctin
Reservoir Catoctin   Catoctin
Richard Montgomery Catoctin   Catoctin
Rising Sun Catoctin   Catoctin
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Catoctin   Catoctin
Severn Run Catoctin   Catoctin
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Catoctin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catoctin
South Carroll Catoctin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catoctin
South Hagerstown Catoctin insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Catoctin
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Catoctin   Catoctin
Sparrows Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Springbrook Catoctin   Catoctin
St Charles Catoctin   Catoctin
Stephen Decatur Catoctin   Catoctin
Suitland Catoctin   Catoctin
Surrattsville Catoctin   Catoctin
Thomas Stone Catoctin   Catoctin
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Catoctin Catoctin  
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Western STES Catoctin   Catoctin
Westlake Catoctin   Catoctin
Westminster Catoctin   Catoctin
Wheaton Catoctin   Catoctin
Wicomico Catoctin   Catoctin
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Catoctin   Catoctin
Winters Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Woodlawn Catoctin   Catoctin
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Catoctin   Catoctin
DC International PCS Catoctin   Catoctin
Jackson Reed Catoctin   Catoctin

PowerWise = 143


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Gov Thomas Joh  ( 2- 3, 81.4)    18- 3      -18.50       6.56       0.41         0.82             5.68
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 2- 3, 85.7)    18- 3      -14.22      10.85       0.41         0.82             9.18
   0 A Tuscarora       ( 0- 5, 75.6)    20- 0      -24.31       1.00       0.41         0.82             1.15
   0 A Middletown      ( 3- 0, 93.7)     7-16       -6.22      18.84       0.41         0.82            -4.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        11.26

winning pts = 16.0032 losing points = -4.7425

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------