UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Catoctin 1
  
Catoctin              
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 87.1535

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Gov Thomas Johnson ( 6- 7, 79.1) 18- 3 326 A Francis Scott Key ( 5- 9, 83.0) 18- 3 331 A Tuscarora ( 0-13, 72.7) 20- 0 402 A Middletown (14- 3, 92.5) 7-16 407 H Boonsboro ( 6- 8, 80.7) 17- 2 409 H Smithsburg ( 7- 6, 84.6) 4- 5 413 A South Hagerstown ( 9- 5, 80.5) 17- 4 416 A Walkersville (12- 2, 91.5) 7- 8 421 A Brunswick ( 2-11, 75.7) 23-10 423 H North Hagerstown ( 5- 9, 77.8) 18- 4 428 H South Carroll ( 5- 9, 88.3) 8-12 430 H Liberty (10- 5, 90.0) 7- 8 508 A Smithsburg ( 7- 6, 84.6) 7- 4 511 A Middletown (14- 3, 92.5) 8-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Gov Thomas Johnson     18- 3      15     8           0.00
   326 A Francis Scott Key      18- 3      15     4           1.27
   331 A Tuscarora              20- 0      20    14           0.00
   402 A Middletown              7-16      -9    -6           0.00
   407 H Boonsboro              17- 2      15     7           0.00
   409 H Smithsburg              4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.02
   413 A South Hagerstown       17- 4      13     6           0.00
   416 A Walkersville            7- 8      -1    -5    +      3.78
   421 A Brunswick              23-10      13    11           0.00
   423 H North Hagerstown       18- 4      14    10           0.00
   428 H South Carroll           8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.25
   430 H Liberty                 7- 8      -1    -2           1.45
   508 A Smithsburg              7- 4       3     2           0.81
   511 A Middletown              8-19     -11    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Smithsburg              4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.02
   428 H South Carroll           8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Walkersville            7- 8      -1    -5    +      3.78

Catoctin PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Catoctin   Catoctin
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Catoctin Catoctin   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bishop McNamara Catoctin   Catoctin
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Catoctin Catoctin   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Concordia Prep Catoctin   Catoctin
Cristo Rey Jesuit Catoctin   Catoctin
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Catoctin   Catoctin
Friends Catoctin   Catoctin
Garrett County LC Catoctin   Catoctin
Georgetown Day Catoctin   Catoctin
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Catoctin   Catoctin
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Catoctin   Catoctin
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Catoctin   Catoctin
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Catoctin   Catoctin
Jemicy School Catoctin Catoctin   1- 0 vs 0- 1
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Catoctin   Catoctin
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Catoctin   Catoctin
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount Carmel Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Catoctin   Catoctin
Salisbury School Catoctin   Catoctin
Sandy Spring Friends Catoctin   Catoctin
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Catoctin   Catoctin
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Catoctin   Catoctin
St James St James tied -  1- 0 St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Catoctin tied -  1- 0 Catoctin
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Catoctin   Catoctin
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Catoctin   Catoctin
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Catoctin   Catoctin
Academy for College Catoctin   Catoctin
Annapolis Catoctin   Catoctin
Arundel Catoctin   Catoctin
Atholton Catoctin   Catoctin
Baltimore Polytechni Catoctin   Catoctin
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Catoctin   Catoctin
Blair Catoctin   Catoctin
Blake Catoctin   Catoctin
Bohemia Manor Catoctin   Catoctin
Boonsboro Catoctin Catoctin  
Bowie Catoctin   Catoctin
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Catoctin Catoctin  
Calvert Catoctin   Catoctin
Cambridge SD Catoctin   Catoctin
Carver A&T Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Catoctin   Catoctin
Century Century Century   5- 1 vs 2- 4
CH Flowers Catoctin   Catoctin
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Catoctin   Catoctin
Chopticon Chopticon tied -  0- 1 Chopticon
City College Catoctin   Catoctin
Clarksburg Catoctin   Catoctin
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Catoctin tied -  0- 1 Catoctin
Digital Harbor Catoctin   Catoctin
Dr Henry Wise Catoctin   Catoctin
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Catoctin   Catoctin
Dundalk Catoctin   Catoctin
DuVal Catoctin   Catoctin
Eastern Tech Catoctin   Catoctin
Easton Catoctin   Catoctin
Edgewood Catoctin   Catoctin
Edmondson-Westside Catoctin   Catoctin
Einstein Catoctin   Catoctin
Eleanor Roosevelt Catoctin   Catoctin
Elkton Catoctin   Catoctin
Fairmont Heights Catoctin   Catoctin
Fallston Fallston tied -  0- 1 Fallston
Forest Park Catoctin   Catoctin
Francis Scott Key Catoctin Catoctin  
Franklin Catoctin   Catoctin
Frederick Catoctin Catoctin   8- 2 vs 1- 8
Frederick Douglass B Catoctin   Catoctin
Frederick Douglass P Catoctin   Catoctin
Friendly Catoctin   Catoctin
Gaithersburg Catoctin   Catoctin
Glen Burnie Catoctin   Catoctin
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gov Thomas Johnson Catoctin Catoctin  
Great Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Guilford Park Catoctin   Catoctin
Gwynn Park Catoctin   Catoctin
Hammond Catoctin   Catoctin
Harford Tech Catoctin   Catoctin
Havre De Grace Catoctin   Catoctin
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Howard Catoctin   Catoctin
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Catoctin   Catoctin
Joppatowne Catoctin   Catoctin
Kennedy Catoctin   Catoctin
Kent County Catoctin   Catoctin
Kent Island Kent Island Kent Island   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kenwood Catoctin   Catoctin
La Plata Catoctin   Catoctin
Lackey Catoctin   Catoctin
Lake Clifton Catoctin   Catoctin
Lansdowne Catoctin   Catoctin
Laurel Catoctin   Catoctin
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Linganore Linganore Linganore   7- 1 vs 4- 5
Loch Raven Catoctin   Catoctin
Long Reach Catoctin   Catoctin
Magruder Catoctin   Catoctin
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Meade Catoctin   Catoctin
Mergenthaler Catoctin   Catoctin
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
MJ McDonough Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron tied -  0- 1 Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou Catoctin   Catoctin
New Town Catoctin   Catoctin
North Caroline Catoctin   Catoctin
North County Catoctin   Catoctin
North Dorchester Catoctin   Catoctin
North East Cecil Catoctin   Catoctin
North Hagerstown Catoctin Catoctin  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Northeast AA Catoctin   Catoctin
Northern Calvert Catoctin   Catoctin
Northwest Catoctin Catoctin   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Northwestern PG Catoctin   Catoctin
Northwood Catoctin   Catoctin
Oakdale Oakdale Oakdale   4- 4 vs 4- 5
Oakland Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Old Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Overlea Catoctin   Catoctin
Owings Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Oxon Hill Catoctin   Catoctin
Paint Branch Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkdale Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Catoctin   Catoctin
Patapsco Catoctin   Catoctin
Patterson HS Catoctin   Catoctin
Patterson Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Patuxent Catoctin   Catoctin
Perry Hall Catoctin   Catoctin
Perryville Catoctin   Catoctin
Pikesville Catoctin   Catoctin
Poolesville Catoctin   Catoctin
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Catoctin tied -  0- 1 Catoctin
Reginald F Lewis Catoctin   Catoctin
Reservoir Catoctin   Catoctin
Richard Montgomery Catoctin   Catoctin
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill Catoctin   Catoctin
Rockville Catoctin   Catoctin
Seneca Valley Catoctin   Catoctin
Severn Run Catoctin   Catoctin
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Catoctin Catoctin   6- 2 vs 5- 3
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown Catoctin Catoctin  
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Catoctin tied -  0- 1 Catoctin
Sparrows Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Springbrook Catoctin   Catoctin
St Charles Catoctin   Catoctin
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Catoctin   Catoctin
Surrattsville Catoctin   Catoctin
Thomas Stone Catoctin   Catoctin
Towson Towson Towson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tuscarora Catoctin Catoctin  
Urbana Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Walkersville Walkersville Walkersville  
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Western STES Catoctin   Catoctin
Westlake Catoctin   Catoctin
Westminster Westminster tied -  1- 2 Westminster
Wheaton Catoctin   Catoctin
Wicomico Catoctin   Catoctin
Wilde Lake Catoctin   Catoctin
Winston Churchill Catoctin   Catoctin
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Woodlawn Catoctin   Catoctin
Wootton Catoctin   Catoctin
Archbishop Carroll Catoctin   Catoctin
DC International PCS Catoctin   Catoctin
Jackson Reed Catoctin   Catoctin

PairWisePlus = 156


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Gov Thomas Joh  ( 6- 7, 79.1)    18- 3      -20.80      13.23       0.42         0.86            11.76
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 5- 9, 83.0)    18- 3      -16.89      17.14       0.42         0.86            15.12
   0 A Tuscarora       ( 0-13, 72.7)    20- 0      -27.19       6.84       0.42         0.86             6.25
   0 A Middletown      (14- 3, 92.5)     7-16       -7.36      26.67       0.42         0.86            -5.98
   0 H Boonsboro       ( 6- 8, 80.7)    17- 2      -19.20      14.83      -0.42         0.86            12.42
   0 H Smithsburg      ( 7- 6, 84.6)     4- 5      -15.35      18.68      -0.42         0.86           -13.58
   0 A South Hagersto  ( 9- 5, 80.5)    17- 4      -19.43      14.59       0.42         0.86            12.93
   0 A Walkersville    (12- 2, 91.5)     7- 8       -8.38      25.65       0.42         0.86            -6.86
   0 A Brunswick       ( 2-11, 75.7)    23-10      -24.15       9.87       0.42         0.86             8.87
   0 H North Hagersto  ( 5- 9, 77.8)    18- 4      -22.09      11.94      -0.42         0.86             9.93
   0 H South Carroll   ( 5- 9, 88.3)     8-12      -11.58      22.44      -0.42         0.86           -10.34
   0 H Liberty         (10- 5, 90.0)     7- 8       -9.88      24.14      -0.42         0.86            -8.87
   0 A Smithsburg      ( 7- 6, 84.6)     7- 4      -15.35      18.68       0.42         0.86            16.45
   0 A Middletown      (14- 3, 92.5)     8-19       -7.36      26.67       0.42         0.86            -5.98
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        42.10

winning pts = 93.7281 losing points = -51.6262

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------