UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Croatan 1
  
Croatan               
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 95.2731

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 305 A Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6) 9-10 307 H Apex Friendship (12- 1, 98.2) 10-12 310 H Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9) 5- 9 312 H Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6) 13- 8 317 H Havelock ( 1- 5, 80.3) 17- 4 326 H Jacksonville ( 6- 3, 87.6) 13- 4 402 H First Flight ( 3- 1, 90.1) 13- 2 407 H Hough ( 8- 2, 99.3) 8-13 410 A Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 16-10 411 A Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 13- 7 420 H Swansboro ( 6- 5, 86.3) 422 A Topsail (10- 3, 98.2) 423 A Northside ( 8- 1, 88.8) 427 A West Carteret ( 4- 4, 85.8) 429 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 505 H JH Rose ( 7- 1, 88.1) 507 A Fuquay-Varina ( 2- 8, 82.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Hoggard                 9-10      -1    -4    +      2.61
   307 H Apex Friendship        10-12      -2    -3           0.56
   310 H Ashley                  5- 9      -4     1    --    -4.71
   312 H Laney                  13- 8       5     2    +      3.04
   317 H Havelock               17- 4      13    15           0.00
   326 H Jacksonville           13- 4       9     8           0.00
   402 H First Flight           13- 2      11     5           0.00
   407 H Hough                   8-13      -5    -4          -1.30
   410 A Chapel Hill            16-10       6     6           0.00
   411 A Northwood              13- 7       6     7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Ashley                  5- 9      -4     1    --    -4.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Hoggard                 9-10      -1    -4    +      2.61
   312 H Laney                  13- 8       5     2    +      3.04

Croatan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Croatan   Croatan
Asheville HS Croatan   Croatan
Asheville School Croatan   Croatan
Ashley Ashley Ashley  
Athens Drive Croatan   Croatan
Atkins Croatan   Croatan
Ballantyne Ridge Croatan   Croatan
Bishop McGuinness Croatan   Croatan
Bradford Prep Croatan   Croatan
Broughton Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Croatan
Butler Croatan   Croatan
Cannon School Croatan   Croatan
Cape Fear Academy Croatan   Croatan
Cape Fear HS Croatan   Croatan
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Croatan
Cary Academy Croatan   Croatan
Cary Christian Croatan   Croatan
Cary HS Croatan   Croatan
Cedar Ridge Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chapel Hill Croatan Croatan  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Croatan   Croatan
Christ School Christ School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christ School
Christ The King Croatan   Croatan
Clayton Croatan   Croatan
Cleveland Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Croatan   Croatan
Cornerstone Charter Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Croatan   Croatan
Davie Croatan   Croatan
DH Conley Croatan   Croatan
Durham Academy Croatan   Croatan
East Chapel Hill Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Croatan
East Forsyth Croatan   Croatan
Eastern Alamance Croatan   Croatan
Eastern Guilford Croatan   Croatan
Enloe Croatan   Croatan
Fike Croatan   Croatan
First Flight Croatan Croatan  
Forsyth Country Day Croatan   Croatan
Fuquay-Varina Croatan   Croatan
Garner Croatan   Croatan
Glenn Croatan   Croatan
Grays Creek Croatan   Croatan
Green Hope Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Green Level Green Level tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Level
Greensboro Day Croatan   Croatan
Grimsley Croatan   Croatan
Havelock Croatan Croatan  
Heritage Croatan   Croatan
Hickory Croatan   Croatan
High Point Central Croatan   Croatan
Hillsborough Orange Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough Hough  
Hunt Croatan   Croatan
Independence Croatan   Croatan
Jack Britt Croatan   Croatan
Jacksonville Croatan Croatan  
JF Webb Croatan   Croatan
JH Rose Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
John Paul II Catholi Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jordan Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Croatan
Lake Norman Charter Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Croatan Croatan  
Leesville Road Croatan   Croatan
Lincoln Charter Croatan   Croatan
Marvin Ridge Croatan   Croatan
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middle Creek
Millbrook Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Mooresville Croatan   Croatan
Mount Tabor Croatan   Croatan
Mountain Island Char Croatan   Croatan
Myers Park Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
New Bern Croatan Croatan   4- 1 vs 1- 4
New Hanover Croatan Croatan   2- 2 vs 0- 4
North Brunswick Croatan Croatan   2- 2 vs 0- 4
North Davidson Croatan   Croatan
North Lincoln Croatan   Croatan
North Raleigh Christ Croatan   Croatan
Northern Durham Croatan   Croatan
Northern Guilford Croatan   Croatan
Northside Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Croatan
Northwest Guilford Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Northwood Croatan Croatan  
Page Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Panther Creek Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Parkwood Croatan   Croatan
Patton Morganton Croatan   Croatan
Pine Forest Croatan   Croatan
Pine Lake Prep Croatan   Croatan
Pinecrest Croatan   Croatan
Porter Ridge Croatan   Croatan
Providence Croatan   Croatan
Providence Day Providence Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence Day
Queens Grant Croatan   Croatan
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Croatan   Croatan
Ravenscroft School Croatan   Croatan
Reagan Croatan   Croatan
Riverside Durham Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Croatan   Croatan
Roxboro Community Croatan   Croatan
Sanderson Croatan   Croatan
Seaforth Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Croatan
South Brunswick Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Croatan
South Garner Croatan   Croatan
South Iredell Croatan   Croatan
South Mecklenburg Croatan   Croatan
South View Croatan   Croatan
Southeast Alamance Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Southeast Guilford Croatan   Croatan
Southern Alamance Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Southlake Christian Croatan   Croatan
Southwest Guilford Croatan   Croatan
St Davids School Croatan   Croatan
St Stephens Croatan   Croatan
Sun Valley Croatan   Croatan
Swansboro Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
TC Roberson Croatan   Croatan
Terry Sanford Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Topsail
Union Pines Croatan   Croatan
Vance Charter Croatan   Croatan
Voyager Academy Croatan   Croatan
Wake Forest Croatan   Croatan
Wake Prep Croatan   Croatan
Wakefield Croatan   Croatan
Walter M Williams Croatan   Croatan
Watauga Croatan   Croatan
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Croatan Croatan   2- 2 vs 0- 4
West Carteret Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
West Forsyth Croatan   Croatan
West Stokes Croatan   Croatan
Western Alamance Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Western Guilford Croatan   Croatan
Willow Spring Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan

PowerWise = 128


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hoggard         (10- 1, 98.6)     9-10       -1.34      28.69       0.32         0.94            -0.96
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (12- 1, 98.2)    10-12       -1.75      28.28      -0.32         0.94            -1.94
   0 H Ashley          ( 6- 4, 94.9)     5- 9       -5.02      25.01      -0.32         0.94            -5.02
   0 H Laney           ( 7- 5, 93.6)    13- 8       -6.26      23.76      -0.32         0.94            22.06
   0 H Havelock        ( 1- 5, 80.3)    17- 4      -19.64      10.39      -0.32         0.94             9.47
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 6- 3, 87.6)    13- 4      -12.25      17.77      -0.32         0.94            16.42
   0 H First Flight    ( 3- 1, 90.1)    13- 2       -9.76      20.27      -0.32         0.94            18.77
   0 H Hough           ( 8- 2, 99.3)     8-13       -0.61      29.42      -0.32         0.94            -0.87
   0 A Chapel Hill     ( 7- 6, 88.8)    16-10      -11.10      18.93       0.32         0.94            18.11
   0 A Northwood       ( 8- 5, 88.0)    13- 7      -11.94      18.09       0.32         0.94            17.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        93.37

winning pts = 102.1608 losing points = -8.7957

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------