UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Conard 1
  
Conard                
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 88.2565

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A East Lyme (13- 2, 89.8) 11-12 407 H Somers (14- 2, 89.0) 10- 9 409 A Newington ( 0-15, 73.9) 20- 2 411 H Joel Barlow ( 8- 6, 87.7) 14-10 414 H New Milford ( 5- 9, 82.4) 10- 9 420 A Avon HS ( 5-11, 83.6) 16- 4 423 H Northwest Catholic ( 2-13, 79.2) 13- 2 425 A Daniel Hand ( 9- 7, 89.9) 11-10 428 H Southington ( 9- 8, 88.2) 10- 6 501 A Farmington (13- 3, 88.0) 11-14 504 H South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 15- 7 507 H Simsbury ( 9- 7, 87.2) 8-11 514 A East Catholic ( 6-10, 83.1) 17-10 518 H Glastonbury (12- 2, 94.3) 8-19 520 A Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 11- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A East Lyme              11-12      -1    -2           0.90
   407 H Somers                 10- 9       1     0           1.37
   409 A Newington              20- 2      18    14           0.00
   411 H Joel Barlow            14-10       4     1    +      3.14
   414 H New Milford            10- 9       1     6    --    -4.00
   420 A Avon HS                16- 4      12     4           0.65
   423 H Northwest Catholic     13- 2      11     9           0.00
   425 A Daniel Hand            11-10       1    -2    +      2.99
   428 H Southington            10- 6       4     0    +      3.57
   501 A Farmington             11-14      -3     0    -     -2.90
   504 H South Windsor          15- 7       8     6           0.00
   507 H Simsbury                8-11      -3     1    --    -4.38
   514 A East Catholic          17-10       7     5           0.19
   518 H Glastonbury             8-19     -11    -6           0.00
   520 A Hall                   11- 8       3     3          -0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H New Milford            10- 9       1     6    --    -4.00
   507 H Simsbury                8-11      -3     1    --    -4.38
   501 A Farmington             11-14      -3     0    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Joel Barlow            14-10       4     1    +      3.14
   425 A Daniel Hand            11-10       1    -2    +      2.99
   428 H Southington            10- 6       4     0    +      3.57

Conard PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Conard Conard   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Avon HS Conard Conard  
Bacon Academy Conard Conard   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Berlin Conard Conard   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Bethel Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Branford Conard   Conard
Brien McMahon Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Bristol Co-Op Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brookfield Conard tied -  1- 0 Conard
Bunnell-Stratford Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Capital-Classical Pr Conard   Conard
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Cromwell Conard   Conard
Danbury Conard   Conard
Daniel Hand Conard Conard  
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic Conard Conard  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enfield Conard Conard   4- 0 vs 3- 1
EO Smith Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied -  2- 1 Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Conard   Conard
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton Conard tied -  1- 1 Conard
Foran Conard   Conard
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greenwich HS Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Guilford Guilford Guilford   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Haddam-Killingworth Conard Conard   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Hall Conard Conard  
Hamden Conard tied -  1- 0 Conard
Holy Cross Conard   Conard
Immaculate Danbury Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Joel Barlow Conard Conard  
Jonathan Law Conard   Conard
Lakeview United Conard   Conard
Ledyard-Griswold Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Lewis Mills Conard tied -  4- 1 Conard
Lyman Hall Conard   Conard
Maloney-Platt Conard   Conard
Masuk Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Middletown Conard   Conard
Montville Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Morgan School Conard   Conard
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  4- 1 New Fairfield
New Milford Conard Conard  
Newington Conard Conard  
Newtown Newtown tied -  4- 1 Newtown
North Branford Conard   Conard
North Haven Conard Conard   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Northwest Catholic Conard Conard  
Norwalk Conard   Conard
Norwich Free Academy Conard   Conard
Norwich Tech Conard   Conard
Notre Dame-Fairfield Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Old Lyme Conard   Conard
Old Saybrook Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Pomperaug Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Prince-Cheney Tech Conard   Conard
RHAM Conard Conard   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rocky Hill Conard tied -  1- 0 Conard
Sheehan Conard   Conard
Shelton Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Conard Conard  
South Windsor Conard Conard  
Southington Conard Conard  
St Bernard-Wheeler Conard Conard   1- 1 vs 0- 2
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Conard Conard   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Stamford Conard   Conard
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Suffield Suffield tied -  3- 1 Suffield
Tolland Conard Conard   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Trumbull Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Valley Regional Conard   Conard
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Conard   Conard
Waterford Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Watertown Conard   Conard
West Haven Conard   Conard
Westhill Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Weston Weston tied -  3- 0 Weston
Wethersfield Conard Conard   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Wilbur Cross Conard   Conard
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Windsor Conard Conard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wolcott Conard   Conard
Woodstock Academy Conard tied -  1- 1 Conard
Xavier Conard Conard   5- 2 vs 3- 4

PairWisePlus = 79


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A East Lyme       (13- 2, 89.8)    11-12      -10.08      27.65       0.33         0.97            -9.46
   0 H Somers          (14- 2, 89.0)    10- 9      -10.93      26.80      -0.33         0.97            25.70
   0 A Newington       ( 0-15, 73.9)    20- 2      -25.99      11.74       0.33         0.97            11.73
   0 H Joel Barlow     ( 8- 6, 87.7)    14-10      -12.16      25.57      -0.33         0.97            24.50
   0 H New Milford     ( 5- 9, 82.4)    10- 9      -17.50      20.23      -0.33         0.97            19.32
   0 A Avon HS         ( 5-11, 83.6)    16- 4      -16.32      21.41       0.33         0.97            21.11
   0 H Northwest Cath  ( 2-13, 79.2)    13- 2      -20.65      17.08      -0.33         0.97            16.26
   0 A Daniel Hand     ( 9- 7, 89.9)    11-10       -9.99      27.74       0.33         0.97            27.27
   0 H Southington     ( 9- 8, 88.2)    10- 6      -11.74      25.99      -0.33         0.97            24.91
   0 A Farmington      (13- 3, 88.0)    11-14      -11.88      25.85       0.33         0.97           -11.21
   0 H South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)    15- 7      -17.71      20.02      -0.33         0.97            19.11
   0 H Simsbury        ( 9- 7, 87.2)     8-11      -12.69      25.04      -0.33         0.97           -12.65
   0 A East Catholic   ( 6-10, 83.1)    17-10      -16.79      20.94       0.33         0.97            20.66
   0 H Glastonbury     (12- 2, 94.3)     8-19       -5.56      32.17      -0.33         0.97            -5.73
   0 A Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)    11- 8      -15.30      22.43       0.33         0.97            22.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       193.64

winning pts = 232.6829 losing points = -39.0432

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------