UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Colonial Forge 1
  
Colonial Forge        
W-L: (10- 5) PR = 79.6276

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Massaponax ( 3-11, 74.0) 7- 2 319 A Gainesville ( 8- 7, 81.9) 2- 9 324 H Riverbend (11- 5, 78.8) 8- 9 326 A Brooke Point ( 3-11, 74.1) 15- 3 327 A Mountain View (14- 1, 84.6) 4- 6 407 A Patriot ( 9- 7, 81.8) 7- 9 409 H Stafford ( 7- 6, 77.9) 8- 4 414 A North Stafford ( 1-14, 69.8) 17- 2 416 A Massaponax ( 3-11, 74.0) 5- 4 421 H Mountain View (14- 1, 84.6) 1-11 423 A Riverbend (11- 5, 78.8) 11- 5 427 A Brooke Point ( 3-11, 74.1) 4- 3 505 A Stafford ( 7- 6, 77.9) 8- 3 508 H North Stafford ( 1-14, 69.8) 16- 1 513 H North Stafford ( 1-14, 69.8) 16- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Massaponax              7- 2       5     6           0.00
   319 A Gainesville             2- 9      -7    -3    -     -2.30
   324 H Riverbend               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.29
   326 A Brooke Point           15- 3      12     5           0.00
   327 A Mountain View           4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.00
   407 A Patriot                 7- 9      -2    -3           0.66
   409 H Stafford                8- 4       4     2           1.83
   414 A North Stafford         17- 2      15     9           0.00
   416 A Massaponax              5- 4       1     5    --    -4.00
   421 H Mountain View           1-11     -10    -5          -0.44
   423 A Riverbend              11- 5       6     0    ++     4.62
   427 A Brooke Point            4- 3       1     5    --    -4.00
   505 A Stafford                8- 3       5     1    +      3.73
   508 H North Stafford         16- 1      15    10           0.00
   513 H North Stafford         16- 7       9    10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Massaponax              5- 4       1     5    --    -4.00
   427 A Brooke Point            4- 3       1     5    --    -4.00
   319 A Gainesville             2- 9      -7    -3    -     -2.30
   324 H Riverbend               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Riverbend              11- 5       6     0    ++     4.62
   327 A Mountain View           4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.00
   505 A Stafford                8- 3       5     1    +      3.73

Colonial Forge PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield Battlefield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bayside Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Colonial Forge Colonial Forge  
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Colgan Colonial Forge tied -  0- 2 Colonial Forge
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   2- 1 vs 0- 2
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Fauquier Fauquier   Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Forest Park Colonial Forge tied -  0- 1 Colonial Forge
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Fredericksburg Acade Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville Gainesville  
Gar-field Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Grassfield LC Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Green Run Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Highland School Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Colonial Forge tied -  0- 1 Colonial Forge
Independence Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe   2- 0 vs 2- 1
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Colonial Forge tied -  0- 1 Colonial Forge
Justice Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Kettle Run Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock tied -  0- 1 Lake Braddock
Landstown Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Liberty Bealeton Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Madison Madison Madison   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Manchester Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Marshall Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Massaponax Colonial Forge Colonial Forge  
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean tied -  0- 1 McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Monticello Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Mount Vernon Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View  
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Colonial Forge Colonial Forge  
Northern VA Home Sch Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Oakton Oakton Oakton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ocean Lakes Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Orange County Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   2- 1 vs 1- 1
Osbourn Colonial Forge tied -  0- 2 Colonial Forge
Osbourn Park Colonial Forge tied -  0- 2 Colonial Forge
Park View Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla tied -  1- 0 Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot Patriot  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Powhatan Powhatan   Powhatan
Princess Anne Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Riverbend Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Seton School Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
South County South County tied -  0- 1 South County
South Lakes Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Colonial Forge Colonial Forge  
Steward School Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Tandem Friends Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Thomas Dale Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Thomas Jefferson Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Wakefield School Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Colonial Forge tied -  0- 1 Colonial Forge
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson Woodson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 68


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Massaponax      ( 3-11, 74.0)     7- 2      -25.92      11.03      -0.45         0.77             8.09
   0 A Gainesville     ( 8- 7, 81.9)     2- 9      -18.02      18.92       0.45         0.77           -13.45
   0 H Riverbend       (11- 5, 78.8)     8- 9      -21.11      15.84      -0.45         0.77           -16.50
   0 A Brooke Point    ( 3-11, 74.1)    15- 3      -25.78      11.17       0.45         0.77             8.89
   0 A Mountain View   (14- 1, 84.6)     4- 6      -15.26      21.69       0.45         0.77           -11.33
   0 A Patriot         ( 9- 7, 81.8)     7- 9      -18.07      18.88       0.45         0.77           -13.48
   0 H Stafford        ( 7- 6, 77.9)     8- 4      -21.99      14.96      -0.45         0.77            11.10
   0 A North Stafford  ( 1-14, 69.8)    17- 2      -30.11       6.84       0.45         0.77             5.58
   0 A Massaponax      ( 3-11, 74.0)     5- 4      -25.92      11.03       0.45         0.77             8.79
   0 H Mountain View   (14- 1, 84.6)     1-11      -15.26      21.69      -0.45         0.77           -12.02
   0 A Riverbend       (11- 5, 78.8)    11- 5      -21.11      15.84       0.45         0.77            12.47
   0 A Brooke Point    ( 3-11, 74.1)     4- 3      -25.78      11.17       0.45         0.77             8.89
   0 A Stafford        ( 7- 6, 77.9)     8- 3      -21.99      14.96       0.45         0.77            11.79
   0 H North Stafford  ( 1-14, 69.8)    16- 1      -30.11       6.84      -0.45         0.77             4.89
   0 H North Stafford  ( 1-14, 69.8)    16- 7      -30.11       6.84      -0.45         0.77             4.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        18.60

winning pts = 85.3826 losing points = -66.7837

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------