UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Colgan 1
  
Colgan                
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 79.3440

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Potomac-Dumfries ( 1-13, 64.7) 20- 1 319 A Meridian (14- 0, 86.1) 8-12 323 A Hylton ( 7- 6, 75.7) 16-14 325 H Woodbridge ( 6- 7, 74.7) 16- 4 407 A Forest Park ( 8- 7, 77.1) 17- 9 409 A Gainesville ( 8- 7, 81.9) 3-10 413 H Gar-field ( 1-12, 65.2) 25- 0 415 A Patriot ( 9- 7, 81.8) 9-15 416 H Freedom South Ridin ( 9- 5, 86.0) 0- 1 420 A Potomac-Dumfries ( 1-13, 64.7) 23- 1 423 H Hylton ( 7- 6, 75.7) 17- 8 427 A Woodbridge ( 6- 7, 74.7) 18-10 505 A Forest Park ( 8- 7, 77.1) 9-10 506 A Battlefield (10- 3, 90.3) 5-20 507 A Gar-field ( 1-12, 65.2) 18- 0

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Potomac-Dumfries       20- 1      19    15           0.00
   319 A Meridian                8-12      -4    -7           1.00
   323 A Hylton                 16-14       2     3          -1.19
   325 H Woodbridge             16- 4      12     5           0.00
   407 A Forest Park            17- 9       8     2    +      3.16
   409 A Gainesville             3-10      -7    -3    -     -2.01
   413 H Gar-field              25- 0      25    15           0.00
   415 A Patriot                 9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.06
   420 A Potomac-Dumfries       23- 1      22    14           0.00
   423 H Hylton                 17- 8       9     4           0.90
   427 A Woodbridge             18-10       8     4           0.79
   505 A Forest Park             9-10      -1     2    -     -2.84
   506 A Battlefield             5-20     -15   -11           0.00
   507 A Gar-field              18- 0      18    14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Gainesville             3-10      -7    -3    -     -2.01
   415 A Patriot                 9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.06
   505 A Forest Park             9-10      -1     2    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Forest Park            17- 9       8     2    +      3.16

Colgan PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City tied -  0- 1 Alexandria City
Annandale Colgan   Colgan
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield Battlefield  
Bayside Colgan   Colgan
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville   4- 1 vs 3- 3
Briar Woods Briar Woods tied -  0- 1 Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run Broad Run   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Brooke Point Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville Centreville   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Colgan   Colgan
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge tied -  0- 2 Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby Cosby   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Colgan   Colgan
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Colgan tied -  0- 2 Colgan
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Colgan   Colgan
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Colgan tied -  1- 0 Colgan
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Falls Church Colgan   Colgan
Fauquier Fauquier tied -  0- 1 Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Colgan   Colgan
Forest Park Colgan tied -  4- 2 Colgan
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Colgan   Colgan
Fredericksburg Acade Colgan   Colgan
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin  
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville Gainesville  
Gar-field Colgan Colgan  
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Colgan   Colgan
Green Run Colgan   Colgan
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Colgan   Colgan
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Colgan   Colgan
Highland School Colgan   Colgan
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Colgan Colgan  
Independence Independence Independence   3- 0 vs 0- 3
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Colgan tied -  0- 2 Colgan
Justice Colgan   Colgan
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Colgan   Colgan
Kettle Run Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Colgan   Colgan
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Colgan   Colgan
Liberty Bealeton Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied -  0- 1 Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Madison Madison Madison   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Manchester Colgan   Colgan
Marshall Colgan   Colgan
Massaponax Colgan   Colgan
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean tied -  0- 2 McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Colgan   Colgan
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Colgan   Colgan
Monticello Colgan   Colgan
Mount Vernon Colgan tied -  1- 0 Colgan
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Colgan   Colgan
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Colgan   Colgan
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Colgan   Colgan
Northern VA Home Sch Colgan   Colgan
Oakton Oakton tied -  0- 1 Oakton
Ocean Lakes Colgan   Colgan
Orange County Colgan   Colgan
Osbourn Colgan Colgan   2- 3 vs 1- 4
Osbourn Park Colgan tied -  2- 3 Colgan
Park View Colgan   Colgan
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot Patriot  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Colgan Colgan  
Powhatan Powhatan   Powhatan
Princess Anne Colgan   Colgan
Riverbend Colgan   Colgan
Riverside Riverside Riverside   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Colgan   Colgan
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Colgan   Colgan
Seton School Colgan   Colgan
South County South County tied -  0- 1 South County
South Lakes South Lakes South Lakes   1- 0 vs 1- 1
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Colgan   Colgan
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Steward School Colgan   Colgan
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Colgan   Colgan
Tandem Friends Colgan   Colgan
Thomas Dale Colgan   Colgan
Thomas Jefferson Colgan   Colgan
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Colgan   Colgan
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Colgan   Colgan
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Colgan   Colgan
Wakefield School Colgan   Colgan
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle tied -  0- 1 Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield   1- 1 vs 0- 2
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Colgan Colgan  
Woodgrove Woodgrove tied -  0- 1 Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson Woodson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 65


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Potomac-Dumfri  ( 1-13, 64.7)    20- 1      -35.24       1.71      -0.45         0.77             0.96
   0 A Meridian        (14- 0, 86.1)     8-12      -13.80      23.15       0.45         0.77           -10.21
   0 A Hylton          ( 7- 6, 75.7)    16-14      -24.20      12.75       0.45         0.77            10.10
   0 H Woodbridge      ( 6- 7, 74.7)    16- 4      -25.21      11.73      -0.45         0.77             8.63
   0 A Forest Park     ( 8- 7, 77.1)    17- 9      -22.85      14.10       0.45         0.77            11.14
   0 A Gainesville     ( 8- 7, 81.9)     3-10      -18.02      18.92       0.45         0.77           -13.45
   0 H Gar-field       ( 1-12, 65.2)    25- 0      -34.73       2.22      -0.45         0.77             1.35
   0 A Patriot         ( 9- 7, 81.8)     9-15      -18.07      18.88       0.45         0.77           -13.48
   0 H Freedom  South  ( 9- 5, 86.0)     0- 1      -13.91      23.03      -0.45         0.77           -11.00
   0 A Potomac-Dumfri  ( 1-13, 64.7)    23- 1      -35.24       1.71       0.45         0.77             1.66
   0 H Hylton          ( 7- 6, 75.7)    17- 8      -24.20      12.75      -0.45         0.77             9.41
   0 A Woodbridge      ( 6- 7, 74.7)    18-10      -25.21      11.73       0.45         0.77             9.33
   0 A Forest Park     ( 8- 7, 77.1)     9-10      -22.85      14.10       0.45         0.77           -17.14
   0 A Battlefield     (10- 3, 90.3)     5-20       -9.61      27.33       0.45         0.77            -7.01
   0 A Gar-field       ( 1-12, 65.2)    18- 0      -34.73       2.22       0.45         0.77             2.04
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -17.67

winning pts = 54.6138 losing points = -72.2861

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------