UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys Colgan 1
  
Colgan                
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 85.6371

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Potomac-Dumfries ( 1- 2, 78.9) 20- 1 319 A Meridian ( 4- 0, 91.3) 8-12 323 A Hylton ( 2- 2, 81.6) 16-14 325 H Woodbridge ( 0- 4, 80.7) 16- 4 407 A Forest Park ( 3- 3, 83.6) 409 A Gainesville ( 2- 1, 89.1) 413 H Gar-field ( 0- 4, 75.2) 415 A Patriot ( 3- 1, 85.3) 416 H Freedom South Ridin ( 3- 1, 91.8) 420 A Potomac-Dumfries ( 1- 2, 78.9) 423 H Hylton ( 2- 2, 81.6) 427 A Woodbridge ( 0- 4, 80.7) 429 A Forest Park ( 3- 3, 83.6) 506 A Battlefield ( 0- 1, 87.9) 507 A Gar-field ( 0- 4, 75.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Potomac-Dumfries       20- 1      19     7           0.00
   319 A Meridian                8-12      -4    -6           1.00
   323 A Hylton                 16-14       2     4          -1.91
   325 H Woodbridge             16- 4      12     5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Colgan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alexandria City
Annandale Colgan   Colgan
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Colgan   Colgan
Benedictine Colgan   Colgan
Bishop Ireton Colgan   Colgan
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Colgan   Colgan
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Colgan   Colgan
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Colgan   Colgan
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Colgan   Colgan
Clover Hill Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colgan   Colgan
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Colgan   Colgan
Culpeper County Colgan   Colgan
Deep Run Colgan   Colgan
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Colgan   Colgan
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Colgan   Colgan
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Colgan   Colgan
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Colgan   Colgan
Fauquier Colgan   Colgan
First Colonial Colgan   Colgan
Fishburne Military A Colgan   Colgan
Flint Hill Colgan   Colgan
Fluvanna County Colgan   Colgan
Forest Park Colgan tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Colgan
Fork Union Military Colgan   Colgan
Franklin County Colgan   Colgan
Fredericksburg Acade Colgan   Colgan
Fredericksburg Chris Colgan   Colgan
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Colgan   Colgan
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Colgan Colgan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Colgan   Colgan
Grassfield LC Colgan   Colgan
Green Run Colgan   Colgan
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Colgan   Colgan
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Colgan   Colgan
Highland School Colgan   Colgan
Highland Springs Colgan   Colgan
Hylton Colgan Colgan  
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Colgan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgan
Justice Colgan   Colgan
Kellam Colgan   Colgan
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Colgan   Colgan
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Colgan   Colgan
Langley Colgan   Colgan
Lewis Colgan   Colgan
Liberty Bealeton Colgan   Colgan
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Colgan   Colgan
Lord Botetourt Colgan   Colgan
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Colgan   Colgan
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Colgan   Colgan
Marshall Colgan   Colgan
Massaponax Colgan   Colgan
Matoaca Colgan   Colgan
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Colgan   Colgan
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Colgan   Colgan
Monacan Colgan   Colgan
Monticello Colgan   Colgan
Mount Vernon Colgan   Colgan
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Colgan   Colgan
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Colgan   Colgan
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Colgan   Colgan
Northern VA Home Sch Colgan   Colgan
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Colgan   Colgan
Orange County Colgan   Colgan
Osbourn Colgan   Colgan
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Colgan   Colgan
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Colgan   Colgan
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Colgan   Colgan
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Colgan Colgan  
Powhatan Colgan   Colgan
Princess Anne Colgan   Colgan
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Colgan   Colgan
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Colgan   Colgan
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Colgan   Colgan
Seton School Colgan   Colgan
South County Colgan   Colgan
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Colgan   Colgan
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Colgan   Colgan
Steward School Colgan   Colgan
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Colgan   Colgan
Tandem Friends Colgan   Colgan
Thomas Dale Colgan   Colgan
Thomas Jefferson Colgan   Colgan
Trinity Christian Colgan   Colgan
Trinity Episcopal Colgan   Colgan
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Colgan   Colgan
Unity Reed Colgan   Colgan
Veritas School Colgan   Colgan
Virginia Academy Colgan   Colgan
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Colgan   Colgan
Wakefield School Colgan   Colgan
Washington-Liberty Colgan   Colgan
West Potomac Colgan   Colgan
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Colgan   Colgan
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming Colgan   Colgan
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Colgan Colgan  
Woodgrove Colgan   Colgan
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Colgan   Colgan
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 97


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Potomac-Dumfri  ( 1- 2, 78.9)    20- 1      -20.99       6.77      -0.08         0.82             5.46
   0 A Meridian        ( 4- 0, 91.3)     8-12       -8.56      19.20       0.08         0.82            -6.93
   0 A Hylton          ( 2- 2, 81.6)    16-14      -18.26       9.50       0.08         0.82             7.83
   0 H Woodbridge      ( 0- 4, 80.7)    16- 4      -19.23       8.53      -0.08         0.82             6.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        13.26

winning pts = 20.1874 losing points = -6.9256

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------