UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:02 PDT

boys Colchester 1
  
Colchester            
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 87.2824

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 427 A Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4) 1-15 429 H Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 2- 8 501 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 7- 5 504 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 8- 3 506 H Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 6-14 509 A Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 0-14 511 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 5-13 512 H Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 3- 4 514 H Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 2- 7 518 H Bellows Free Academy ( 7- 5, 89.2) 11-14 519 H St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3) 7- 6 521 A Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 3-16 527 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 530 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Hartford Union          1-15     -14   -10           0.00
   429 H Burlington              2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.19
   501 A Lyndon Institute        7- 5       2     3          -0.86
   504 A Spaulding               8- 3       5     3           1.83
   506 H Stowe                   6-14      -8    -4          -0.63
   509 A Harwood Union           0-14     -14   -10           0.00
   511 A Milton                  5-13      -8    -6           0.00
   512 H Bellows Free Academy    3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.21
   514 H Mount Abraham           2- 7      -5    -5          -0.25
   518 H Bellows Free Academy   11-14      -3    -2          -1.09
   519 H St Johnsbury Academy    7- 6       1    -2    +      2.98
   521 A Montpelier              3-16     -13    -5          -0.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Burlington              2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Bellows Free Academy    3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.21
   519 H St Johnsbury Academy    7- 6       1    -2    +      2.98

Colchester PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union   Brattleboro Union
Burlington Burlington Burlington  
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Essex Junction Essex Junction Essex Junction   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Green Mountain Valle Colchester tied -  1- 4 Colchester
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union  
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Colchester Colchester  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Milton Milton Milton  
Montpelier Montpelier Montpelier  
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Mt Anthony Union Colchester Colchester   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Otter Valley Union Otter Valley Union tied -  0- 2 Otter Valley Union
Randolph Union Colchester Colchester   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rutland Colchester tied -  1- 0 Colchester
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Spaulding Colchester Colchester  
St Johnsbury Academy Colchester Colchester  
Stowe Stowe Stowe  
Stratton Mountain Sc Colchester   Colchester
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hartford Union  (12- 1, 97.4)     1-15       -2.50      13.30       0.01         0.91            -2.26
   0 H Burlington      ( 2- 9, 88.1)     2- 8      -11.80       4.00      -0.01         0.91           -10.72
   0 A Lyndon Institu  ( 0-11, 84.4)     7- 5      -15.49       1.00       0.01         0.91             0.92
   0 A Spaulding       ( 2-10, 84.1)     8- 3      -15.80       1.00       0.01         0.91             0.92
   0 H Stowe           ( 7- 6, 91.7)     6-14       -8.24       7.56      -0.01         0.91            -7.49
   0 A Harwood Union   (11- 1, 97.6)     0-14       -2.35      13.45       0.01         0.91            -2.12
   0 A Milton          (10- 3, 93.1)     5-13       -6.82       8.98       0.01         0.91            -6.18
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 3- 9, 90.5)     3- 4       -9.40       6.39      -0.01         0.91            -8.55
   0 H Mount Abraham   ( 8- 4, 92.0)     2- 7       -7.85       7.94      -0.01         0.91            -7.14
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 7- 5, 89.2)    11-14      -10.70       5.10      -0.01         0.91            -9.72
   0 H St Johnsbury A  ( 5- 8, 89.3)     7- 6      -10.62       5.17      -0.01         0.91             4.69
   0 A Montpelier      ( 8- 3, 92.2)     3-16       -7.66       8.14       0.01         0.91            -6.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -54.61

winning pts = 6.5214 losing points = -61.1294

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------