Winston Churchill
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 80.6165
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
324 H Sherwood (16- 2, 90.9) 2-14
326 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase (11- 6, 87.8) 2-17
407 H Walt Whitman (10- 4, 88.0) 2-13
409 A Quince Orchard ( 9- 4, 88.5) 5-20
414 A Clarksburg (13- 3, 86.4) 4-15
415 H Walter Johnson (11- 4, 87.5) 1- 9
417 A Wootton (10- 7, 83.5) 3-14
420 H Blair (12- 5, 82.3) 4- 5
422 A Seneca Valley ( 8- 5, 80.6) 10- 8
424 H Damascus ( 7- 6, 84.4) 8-18
430 H Gaithersburg ( 8- 6, 79.5) 5- 6
501 A Blake ( 7- 9, 78.2) 10- 5
506 A Walter Johnson (11- 4, 87.5) 2-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
324 H Sherwood 2-14 -12 -10 0.00
326 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 2-17 -15 -8 0.00
407 H Walt Whitman 2-13 -11 -7 0.00
409 A Quince Orchard 5-20 -15 -8 0.00
414 A Clarksburg 4-15 -11 -6 0.00
415 H Walter Johnson 1- 9 -8 -6 0.00
417 A Wootton 3-14 -11 -3 -1.68
420 H Blair 4- 5 -1 -1 0.27
422 A Seneca Valley 10- 8 2 0 + 2.43
424 H Damascus 8-18 -10 -3 -1.59
430 H Gaithersburg 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.57
501 A Blake 10- 5 5 2 + 2.98
506 A Walter Johnson 2-13 -11 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
430 H Gaithersburg 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.57
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 A Seneca Valley 10- 8 2 0 + 2.43
501 A Blake 10- 5 5 2 + 2.98
|
Winston Churchill PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Georgetown Day |
|
 
| Georgetown Day |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Glenelg Country |
|
 
| Glenelg Country |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Mount Carmel |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
St Andrews Episcopal |
|
 
| St Andrews Episcopal |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
St Vincent Pallotti |
|
 
| St Vincent Pallotti |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Arundel |
|
 
| Arundel |
| Atholton |
Atholton |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Atholton |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
 
| |
| Bladensburg |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Blair |
Blair |
Blair |
 
| |
| Blake |
Winston Churchill |
Winston Churchill |
 
| |
| Bohemia Manor |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Boonsboro |
Boonsboro |
|
 
| Boonsboro |
| Bowie |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
Broadneck   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Brunswick |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Carver A&T |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
Century   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| CH Flowers |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
 
| Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
 
| |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
Crofton   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Damascus |
Damascus |
Damascus |
 
| |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Dundalk |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| DuVal |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Easton |
|
 
| Easton |
| Edgewood |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Winston Churchill |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Winston Churchill |
| Elkton |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Fairmont Heights |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Francis Scott Key |
Francis Scott Key |
|
 
| Francis Scott Key |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
 
|
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
 
| Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Great Mills |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Hammond |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
|
 
| Harford Tech |
| Havre De Grace |
Havre De Grace |
|
 
| Havre De Grace |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Howard |
|
 
| Howard |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
Huntingtown   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Kennedy |
Winston Churchill |
|
tied -  0- 3 |
Winston Churchill |
| Kent County |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Lake Clifton |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Lansdowne |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Laurel |
Winston Churchill |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Winston Churchill |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Long Reach |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
Magruder   2- 4 vs 1- 5 |
|
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Mergenthaler |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| MJ McDonough |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
 
| Mount Hebron |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| North Caroline |
North Caroline |
|
 
| North Caroline |
| North County |
North County |
|
 
| North County |
| North Dorchester |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| North East Cecil |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| North Hagerstown |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
 
| Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwest |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 8 vs 0- 9 |
|
| Northwestern PG |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Northwood |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Oakdale |
Oakdale |
|
 
| Oakdale |
| Oakland Mills |
Oakland Mills |
|
 
| Oakland Mills |
| Old Mill |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Overlea |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Owings Mills |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Oxon Hill |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Paint Branch |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Parkdale |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Patterson HS |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Patterson Mill |
Patterson Mill |
|
 
| Patterson Mill |
| Patuxent |
Patuxent |
|
 
| Patuxent |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Poolesville |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 6 vs 0- 7 |
|
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
 
| |
| Randallstown |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Reservoir |
Reservoir |
|
 
| Reservoir |
| Richard Montgomery |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 5 vs 0- 6 |
|
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
tied -  1- 3 |
Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Winston Churchill |
Winston Churchill |
 
|
| Severn Run |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
Severna Park   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
Sherwood |
 
| |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
 
| Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| St Charles |
St Charles |
|
 
| St Charles |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Thomas Stone |
|
 
| Thomas Stone |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
Walkersville   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
 
| |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
 
| |
| Watkins Mill |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Western STES |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Westlake |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Winston Churchill |
|
Winston Churchill   1- 4 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Wicomico |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodlawn |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
Wootton |
 
| |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| DC International PCS |
Winston Churchill |
|
 
| Winston Churchill |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PairWisePlus = 85

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sherwood (16- 2, 90.9) 2-14 -9.00 25.03 -0.42 0.93 -8.74
0 A Bethesda-Chevy (11- 6, 87.8) 2-17 -12.13 21.90 0.42 0.93 -10.87
0 H Walt Whitman (10- 4, 88.0) 2-13 -11.94 22.08 -0.42 0.93 -11.47
0 A Quince Orchard ( 9- 4, 88.5) 5-20 -11.40 22.63 0.42 0.93 -10.19
0 A Clarksburg (13- 3, 86.4) 4-15 -13.53 20.49 0.42 0.93 -12.17
0 H Walter Johnson (11- 4, 87.5) 1- 9 -12.39 21.64 -0.42 0.93 -11.88
0 A Wootton (10- 7, 83.5) 3-14 -16.38 17.65 0.42 0.93 -14.81
0 H Blair (12- 5, 82.3) 4- 5 -17.60 16.43 -0.42 0.93 -16.71
0 A Seneca Valley ( 8- 5, 80.6) 10- 8 -19.27 14.76 0.42 0.93 14.08
0 H Damascus ( 7- 6, 84.4) 8-18 -15.46 18.57 -0.42 0.93 -14.73
0 H Gaithersburg ( 8- 6, 79.5) 5- 6 -20.44 13.59 -0.42 0.93 -19.35
0 A Blake ( 7- 9, 78.2) 10- 5 -21.72 12.31 0.42 0.93 11.81
0 A Walter Johnson (11- 4, 87.5) 2-13 -12.39 21.64 0.42 0.93 -11.11
------
-116.15
|
winning pts = 25.8869 losing points = -142.0361
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------