Chagrin Falls
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 87.2489
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
319 H Riverside Painesvill ( 4-11, 84.9) 20- 5
401 A Mentor ( 8- 7, 84.7) 11-10
402 A Wadsworth ( 9- 8, 87.4) 17- 9
404 H Hawken School ( 5- 8, 82.1) 14- 6
410 H Kenston (15- 2, 90.0) 4- 5
413 A Shaker Heights (11- 6, 89.7) 6-14
417 H Walsh Jesuit (12- 4, 89.1) 5-12
424 H Wooster (11- 4, 89.5) 9-17
428 A University School Cl ( 6- 9, 86.6) 9-10
501 H Archbishop Hoban ( 5-11, 85.6) 17- 9
504 A Rocky River (13- 0, 92.6) 6-16
506 A Gilmour Academy (11- 1, 91.0) 9-14
515 H Willoughby South ( 4-11, 73.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 H Riverside Painesvill 20- 5 15 3 + 2.26
401 A Mentor 11-10 1 2 -1.17
402 A Wadsworth 17- 9 8 -1 ++ 5.58
404 H Hawken School 14- 6 8 6 0.00
410 H Kenston 4- 5 -1 -2 1.32
413 A Shaker Heights 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.08
417 H Walsh Jesuit 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.59
424 H Wooster 9-17 -8 -2 - -3.21
428 A University School Cl 9-10 -1 0 -1.22
501 H Archbishop Hoban 17- 9 8 2 + 2.93
504 A Rocky River 6-16 -10 -6 0.00
506 A Gilmour Academy 9-14 -5 -4 -0.85
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
413 A Shaker Heights 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.08
417 H Walsh Jesuit 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.59
424 H Wooster 9-17 -8 -2 - -3.21
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
402 A Wadsworth 17- 9 8 -1 ++ 5.58
319 H Riverside Painesvill 20- 5 15 3 + 2.26
501 H Archbishop Hoban 17- 9 8 2 + 2.93
|
Chagrin Falls PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Anthony Wayne |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Archbishop Alter |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Archbishop Hoban |
Chagrin Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
 
| |
| Archbishop McNichola |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Archbishop Moeller |
Archbishop Moeller |
|
 
| Archbishop Moeller |
| Aurora |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Avon |
Avon |
|
Avon   3- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Avon Lake |
Avon Lake |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Avon Lake |
| Bay |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Beavercreek |
Beavercreek |
|
 
| Beavercreek |
| Bellbrook |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Benedictine Clevela |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Bexley |
Bexley |
|
 
| Bexley |
| Big Walnut |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Bishop Fenwick |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Bishop Watterson |
Bishop Watterson |
|
 
| Bishop Watterson |
| Boardman |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Bowling Green |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Brecksville-Broadvie |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Brunswick |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  2- 4 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Buckeye Valley |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Canal Winchester |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Canfield |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Canton Central Catho |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Cardinal Mooney |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Carroll |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Centerville |
Centerville |
|
 
| Centerville |
| Chaminade Julienne |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Chardon |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Cincinnati Hills Chr |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Clay |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Cleveland Heights |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Clinton-Massie |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Columbus Academy |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Copley |
Copley |
|
Copley   4- 3 vs 2- 5 |
|
| Cuyahoga Valley Chri |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Delaware Hayes |
Delaware Hayes |
|
 
| Delaware Hayes |
| Dublin Coffman |
Dublin Coffman |
|
 
| Dublin Coffman |
| Dublin Jerome |
Dublin Jerome |
|
 
| Dublin Jerome |
| Dublin Scioto |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Edgewood |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Elder Cincinnati |
Elder Cincinnati |
|
 
| Elder Cincinnati |
| Elyria Catholic |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Fairfield |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Fairmont Kettering |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Findlay |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Franklin |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Gilmour Academy |
Gilmour Academy |
Gilmour Academy |
 
| |
| GlenOak-Canton |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Granville |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Green |
Green |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Green |
| Grove City |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Hawken School |
Chagrin Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
 
| |
| Highland |
Highland |
|
Highland   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Hilliard Bradley |
Hilliard Bradley |
|
 
| Hilliard Bradley |
| Hilliard Darby |
Hilliard Darby |
|
 
| Hilliard Darby |
| Hilliard Davidson |
Hilliard Davidson |
|
 
| Hilliard Davidson |
| Holy Name |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Hoover North Canton |
Hoover North Canton |
|
Hoover North Canton   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Hudson |
Hudson |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Hudson |
| Hudson Blue |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Indian Hill |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Jackson Massillon |
Jackson Massillon |
|
tied -  3- 2 |
Jackson Massillon |
| John Glenn |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Johnstown |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Jonathan Alder |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Kenston |
Kenston |
Kenston |
 
| |
| Kent Roosevelt |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Keystone |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Kings |
Kings |
|
 
| Kings |
| Kirtland |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| La Salle |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Lake Uniontown |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Lakewood |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lakota East |
Lakota East |
|
 
| Lakota East |
| Lakota West |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Lebanon |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Licking Valley |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Lima |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Lincoln Gahanna |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Little Miami |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Louisville |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Loveland |
Loveland |
|
 
| Loveland |
| Madeira |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Mariemont |
Mariemont |
|
 
| Mariemont |
| Marysville |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Mason |
Mason |
|
 
| Mason |
| Medina |
Medina |
|
tied -  3- 2 |
Medina |
| Mentor |
Chagrin Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
 
| |
| Miamisburg |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Milford |
Milford |
|
 
| Milford |
| Monroe |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| New Albany |
New Albany |
|
 
| New Albany |
| Newark |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| North Ridgeville |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Northmont |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Notre Dame-Cathedral |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Oak Hills |
Oak Hills |
|
 
| Oak Hills |
| Oakwood |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Olentangy Berlin |
Olentangy Berlin |
|
 
| Olentangy Berlin |
| Olentangy HS |
Olentangy HS |
|
 
| Olentangy HS |
| Olentangy Liberty |
Olentangy Liberty |
|
 
| Olentangy Liberty |
| Olentangy Orange |
Olentangy Orange |
|
 
| Olentangy Orange |
| Olmsted Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Orange |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Ottawa Hills |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Padua Franciscan |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Perrysburg |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Pickerington Central |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Pickerington North |
Pickerington North |
|
 
| Pickerington North |
| Poland Seminary |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Revere |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Riverside Painesvill |
Chagrin Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
 
| |
| Rocky River |
Rocky River |
Rocky River |
 
| |
| Seven Hills |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Shaker Heights |
Shaker Heights |
Shaker Heights |
 
| |
| Solon |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Southeast Ravenna |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Springboro |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| St Charles Prep |
St Charles Prep |
|
 
| St Charles Prep |
| St Edward |
St Edward |
|
St Edward   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St Francis De Sales |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| St Francis DeSales - |
St Francis DeSales - |
|
 
| St Francis DeSales - |
| St Ignatius Cle Blu |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| St Ignatius Clevelan |
St Ignatius Clevelan |
|
St Ignatius Clevelan   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| St Johns Jesuit |
St Johns Jesuit |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
St Johns Jesuit |
| St Vincent-St Mary |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| St Xavier Cincinnat |
St Xavier Cincinnat |
|
 
| St Xavier Cincinnat |
| Stow-Munroe Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Strongsville |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Summit CDS |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Sycamore |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Sylvania Northview |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Sylvania Southview |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Thomas Worthington |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Tipp City |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Toledo United |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Turpin |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| University School Cl |
University School Cl |
University School Cl |
 
| |
| Upper Arlington |
Upper Arlington |
|
 
| Upper Arlington |
| Wadsworth |
Chagrin Falls |
Chagrin Falls |
 
|
| Walnut Hills |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Walsh Jesuit |
Walsh Jesuit |
Walsh Jesuit |
 
| |
| Waynesville |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| West Geauga |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Western Reserve B |
Western Reserve B |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Western Reserve B |
| Westerville Central |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Westerville North |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Westerville South |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Westlake |
Chagrin Falls |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Chagrin Falls |
| Willoughby South |
Chagrin Falls |
|
Chagrin Falls   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Wilmington |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Winton Woods |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Wooster |
Wooster |
Wooster |
 
| |
| Worthington Kilbourn |
Worthington Kilbourn |
|
 
| Worthington Kilbourn |
| Wyoming |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
| Xenia |
Chagrin Falls |
|
 
| Chagrin Falls |
PairWisePlus = 108

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Riverside Pain ( 4-11, 84.9) 20- 5 -14.96 20.21 -0.42 1.18 23.42
0 A Mentor ( 8- 7, 84.7) 11-10 -15.25 19.93 0.42 1.18 24.08
0 A Wadsworth ( 9- 8, 87.4) 17- 9 -12.50 22.68 0.42 1.18 27.34
0 H Hawken School ( 5- 8, 82.1) 14- 6 -17.78 17.39 -0.42 1.18 20.08
0 H Kenston (15- 2, 90.0) 4- 5 -9.90 25.27 -0.42 1.18 -12.22
0 A Shaker Heights (11- 6, 89.7) 6-14 -10.16 25.01 0.42 1.18 -11.52
0 H Walsh Jesuit (12- 4, 89.1) 5-12 -10.82 24.36 -0.42 1.18 -13.30
0 H Wooster (11- 4, 89.5) 9-17 -10.43 24.74 -0.42 1.18 -12.85
0 A University Sch ( 6- 9, 86.6) 9-10 -13.29 21.88 0.42 1.18 -15.23
0 H Archbishop Hob ( 5-11, 85.6) 17- 9 -14.29 20.88 -0.42 1.18 24.21
0 A Rocky River (13- 0, 92.6) 6-16 -7.25 27.92 0.42 1.18 -8.08
0 A Gilmour Academ (11- 1, 91.0) 9-14 -8.92 26.25 0.42 1.18 -10.06
------
35.86
|
winning pts = 119.1228 losing points = -83.2581
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------