Central Hardin
W-L: ( 2- 5) PR = 81.9083
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
302 A Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 1-16
312 H Tates Creek ( 3- 5, 84.3) 3-10
317 H Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 4- 7
321 A Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 6- 7
324 H South Warren ( 6- 1, 91.1) 1-15
327 H North Hardin ( 1- 8, 73.9) 14- 2
403 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0- 5, 76.6) 20-11
414 A Collins ( 5- 2, 87.4)
416 H Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2)
420 A DeSales ( 1- 2, 78.9)
421 H DeSales ( 1- 2, 78.9)
423 H DuPont Manual ( 1- 4, 83.1)
427 A Male ( 2- 3, 78.7)
430 A North Hardin ( 1- 8, 73.9)
504 A Shelby County ( 6- 4, 83.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
302 A Bowling Green 1-16 -15 -6 0.00
312 H Tates Creek 3-10 -7 -2 - -2.83
317 H Bowling Green 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.00
321 A Great Crossing 6- 7 -1 -1 0.30
324 H South Warren 1-15 -14 -9 0.00
327 H North Hardin 14- 2 12 8 0.00
403 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 20-11 9 5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 H Tates Creek 3-10 -7 -2 - -2.83
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Bowling Green 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.00
|
Central Hardin Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson County |
Anderson County |
|
 
| Anderson County |
| Atherton |
Atherton |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Atherton |
| Ballard Louisville |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Central Hardin |
| Bluegrass |
Bluegrass |
|
 
| Bluegrass |
| Bowling Green |
Bowling Green |
Bowling Green |
 
| |
| Bryan Station |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Central Hardin |
| Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Christian Academy-Lo |
| Collins |
Collins |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Collins |
| Cooper |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Central Hardin |
| Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
|
 
| Covington Catholic |
| DeSales |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Central Hardin |
| Dixie Heights |
Dixie Heights |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Dixie Heights |
| DuPont Manual |
DuPont Manual |
|
 
| DuPont Manual |
| Eastern |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
| Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Great Crossing |
Great Crossing |
Great Crossing |
 
| |
| Greenwood |
Greenwood |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Greenwood |
| Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Henry Clay |
| Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
|
 
| Kentucky Country Day |
| Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Lafayette |
| Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lexington Christian |
| Louisville Collegiat |
Louisville Collegiat |
|
 
| Louisville Collegiat |
| Male |
Central Hardin |
|
 
| Central Hardin |
| North Hardin |
Central Hardin |
Central Hardin |
 
| |
| North Oldham |
North Oldham |
|
 
| North Oldham |
| Oldham County |
Central Hardin |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Central Hardin |
| Owensboro |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Central Hardin |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Central Hardin |
Central Hardin |
 
| |
| Ryle |
Ryle |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ryle |
| Sayre |
Sayre |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Sayre |
| Scott County |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Central Hardin |
| Shelby County |
Shelby County |
|
 
| Shelby County |
| South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
 
| South Oldham |
| South Warren |
South Warren |
South Warren |
 
| |
| St Henry |
Central Hardin |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Central Hardin |
| St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
 
| St Xavier Louisville |
| Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
|
 
| Trinity Louisville |
| Walton-Verona |
Walton-Verona |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Walton-Verona |
| Woodford County |
Woodford County |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Woodford County |
PowerWise = 11

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 1-16 -12.26 18.00 0.24 0.93 -11.20
0 H Tates Creek ( 3- 5, 84.3) 3-10 -15.58 14.68 -0.24 0.93 -14.75
0 H Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 4- 7 -12.26 18.00 -0.24 0.93 -11.65
0 A Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 6- 7 -16.93 13.33 0.24 0.93 -15.56
0 H South Warren ( 6- 1, 91.1) 1-15 -8.84 21.42 -0.24 0.93 -8.47
0 H North Hardin ( 1- 8, 73.9) 14- 2 -25.96 4.30 -0.24 0.93 3.79
0 A Paul Laurence ( 0- 5, 76.6) 20-11 -23.28 6.98 0.24 0.93 6.73
------
-51.11
|
winning pts = 10.5128 losing points = -61.6235
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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