UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Central Hardin 1
  
Central Hardin        
W-L: ( 2- 5) PR = 81.9083

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 1-16 312 H Tates Creek ( 3- 5, 84.3) 3-10 317 H Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 4- 7 321 A Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 6- 7 324 H South Warren ( 6- 1, 91.1) 1-15 327 H North Hardin ( 1- 8, 73.9) 14- 2 403 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0- 5, 76.6) 20-11 414 A Collins ( 5- 2, 87.4) 416 H Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 420 A DeSales ( 1- 2, 78.9) 421 H DeSales ( 1- 2, 78.9) 423 H DuPont Manual ( 1- 4, 83.1) 427 A Male ( 2- 3, 78.7) 430 A North Hardin ( 1- 8, 73.9) 504 A Shelby County ( 6- 4, 83.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Bowling Green           1-16     -15    -6           0.00
   312 H Tates Creek             3-10      -7    -2    -     -2.83
   317 H Bowling Green           4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.00
   321 A Great Crossing          6- 7      -1    -1           0.30
   324 H South Warren            1-15     -14    -9           0.00
   327 H North Hardin           14- 2      12     8           0.00
   403 A Paul Laurence Dunbar   20-11       9     5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Tates Creek             3-10      -7    -2    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Bowling Green           4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.00

Central Hardin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Atherton Atherton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Atherton
Ballard Louisville Central Hardin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Central Hardin
Bluegrass Bluegrass   Bluegrass
Bowling Green Bowling Green Bowling Green  
Bryan Station Central Hardin tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Central Hardin
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christian Academy-Lo
Collins Collins tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Collins
Cooper Central Hardin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Hardin
Covington Catholic Covington Catholic   Covington Catholic
DeSales Central Hardin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Hardin
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dixie Heights
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual   DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern   Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Great Crossing Great Crossing  
Greenwood Greenwood tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Greenwood
Henry Clay Henry Clay insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Lafayette Lafayette insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lafayette
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lexington Christian
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   Louisville Collegiat
Male Central Hardin   Central Hardin
North Hardin Central Hardin Central Hardin  
North Oldham North Oldham   North Oldham
Oldham County Central Hardin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Central Hardin
Owensboro Central Hardin tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Central Hardin
Paul Laurence Dunbar Central Hardin Central Hardin  
Ryle Ryle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ryle
Sayre Sayre insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sayre
Scott County Central Hardin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Hardin
Shelby County Shelby County   Shelby County
South Oldham South Oldham   South Oldham
South Warren South Warren South Warren  
St Henry Central Hardin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Hardin
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Walton-Verona insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walton-Verona
Woodford County Woodford County tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Woodford County

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bowling Green   ( 7- 2, 87.6)     1-16      -12.26      18.00       0.24         0.93           -11.20
   0 H Tates Creek     ( 3- 5, 84.3)     3-10      -15.58      14.68      -0.24         0.93           -14.75
   0 H Bowling Green   ( 7- 2, 87.6)     4- 7      -12.26      18.00      -0.24         0.93           -11.65
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 4- 2, 83.0)     6- 7      -16.93      13.33       0.24         0.93           -15.56
   0 H South Warren    ( 6- 1, 91.1)     1-15       -8.84      21.42      -0.24         0.93            -8.47
   0 H North Hardin    ( 1- 8, 73.9)    14- 2      -25.96       4.30      -0.24         0.93             3.79
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 0- 5, 76.6)    20-11      -23.28       6.98       0.24         0.93             6.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -51.11

winning pts = 10.5128 losing points = -61.6235

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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