UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Chapel Hill 1
  
Chapel Hill           
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 88.8025

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 4- 7 303 A Cedar Ridge ( 2- 9, 84.2) 16- 7 306 A Page (13- 4, 91.1) 5-13 310 H Seaforth ( 3- 5, 87.6) 10-11 313 A Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 10- 3 314 H Millbrook (13- 1, 94.0) 5- 9 319 A North Brunswick ( 4-11, 83.4) 6- 5 321 A Topsail (10- 3, 98.2) 7-18 324 H East Chapel Hill ( 6- 4, 89.4) 7- 4 326 H Jordan ( 1- 9, 84.4) 9- 3 407 H New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 18- 4 410 H Croatan ( 6- 4, 95.3) 10-16 414 H Riverside Durham ( 4- 5, 80.7) 17- 4 417 H Pinecrest ( 8- 2, 89.9) 422 A Durham Academy ( 4- 4, 94.0) 429 A Walter M Williams ( 6- 5, 87.4) 501 A Carrboro ( 8- 5, 90.8) 505 H Hillsborough Orange ( 9- 4, 91.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Carrboro                4- 7      -3    -2          -1.30
   303 A Cedar Ridge            16- 7       9     4           0.71
   306 A Page                    5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.42
   310 H Seaforth               10-11      -1     2    -     -2.55
   313 A Northwood              10- 3       7     1    ++     4.48
   314 H Millbrook               5- 9      -4    -5           0.88
   319 A North Brunswick         6- 5       1     5    --    -4.00
   321 A Topsail                 7-18     -11   -10           0.00
   324 H East Chapel Hill        7- 4       3     0    +      3.31
   326 H Jordan                  9- 3       6     5           0.28
   407 H New Bern               18- 4      14     4           0.70
   410 H Croatan                10-16      -6    -6           0.00
   414 H Riverside Durham       17- 4      13     8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A North Brunswick         6- 5       1     5    --    -4.00
   306 A Page                    5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.42
   310 H Seaforth               10-11      -1     2    -     -2.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Northwood              10- 3       7     1    ++     4.48
   324 H East Chapel Hill        7- 4       3     0    +      3.31

Chapel Hill Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Asheville HS Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Asheville School Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Ashley Ashley Ashley   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Athens Drive Athens Drive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Bradford Prep Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Broughton
Butler Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Cary HS Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Cedar Ridge Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chapel Hill
Cleveland Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
Cornerstone Charter Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Croatan Croatan Croatan  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Eastern Alamance Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Eastern Guilford Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Enloe Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Fike Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
First Flight First Flight tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Garner Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Glenn Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Grays Creek Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Havelock Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chapel Hill
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
High Point Central Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Independence Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Jack Britt Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Jacksonville Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
JF Webb Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
JH Rose Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
John Paul II Catholi Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Jordan Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook Millbrook  
Mooresville Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Mount Tabor Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Mountain Island Char Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Myers Park
New Bern Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
New Hanover Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chapel Hill
North Brunswick Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
North Davidson Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Northern Durham Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Northside Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Page Page Page  
Panther Creek Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chapel Hill
Parkwood Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Patton Morganton Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Pine Forest Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Ravenscroft School
Reagan Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Riverside Durham Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Roxboro Community Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
South Garner Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
South Iredell Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
South Mecklenburg Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
South View Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Southeast Alamance Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Southeast Guilford Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Southern Alamance Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chapel Hill
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
St Davids School Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
St Stephens Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Sun Valley Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Swansboro Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
TC Roberson Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Terry Sanford Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Topsail Topsail Topsail  
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Vance Charter Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Voyager Academy Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Wake Forest Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Wake Prep Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Walter M Williams Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
Watauga Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
West Carteret Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
West Forsyth Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
West Stokes Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Western Alamance Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Western Guilford Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 88


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Carrboro        ( 8- 5, 90.8)     4- 7       -9.08      20.95      -0.32         0.72            -6.80
   0 A Cedar Ridge     ( 2- 9, 84.2)    16- 7      -15.71      14.32       0.32         0.72            10.60
   0 A Page            (13- 4, 91.1)     5-13       -8.84      21.19       0.32         0.72            -6.16
   0 H Seaforth        ( 3- 5, 87.6)    10-11      -12.33      17.69      -0.32         0.72            -9.16
   0 A Northwood       ( 8- 5, 88.0)    10- 3      -11.94      18.09       0.32         0.72            13.32
   0 H Millbrook       (13- 1, 94.0)     5- 9       -5.90      24.13      -0.32         0.72            -4.50
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 4-11, 83.4)     6- 5      -16.46      13.57       0.32         0.72            10.05
   0 A Topsail         (10- 3, 98.2)     7-18       -1.72      28.31       0.32         0.72            -1.01
   0 H East Chapel Hi  ( 6- 4, 89.4)     7- 4      -10.47      19.55      -0.32         0.72            13.92
   0 H Jordan          ( 1- 9, 84.4)     9- 3      -15.50      14.53      -0.32         0.72            10.28
   0 H New Bern        ( 3-10, 84.8)    18- 4      -15.07      14.95      -0.32         0.72            10.59
   0 H Croatan         ( 6- 4, 95.3)    10-16       -4.63      25.40      -0.32         0.72            -3.58
   0 H Riverside Durh  ( 4- 5, 80.7)    17- 4      -19.23      10.80      -0.32         0.72             7.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        45.14

winning pts = 76.3543 losing points = -31.2158

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------