boys Centennial 1

  
Centennial            
W-L: (10- 6)  PR =    85.5453
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 H Hammond                              ( 3-10, 80.5)    22- 1   
 324 A Southern AA                          ( 5-12, 83.7)    15- 9   
 326 H Glenelg HS                           (14- 2, 92.7)     5-16   
 327 A Wilde Lake                           ( 8- 5, 85.4)    12-11   
 407 A Marriotts Ridge                      ( 8- 5, 90.9)     6-18   
 408 H Annapolis                            ( 6- 9, 86.6)    13-11   
 410 H Howard                               ( 7- 8, 85.0)     5- 7   
 413 A River Hill                           ( 6- 8, 84.7)    14- 4   
 415 A Atholton                             ( 4-10, 81.4)    19- 8   
 421 H Reservoir                            ( 4- 9, 82.5)    17- 2   
 423 A Mount Hebron                         ( 8- 6, 87.4)     9- 8   
 428 H Long Reach                           ( 1-13, 78.8)     2-16   
 501 A Oakland Mills                        ( 3-10, 81.4)     0-15   
 508 H River Hill                           ( 6- 8, 84.7)     9- 6   
 511 H Howard                               ( 7- 8, 85.0)    14- 5   
 513 H Stephen Decatur                      (12- 4, 93.7)     2- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Hammond                22- 1      21     5           0.00
   324 A Southern AA            15- 9       6     1    +      3.61
   326 H Glenelg HS              5-16     -11    -7           0.00
   327 A Wilde Lake             12-11       1     0           1.23
   407 A Marriotts Ridge         6-18     -12    -6           0.00
   408 H Annapolis              13-11       2    -1    +      2.66
   410 H Howard                  5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.93
   413 A River Hill             14- 4      10     0    ++     4.54
   415 A Atholton               19- 8      11     4           1.22
   421 H Reservoir              17- 2      15     3           1.55
   423 A Mount Hebron            9- 8       1    -2    +      3.23
   428 H Long Reach              2-16     -14     7    ---  -10.00
   501 A Oakland Mills           0-15     -15     4    ---   -8.75
   508 H River Hill              9- 6       3     1           1.71
   511 H Howard                 14- 5       9     1    ++     4.07
   513 H Stephen Decatur         2- 9      -7    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Long Reach              2-16     -14     7    ---  -10.00
   501 A Oakland Mills           0-15     -15     4    ---   -8.75
   410 H Howard                  5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A River Hill             14- 4      10     0    ++     4.54
   511 H Howard                 14- 5       9     1    ++     4.07
   324 A Southern AA            15- 9       6     1    +      3.61
   408 H Annapolis              13-11       2    -1    +      2.66
   423 A Mount Hebron            9- 8       1    -2    +      3.23

Centennial PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Annapolis Area Chris	Centennial			Centennial
Archbishop Curley	Archbishop Curley			Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding	Archbishop Spalding			Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh	Centennial			Centennial
Bishop McNamara	Bishop McNamara			Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin	Boys Latin			Boys Latin
Bullis	Bullis			Bullis
Calvert Hall	Calvert Hall			Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian	Centennial			Centennial
Concordia Prep	Centennial			Centennial
Cristo Rey Jesuit	Centennial			Centennial
DeMatha	DeMatha			DeMatha
FCA LC	Centennial			Centennial
Friends	Centennial			Centennial
Garrett County LC	Centennial			Centennial
Georgetown Day	Centennial			Centennial
Georgetown Prep	Georgetown Prep			Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy	Gerstell Academy			Gerstell Academy
Gilman	Gilman			Gilman
Glenelg Country	Centennial			Centennial
Gonzaga	Gonzaga			Gonzaga
Good Counsel	Good Counsel			Good Counsel
Gunston School	Centennial			Centennial
Heights	Heights			Heights
Indian Creek School	Indian Creek School			Indian Creek School
Jemicy School	Centennial			Centennial
John Carroll	John Carroll			John Carroll
Key School	Centennial			Centennial
Landon	Landon			Landon
Loyola-Blakefield	Loyola-Blakefield			Loyola-Blakefield
Maret	Centennial			Centennial
McDonogh	McDonogh			McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy	Centennial			Centennial
Mount Carmel	Centennial			Centennial
Mount St Joseph	Mount St Joseph			Mount St Joseph
Park School	Centennial			Centennial
Salisbury School	Centennial			Centennial
Sandy Spring Friends	Centennial			Centennial
Severn School	Severn School			Severn School
Sidwell Friends	Centennial			Centennial
St Albans	St Albans			St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal	Centennial			Centennial
St James	St James			St James
St Johns Catholic Pr	Centennial			Centennial
St Johns College HS	St Johns College HS			St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis	St Marys Annapolis			St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken	St Marys Ryken			St Marys Ryken
St Pauls	St Pauls			St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti	Centennial			Centennial
Sts Peter & Paul	Sts Peter & Paul		Sts Peter & Paul 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tome School	Centennial			Centennial
Worcester Prep	Worcester Prep			Worcester Prep
Aberdeen	Centennial			Centennial
Academy for College	Centennial		Centennial 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Annapolis	Centennial	Centennial
Arundel	Centennial		tied - 2- 1	Centennial
Atholton	Centennial	Centennial
Baltimore Polytechni	Centennial		Centennial 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bel Air	Bel Air			Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg	Centennial			Centennial
Blair	Centennial			Centennial
Blake	Centennial			Centennial
Bohemia Manor	Centennial			Centennial
Boonsboro	Centennial			Centennial
Bowie	Centennial			Centennial
Broadneck	Broadneck		Broadneck 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Brunswick	Centennial			Centennial
Calvert	Calvert			Calvert
Cambridge SD	Centennial		tied - 0- 1	Centennial
Carver A&T	Centennial			Centennial
Catoctin	Catoctin			Catoctin
Catonsville	Centennial		Centennial 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Century	Century			Century
CH Flowers	Centennial			Centennial
Chesapeake AA	Chesapeake AA		tied - 4- 0	Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC	Centennial			Centennial
Chopticon	Chopticon			Chopticon
City College	Centennial			Centennial
Clarksburg	Clarksburg			Clarksburg
CM Wright	CM Wright			CM Wright
Crofton	Crofton		Crofton 3- 1 vs 3- 2
Damascus	Centennial			Centennial
Digital Harbor	Centennial			Centennial
Dr Henry Wise	Centennial			Centennial
Dulaney	Dulaney			Dulaney
Dunbar	Centennial			Centennial
Dundalk	Centennial			Centennial
DuVal	Centennial			Centennial
Eastern Tech	Centennial			Centennial
Easton	Centennial		tied - 0- 1	Centennial
Edgewood	Centennial			Centennial
Edmondson-Westside	Centennial			Centennial
Einstein	Centennial			Centennial
Eleanor Roosevelt	Centennial			Centennial
Elkton	Centennial			Centennial
Fairmont Heights	Centennial			Centennial
Fallston	Fallston		Fallston 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Forest Park	Centennial			Centennial
Francis Scott Key	Centennial			Centennial
Franklin	Franklin			Franklin
Frederick	Centennial			Centennial
Frederick Douglass B	Centennial			Centennial
Frederick Douglass P	Centennial			Centennial
Friendly	Centennial			Centennial
Gaithersburg	Centennial			Centennial
Glen Burnie	Glen Burnie		tied - 3- 1	Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS	Glenelg HS	Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson	Centennial			Centennial
Great Mills	Centennial			Centennial
Guilford Park	Guilford Park		Guilford Park 5- 2 vs 4- 3
Gwynn Park	Centennial			Centennial
Hammond	Centennial	Centennial
Harford Tech	Centennial			Centennial
Havre De Grace	Centennial			Centennial
Hereford	Hereford			Hereford
High Point	Centennial			Centennial
Howard	Centennial		tied - 4- 3	Centennial
Huntingtown	Huntingtown		tied - 1- 1	Huntingtown
JM Bennett	Centennial		tied - 0- 1	Centennial
Joppatowne	Centennial			Centennial
Kennedy	Centennial			Centennial
Kent County	Centennial			Centennial
Kent Island	Kent Island		Kent Island 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kenwood	Centennial			Centennial
La Plata	Centennial			Centennial
Lackey	Centennial			Centennial
Lake Clifton	Centennial			Centennial
Lansdowne	Centennial			Centennial
Laurel	Centennial			Centennial
Leonardtown	Leonardtown			Leonardtown
Liberty	Centennial		Centennial 1- 1 vs 0- 1
Linganore	Linganore			Linganore
Loch Raven	Centennial			Centennial
Long Reach	Long Reach	Long Reach
Magruder	Centennial			Centennial
Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 1- 1
Marriotts Ridge	Marriotts Ridge	Marriotts Ridge
Meade	Centennial		Centennial 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mergenthaler	Centennial			Centennial
Middletown	Middletown		tied - 1- 0	Middletown
Milford Mill	Centennial			Centennial
MJ McDonough	Centennial			Centennial
Mount Hebron	Centennial	Centennial
National Academy Fou	Centennial			Centennial
New Town	Centennial			Centennial
North Caroline	Centennial		tied - 0- 1	Centennial
North County	North County		North County 3- 0 vs 2- 1
North Dorchester	Centennial			Centennial
North East Cecil	Centennial			Centennial
North Hagerstown	Centennial			Centennial
North Harford	North Harford			North Harford
North Point	Centennial			Centennial
Northeast AA	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 3- 0 vs 2- 1
Northern Calvert	Northern Calvert		tied - 1- 1	Northern Calvert
Northwest	Centennial			Centennial
Northwestern PG	Centennial			Centennial
Northwood	Centennial			Centennial
Oakdale	Centennial			Centennial
Oakland Mills	Oakland Mills	Oakland Mills
Old Mill	Centennial		Centennial 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Overlea	Centennial			Centennial
Owings Mills	Centennial			Centennial
Oxon Hill	Centennial			Centennial
Paint Branch	Centennial			Centennial
Parkdale	Centennial			Centennial
Parkside	Parkside		tied - 0- 1	Parkside
Parkville	Centennial			Centennial
Patapsco	Centennial			Centennial
Patterson HS	Centennial			Centennial
Patterson Mill	Centennial			Centennial
Patuxent	Centennial			Centennial
Perry Hall	Centennial			Centennial
Perryville	Centennial			Centennial
Pikesville	Centennial		tied - 0- 1	Centennial
Poolesville	Centennial		Centennial 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Queen Annes County	Queen Annes County		tied - 0- 2	Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard	Quince Orchard			Quince Orchard
Randallstown	Centennial			Centennial
Reginald F Lewis	Centennial		Centennial 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Reservoir	Centennial	Centennial
Richard Montgomery	Centennial			Centennial
Rising Sun	Rising Sun			Rising Sun
River Hill	Centennial	Centennial
Rockville	Centennial			Centennial
Seneca Valley	Centennial			Centennial
Severn Run	Centennial		tied - 1- 1	Centennial
Severna Park	Severna Park		Severna Park 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Sherwood	Sherwood		Sherwood 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Smithsburg	Centennial			Centennial
South Carroll	South Carroll			South Carroll
South Hagerstown	Centennial			Centennial
South River	South River		South River 3- 0 vs 3- 1
Southern AA	Centennial	Centennial
Sparrows Point	Centennial			Centennial
Springbrook	Centennial			Centennial
St Charles	Centennial			Centennial
Stephen Decatur	Stephen Decatur	Stephen Decatur
Suitland	Centennial			Centennial
Surrattsville	Centennial			Centennial
Thomas Stone	Centennial			Centennial
Towson	Towson		Towson 1- 0 vs 1- 1
Tuscarora	Centennial			Centennial
Urbana	Urbana			Urbana
Walkersville	Walkersville		tied - 0- 1	Walkersville
Walt Whitman	Walt Whitman			Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson	Walter Johnson			Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill	Centennial			Centennial
Western STES	Centennial			Centennial
Westlake	Centennial			Centennial
Westminster	Westminster			Westminster
Wheaton	Centennial			Centennial
Wicomico	Centennial		tied - 0- 1	Centennial
Wilde Lake	Centennial	Centennial
Winston Churchill	Centennial			Centennial
Winters Mill	Centennial		Centennial 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Woodlawn	Centennial			Centennial
Wootton	Centennial			Centennial
Archbishop Carroll	Centennial			Centennial
DC International PCS	Centennial			Centennial
Jackson Reed	Centennial			Centennial

PairWisePlus = 147

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Hammond         ( 3-10, 80.5)    22- 1      -19.41      14.61      -0.42         0.75            10.70
   0 A Southern AA     ( 5-12, 83.7)    15- 9      -16.16      17.86       0.42         0.75            13.78
   0 H Glenelg HS      (14- 2, 92.7)     5-16       -7.24      26.79      -0.42         0.75            -5.77
   0 A Wilde Lake      ( 8- 5, 85.4)    12-11      -14.54      19.49       0.42         0.75            15.01
   0 A Marriotts Ridg  ( 8- 5, 90.9)     6-18       -9.00      25.03       0.42         0.75            -6.47
   0 H Annapolis       ( 6- 9, 86.6)    13-11      -13.28      20.74      -0.42         0.75            15.33
   0 H Howard          ( 7- 8, 85.0)     5- 7      -14.86      19.16      -0.42         0.75           -11.52
   0 A River Hill      ( 6- 8, 84.7)    14- 4      -15.23      18.80       0.42         0.75            14.49
   0 A Atholton        ( 4-10, 81.4)    19- 8      -18.55      15.48       0.42         0.75            11.98
   0 H Reservoir       ( 4- 9, 82.5)    17- 2      -17.39      16.64      -0.42         0.75            12.23
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 8- 6, 87.4)     9- 8      -12.54      21.49       0.42         0.75            16.52
   0 H Long Reach      ( 1-13, 78.8)     2-16      -21.07      12.95      -0.42         0.75           -16.20
   0 A Oakland Mills   ( 3-10, 81.4)     0-15      -18.52      15.50       0.42         0.75           -13.65
   0 H River Hill      ( 6- 8, 84.7)     9- 6      -15.23      18.80      -0.42         0.75            13.86
   0 H Howard          ( 7- 8, 85.0)    14- 5      -14.86      19.16      -0.42         0.75            14.13
   0 H Stephen Decatu  (12- 4, 93.7)     2- 9       -6.15      27.87      -0.42         0.75            -4.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        79.46

winning pts = 138.0291 losing points = -58.5706

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------