Rising Sun
W-L: (12- 3) PR = 87.8005
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
320 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 87.3) 10- 7
324 H CM Wright ( 6- 7, 87.7) 10-11
326 A North East Cecil ( 5- 7, 78.8) 22- 8
330 H Havre De Grace ( 5- 7, 82.5) 18- 9
407 A Elkton ( 3- 9, 76.5) 16- 1
408 A Harford Tech ( 7- 7, 83.1) 18- 6
413 H Perryville ( 5- 7, 82.6) 19-12
414 H Fallston (16- 3, 91.8) 9-16
416 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 8, 82.7) 20-11
424 H Bohemia Manor ( 3- 9, 72.9) 16- 1
501 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 87.3) 13-12
508 H Havre De Grace ( 5- 7, 82.5) 20-14
511 H Harford Tech ( 7- 7, 83.1) 14- 5
513 H Patuxent ( 7- 7, 83.9) 16- 2
515 A Fallston (16- 3, 91.8) 8-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H North Harford 10- 7 3 1 + 2.05
324 H CM Wright 10-11 -1 1 -1.50
326 A North East Cecil 22- 8 14 9 0.00
330 H Havre De Grace 18- 9 9 6 0.00
407 A Elkton 16- 1 15 11 0.00
408 A Harford Tech 18- 6 12 4 0.74
413 H Perryville 19-12 7 6 0.00
414 H Fallston 9-16 -7 -4 -1.41
416 H Patterson Mill 20-11 9 5 0.00
424 H Bohemia Manor 16- 1 15 15 0.00
501 H North Harford 13-12 1 1 0.05
508 H Havre De Grace 20-14 6 6 0.00
511 H Harford Tech 14- 5 9 5 0.00
513 H Patuxent 16- 2 14 4 0.69
515 A Fallston 8-19 -11 -4 -0.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H North Harford 10- 7 3 1 + 2.05
|
Rising Sun PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
Archbishop Curley   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Bishop McNamara |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Concordia Prep |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Friends |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Garrett County LC |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Georgetown Day |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Rising Sun |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Jemicy School |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Mount Carmel |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Salisbury School |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   7- 1 vs 3- 5 |
|
| Academy for College |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Annapolis |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Arundel |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Atholton |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Bel Air |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   5- 2 vs 4- 3 |
|
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Bladensburg |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Blair |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Blake |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Bohemia Manor |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Boonsboro |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Bowie |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Calvert |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Cambridge SD |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Rising Sun |
| Carver A&T |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Catoctin |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Century |
Century |
|
Century   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| CH Flowers |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Chopticon |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| City College |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Clarksburg |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
CM Wright |
 
|
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
 
| Crofton |
| Damascus |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Digital Harbor |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
Dulaney   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Dunbar |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Dundalk |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| DuVal |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Eastern Tech |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Easton |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Edgewood |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   6- 1 vs 0- 7 |
|
| Edmondson-Westside |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Einstein |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Elkton |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Fairmont Heights |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
Fallston |
 
| |
| Forest Park |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Francis Scott Key |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Franklin |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Frederick |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Friendly |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Gaithersburg |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Glen Burnie |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Great Mills |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Guilford Park |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Gwynn Park |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Hammond |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Harford Tech |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Havre De Grace |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Hereford |
| High Point |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Howard |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Joppatowne |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Kennedy |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Kent County |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| La Plata |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Lackey |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lake Clifton |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Lansdowne |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Laurel |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Long Reach |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Magruder |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Manchester Valley |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Mergenthaler |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
Middletown   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Milford Mill |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| MJ McDonough |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Mount Hebron |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| National Academy Fou |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| New Town |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| North Caroline |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| North County |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| North Dorchester |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| North East Cecil |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| North Hagerstown |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| North Harford |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| North Point |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Northeast AA |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Northern Calvert |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| Northwest |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Northwestern PG |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Northwood |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Oakdale |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Oakland Mills |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Old Mill |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Overlea |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Owings Mills |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Oxon Hill |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Paint Branch |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Parkdale |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Patapsco |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Patterson HS |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Patterson Mill |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Patuxent |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Perry Hall |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Perryville |
Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
 
| |
| Pikesville |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Poolesville |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Reservoir |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Richard Montgomery |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Rockville |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Seneca Valley |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Severn Run |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
 
| Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Sparrows Point |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Rising Sun |
| Springbrook |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| St Charles |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Surrattsville |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Thomas Stone |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Towson |
Towson |
|
Towson   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Tuscarora |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Watkins Mill |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Western STES |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Westlake |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Westminster |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Wheaton |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Wicomico |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Wilde Lake |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Winston Churchill |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Winters Mill |
Rising Sun |
|
Rising Sun   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodlawn |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Wootton |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| DC International PCS |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| Jackson Reed |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
PairWisePlus = 167

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 87.3) 10- 7 -12.63 21.40 -0.42 0.80 16.87
0 H CM Wright ( 6- 7, 87.7) 10-11 -12.19 21.84 -0.42 0.80 -10.14
0 A North East Cec ( 5- 7, 78.8) 22- 8 -21.07 12.95 0.42 0.80 10.75
0 H Havre De Grace ( 5- 7, 82.5) 18- 9 -17.38 16.65 -0.42 0.80 13.06
0 A Elkton ( 3- 9, 76.5) 16- 1 -23.36 10.67 0.42 0.80 8.91
0 A Harford Tech ( 7- 7, 83.1) 18- 6 -16.77 17.25 0.42 0.80 14.21
0 H Perryville ( 5- 7, 82.6) 19-12 -17.34 16.69 -0.42 0.80 13.09
0 H Fallston (16- 3, 91.8) 9-16 -8.10 25.93 -0.42 0.80 -6.84
0 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 8, 82.7) 20-11 -17.18 16.85 -0.42 0.80 13.22
0 H Bohemia Manor ( 3- 9, 72.9) 16- 1 -27.02 7.01 -0.42 0.80 5.30
0 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 87.3) 13-12 -12.63 21.40 -0.42 0.80 16.87
0 H Havre De Grace ( 5- 7, 82.5) 20-14 -17.38 16.65 -0.42 0.80 13.06
0 H Harford Tech ( 7- 7, 83.1) 14- 5 -16.77 17.25 -0.42 0.80 13.54
0 H Patuxent ( 7- 7, 83.9) 16- 2 -15.99 18.03 -0.42 0.80 14.17
0 A Fallston (16- 3, 91.8) 8-19 -8.10 25.93 0.42 0.80 -6.18
------
129.88
|
winning pts = 153.0378 losing points = -23.1582
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------