UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Rising Sun 1
  
Rising Sun            
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 89.7186

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H North Harford ( 3- 2, 88.7) 10- 7 324 H CM Wright ( 2- 2, 88.8) 10-11 326 A North East Cecil ( 2- 3, 82.8) 22- 8 330 H Havre De Grace ( 2- 2, 85.8) 18- 9 407 A Elkton ( 3- 1, 81.1) 408 A Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 83.9) 413 H Perryville ( 2- 1, 89.3) 414 H Fallston ( 4- 0, 92.5) 416 H Patterson Mill ( 3- 1, 86.1) 424 H Bohemia Manor ( 0- 4, 77.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H North Harford          10- 7       3     1           1.61
   324 H CM Wright              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.34
   326 A North East Cecil       22- 8      14     7           0.00
   330 H Havre De Grace         18- 9       9     4           0.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H CM Wright              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Rising Sun Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Bishop McNamara Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Rising Sun   Rising Sun
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Garrett County LC Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Georgetown Day Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Rising Sun   Rising Sun
John Carroll Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Key School Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Rising Sun   Rising Sun
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Mount Carmel Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Sandy Spring Friends Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Rising Sun   Rising Sun
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Rising Sun   Rising Sun
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Atholton Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Rising Sun insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rising Sun
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Blair Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Blake Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Bohemia Manor Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Boonsboro Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Calvert Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Cambridge SD Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Carver A&T Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Century
CH Flowers Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Rising Sun   Rising Sun
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright  
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Digital Harbor Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Dr Henry Wise Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dunbar Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Dundalk Rising Sun   Rising Sun
DuVal Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Edgewood Rising Sun Rising Sun   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Edmondson-Westside Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Einstein Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Eleanor Roosevelt Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Elkton Rising Sun insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rising Sun
Fairmont Heights Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Frederick Douglass B Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Frederick Douglass P Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Friendly Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Great Mills Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Guilford Park Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Harford Tech Rising Sun insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Rising Sun
Havre De Grace Rising Sun Rising Sun  
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Howard Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Joppatowne Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Kennedy Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Kent County Rising Sun tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rising Sun
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Rising Sun insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rising Sun
La Plata Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Lackey Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Lake Clifton Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Lansdowne Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Laurel Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Long Reach Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Mergenthaler Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Rising Sun   Rising Sun
MJ McDonough Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Mount Hebron Rising Sun   Rising Sun
National Academy Fou Rising Sun   Rising Sun
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Rising Sun   Rising Sun
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Rising Sun   Rising Sun
North East Cecil Rising Sun Rising Sun  
North Hagerstown Rising Sun   Rising Sun
North Harford Rising Sun Rising Sun  
North Point Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Northwest Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Northwestern PG Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Northwood Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Oakdale Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Oakland Mills Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Old Mill Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Overlea Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Owings Mills Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Oxon Hill Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Paint Branch Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Parkdale Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Patterson Mill Rising Sun insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rising Sun
Patuxent Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Rising Sun tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rising Sun
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Reginald F Lewis Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Reservoir Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Richard Montgomery Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Severn Run Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Rising Sun   Rising Sun
South Carroll Rising Sun   Rising Sun
South Hagerstown Rising Sun   Rising Sun
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Sparrows Point Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Springbrook Rising Sun   Rising Sun
St Charles Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Stephen Decatur Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Suitland Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Surrattsville Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Thomas Stone Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Western STES Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Westlake Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Westminster Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Wheaton Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Wicomico Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Winters Mill Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Woodlawn Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Rising Sun   Rising Sun
DC International PCS Rising Sun   Rising Sun
Jackson Reed Rising Sun   Rising Sun

PowerWise = 138


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Harford   ( 3- 2, 88.7)    10- 7      -11.17      13.90      -0.41         0.82            11.00
   0 H CM Wright       ( 2- 2, 88.8)    10-11      -11.11      13.95      -0.41         0.82            -9.39
   0 A North East Cec  ( 2- 3, 82.8)    22- 8      -17.09       7.97       0.41         0.82             6.83
   0 H Havre De Grace  ( 2- 2, 85.8)    18- 9      -14.08      10.98      -0.41         0.82             8.62
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        17.06

winning pts = 26.4548 losing points = -9.3909

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------