Cape Fear Academy
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 89.5995
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 H Swansboro ( 6- 5, 86.3) 14- 7
306 H North Raleigh Christ ( 1- 7, 82.0) 14- 3
310 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 19- 4
313 H Cary Academy (10- 0, 93.6) 5-13
327 H Asheville School ( 1- 4, 85.7) 11- 2
328 A Marvin Ridge ( 7- 3, 93.2) 7- 9
402 H Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 13- 4
411 H Forsyth Country Day ( 5- 5, 89.2) 9-11
417 H Ravenscroft School ( 4- 8, 89.1)
421 H John Paul II Catholi ( 1- 8, 80.2)
423 H Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5)
429 A South Brunswick ( 5- 4, 88.7)
501 A Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Swansboro 14- 7 7 4 1.39
306 H North Raleigh Christ 14- 3 11 8 0.00
310 A New Hanover 19- 4 15 7 0.00
313 H Cary Academy 5-13 -8 -4 -1.36
327 H Asheville School 11- 2 9 4 0.81
328 A Marvin Ridge 7- 9 -2 -4 1.96
402 H Cary Christian 13- 4 9 10 0.00
411 H Forsyth Country Day 9-11 -2 1 - -2.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Forsyth Country Day 9-11 -2 1 - -2.75
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Cape Fear Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Apex |
Apex |
|
 
| Apex |
| Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
| Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ardrey Kell |
| Arendell Parrott Aca |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Asheville HS |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Asheville School |
Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
 
| |
| Ashley |
Ashley |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ashley |
| Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
| Atkins |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Ballantyne Ridge |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Bishop McGuinness |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Bradford Prep |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
| Butler |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
 
| Cannon School |
| Cape Fear HS |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
| Carrboro |
Carrboro |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Carrboro |
| Cary Academy |
Cary Academy |
Cary Academy |
 
| |
| Cary Christian |
Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
 
| |
| Cary HS |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Cedar Ridge |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Chapel Hill |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
 
| Charlotte Catholic |
| Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Charlotte CDS |
| Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Charlotte Christian |
| Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Charlotte Latin |
| Christ School |
Christ School |
|
 
| Christ School |
| Christ The King |
Christ The King |
|
 
| Christ The King |
| Clayton |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Cleveland |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Community School-Dav |
| Corinth Holders |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Cornerstone Charter |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Croatan |
Croatan |
|
 
| Croatan |
| Cuthbertson |
Cuthbertson |
|
 
| Cuthbertson |
| Davie |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
| DH Conley |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Durham Academy |
| East Chapel Hill |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| East Forsyth |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Eastern Alamance |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Eastern Guilford |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Enloe |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Fike |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| First Flight |
First Flight |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
First Flight |
| Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
 
| |
| Fuquay-Varina |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Garner |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Glenn |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Grays Creek |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
 
| Green Hope |
| Green Level |
Green Level |
|
 
| Green Level |
| Greensboro Day |
Greensboro Day |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Greensboro Day |
| Grimsley |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Havelock |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Heritage |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Hickory |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| High Point Central |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Hillsborough Orange |
Hillsborough Orange |
|
 
| Hillsborough Orange |
| Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hoggard |
| Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
| Hough |
Hough |
|
 
| Hough |
| Hunt |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Independence |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Jack Britt |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Jacksonville |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| JF Webb |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| JH Rose |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| John Paul II Catholi |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Jordan |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Norman Charter |
| Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lake Norman HS |
| Laney |
Laney |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Laney |
| Leesville Road |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Lincoln Charter |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
 
| |
| Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Millbrook |
Millbrook |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Millbrook |
| Mooresville |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Mount Tabor |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Mountain Island Char |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Myers Park |
Myers Park |
|
 
| Myers Park |
| New Bern |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| New Hanover |
Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
 
| |
| North Brunswick |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
Cape Fear Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| North Davidson |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
| North Raleigh Christ |
Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
 
| |
| Northern Durham |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Northern Guilford |
Northern Guilford |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Guilford |
| Northside |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
 
| Northwest Guilford |
| Northwood |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Page |
Page |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Page |
| Panther Creek |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Parkwood |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Patton Morganton |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Pine Forest |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Pine Lake Prep |
Pine Lake Prep |
|
 
| Pine Lake Prep |
| Pinecrest |
Pinecrest |
|
 
| Pinecrest |
| Porter Ridge |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Providence |
Providence |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Providence |
| Providence Day |
Providence Day |
|
 
| Providence Day |
| Queens Grant |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
| Ragsdale |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Ravenscroft School |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Reagan |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Riverside Durham |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
|
 
| RJ Reynolds |
| Rolesville |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Roxboro Community |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Sanderson |
Sanderson |
|
 
| Sanderson |
| Seaforth |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| South Brunswick |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| South Garner |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| South Iredell |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| South Mecklenburg |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| South View |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Southeast Alamance |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Southeast Guilford |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Southern Alamance |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Southlake Christian |
Southlake Christian |
|
 
| Southlake Christian |
| Southwest Guilford |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| St Davids School |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| St Stephens |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Sun Valley |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Swansboro |
Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
 
| |
| TC Roberson |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Terry Sanford |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Topsail |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Topsail |
| Union Pines |
Union Pines |
|
 
| Union Pines |
| Vance Charter |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Voyager Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Wake Forest |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| Wake Prep |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Wakefield |
Wakefield |
|
 
| Wakefield |
| Walter M Williams |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Watauga |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Weddington |
Weddington |
|
 
| Weddington |
| West Brunswick |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
Cape Fear Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| West Carteret |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Cape Fear Academy |
| West Forsyth |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| West Stokes |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Western Alamance |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Western Guilford |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
| Willow Spring |
Willow Spring |
|
 
| Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 94

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Swansboro ( 6- 5, 86.3) 14- 7 -13.59 16.44 -0.32 1.18 18.96
0 H North Raleigh ( 1- 7, 82.0) 14- 3 -17.95 12.08 -0.32 1.18 13.83
0 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 19- 4 -17.14 12.89 0.32 1.18 15.54
0 H Cary Academy (10- 0, 93.6) 5-13 -6.34 23.68 -0.32 1.18 -7.84
0 H Asheville Scho ( 1- 4, 85.7) 11- 2 -14.17 15.86 -0.32 1.18 18.28
0 A Marvin Ridge ( 7- 3, 93.2) 7- 9 -6.66 23.37 0.32 1.18 -7.46
0 H Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 13- 4 -20.43 9.60 -0.32 1.18 10.91
0 H Forsyth Countr ( 5- 5, 89.2) 9-11 -10.73 19.30 -0.32 1.18 -12.99
------
49.22
|
winning pts = 77.5097 losing points = -28.2889
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------