UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Cape Fear Academy 1
  
Cape Fear Academy     
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 89.5995

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Swansboro ( 6- 5, 86.3) 14- 7 306 H North Raleigh Christ ( 1- 7, 82.0) 14- 3 310 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 19- 4 313 H Cary Academy (10- 0, 93.6) 5-13 327 H Asheville School ( 1- 4, 85.7) 11- 2 328 A Marvin Ridge ( 7- 3, 93.2) 7- 9 402 H Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 13- 4 411 H Forsyth Country Day ( 5- 5, 89.2) 9-11 417 H Ravenscroft School ( 4- 8, 89.1) 421 H John Paul II Catholi ( 1- 8, 80.2) 423 H Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 429 A South Brunswick ( 5- 4, 88.7) 501 A Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Swansboro              14- 7       7     4           1.39
   306 H North Raleigh Christ   14- 3      11     8           0.00
   310 A New Hanover            19- 4      15     7           0.00
   313 H Cary Academy            5-13      -8    -4          -1.36
   327 H Asheville School       11- 2       9     4           0.81
   328 A Marvin Ridge            7- 9      -2    -4           1.96
   402 H Cary Christian         13- 4       9    10           0.00
   411 H Forsyth Country Day     9-11      -2     1    -     -2.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Forsyth Country Day     9-11      -2     1    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Cape Fear Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Asheville HS Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Asheville School Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Ballantyne Ridge Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Bishop McGuinness Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Bradford Prep Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy Cary Academy  
Cary Christian Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
Cary HS Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cedar Ridge Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Chapel Hill Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cleveland Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cornerstone Charter Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Durham Academy Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
East Forsyth Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Eastern Alamance Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Eastern Guilford Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Enloe Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Fike Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
First Flight First Flight tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day  
Fuquay-Varina Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Garner Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Glenn Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Grays Creek Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Greensboro Day
Grimsley Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Havelock Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Heritage Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Hickory Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
High Point Central Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Independence Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Jack Britt Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Jacksonville Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Cape Fear Academy
JF Webb Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
JH Rose Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
John Paul II Catholi Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Cape Fear Academy
Jordan Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Lincoln Charter Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge  
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Mount Tabor Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Mountain Island Char Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
New Hanover Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
North Brunswick Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Davidson Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
Northern Durham Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Page Page insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Parkwood Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Patton Morganton Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Pine Forest Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Providence Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Ravenscroft School Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cape Fear Academy
Reagan Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Riverside Durham Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Roxboro Community Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
South Brunswick Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
South Garner Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
South Iredell Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
South Mecklenburg Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
South View Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Southeast Alamance Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Southeast Guilford Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Southern Alamance Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
St Davids School Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Cape Fear Academy
St Stephens Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Sun Valley Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Swansboro Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
TC Roberson Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Terry Sanford Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Voyager Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Wake Forest Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Wake Prep Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Watauga Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Carteret Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
West Forsyth Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
West Stokes Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Western Alamance Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Western Guilford Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 94


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6- 5, 86.3)    14- 7      -13.59      16.44      -0.32         1.18            18.96
   0 H North Raleigh   ( 1- 7, 82.0)    14- 3      -17.95      12.08      -0.32         1.18            13.83
   0 A New Hanover     ( 2-10, 82.8)    19- 4      -17.14      12.89       0.32         1.18            15.54
   0 H Cary Academy    (10- 0, 93.6)     5-13       -6.34      23.68      -0.32         1.18            -7.84
   0 H Asheville Scho  ( 1- 4, 85.7)    11- 2      -14.17      15.86      -0.32         1.18            18.28
   0 A Marvin Ridge    ( 7- 3, 93.2)     7- 9       -6.66      23.37       0.32         1.18            -7.46
   0 H Cary Christian  ( 0- 5, 79.5)    13- 4      -20.43       9.60      -0.32         1.18            10.91
   0 H Forsyth Countr  ( 5- 5, 89.2)     9-11      -10.73      19.30      -0.32         1.18           -12.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        49.22

winning pts = 77.5097 losing points = -28.2889

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------