Billings Beartooth
W-L: (10- 1) PR = 94.6613
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 A Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 9- 7
404 H Northwest Black ( 1- 0, 99.9) 6-13
410 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 15- 2
411 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 10- 7
425 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 10- 6
425 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 8- 4
503 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9- 4
508 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 8- 6
509 H Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 14- 9
516 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 13- 6
516 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Helena West 9- 7 2 2 -0.36
404 H Northwest Black 6-13 -7 -5 -0.00
410 H Bozeman White 15- 2 13 7 0.00
411 H Helena East 10- 7 3 5 - -2.00
425 H Helena West 10- 6 4 3 1.15
425 A Great Falls 8- 4 4 4 -0.13
503 A Missoula Wild 9- 4 5 4 1.45
508 H Helena East 8- 6 2 5 - -3.00
509 H Great Falls 14- 9 5 5 0.38
516 H Helena West 13- 6 7 3 + 2.15
516 H Missoula Wild 9- 4 5 4 0.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Helena East 10- 7 3 5 - -2.00
508 H Helena East 8- 6 2 5 - -3.00
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
516 H Helena West 13- 6 7 3 + 2.15
|
Billings Beartooth PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bozeman Black |
Billings Beartooth |
|
 
| Billings Beartooth |
| Bozeman White |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Cody |
Billings Beartooth |
|
 
| Billings Beartooth |
| Great Falls |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Helena East |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Helena West |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Missoula Wild |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Northwest Black |
Northwest Black |
Northwest Black |
 
| |
| Northwest Green |
Billings Beartooth |
|
 
| Billings Beartooth |
| Sheridan |
Billings Beartooth |
|
 
| Billings Beartooth |
PairWisePlus = 9

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 9- 7 -7.85 3.81 0.24 0.61 2.48
0 H Northwest Blac ( 1- 0, 99.9) 6-13 -0.00 11.65 -0.24 0.61 -0.15
0 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 15- 2 -11.65 1.00 -0.24 0.61 0.46
0 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 10- 7 -10.30 1.36 -0.24 0.61 0.68
0 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 10- 6 -7.85 3.81 -0.24 0.61 2.18
0 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 8- 4 -9.61 2.04 0.24 0.61 1.40
0 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9- 4 -9.03 2.62 0.24 0.61 1.75
0 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 8- 6 -10.30 1.36 -0.24 0.61 0.68
0 H Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 14- 9 -9.61 2.04 -0.24 0.61 1.10
0 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 13- 6 -7.85 3.81 -0.24 0.61 2.18
0 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9- 4 -9.03 2.62 -0.24 0.61 1.46
------
14.21
|
winning pts = 14.3635 losing points = -0.1488
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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