UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:38 PDT

boys Billings Beartooth 1
  
Billings Beartooth    
W-L: (10- 1) PR = 94.6613

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Northwest Black ( 1- 0, 99.9) 6-13 404 A Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 9- 7 410 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 15- 2 411 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 10- 7 425 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 8- 4 425 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 10- 6 503 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9- 4 508 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 8- 6 509 H Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 14- 9 516 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9- 4 516 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 13- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Northwest Black         6-13      -7    -5          -0.00
   404 A Helena West             9- 7       2     2          -0.36
   410 H Bozeman White          15- 2      13     7           0.00
   411 H Helena East            10- 7       3     5    -     -2.00
   425 A Great Falls             8- 4       4     4          -0.13
   425 H Helena West            10- 6       4     3           1.15
   503 A Missoula Wild           9- 4       5     4           1.45
   508 H Helena East             8- 6       2     5    -     -3.00
   509 H Great Falls            14- 9       5     5           0.38
   516 H Missoula Wild           9- 4       5     4           0.97
   516 H Helena West            13- 6       7     3    +      2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Helena East            10- 7       3     5    -     -2.00
   508 H Helena East             8- 6       2     5    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Helena West            13- 6       7     3    +      2.15

Billings Beartooth PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bozeman Black Billings Beartooth   Billings Beartooth
Bozeman White Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Cody Billings Beartooth   Billings Beartooth
Great Falls Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Helena East Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Helena West Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Missoula Wild Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Northwest Black Northwest Black Northwest Black  
Northwest Green Billings Beartooth   Billings Beartooth
Sheridan Billings Beartooth   Billings Beartooth

PairWisePlus = 9


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northwest Blac  ( 1- 0, 99.9)     6-13       -0.00      11.65      -0.24         0.61            -0.15
   0 A Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)     9- 7       -7.85       3.81       0.24         0.61             2.48
   0 H Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)    15- 2      -11.65       1.00      -0.24         0.61             0.46
   0 H Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)    10- 7      -10.30       1.36      -0.24         0.61             0.68
   0 A Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)     8- 4       -9.61       2.04       0.24         0.61             1.40
   0 H Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)    10- 6       -7.85       3.81      -0.24         0.61             2.18
   0 A Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     9- 4       -9.03       2.62       0.24         0.61             1.75
   0 H Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)     8- 6      -10.30       1.36      -0.24         0.61             0.68
   0 H Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)    14- 9       -9.61       2.04      -0.24         0.61             1.10
   0 H Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     9- 4       -9.03       2.62      -0.24         0.61             1.46
   0 H Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)    13- 6       -7.85       3.81      -0.24         0.61             2.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        14.21

winning pts = 14.3635 losing points = -0.1488

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------