UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Bay 1
  
Bay                   
W-L: ( 2- 2) PR = 83.1425

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H West Geauga ( 0- 3, 79.5) 13- 5 319 A Canton Central Catho ( 5- 2, 84.6) 5- 8 324 A Rocky River ( 2- 0, 93.4) 1-15 326 H Brunswick ( 2- 2, 88.9) 328 H Benedictine Clevela ( 0- 3, 78.9) 16- 3 331 H Chardon ( 2- 1, 91.9) 402 H Westlake ( 1- 3, 82.8) 414 H Olmsted Falls ( 2- 2, 88.7) 418 A Ottawa Hills ( 1- 3, 84.8) 421 A Avon ( 3- 0, 91.0) 424 A Padua Franciscan ( 1- 0, 88.9) 425 H Lakewood ( 1- 3, 78.6) 428 A Avon Lake ( 2- 2, 87.7) 430 A Holy Name ( 3- 0, 89.3) 502 A Orange ( 0- 1, 83.3) 504 A Hawken School ( 0- 0, 87.3) 506 A Mentor ( 1- 1, 95.7) 507 H Elyria Catholic ( 0- 5, 79.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H West Geauga            13- 5       8     5           0.34
   319 A Canton Central Catho    5- 8      -3    -2          -0.59
   324 A Rocky River             1-15     -14   -11           0.00
   328 H Benedictine  Clevela   16- 3      13     5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Bay Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Anthony Wayne Anthony Wayne   Anthony Wayne
Archbishop Alter Archbishop Alter   Archbishop Alter
Archbishop Hoban Archbishop Hoban insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Archbishop Hoban
Archbishop McNichola Bay   Bay
Archbishop Moeller Archbishop Moeller   Archbishop Moeller
Aurora Aurora   Aurora
Avon Avon   Avon
Avon Lake Avon Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Avon Lake
Beavercreek Beavercreek   Beavercreek
Bellbrook Bellbrook   Bellbrook
Benedictine Clevela Bay Bay  
Bexley Bexley   Bexley
Big Walnut Big Walnut   Big Walnut
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson   Bishop Watterson
Boardman Bay   Bay
Bowling Green Bay   Bay
Brecksville-Broadvie Brecksville-Broadvie   Brecksville-Broadvie
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Buckeye Valley Buckeye Valley   Buckeye Valley
Canal Winchester Bay   Bay
Canfield Canfield   Canfield
Canton Central Catho Canton Central Catho Canton Central Catho  
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cardinal Mooney
Carroll Bay   Bay
Centerville Centerville   Centerville
Chagrin Falls Chagrin Falls   Chagrin Falls
Chaminade Julienne Bay   Bay
Chardon Chardon   Chardon
Cincinnati Hills Chr Cincinnati Hills Chr   Cincinnati Hills Chr
Clay Bay   Bay
Cleveland Heights Cleveland Heights   Cleveland Heights
Clinton-Massie Clinton-Massie   Clinton-Massie
Columbus Academy Bay   Bay
Copley Copley   Copley
Cuyahoga Valley Chri Cuyahoga Valley Chri insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cuyahoga Valley Chri
Delaware Hayes Delaware Hayes   Delaware Hayes
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman   Dublin Coffman
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome   Dublin Jerome
Dublin Scioto Bay   Bay
Edgewood Bay   Bay
Elder Cincinnati Elder Cincinnati   Elder Cincinnati
Elyria Catholic Bay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bay
Fairfield Fairfield   Fairfield
Fairmont Kettering Bay   Bay
Findlay Findlay   Findlay
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy   Gilmour Academy
GlenOak-Canton GlenOak-Canton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) GlenOak-Canton
Granville Granville   Granville
Green Green   Green
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Hawken School Hawken School   Hawken School
Highland Highland   Highland
Hilliard Bradley Hilliard Bradley   Hilliard Bradley
Hilliard Darby Hilliard Darby   Hilliard Darby
Hilliard Davidson Hilliard Davidson   Hilliard Davidson
Holy Name Holy Name tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holy Name
Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton   Hoover North Canton
Hudson Hudson   Hudson
Hudson Blue Hudson Blue   Hudson Blue
Indian Hill Indian Hill   Indian Hill
Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon   Jackson Massillon
John Glenn Bay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bay
Johnstown Johnstown   Johnstown
Jonathan Alder Jonathan Alder   Jonathan Alder
Kenston Kenston   Kenston
Kent Roosevelt Kent Roosevelt   Kent Roosevelt
Keystone Keystone   Keystone
Kings Kings   Kings
Kirtland Kirtland   Kirtland
La Salle La Salle   La Salle
Lake Uniontown Bay   Bay
Lakewood Bay   Bay
Lakota East Lakota East   Lakota East
Lakota West Lakota West   Lakota West
Lebanon Lebanon   Lebanon
Licking Valley Bay   Bay
Lima Bay   Bay
Lincoln Gahanna Lincoln Gahanna   Lincoln Gahanna
Little Miami Little Miami   Little Miami
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Loveland Loveland   Loveland
Madeira Bay   Bay
Mariemont Mariemont   Mariemont
Marysville Marysville   Marysville
Mason Mason   Mason
Medina Medina   Medina
Mentor Mentor   Mentor
Miamisburg Bay   Bay
Milford Milford   Milford
Monroe Bay   Bay
New Albany New Albany   New Albany
Newark Bay   Bay
North Ridgeville Bay   Bay
Northmont Northmont   Northmont
Notre Dame-Cathedral Notre Dame-Cathedral tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame-Cathedral
Oak Hills Oak Hills   Oak Hills
Oakwood Oakwood   Oakwood
Olentangy Berlin Olentangy Berlin   Olentangy Berlin
Olentangy HS Olentangy HS   Olentangy HS
Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty   Olentangy Liberty
Olentangy Orange Olentangy Orange   Olentangy Orange
Olmsted Falls Olmsted Falls   Olmsted Falls
Orange Orange   Orange
Ottawa Hills Ottawa Hills   Ottawa Hills
Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan   Padua Franciscan
Perrysburg Perrysburg   Perrysburg
Pickerington Central Pickerington Central   Pickerington Central
Pickerington North Pickerington North   Pickerington North
Poland Seminary Bay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bay
Revere Revere   Revere
Riverside Painesvill Riverside Painesvill   Riverside Painesvill
Rocky River Rocky River Rocky River  
Seven Hills Bay   Bay
Shaker Heights Shaker Heights   Shaker Heights
Solon Solon   Solon
Southeast Ravenna Bay   Bay
Springboro Springboro   Springboro
St Charles Prep St Charles Prep   St Charles Prep
St Edward St Edward   St Edward
St Francis De Sales St Francis De Sales   St Francis De Sales
St Francis DeSales - St Francis DeSales -   St Francis DeSales -
St Ignatius Cle Blu St Ignatius Cle Blu   St Ignatius Cle Blu
St Ignatius Clevelan St Ignatius Clevelan   St Ignatius Clevelan
St Johns Jesuit St Johns Jesuit   St Johns Jesuit
St Vincent-St Mary Bay   Bay
St Xavier Cincinnat St Xavier Cincinnat   St Xavier Cincinnat
Stow-Munroe Falls Stow-Munroe Falls   Stow-Munroe Falls
Strongsville Strongsville   Strongsville
Summit CDS Summit CDS   Summit CDS
Sycamore Sycamore   Sycamore
Sylvania Northview Bay   Bay
Sylvania Southview Sylvania Southview   Sylvania Southview
Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington   Thomas Worthington
Tipp City Bay   Bay
Toledo United Toledo United   Toledo United
Turpin Turpin   Turpin
University School Cl University School Cl   University School Cl
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington   Upper Arlington
Wadsworth Wadsworth   Wadsworth
Walnut Hills Walnut Hills   Walnut Hills
Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit   Walsh Jesuit
Waynesville Waynesville   Waynesville
West Geauga Bay Bay  
Western Reserve B Western Reserve B   Western Reserve B
Westerville Central Westerville Central   Westerville Central
Westerville North Westerville North   Westerville North
Westerville South Westerville South   Westerville South
Westlake Bay tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bay
Willoughby South Willoughby South   Willoughby South
Wilmington Bay   Bay
Winton Woods Winton Woods   Winton Woods
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worthington Kilbourn Worthington Kilbourn   Worthington Kilbourn
Wyoming Wyoming   Wyoming
Xenia Bay   Bay

PowerWise = 33


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H West Geauga     ( 0- 3, 79.5)    13- 5      -20.42       7.49      -1.00         0.86             5.59
   0 A Canton Central  ( 5- 2, 84.6)     5- 8      -15.35      12.56       1.00         0.86           -12.36
   0 A Rocky River     ( 2- 0, 93.4)     1-15       -6.45      21.46       1.00         0.86            -4.70
   0 H Benedictine  C  ( 0- 3, 78.9)    16- 3      -21.02       6.89      -1.00         0.86             5.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -6.39

winning pts = 10.6682 losing points = -17.0582

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------