UPDATED: 08-07-26 19:09 PDT

boys Burlington 1
  
Burlington            
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 88.9238

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Milton (13- 4, 93.9) 2-14 417 A Mount Abraham ( 9- 6, 92.4) 6-11 428 A Montpelier (10- 4, 92.5) 6- 9 429 A Colchester ( 3-12, 87.7) 8- 2 501 H Mount Abraham ( 9- 6, 92.4) 7-13 508 H Bellows Free Academy ( 9- 7, 90.2) 9-11 511 H Spaulding ( 2-12, 85.1) 11- 3 513 A Milton (13- 4, 93.9) 5- 8 515 H St Johnsbury Academy ( 6-10, 90.1) 5-10 520 H Stowe ( 9- 7, 92.6) 2-13 523 A Hartford Union (16- 1, 98.9) 1-14 527 H Colchester ( 3-12, 87.7) 9- 2 530 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-12, 85.2) 1- 0 602 A Brattleboro Union (10- 5, 91.8) 3- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Milton                  2-14     -12    -5          -0.19
   417 A Mount Abraham           6-11      -5    -4          -1.35
   428 A Montpelier              6- 9      -3    -4           0.71
   429 A Colchester              8- 2       6     1    +      3.94
   501 H Mount Abraham           7-13      -6    -3          -1.61
   508 H Bellows Free Academy    9-11      -2    -1          -0.90
   511 H Spaulding              11- 3       8     4           1.02
   513 A Milton                  5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.00
   515 H St Johnsbury Academy    5-10      -5    -1    --    -4.00
   520 H Stowe                   2-13     -11    -4          -1.44
   523 A Hartford Union          1-14     -13   -10           0.00
   527 H Colchester              9- 2       7     1    +      3.68
   602 A Brattleboro Union       3- 9      -6    -3          -1.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H St Johnsbury Academy    5-10      -5    -1    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Colchester              8- 2       6     1    +      3.94
   513 A Milton                  5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.00
   527 H Colchester              9- 2       7     1    +      3.68

Burlington PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union  
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Burlington Burlington  
Essex Junction Essex Junction   Essex Junction
Green Mountain Valle Burlington tied -  1- 4 Burlington
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union  
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  10- 1 vs 3- 8
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Burlington Burlington  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Milton Milton  
Montpelier Montpelier Montpelier  
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Mt Anthony Union Burlington tied -  0- 3 Burlington
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Otter Valley Union tied -  0- 2 Otter Valley Union
Randolph Union Burlington tied -  1- 4 Burlington
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   Rice Memorial
Rutland Burlington tied -  1- 3 Burlington
South Burlington South Burlington   South Burlington
Spaulding Burlington Burlington  
St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy  
Stowe Stowe Stowe  
Stratton Mountain Sc Burlington tied -  0- 1 Burlington
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   3- 0 vs 0- 3

PairWisePlus = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.66

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Milton          (13- 4, 93.9)     2-14       -6.04       8.79      -0.13         0.98            -6.01
   0 A Mount Abraham   ( 9- 6, 92.4)     6-11       -7.46       7.37       0.13         0.98            -7.15
   0 A Montpelier      (10- 4, 92.5)     6- 9       -7.40       7.42       0.13         0.98            -7.09
   0 A Colchester      ( 3-12, 87.7)     8- 2      -12.16       2.66       0.13         0.98             2.72
   0 H Mount Abraham   ( 9- 6, 92.4)     7-13       -7.46       7.37      -0.13         0.98            -7.40
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 9- 7, 90.2)     9-11       -9.74       5.08      -0.13         0.98            -9.63
   0 H Spaulding       ( 2-12, 85.1)    11- 3      -14.82       1.00      -0.13         0.98             0.85
   0 A Milton          (13- 4, 93.9)     5- 8       -6.04       8.79       0.13         0.98            -5.76
   0 H St Johnsbury A  ( 6-10, 90.1)     5-10       -9.85       4.97      -0.13         0.98            -9.73
   0 H Stowe           ( 9- 7, 92.6)     2-13       -7.29       7.53      -0.13         0.98            -7.24
   0 A Hartford Union  (16- 1, 98.9)     1-14       -1.04      13.79       0.13         0.98            -0.88
   0 H Colchester      ( 3-12, 87.7)     9- 2      -12.16       2.66      -0.13         0.98             2.47
   0 A Lyndon Institu  ( 0-12, 85.2)     1- 0      -14.70       1.00       0.13         0.98             1.10
   0 A Brattleboro Un  (10- 5, 91.8)     3- 9       -8.05       6.77       0.13         0.98            -7.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -61.48

winning pts = 7.1389 losing points = -68.6225

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------