Broad Run
W-L: ( 1- 1) PR = 87.3192
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
319 H Potomac Falls ( 0- 4, 82.2) 19- 1
324 A Riverside ( 3- 0, 96.9) 5-17
407 H Stone Bridge ( 3- 0, 91.8)
409 H Freedom South Ridin ( 3- 1, 91.8)
410 H Meridian ( 4- 0, 91.3)
414 A Lightridge ( 3- 0, 90.3)
417 A Tuscarora ( 0- 1, 74.7)
421 A Briar Woods ( 2- 0, 89.5)
428 H Dominion ( 1- 0, 87.5)
430 H Heritage Leesburg ( 1- 2, 88.8)
505 A Loudoun Valley ( 0- 3, 76.8)
508 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 2, 77.8)
512 A Loudoun County ( 0- 3, 88.0)
515 H Park View ( 0- 2, 72.1)
519 A Woodgrove ( 0- 1, 83.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 H Potomac Falls 19- 1 18 5 0.00
324 A Riverside 5-17 -12 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Broad Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Annandale |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Atlee |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Benedictine |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Bishop Ireton |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Brooke Point |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Clover Hill |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Colgan |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Culpeper County |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Deep Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Dominion |
Dominion |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Dominion |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fairfax |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Falls Church |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fauquier |
Broad Run |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Broad Run |
| First Colonial |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fishburne Military A |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Flint Hill |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fluvanna County |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Forest Park |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fork Union Military |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Franklin County |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Freedom South Ridin |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Grassfield LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Green Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Handley |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
| Hayfield |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Heritage Leesburg |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
| Hickory LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Hidden Valley |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Highland School |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Highland Springs |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Hylton |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| John Champe |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Justice |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Kellam |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Kempsville |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Kettle Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Lafayette LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Langley |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Lewis |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Liberty Bealeton |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
| Lloyd C Bird |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Lord Botetourt |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Marshall |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Massaponax |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Matoaca |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
 
| Meridian |
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Monacan |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Monticello |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Mount Vernon |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| New Covenant School |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Norfolk Collegiate |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Oakton |
| Ocean Lakes |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Orange County |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Osbourn |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Osbourn Park |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Park View |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
Broad Run |
Broad Run |
 
| |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Powhatan |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Princess Anne |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Riverbend |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
Riverside |
 
| |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Rockbridge County |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Rockingham LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Seton School |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| South County |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| South Lakes |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Stafford |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Steward School |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Tandem Friends |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Thomas Dale |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Trinity Christian |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Trinity Episcopal |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Trinity Meadow View |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Tuscarora |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Unity Reed |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Veritas School |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Virginia Academy |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Wakefield HS |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Wakefield School |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Washington-Liberty |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| West Potomac |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Woodgrove |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
| York LC |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PowerWise = 119

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Potomac Falls ( 0- 4, 82.2) 19- 1 -17.65 10.11 -0.08 1.63 16.37
0 A Riverside ( 3- 0, 96.9) 5-17 -2.96 24.81 0.08 1.63 -4.69
------
11.68
|
winning pts = 16.3720 losing points = -4.6922
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------