UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Broad Run 1
  
Broad Run             
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 82.5695

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Potomac Falls ( 2-11, 75.2) 19- 1 324 A Riverside (12- 1, 90.0) 5-17 407 H Stone Bridge (11- 2, 88.2) 5-17 409 H Freedom South Ridin ( 9- 5, 86.0) 8- 7 410 H Meridian (14- 0, 86.1) 6- 9 414 A Lightridge (12- 2, 86.0) 11-16 417 A Tuscarora ( 0-10, 70.8) 19- 4 421 A Briar Woods ( 9- 4, 85.0) 5- 7 428 H Dominion ( 4- 8, 79.0) 16- 4 430 H Heritage Leesburg ( 5- 8, 81.8) 5- 9 505 A Loudoun Valley ( 4-10, 79.3) 10- 7 508 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2) 16- 6 512 A Loudoun County ( 6- 6, 83.3) 6- 7 515 H Park View ( 0- 8, 63.0) 519 A Woodgrove ( 6- 7, 82.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Potomac Falls          19- 1      18     8           0.00
   324 A Riverside               5-17     -12    -8           0.00
   407 H Stone Bridge            5-17     -12    -5           0.00
   409 H Freedom  South Ridin    8- 7       1    -3    +      3.96
   410 H Meridian                6- 9      -3    -3           0.08
   414 A Lightridge             11-16      -5    -4          -1.08
   417 A Tuscarora              19- 4      15    11           0.00
   421 A Briar Woods             5- 7      -2    -3           0.93
   428 H Dominion               16- 4      12     4           1.02
   430 H Heritage  Leesburg      5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.24
   505 A Loudoun Valley         10- 7       3     3           0.17
   508 H Rock Ridge             16- 6      10    11           0.00
   512 A Loudoun County          6- 7      -1    -1           0.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Heritage  Leesburg      5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Freedom  South Ridin    8- 7       1    -3    +      3.96

Broad Run PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Annandale Broad Run   Broad Run
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Broad Run   Broad Run
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell tied -  0- 1 Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Broad Run tied -  0- 2 Broad Run
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods  
Brooke Point Broad Run   Broad Run
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Broad Run   Broad Run
Centreville Broad Run   Broad Run
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Broad Run   Broad Run
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Broad Run   Broad Run
Clover Hill Broad Run   Broad Run
Colgan Broad Run Broad Run   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Broad Run   Broad Run
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Broad Run   Broad Run
Deep Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Dominion Broad Run Broad Run  
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Broad Run   Broad Run
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Broad Run   Broad Run
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Broad Run   Broad Run
Fairfax Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Falls Church Broad Run tied -  1- 0 Broad Run
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier   5- 2 vs 4- 3
First Colonial Broad Run   Broad Run
Fishburne Military A Broad Run   Broad Run
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Broad Run   Broad Run
Forest Park Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Broad Run   Broad Run
Fredericksburg Acade Broad Run   Broad Run
Fredericksburg Chris Broad Run   Broad Run
Freedom South Ridin Broad Run Broad Run  
Freedom Woodbridge Broad Run   Broad Run
Gainesville Broad Run Broad Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gar-field Broad Run   Broad Run
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Broad Run   Broad Run
Grafton LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Grassfield LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Green Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Handley Broad Run   Broad Run
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Broad Run   Broad Run
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Hidden Valley Broad Run   Broad Run
Highland School Broad Run   Broad Run
Highland Springs Broad Run   Broad Run
Hylton Broad Run   Broad Run
Independence Independence Independence   4- 0 vs 1- 3
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Broad Run Broad Run   4- 6 vs 3- 7
Justice Broad Run Broad Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Broad Run   Broad Run
Kettle Run Broad Run tied -  1- 2 Broad Run
Lafayette LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Broad Run   Broad Run
Langley Langley Langley   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lewis Broad Run   Broad Run
Liberty Bealeton Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge  
Lloyd C Bird Broad Run   Broad Run
Lord Botetourt Broad Run   Broad Run
Loudoun County Loudoun County Loudoun County  
Loudoun Valley Broad Run Broad Run  
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Broad Run   Broad Run
Marshall Broad Run   Broad Run
Massaponax Broad Run   Broad Run
Matoaca Broad Run   Broad Run
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Broad Run   Broad Run
Menchville LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Broad Run   Broad Run
Monacan Broad Run   Broad Run
Monticello Broad Run   Broad Run
Mount Vernon Broad Run   Broad Run
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Broad Run   Broad Run
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Broad Run   Broad Run
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Broad Run   Broad Run
Northern VA Home Sch Broad Run   Broad Run
Oakton Oakton tied -  0- 1 Oakton
Ocean Lakes Broad Run   Broad Run
Orange County Broad Run   Broad Run
Osbourn Broad Run   Broad Run
Osbourn Park Broad Run   Broad Run
Park View Broad Run   Broad Run
Patrick Henry Ashla Broad Run   Broad Run
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Broad Run Broad Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Broad Run Broad Run  
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Broad Run   Broad Run
Powhatan Broad Run   Broad Run
Princess Anne Broad Run   Broad Run
Riverbend Broad Run   Broad Run
Riverside Riverside Riverside  
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Broad Run Broad Run  
Rockbridge County Broad Run   Broad Run
Rockingham LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Broad Run   Broad Run
Seton School Broad Run   Broad Run
South County Broad Run   Broad Run
South Lakes Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Broad Run   Broad Run
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Broad Run   Broad Run
Steward School Broad Run   Broad Run
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge  
Strasburg LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Broad Run   Broad Run
Tandem Friends Broad Run   Broad Run
Thomas Dale Broad Run   Broad Run
Thomas Jefferson Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Trinity Christian Broad Run   Broad Run
Trinity Episcopal Broad Run   Broad Run
Trinity Meadow View Broad Run   Broad Run
Tuscarora Broad Run Broad Run  
Unity Reed Broad Run   Broad Run
Veritas School Broad Run   Broad Run
Virginia Academy Broad Run tied -  1- 0 Broad Run
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Broad Run   Broad Run
Wakefield School Broad Run   Broad Run
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty tied -  1- 0 Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac tied -  0- 1 West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle tied -  0- 1 Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming Broad Run   Broad Run
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Broad Run   Broad Run
Woodgrove Broad Run Broad Run   5- 5 vs 4- 6
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Broad Run   Broad Run
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 107


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Potomac Falls   ( 2-11, 75.2)    19- 1      -24.68      12.27      -0.45         0.88            10.44
   0 A Riverside       (12- 1, 90.0)     5-17       -9.89      27.06       0.45         0.88            -8.33
   0 H Stone Bridge    (11- 2, 88.2)     5-17      -11.73      25.22      -0.45         0.88           -10.76
   0 H Freedom  South  ( 9- 5, 86.0)     8- 7      -13.91      23.03      -0.45         0.88            19.94
   0 H Meridian        (14- 0, 86.1)     6- 9      -13.80      23.15      -0.45         0.88           -12.58
   0 A Lightridge      (12- 2, 86.0)    11-16      -13.87      23.08       0.45         0.88           -11.85
   0 A Tuscarora       ( 0-10, 70.8)    19- 4      -29.12       7.82       0.45         0.88             7.31
   0 A Briar Woods     ( 9- 4, 85.0)     5- 7      -14.85      22.09       0.45         0.88           -12.72
   0 H Dominion        ( 4- 8, 79.0)    16- 4      -20.85      16.09      -0.45         0.88            13.81
   0 H Heritage  Lees  ( 5- 8, 81.8)     5- 9      -18.12      18.83      -0.45         0.88           -16.40
   0 A Loudoun Valley  ( 4-10, 79.3)    10- 7      -20.61      16.34       0.45         0.88            14.83
   0 H Rock Ridge      ( 0- 8, 72.2)    16- 6      -27.72       9.23      -0.45         0.88             7.75
   0 A Loudoun County  ( 6- 6, 83.3)     6- 7      -16.65      20.30       0.45         0.88           -14.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -12.87

winning pts = 74.0681 losing points = -86.9400

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------