UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Blair 1
  
Blair                 
W-L: ( 2- 1) PR = 87.4472

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 323 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 3- 0, 93.4) 5-17 325 H Einstein ( 1- 3, 85.7) 6- 4 327 A Kennedy ( 0- 4, 79.7) 20- 0 408 H Wheaton ( 0- 4, 82.9) 410 A Richard Montgomery ( 3- 1, 86.4) 414 A Northwest ( 0- 3, 83.4) 415 H Northwood ( 1- 3, 80.8) 418 A Rockville ( 2- 1, 95.7) 420 A Winston Churchill ( 0- 2, 85.7) 423 H Walter Johnson ( 1- 2, 91.1) 427 A Paint Branch ( 1- 3, 85.0) 430 H Quince Orchard ( 3- 0, 94.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase    5-17     -12    -6           0.00
   325 H Einstein                6- 4       2     2          -0.11
   327 A Kennedy                20- 0      20     7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Blair Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Blair   Blair
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Blair   Blair
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Blair   Blair
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Blair   Blair
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Blair   Blair
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Blair   Blair
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Blair   Blair
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Blair   Blair
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Blair   Blair
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Blair   Blair
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Blair   Blair
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Blair   Blair
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Blair   Blair
Atholton Blair   Blair
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Blair   Blair
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Bladensburg Blair   Blair
Blake Blair tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Blair
Bohemia Manor Blair   Blair
Boonsboro Blair   Blair
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Blair   Blair
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Blair   Blair
Carver A&T Blair   Blair
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Blair   Blair
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Blair   Blair
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Blair   Blair
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Blair   Blair
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Blair   Blair
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Blair   Blair
DuVal Blair   Blair
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Blair   Blair
Edgewood Blair   Blair
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Blair Blair  
Eleanor Roosevelt Blair   Blair
Elkton Blair   Blair
Fairmont Heights Blair   Blair
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Blair   Blair
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Blair   Blair
Frederick Douglass B Blair   Blair
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Blair   Blair
Great Mills Blair   Blair
Guilford Park Guilford Park   Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Blair   Blair
Harford Tech Blair   Blair
Havre De Grace Blair   Blair
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Blair   Blair
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Blair   Blair
Kennedy Blair Blair  
Kent County Blair   Blair
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Blair   Blair
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Blair   Blair
Lake Clifton Blair   Blair
Lansdowne Blair   Blair
Laurel Blair   Blair
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Blair   Blair
Magruder Magruder tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Blair   Blair
Mergenthaler Blair   Blair
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Blair   Blair
MJ McDonough Blair   Blair
Mount Hebron Blair   Blair
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Blair   Blair
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Blair   Blair
North East Cecil Blair   Blair
North Hagerstown Blair   Blair
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Blair   Blair
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Blair   Blair
Northwest Blair   Blair
Northwestern PG Blair   Blair
Northwood Blair insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Blair
Oakdale Blair   Blair
Oakland Mills Blair   Blair
Old Mill Blair   Blair
Overlea Blair   Blair
Owings Mills Blair   Blair
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Blair tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Blair
Parkdale Blair   Blair
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Blair   Blair
Patterson Mill Blair   Blair
Patuxent Blair   Blair
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Blair   Blair
Reginald F Lewis Blair   Blair
Reservoir Blair   Blair
Richard Montgomery Blair tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Blair
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Seneca Valley
Severn Run Blair   Blair
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Blair   Blair
South Carroll Blair   Blair
South Hagerstown Blair   Blair
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Blair   Blair
Sparrows Point Blair   Blair
Springbrook Blair   Blair
St Charles Blair   Blair
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Suitland   Suitland
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Blair   Blair
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Blair   Blair
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Blair   Blair
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Blair   Blair
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Blair   Blair
Wicomico Blair   Blair
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Blair tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Blair
Winters Mill Blair   Blair
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Blair   Blair
DC International PCS Blair   Blair
Jackson Reed Blair   Blair

PowerWise = 100


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bethesda-Chevy  ( 3- 0, 93.4)     5-17       -6.54      18.53      -0.41         1.09            -7.55
   0 H Einstein        ( 1- 3, 85.7)     6- 4      -14.15      10.91      -0.41         1.09            11.42
   0 A Kennedy         ( 0- 4, 79.7)    20- 0      -20.16       4.90       0.41         1.09             5.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         9.64

winning pts = 17.1924 losing points = -7.5491

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------