UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Bel Air 1
  
Bel Air               
W-L: ( 2- 3) PR = 86.9326

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 83.9) 9- 4 321 A Leonardtown ( 4- 1, 93.5) 3-11 324 H Joppatowne ( 0- 3, 76.4) 19- 0 326 H North Harford ( 3- 2, 88.7) 11-12 328 H Sparrows Point ( 1- 2, 86.3) 8- 9 407 A Aberdeen ( 0- 2, 81.9) 408 A Havre De Grace ( 2- 2, 85.8) 410 A Fallston ( 4- 0, 92.5) 414 A CM Wright ( 2- 2, 88.8) 421 A Patterson Mill ( 3- 1, 86.1) 424 A Perryville ( 2- 1, 89.3) 427 H Hereford ( 4- 2, 90.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Harford Tech            9- 4       5     3           1.59
   321 A Leonardtown             3-11      -8    -7           0.00
   324 H Joppatowne             19- 0      19    11           0.00
   326 H North Harford          11-12      -1    -1           0.39
   328 H Sparrows Point          8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Sparrows Point          8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Bel Air Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Bel Air   Bel Air
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Bel Air   Bel Air
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Bel Air   Bel Air
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Bel Air   Bel Air
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Bel Air   Bel Air
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Bel Air   Bel Air
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Bel Air   Bel Air
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Bel Air   Bel Air
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Bel Air   Bel Air
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Bel Air   Bel Air
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Bel Air   Bel Air
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Bel Air   Bel Air
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Bel Air   Bel Air
Atholton Bel Air   Bel Air
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Bel Air   Bel Air
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Bel Air   Bel Air
Boonsboro Bel Air   Bel Air
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Bel Air   Bel Air
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Bel Air   Bel Air
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Bel Air   Bel Air
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Bel Air   Bel Air
Chopticon Chopticon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Bel Air   Bel Air
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Bel Air   Bel Air
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Bel Air   Bel Air
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Bel Air   Bel Air
DuVal Bel Air   Bel Air
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Bel Air   Bel Air
Edgewood Bel Air tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bel Air
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Bel Air   Bel Air
Eleanor Roosevelt Bel Air   Bel Air
Elkton Bel Air tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bel Air
Fairmont Heights Bel Air   Bel Air
Fallston Fallston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Bel Air   Bel Air
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Bel Air   Bel Air
Frederick Douglass B Bel Air   Bel Air
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Bel Air   Bel Air
Great Mills Bel Air   Bel Air
Guilford Park Guilford Park   Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Bel Air   Bel Air
Harford Tech Bel Air Bel Air  
Havre De Grace Bel Air tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bel Air
Hereford Hereford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Bel Air   Bel Air
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Bel Air Bel Air  
Kennedy Bel Air   Bel Air
Kent County Bel Air   Bel Air
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Bel Air   Bel Air
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Bel Air tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bel Air
Lake Clifton Bel Air   Bel Air
Lansdowne Bel Air   Bel Air
Laurel Bel Air   Bel Air
Leonardtown Leonardtown Leonardtown  
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Bel Air   Bel Air
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Bel Air   Bel Air
Mergenthaler Bel Air   Bel Air
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Bel Air   Bel Air
MJ McDonough Bel Air   Bel Air
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Bel Air   Bel Air
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Bel Air   Bel Air
North East Cecil Bel Air   Bel Air
North Hagerstown Bel Air   Bel Air
North Harford North Harford North Harford  
North Point Bel Air   Bel Air
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Bel Air   Bel Air
Northwestern PG Bel Air   Bel Air
Northwood Bel Air   Bel Air
Oakdale Bel Air   Bel Air
Oakland Mills Bel Air   Bel Air
Old Mill Bel Air   Bel Air
Overlea Bel Air   Bel Air
Owings Mills Bel Air   Bel Air
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Bel Air   Bel Air
Parkdale Bel Air   Bel Air
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Patapsco
Patterson HS Bel Air   Bel Air
Patterson Mill Bel Air tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bel Air
Patuxent Bel Air   Bel Air
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Bel Air   Bel Air
Reginald F Lewis Bel Air   Bel Air
Reservoir Bel Air   Bel Air
Richard Montgomery Bel Air   Bel Air
Rising Sun Rising Sun insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Bel Air   Bel Air
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Bel Air   Bel Air
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Bel Air   Bel Air
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Bel Air   Bel Air
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point Sparrows Point  
Springbrook Bel Air   Bel Air
St Charles Bel Air   Bel Air
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Suitland   Suitland
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Bel Air   Bel Air
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Bel Air   Bel Air
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Bel Air   Bel Air
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Bel Air tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bel Air
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Bel Air   Bel Air
Wicomico Bel Air   Bel Air
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Bel Air   Bel Air
Winters Mill Bel Air insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bel Air
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Bel Air   Bel Air
DC International PCS Bel Air   Bel Air
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Harford Tech    ( 1- 3, 83.9)     9- 4      -15.97       9.09      -0.41         0.65             5.67
   0 A Leonardtown     ( 4- 1, 93.5)     3-11       -6.38      18.69       0.41         0.65            -3.90
   0 H Joppatowne      ( 0- 3, 76.4)    19- 0      -23.46       1.60      -0.41         0.65             0.78
   0 H North Harford   ( 3- 2, 88.7)    11-12      -11.17      13.90      -0.41         0.65            -7.55
   0 H Sparrows Point  ( 1- 2, 86.3)     8- 9      -13.61      11.46      -0.41         0.65            -9.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -14.13

winning pts = 6.4481 losing points = -20.5830

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------