Bel Air
W-L: ( 2- 3) PR = 86.9326
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
320 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 83.9) 9- 4
321 A Leonardtown ( 4- 1, 93.5) 3-11
324 H Joppatowne ( 0- 3, 76.4) 19- 0
326 H North Harford ( 3- 2, 88.7) 11-12
328 H Sparrows Point ( 1- 2, 86.3) 8- 9
407 A Aberdeen ( 0- 2, 81.9)
408 A Havre De Grace ( 2- 2, 85.8)
410 A Fallston ( 4- 0, 92.5)
414 A CM Wright ( 2- 2, 88.8)
421 A Patterson Mill ( 3- 1, 86.1)
424 A Perryville ( 2- 1, 89.3)
427 H Hereford ( 4- 2, 90.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H Harford Tech 9- 4 5 3 1.59
321 A Leonardtown 3-11 -8 -7 0.00
324 H Joppatowne 19- 0 19 11 0.00
326 H North Harford 11-12 -1 -1 0.39
328 H Sparrows Point 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 H Sparrows Point 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.04
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Bel Air Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
|
 
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Friends |
|
 
| Friends |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Glenelg Country |
|
 
| Glenelg Country |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Mercersburg Academy |
|
 
| Mercersburg Academy |
| Mount Carmel |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Atholton |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Baltimore Polytechni |
|
 
| Baltimore Polytechni |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Blair |
Blair |
|
 
| Blair |
| Blake |
Blake |
|
 
| Blake |
| Bohemia Manor |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Boonsboro |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
|
 
| Bowie |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Cambridge SD |
|
 
| Cambridge SD |
| Carver A&T |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
 
| Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
 
| Crofton |
| Damascus |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Dunbar |
|
 
| Dunbar |
| Dundalk |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| DuVal |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Edgewood |
Bel Air |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bel Air |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Elkton |
Bel Air |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Bel Air |
| Fairmont Heights |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Francis Scott Key |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Gaithersburg |
|
 
| Gaithersburg |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
 
| Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Great Mills |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
|
 
| Gwynn Park |
| Hammond |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Harford Tech |
Bel Air |
Bel Air |
 
| |
| Havre De Grace |
Bel Air |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Bel Air |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Bel Air |
Bel Air |
 
| |
| Kennedy |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Kent County |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Bel Air |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bel Air |
| Lake Clifton |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Lansdowne |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Laurel |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
 
| |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Loch Raven |
|
 
| Loch Raven |
| Long Reach |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
 
| Magruder |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Mergenthaler |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| MJ McDonough |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
 
| Mount Hebron |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| North County |
North County |
|
 
| North County |
| North Dorchester |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| North East Cecil |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| North Hagerstown |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
North Harford |
 
| |
| North Point |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
 
| Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwest |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Northwestern PG |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Northwood |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Oakdale |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Oakland Mills |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Old Mill |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Overlea |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Owings Mills |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
|
 
| Oxon Hill |
| Paint Branch |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Parkdale |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Patapsco |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Patapsco |
| Patterson HS |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Patterson Mill |
Bel Air |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Bel Air |
| Patuxent |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Poolesville |
|
 
| Poolesville |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Reservoir |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Richard Montgomery |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Seneca Valley |
|
 
| Seneca Valley |
| Severn Run |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
 
| Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
 
| |
| Springbrook |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| St Charles |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Suitland |
|
 
| Suitland |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Western STES |
Western STES |
|
 
| Western STES |
| Westlake |
Bel Air |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bel Air |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Wicomico |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Winters Mill |
Bel Air |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Bel Air |
| Woodlawn |
Woodlawn |
|
 
| Woodlawn |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| DC International PCS |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 92

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Harford Tech ( 1- 3, 83.9) 9- 4 -15.97 9.09 -0.41 0.65 5.67
0 A Leonardtown ( 4- 1, 93.5) 3-11 -6.38 18.69 0.41 0.65 -3.90
0 H Joppatowne ( 0- 3, 76.4) 19- 0 -23.46 1.60 -0.41 0.65 0.78
0 H North Harford ( 3- 2, 88.7) 11-12 -11.17 13.90 -0.41 0.65 -7.55
0 H Sparrows Point ( 1- 2, 86.3) 8- 9 -13.61 11.46 -0.41 0.65 -9.14
------
-14.13
|
winning pts = 6.4481 losing points = -20.5830
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------