UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Bel Air 1
  
Bel Air               
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 87.4764

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Harford Tech ( 7- 7, 83.1) 9- 4 321 A Leonardtown (13- 4, 90.4) 3-11 324 H Joppatowne ( 2-10, 71.7) 19- 0 326 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 87.3) 11-12 328 H Sparrows Point ( 5- 9, 85.3) 8- 9 407 A Aberdeen ( 5- 7, 78.9) 13- 0 408 A Havre De Grace ( 5- 7, 82.5) 17- 5 410 A Fallston (16- 3, 91.8) 7-10 414 A CM Wright ( 6- 7, 87.7) 6-13 421 A Patterson Mill ( 7- 8, 82.7) 14- 9 424 A Perryville ( 5- 7, 82.6) 19-12 427 H Hereford (12- 5, 90.0) 4- 7 501 H Perryville ( 5- 7, 82.6) 14-10 506 H CM Wright ( 6- 7, 87.7) 7- 4 508 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 87.3) 11- 3 511 A Eastern Tech (10- 4, 84.2) 14- 3 513 A Huntingtown (16- 1, 91.7) 2-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Harford Tech            9- 4       5     5           0.23
   321 A Leonardtown             3-11      -8    -3          -1.70
   324 H Joppatowne             19- 0      19    16           0.00
   326 H North Harford          11-12      -1     1          -1.62
   328 H Sparrows Point          8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.62
   407 A Aberdeen               13- 0      13     8           0.00
   408 A Havre De Grace         17- 5      12     5           0.46
   410 A Fallston                7-10      -3    -5           1.74
   414 A CM Wright               6-13      -7    -1    --    -4.35
   421 A Patterson Mill         14- 9       5     4           0.66
   424 A Perryville             19-12       7     4           0.50
   427 H Hereford                4- 7      -3    -2          -0.85
   501 H Perryville             14-10       4     5          -1.00
   506 H CM Wright               7- 4       3     0    +      2.82
   508 A North Harford          11- 3       8     0    ++     5.21
   511 A Eastern Tech           14- 3      11     3    +      2.19
   513 A Huntingtown             2-14     -12    -5          -0.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A CM Wright               6-13      -7    -1    --    -4.35
   328 H Sparrows Point          8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A North Harford          11- 3       8     0    ++     5.21
   506 H CM Wright               7- 4       3     0    +      2.82
   511 A Eastern Tech           14- 3      11     3    +      2.19

Bel Air PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Bel Air   Bel Air
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Bel Air   Bel Air
Bishop McNamara Bel Air   Bel Air
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Bel Air   Bel Air
Concordia Prep Bel Air tied -  1- 0 Bel Air
Cristo Rey Jesuit Bel Air   Bel Air
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Bel Air   Bel Air
Friends Bel Air   Bel Air
Garrett County LC Bel Air   Bel Air
Georgetown Day Bel Air   Bel Air
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Bel Air   Bel Air
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Bel Air   Bel Air
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Bel Air   Bel Air
Jemicy School Bel Air   Bel Air
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Bel Air   Bel Air
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Bel Air   Bel Air
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Bel Air   Bel Air
Mount Carmel Bel Air   Bel Air
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Bel Air   Bel Air
Salisbury School Bel Air   Bel Air
Sandy Spring Friends Bel Air   Bel Air
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Bel Air   Bel Air
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Bel Air   Bel Air
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Bel Air   Bel Air
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Bel Air   Bel Air
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Bel Air   Bel Air
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Bel Air Bel Air  
Academy for College Bel Air tied -  1- 0 Bel Air
Annapolis Bel Air tied -  0- 1 Bel Air
Arundel Bel Air   Bel Air
Atholton Bel Air   Bel Air
Baltimore Polytechni Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Bel Air   Bel Air
Blair Bel Air   Bel Air
Blake Bel Air   Bel Air
Bohemia Manor Bel Air Bel Air   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Boonsboro Bel Air   Bel Air
Bowie Bel Air tied -  0- 1 Bel Air
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Bel Air   Bel Air
Calvert Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Cambridge SD Bel Air tied -  0- 1 Bel Air
Carver A&T Bel Air Bel Air   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Catoctin Bel Air   Bel Air
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Centennial Bel Air   Bel Air
Century Century Century   1- 0 vs 1- 1
CH Flowers Bel Air   Bel Air
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   2- 0 vs 1- 2
Chesapeake BC Bel Air Bel Air   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chopticon Chopticon tied -  0- 1 Chopticon
City College Bel Air tied -  1- 0 Bel Air
Clarksburg Bel Air   Bel Air
CM Wright Bel Air Bel Air   4- 2 vs 3- 2
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Bel Air   Bel Air
Digital Harbor Bel Air   Bel Air
Dr Henry Wise Bel Air   Bel Air
Dulaney Dulaney Dulaney   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Dunbar Bel Air   Bel Air
Dundalk Bel Air Bel Air   1- 0 vs 0- 1
DuVal Bel Air   Bel Air
Eastern Tech Bel Air Bel Air  
Easton Bel Air   Bel Air
Edgewood Bel Air Bel Air   6- 2 vs 0- 6
Edmondson-Westside Bel Air   Bel Air
Einstein Bel Air   Bel Air
Eleanor Roosevelt Bel Air   Bel Air
Elkton Bel Air Bel Air   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Fairmont Heights Bel Air   Bel Air
Fallston Fallston Fallston  
Forest Park Bel Air   Bel Air
Francis Scott Key Bel Air   Bel Air
Franklin Franklin Franklin   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Frederick Bel Air   Bel Air
Frederick Douglass B Bel Air   Bel Air
Frederick Douglass P Bel Air   Bel Air
Friendly Bel Air   Bel Air
Gaithersburg Bel Air   Bel Air
Glen Burnie Bel Air tied -  1- 0 Bel Air
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Bel Air   Bel Air
Great Mills Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Guilford Park Bel Air   Bel Air
Gwynn Park Bel Air   Bel Air
Hammond Bel Air   Bel Air
Harford Tech Bel Air Bel Air  
Havre De Grace Bel Air Bel Air  
Hereford Hereford Hereford  
High Point Bel Air   Bel Air
Howard Bel Air   Bel Air
Huntingtown Huntingtown Huntingtown  
JM Bennett Bel Air   Bel Air
Joppatowne Bel Air Bel Air  
Kennedy Bel Air   Bel Air
Kent County Bel Air   Bel Air
Kent Island Kent Island Kent Island   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kenwood Bel Air Bel Air   2- 0 vs 0- 2
La Plata Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Lackey Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Lake Clifton Bel Air   Bel Air
Lansdowne Bel Air   Bel Air
Laurel Bel Air   Bel Air
Leonardtown Leonardtown Leonardtown  
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Bel Air Bel Air   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Long Reach Bel Air   Bel Air
Magruder Bel Air   Bel Air
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley tied -  0- 2 Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge tied -  0- 1 Marriotts Ridge
Meade Bel Air   Bel Air
Mergenthaler Bel Air   Bel Air
Middletown Middletown Middletown   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Milford Mill Bel Air   Bel Air
MJ McDonough Bel Air tied -  0- 1 Bel Air
Mount Hebron Bel Air   Bel Air
National Academy Fou Bel Air   Bel Air
New Town Bel Air   Bel Air
North Caroline Bel Air   Bel Air
North County Bel Air   Bel Air
North Dorchester Bel Air   Bel Air
North East Cecil Bel Air Bel Air   5- 0 vs 1- 4
North Hagerstown Bel Air   Bel Air
North Harford North Harford North Harford   7- 1 vs 7- 2
North Point Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Northeast AA Bel Air tied -  1- 0 Bel Air
Northern Calvert Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Northwest Bel Air   Bel Air
Northwestern PG Bel Air   Bel Air
Northwood Bel Air   Bel Air
Oakdale Bel Air   Bel Air
Oakland Mills Bel Air   Bel Air
Old Mill Bel Air Bel Air   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Overlea Bel Air Bel Air   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Owings Mills Bel Air   Bel Air
Oxon Hill Bel Air   Bel Air
Paint Branch Bel Air   Bel Air
Parkdale Bel Air   Bel Air
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Bel Air Bel Air   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Patapsco Bel Air Bel Air   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Patterson HS Bel Air   Bel Air
Patterson Mill Bel Air Bel Air  
Patuxent Bel Air tied -  0- 2 Bel Air
Perry Hall Bel Air Bel Air   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Perryville Bel Air Bel Air  
Pikesville Bel Air   Bel Air
Poolesville Bel Air   Bel Air
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Bel Air   Bel Air
Reginald F Lewis Bel Air   Bel Air
Reservoir Bel Air   Bel Air
Richard Montgomery Bel Air   Bel Air
Rising Sun Rising Sun Rising Sun   5- 2 vs 6- 3
River Hill Bel Air   Bel Air
Rockville Bel Air   Bel Air
Seneca Valley Bel Air   Bel Air
Severn Run Bel Air   Bel Air
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood tied -  0- 1 Sherwood
Smithsburg Bel Air   Bel Air
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Bel Air   Bel Air
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Bel Air   Bel Air
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point Sparrows Point  
Springbrook Bel Air   Bel Air
St Charles Bel Air   Bel Air
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Suitland Bel Air   Bel Air
Surrattsville Bel Air   Bel Air
Thomas Stone Bel Air   Bel Air
Towson Towson Towson   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Tuscarora Bel Air   Bel Air
Urbana Urbana Urbana   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman tied -  0- 1 Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Bel Air   Bel Air
Western STES Bel Air   Bel Air
Westlake Bel Air tied -  0- 1 Bel Air
Westminster Westminster tied -  0- 1 Westminster
Wheaton Bel Air   Bel Air
Wicomico Bel Air   Bel Air
Wilde Lake Bel Air   Bel Air
Winston Churchill Bel Air   Bel Air
Winters Mill Bel Air Bel Air   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Woodlawn Bel Air   Bel Air
Wootton Bel Air   Bel Air
Archbishop Carroll Bel Air   Bel Air
DC International PCS Bel Air   Bel Air
Jackson Reed Bel Air   Bel Air

PairWisePlus = 159


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Harford Tech    ( 7- 7, 83.1)     9- 4      -16.77      17.25      -0.42         0.71            11.95
   0 A Leonardtown     (13- 4, 90.4)     3-11       -9.54      24.49       0.42         0.71            -6.47
   0 H Joppatowne      ( 2-10, 71.7)    19- 0      -28.24       5.79      -0.42         0.71             3.81
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 87.3)    11-12      -12.63      21.40      -0.42         0.71            -9.26
   0 H Sparrows Point  ( 5- 9, 85.3)     8- 9      -14.63      19.40      -0.42         0.71           -10.67
   0 A Aberdeen        ( 5- 7, 78.9)    13- 0      -20.97      13.05       0.42         0.71             9.56
   0 A Havre De Grace  ( 5- 7, 82.5)    17- 5      -17.38      16.65       0.42         0.71            12.11
   0 A Fallston        (16- 3, 91.8)     7-10       -8.10      25.93       0.42         0.71            -5.45
   0 A CM Wright       ( 6- 7, 87.7)     6-13      -12.19      21.84       0.42         0.71            -8.35
   0 A Patterson Mill  ( 7- 8, 82.7)    14- 9      -17.18      16.85       0.42         0.71            12.25
   0 A Perryville      ( 5- 7, 82.6)    19-12      -17.34      16.69       0.42         0.71            12.14
   0 H Hereford        (12- 5, 90.0)     4- 7       -9.86      24.17      -0.42         0.71            -7.29
   0 H Perryville      ( 5- 7, 82.6)    14-10      -17.34      16.69      -0.42         0.71            11.55
   0 H CM Wright       ( 6- 7, 87.7)     7- 4      -12.19      21.84      -0.42         0.71            15.20
   0 A North Harford   ( 9- 5, 87.3)    11- 3      -12.63      21.40       0.42         0.71            15.48
   0 A Eastern Tech    (10- 4, 84.2)    14- 3      -15.65      18.38       0.42         0.71            13.33
   0 A Huntingtown     (16- 1, 91.7)     2-14       -8.17      25.85       0.42         0.71            -5.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        64.37

winning pts = 117.3712 losing points = -53.0004

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------