UPDATED: 08-07-26 19:08 PDT

boys Bismarck-Mandan LC 1
  
Bismarck-Mandan LC    
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 95.0559

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 502 N Watertown LC ( 0-12, 90.2) 12- 1 502 A Red River Valley LC (15- 0, 99.9) 1-13 503 N Grand Cities LC ( 7- 8, 95.1) 7-10 509 N Red River Valley LC (15- 0, 99.9) 4- 9 509 N Grand Cities LC ( 7- 8, 95.1) 10- 9 509 A Black Hills LC ( 5- 7, 94.6) 8- 7 516 A Grand Cities LC ( 7- 8, 95.1) 12- 8 516 N Red River Valley LC (15- 0, 99.9) 4-10 517 N Black Hills LC ( 5- 7, 94.6) 8-11 530 N Red River Valley LC (15- 0, 99.9) 3- 8 531 A Watertown LC ( 0-12, 90.2) 14- 3 531 N Black Hills LC ( 5- 7, 94.6) 10- 9 606 H Black Hills LC ( 5- 7, 94.6) 7- 6 607 N Red River Valley LC (15- 0, 99.9) 3-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 N Watertown LC           12- 1      11     5           0.11
   502 A Red River Valley LC     1-13     -12    -5          -0.15
   503 N Grand Cities LC         7-10      -3     0    -     -2.91
   509 N Red River Valley LC     4- 9      -5    -5          -0.16
   509 N Grand Cities LC        10- 9       1     0           1.09
   509 A Black Hills LC          8- 7       1     0           0.57
   516 A Grand Cities LC        12- 8       4     0    ++     4.10
   516 N Red River Valley LC     4-10      -6    -5          -0.16
   517 N Black Hills LC          8-11      -3     0    -     -3.44
   530 N Red River Valley LC     3- 8      -5    -5          -0.16
   531 A Watertown LC           14- 3      11     5           0.12
   531 N Black Hills LC         10- 9       1     0           0.56
   606 H Black Hills LC          7- 6       1     0           0.55
   607 N Red River Valley LC     3-13     -10    -5          -0.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 N Grand Cities LC         7-10      -3     0    -     -2.91
   517 N Black Hills LC          8-11      -3     0    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Grand Cities LC        12- 8       4     0    ++     4.10

Bismarck-Mandan LC PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Black Hills LC Bismarck-Mandan LC Bismarck-Mandan LC  
Grand Cities LC Bismarck-Mandan LC Bismarck-Mandan LC  
Red River Valley LC Red River Valley LC Red River Valley LC  
Watertown LC Bismarck-Mandan LC Bismarck-Mandan LC  

PairWisePlus = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.60

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 N Watertown LC    ( 0-12, 90.2)    12- 1       -9.73       1.00      -0.00         0.97             0.97
   0 A Red River Vall  (15- 0, 99.9)     1-13       -0.00       9.73       0.01         0.97            -0.01
   0 N Grand Cities L  ( 7- 8, 95.1)     7-10       -4.75       4.98      -0.00         0.97            -4.62
   0 N Red River Vall  (15- 0, 99.9)     4- 9       -0.00       9.73      -0.00         0.97            -0.00
   0 N Grand Cities L  ( 7- 8, 95.1)    10- 9       -4.75       4.98      -0.00         0.97             4.83
   0 A Black Hills LC  ( 5- 7, 94.6)     8- 7       -5.28       4.45       0.01         0.97             4.33
   0 A Grand Cities L  ( 7- 8, 95.1)    12- 8       -4.75       4.98       0.01         0.97             4.84
   0 N Red River Vall  (15- 0, 99.9)     4-10       -0.00       9.73      -0.00         0.97            -0.00
   0 N Black Hills LC  ( 5- 7, 94.6)     8-11       -5.28       4.45      -0.00         0.97            -5.13
   0 N Red River Vall  (15- 0, 99.9)     3- 8       -0.00       9.73      -0.00         0.97            -0.00
   0 A Watertown LC    ( 0-12, 90.2)    14- 3       -9.73       1.00       0.01         0.97             0.98
   0 N Black Hills LC  ( 5- 7, 94.6)    10- 9       -5.28       4.45      -0.00         0.97             4.32
   0 H Black Hills LC  ( 5- 7, 94.6)     7- 6       -5.28       4.45      -0.01         0.97             4.31
   0 N Red River Vall  (15- 0, 99.9)     3-13       -0.00       9.73      -0.00         0.97            -0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        14.84

winning pts = 24.5994 losing points = -9.7580

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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