UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:02 PDT

boys Bellows Free Academy 1
  
Bellows Free Academy  
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 90.4986

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 6- 6, 95.2) 4-14 421 H St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3) 6- 3 425 H Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 6-20 427 A Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 5-15 429 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 1- 8 502 H Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 5-10 506 H South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 2-17 508 H Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 4-14 512 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 4- 3 518 A Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 4- 9 522 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 6- 9 526 A Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 10- 4 528 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 6- 6, 95.2) 529 A South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Mt Mansfield Union      4-14     -10    -5          -0.29
   421 H St Johnsbury Academy    6- 3       3     1           1.77
   425 H Middlebury Union        6-20     -14    -6           0.00
   427 A Champlain Valley Uni    5-15     -10    -8           0.00
   429 A Rice Memorial           1- 8      -7    -4          -0.85
   502 H Essex Junction          5-10      -5     0    --    -5.24
   506 H South Burlington        2-17     -15    -9           0.00
   508 H Champlain Valley Uni    4-14     -10    -8           0.00
   512 A Colchester              4- 3       1     3    -     -2.21
   518 A Middlebury Union        4- 9      -5    -6           0.00
   522 H Rice Memorial           6- 9      -3    -4           1.13
   526 A Essex Junction         10- 4       6     0    ++     4.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Essex Junction          5-10      -5     0    --    -5.24
   512 A Colchester              4- 3       1     3    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 A Essex Junction         10- 4       6     0    ++     4.78

Bellows Free Academy PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy tied -  1- 0 Bellows Free Academy
Brattleboro Union Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
Burlington Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
Colchester Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Essex Junction Bellows Free Academy tied -  0- 5 Bellows Free Academy
Green Mountain Valle Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
Hartford Union Hartford Union tied -  2- 0 Hartford Union
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union Middlebury Union  
Milton Milton tied -  2- 0 Milton
Montpelier Montpelier tied -  2- 0 Montpelier
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham tied -  2- 0 Mount Abraham
Mt Anthony Union Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union  
Otter Valley Union Otter Valley Union   Otter Valley Union
Randolph Union Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Rutland Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington  
Spaulding Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Johnsbury Academy Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Stowe Stowe tied -  2- 0 Stowe
Stratton Mountain Sc Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   2- 1 vs 0- 3

PairWisePlus = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mt Mansfield U  ( 6- 6, 95.2)     4-14       -4.70      11.10       0.01         0.91            -4.26
   0 H St Johnsbury A  ( 5- 8, 89.3)     6- 3      -10.62       5.17      -0.01         0.91             4.69
   0 H Middlebury Uni  ( 7- 6, 96.5)     6-20       -3.45      12.35      -0.01         0.91            -3.14
   0 A Champlain Vall  (10- 3, 99.0)     5-15       -0.93      14.86       0.01         0.91            -0.84
   0 A Rice Memorial   ( 7- 5, 94.6)     1- 8       -5.26      10.53       0.01         0.91            -4.77
   0 H Essex Junction  ( 1-10, 90.3)     5-10       -9.63       6.16      -0.01         0.91            -8.76
   0 H South Burlingt  (10- 3, 99.9)     2-17       -0.00      15.80      -0.01         0.91            -0.01
   0 H Champlain Vall  (10- 3, 99.0)     4-14       -0.93      14.86      -0.01         0.91            -0.86
   0 A Colchester      ( 3- 9, 87.3)     4- 3      -12.62       3.18       0.01         0.91             2.90
   0 A Middlebury Uni  ( 7- 6, 96.5)     4- 9       -3.45      12.35       0.01         0.91            -3.12
   0 H Rice Memorial   ( 7- 5, 94.6)     6- 9       -5.26      10.53      -0.01         0.91            -4.79
   0 A Essex Junction  ( 1-10, 90.3)    10- 4       -9.63       6.16       0.01         0.91             5.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -17.34

winning pts = 13.1880 losing points = -30.5312

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------