UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Berlin 1
  
Berlin                
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 79.1537

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 75.2) 13- 5 409 H Avon HS ( 5-11, 83.6) 3-13 413 H Holy Cross ( 7- 9, 78.9) 8-12 414 A EO Smith ( 8- 8, 78.8) 15- 5 416 A Rocky Hill ( 9- 7, 75.8) 12- 5 420 A Newington ( 0-15, 73.9) 18- 9 423 H South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 5- 6 430 A Farmington (13- 3, 88.0) 3-16 502 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-14, 69.1) 12- 1 504 A Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 8-14 506 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 74.9) 14- 4 507 H Tolland ( 6-10, 78.3) 6-10 512 H Wolcott (10- 6, 77.7) 10- 9 514 H RHAM ( 4-12, 77.7) 10- 6 518 H Wethersfield (12- 4, 83.8) 4-15 521 A Lewis Mills (15- 1, 85.7) 6-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Jonathan Law           13- 5       8     4           0.73
   409 H Avon HS                 3-13     -10    -4          -0.91
   413 H Holy Cross              8-12      -4     1    --    -4.59
   414 A EO Smith               15- 5      10     0    ++     5.00
   416 A Rocky Hill             12- 5       7     3           1.94
   420 A Newington              18- 9       9     5           0.09
   423 H South Windsor           5- 6      -1    -3           1.70
   430 A Farmington              3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   502 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   12- 1      11    10           0.00
   504 A Hall                    8-14      -6    -6           0.00
   506 H Windsor                14- 4      10     5           0.39
   507 H Tolland                 6-10      -4     1    --    -5.19
   512 H Wolcott                10- 9       1     2          -0.77
   514 H RHAM                   10- 6       4     2    +      2.24
   518 H Wethersfield            4-15     -11    -4          -0.66
   521 A Lewis Mills             6-18     -12    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Holy Cross              8-12      -4     1    --    -4.59
   507 H Tolland                 6-10      -4     1    --    -5.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A EO Smith               15- 5      10     0    ++     5.00
   514 H RHAM                   10- 6       4     2    +      2.24

Berlin PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS Avon HS  
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy tied -  1- 2 Bacon Academy
Bethel Bethel Bethel   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Branford Branford Branford   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Berlin Berlin   3- 3 vs 2- 4
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Berlin Berlin   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Canton Canton Canton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Cromwell Berlin Berlin   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   3- 3 vs 0- 6
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ellington Ellington tied -  2- 2 Ellington
Enfield Enfield Enfield   6- 1 vs 3- 4
EO Smith Berlin Berlin  
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton tied -  1- 0 Fitch Groton
Foran Foran tied -  1- 0 Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Hamden Hamden   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  1- 0 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Berlin Berlin  
Lakeview United Berlin Berlin   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Ledyard-Griswold Berlin Berlin   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied -  1- 0 Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Berlin Berlin   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Masuk Masuk tied -  1- 0 Masuk
Middletown Berlin Berlin   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Montville Berlin tied -  2- 0 Berlin
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford tied -  1- 0 New Milford
Newington Berlin Berlin  
Newtown Newtown Newtown   2- 0 vs 1- 1
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Berlin tied -  1- 1 Berlin
Northwest Catholic Berlin Berlin   1- 6 vs 0- 7
Norwalk Berlin tied -  1- 0 Berlin
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Berlin Berlin   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Notre Dame-Fairfield Berlin Berlin  
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Berlin   Berlin
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug Pomperaug   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Berlin Berlin  
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Berlin tied -  1- 0 Berlin
Rocky Hill Berlin Berlin  
Sheehan Sheehan tied -  1- 0 Sheehan
Shelton Shelton tied -  1- 0 Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Somers Somers Somers   3- 0 vs 0- 3
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington Southington   4- 0 vs 1- 3
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   2- 0 vs 1- 1
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Berlin Berlin   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington tied -  0- 1 Stonington
Suffield Suffield Suffield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Tolland Tolland Tolland  
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Berlin tied -  0- 1 Berlin
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Berlin Berlin   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown Watertown Watertown   2- 1 vs 1- 2
West Haven Berlin Berlin   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Westhill Berlin   Berlin
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield  
Wilbur Cross Berlin Berlin   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Berlin Berlin  
Wolcott Berlin Berlin  
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy tied -  2- 0 Woodstock Academy
Xavier Xavier Xavier   2- 0 vs 1- 1

PairWisePlus = 28


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jonathan Law    ( 5-11, 75.2)    13- 5      -24.68      13.05      -0.33         0.91            11.58
   0 H Avon HS         ( 5-11, 83.6)     3-13      -16.32      21.41      -0.33         0.91           -15.17
   0 H Holy Cross      ( 7- 9, 78.9)     8-12      -21.00      16.73      -0.33         0.91           -19.42
   0 A EO Smith        ( 8- 8, 78.8)    15- 5      -21.08      16.65       0.33         0.91            15.46
   0 A Rocky Hill      ( 9- 7, 75.8)    12- 5      -24.14      13.59       0.33         0.91            12.68
   0 A Newington       ( 0-15, 73.9)    18- 9      -25.99      11.74       0.33         0.91            11.00
   0 H South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)     5- 6      -17.71      20.02      -0.33         0.91           -16.43
   0 A Farmington      (13- 3, 88.0)     3-16      -11.88      25.85       0.33         0.91           -10.51
   0 H Notre Dame-Fai  ( 1-14, 69.1)    12- 1      -30.79       6.94      -0.33         0.91             6.01
   0 A Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)     8-14      -15.30      22.43       0.33         0.91           -13.62
   0 H Windsor         ( 8- 8, 74.9)    14- 4      -25.02      12.71      -0.33         0.91            11.26
   0 H Tolland         ( 6-10, 78.3)     6-10      -21.61      16.12      -0.33         0.91           -19.97
   0 H Wolcott         (10- 6, 77.7)    10- 9      -22.18      15.55      -0.33         0.91            13.85
   0 H RHAM            ( 4-12, 77.7)    10- 6      -22.17      15.56      -0.33         0.91            13.86
   0 H Wethersfield    (12- 4, 83.8)     4-15      -16.07      21.66      -0.33         0.91           -14.94
   0 A Lewis Mills     (15- 1, 85.7)     6-18      -14.21      23.52       0.33         0.91           -12.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -27.00

winning pts = 95.6916 losing points = -122.6891

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------