UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:53 PDT

boys Bay City Central 1
  
Bay City Central      
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 81.2730

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 4-12, 76.4) 12- 5 324 A West Bloomfield ( 7- 9, 78.8) 14- 5 407 H Saginaw Heritage ( 9- 8, 85.7) 7-15 409 H Davison ( 7-11, 78.5) 11- 6 410 A Bay City John Glenn (11- 6, 81.6) 9-12 414 H Bay City John Glenn (11- 6, 81.6) 7- 6 418 H Chippewa Valley ( 1-17, 73.6) 11- 1 418 H Bay City Western ( 6-14, 78.9) 5- 0 418 H Bay City John Glenn (11- 6, 81.6) 5- 4 418 H Sault Area ( 4- 4, 79.2) 6- 4 421 H Lapeer ( 0-11, 74.7) 17- 4 423 A Midland Dow (15- 2, 89.4) 5-18 424 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 4-12, 76.4) 16- 7 428 A Grand Blanc (12- 6, 85.9) 4-18 429 H Swartz Creek ( 2-17, 75.8) 13- 7 430 H Midland ( 2-14, 78.3) 7- 5 505 A Bay City Western ( 6-14, 78.9) 9- 8 506 H Fenton ( 5-15, 76.0) 18-11 507 A Flint Powers ( 8- 7, 83.8) 4-15 513 H Davison ( 7-11, 78.5) 12- 9 520 A Hartland (18- 4, 93.8) 0-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    12- 5       7     4           0.86
   324 A West Bloomfield        14- 5       9     2    +      3.26
   407 H Saginaw Heritage        7-15      -8    -4          -1.33
   409 H Davison                11- 6       5     4           1.45
   410 A Bay City John Glenn     9-12      -3    -1          -1.85
   414 H Bay City John Glenn     7- 6       1     0           0.59
   418 H Chippewa Valley        11- 1      10     8           0.00
   418 H Bay City Western        5- 0       5     3           1.88
   418 H Bay City John Glenn     5- 4       1     0           0.59
   418 H Sault Area              6- 4       2     3          -0.90
   421 H Lapeer                 17- 4      13     7           0.00
   423 A Midland Dow             5-18     -13    -9           0.00
   424 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    16- 7       9     6           0.00
   428 A Grand Blanc             4-18     -14    -5           0.00
   429 H Swartz Creek           13- 7       6     6           0.00
   430 H Midland                 7- 5       2     4          -1.76
   505 A Bay City Western        9- 8       1     2          -0.56
   506 H Fenton                 18-11       7     6           0.00
   507 A Flint Powers            4-15     -11    -3          -1.69
   513 H Davison                12- 9       3     4          -0.55
   520 A Hartland                0-23     -23   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A West Bloomfield        14- 5       9     2    +      3.26

Bay City Central PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay tied -  1- 0 Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ann Arbor Huron Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Bay City Central tied -  1- 0 Bay City Central
Bay City John Glenn Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Bay City Western Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville tied -  0- 0 Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United tied -  0- 0 Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Bay City Central Bay City Central   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton tied -  0- 0 Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Cass Tech Bay City Central tied -  1- 0 Bay City Central
Chelsea Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Chippewa Valley Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Clarkston Clarkston tied -  0- 0 Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota tied -  1- 1 Dakota
Davison Bay City Central Bay City Central  
De La Salle De La Salle De La Salle   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day tied -  1- 0 Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt tied -  2- 2 DeWitt
Dexter Dexter   Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids tied -  0- 0 East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Bay City Central   Bay City Central
East Lansing East Lansing tied -  1- 0 East Lansing
Farmington Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fenton Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther tied -  1- 0 Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Bay City Central Bay City Central   6- 1 vs 4- 1
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 1- 1
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi tied -  1- 0 Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville Grandville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North Bay City Central Bay City Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   6- 0 vs 4- 3
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt tied -  1- 0 Holt
Howell Howell tied -  0- 0 Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Jenison Jenison Jenison   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kalamazoo United Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Bay City Central tied -  1- 0 Bay City Central
L'Anse Creuse North Bay City Central tied -  2- 0 Bay City Central
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview   Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti   Lincoln Ypsilanti
Linden Linden Linden   4- 1 vs 4- 2
Livonia United Livonia United tied -  0- 0 Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville tied -  0- 0 Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied -  0- 2 Notre Dame Prep
Novi Bay City Central tied -  0- 0 Bay City Central
Okemos Okemos tied -  1- 0 Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Bay City Central Bay City Central   9- 1 vs 5- 5
Oxford Oxford Oxford   3- 1 vs 2- 1
Pennfield Bay City Central Bay City Central   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Petoskey Bay City Central Bay City Central   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth tied -  0- 0 Plymouth
Port Huron United Bay City Central tied -  1- 0 Bay City Central
Portage Central Portage Central   Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied -  2- 0 Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   1- 0 vs 0- 0
Romeo Romeo Romeo   3- 0 vs 1- 1
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS tied -  1- 0 Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Bay City Central tied -  0- 0 Bay City Central
Saline Saline tied -  0- 1 Saline
Sault Area Bay City Central Bay City Central  
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Bay City Central tied -  1- 0 Bay City Central
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Bay City Central Bay City Central  
St Mary Catholic Cen Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Swartz Creek Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra tied -  2- 1 Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West tied -  1- 0 Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Bay City Central tied -  1- 0 Bay City Central
University Detroit J University Detroit J tied -  0- 1 University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied -  1- 0 Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Bay City Central tied -  4- 0 Bay City Central
West Bloomfield Bay City Central Bay City Central  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Johns/Ovid-  ( 4-12, 76.4)    12- 5      -23.54       6.74       0.78         0.74             5.59
   0 A West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 9, 78.8)    14- 5      -21.15       9.13       0.78         0.74             7.37
   0 H Saginaw Herita  ( 9- 8, 85.7)     7-15      -14.18      16.11      -0.78         0.74           -11.12
   0 H Davison         ( 7-11, 78.5)    11- 6      -21.40       8.88      -0.78         0.74             6.03
   0 A Bay City John   (11- 6, 81.6)     9-12      -18.26      12.02       0.78         0.74           -13.00
   0 H Bay City John   (11- 6, 81.6)     7- 6      -18.26      12.02      -0.78         0.74             8.36
   0 H Chippewa Valle  ( 1-17, 73.6)    11- 1      -26.33       3.95      -0.78         0.74             2.36
   0 H Bay City Weste  ( 6-14, 78.9)     5- 0      -20.97       9.31      -0.78         0.74             6.35
   0 H Bay City John   (11- 6, 81.6)     5- 4      -18.26      12.02      -0.78         0.74             8.36
   0 H Sault Area      ( 4- 4, 79.2)     6- 4      -20.75       9.53      -0.78         0.74             6.51
   0 H Lapeer          ( 0-11, 74.7)    17- 4      -25.17       5.11      -0.78         0.74             3.22
   0 A Midland Dow     (15- 2, 89.4)     5-18      -10.46      19.83       0.78         0.74            -7.20
   0 H St Johns/Ovid-  ( 4-12, 76.4)    16- 7      -23.54       6.74      -0.78         0.74             4.43
   0 A Grand Blanc     (12- 6, 85.9)     4-18      -14.04      16.24       0.78         0.74            -9.86
   0 H Swartz Creek    ( 2-17, 75.8)    13- 7      -24.07       6.21      -0.78         0.74             4.04
   0 H Midland         ( 2-14, 78.3)     7- 5      -21.61       8.67      -0.78         0.74             5.87
   0 A Bay City Weste  ( 6-14, 78.9)     9- 8      -20.97       9.31       0.78         0.74             7.50
   0 H Fenton          ( 5-15, 76.0)    18-11      -23.93       6.35      -0.78         0.74             4.14
   0 A Flint Powers    ( 8- 7, 83.8)     4-15      -16.10      14.19       0.78         0.74           -11.39
   0 H Davison         ( 7-11, 78.5)    12- 9      -21.40       8.88      -0.78         0.74             6.03
   0 A Hartland        (18- 4, 93.8)     0-23       -6.11      24.17       0.78         0.74            -3.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        29.63

winning pts = 86.1616 losing points = -56.5290

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------