UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Avon HS 1
  
Avon HS               
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 83.5759

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Farmington (13- 3, 88.0) 5-14 409 A Berlin ( 8- 8, 79.2) 13- 3 411 A Somers (14- 2, 89.0) 6- 8 414 H Enfield (12- 4, 84.5) 6- 8 418 H Suffield (15- 1, 90.0) 9-12 420 H Conard (11- 4, 88.3) 4-16 422 A Simsbury ( 9- 7, 87.2) 6- 9 425 H Newtown (12- 4, 90.1) 5-14 430 H Hall ( 6-10, 84.6) 10-11 502 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 80.7) 16- 5 504 H Tolland ( 6-10, 78.3) 14- 6 507 H Northwest Catholic ( 2-13, 79.2) 7- 5 512 A Windsor ( 8- 8, 74.9) 12- 3 515 A Glastonbury (12- 2, 94.3) 4-16 518 A East Catholic ( 6-10, 83.1) 9-18 521 H Southington ( 9- 8, 88.2) 3-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Farmington              5-14      -9    -5          -0.22
   409 A Berlin                 13- 3      10     4           0.91
   411 A Somers                  6- 8      -2    -6    +      3.00
   414 H Enfield                 6- 8      -2    -1          -1.41
   418 H Suffield                9-12      -3    -6    +      2.00
   420 H Conard                  4-16     -12    -4          -0.65
   422 A Simsbury                6- 9      -3    -4           0.97
   425 H Newtown                 5-14      -9    -6           0.00
   430 H Hall                   10-11      -1    -1          -0.31
   502 A Pomperaug              16- 5      11     3    +      2.43
   504 H Tolland                14- 6       8     6           0.00
   507 H Northwest Catholic      7- 5       2     5    -     -2.66
   512 A Windsor                12- 3       9     8           0.00
   515 A Glastonbury             4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   518 A East Catholic           9-18      -9     0    --    -5.13
   521 H Southington             3-17     -14    -4          -0.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A East Catholic           9-18      -9     0    --    -5.13
   507 H Northwest Catholic      7- 5       2     5    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Somers                  6- 8      -2    -6    +      3.00
   418 H Suffield                9-12      -3    -6    +      2.00
   502 A Pomperaug              16- 5      11     3    +      2.43

Avon HS PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Bacon Academy Avon HS tied -  1- 2 Avon HS
Berlin Avon HS Avon HS  
Bethel Avon HS tied -  1- 1 Avon HS
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Avon HS tied -  1- 2 Avon HS
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 1 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Avon HS Avon HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton Canton Canton   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Capital-Classical Pr Avon HS   Avon HS
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Avon HS   Avon HS
Danbury Avon HS   Avon HS
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ellington Avon HS tied -  1- 2 Avon HS
Enfield Enfield Enfield  
EO Smith Avon HS Avon HS   2- 3 vs 1- 4
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton Avon HS   Avon HS
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Avon HS Avon HS   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Immaculate Danbury Avon HS tied -  1- 0 Avon HS
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Jonathan Law Avon HS Avon HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lakeview United Avon HS Avon HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ledyard-Griswold Avon HS   Avon HS
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   5- 1 vs 4- 2
Lyman Hall Avon HS   Avon HS
Maloney-Platt Avon HS Avon HS   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Masuk Masuk tied -  1- 1 Masuk
Middletown Avon HS Avon HS   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Montville Avon HS   Avon HS
Morgan School Avon HS   Avon HS
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3
New Milford Avon HS Avon HS   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Newington Avon HS Avon HS   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Avon HS tied -  0- 1 Avon HS
Northwest Catholic Avon HS Avon HS  
Norwalk Avon HS   Avon HS
Norwich Free Academy Avon HS   Avon HS
Norwich Tech Avon HS Avon HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-Fairfield Avon HS Avon HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Old Lyme Avon HS   Avon HS
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied -  0- 1 Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Avon HS Avon HS  
Prince-Cheney Tech Avon HS   Avon HS
RHAM Avon HS Avon HS   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Avon HS tied -  1- 2 Avon HS
Rocky Hill Avon HS Avon HS   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Sheehan Avon HS   Avon HS
Shelton Avon HS   Avon HS
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor Avon HS tied -  3- 5 Avon HS
Southington Southington Southington  
St Bernard-Wheeler Avon HS Avon HS   2- 0 vs 1- 1
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied -  0- 1 St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Avon HS Avon HS   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Stamford Avon HS tied -  0- 1 Avon HS
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Avon HS   Avon HS
Suffield Suffield Suffield  
Tolland Avon HS Avon HS  
Trumbull Trumbull tied -  0- 2 Trumbull
Valley Regional Avon HS   Avon HS
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Avon HS Avon HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Avon HS   Avon HS
Watertown Avon HS   Avon HS
West Haven Avon HS   Avon HS
Westhill Avon HS   Avon HS
Weston Weston Weston   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Wilbur Cross Avon HS   Avon HS
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Windsor Avon HS Avon HS  
Wolcott Avon HS Avon HS   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Woodstock Academy Avon HS   Avon HS
Xavier Xavier Xavier   2- 2 vs 0- 4

PairWisePlus = 53


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Farmington      (13- 3, 88.0)     5-14      -11.88      25.85       0.33         0.91           -10.51
   0 A Berlin          ( 8- 8, 79.2)    13- 3      -20.75      16.98       0.33         0.91            15.77
   0 A Somers          (14- 2, 89.0)     6- 8      -10.93      26.80       0.33         0.91            -9.65
   0 H Enfield         (12- 4, 84.5)     6- 8      -15.39      22.34      -0.33         0.91           -14.32
   0 H Suffield        (15- 1, 90.0)     9-12       -9.88      27.85      -0.33         0.91            -9.30
   0 H Conard          (11- 4, 88.3)     4-16      -11.64      26.09      -0.33         0.91           -10.90
   0 A Simsbury        ( 9- 7, 87.2)     6- 9      -12.69      25.04       0.33         0.91           -11.25
   0 H Newtown         (12- 4, 90.1)     5-14       -9.75      27.98      -0.33         0.91            -9.18
   0 H Hall            ( 6-10, 84.6)    10-11      -15.30      22.43      -0.33         0.91           -14.23
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 80.7)    16- 5      -19.23      18.50       0.33         0.91            17.15
   0 H Tolland         ( 6-10, 78.3)    14- 6      -21.61      16.12      -0.33         0.91            14.37
   0 H Northwest Cath  ( 2-13, 79.2)     7- 5      -20.65      17.08      -0.33         0.91            15.24
   0 A Windsor         ( 8- 8, 74.9)    12- 3      -25.02      12.71       0.33         0.91            11.87
   0 A Glastonbury     (12- 2, 94.3)     4-16       -5.56      32.17       0.33         0.91            -4.76
   0 A East Catholic   ( 6-10, 83.1)     9-18      -16.79      20.94       0.33         0.91           -14.98
   0 H Southington     ( 9- 8, 88.2)     3-17      -11.74      25.99      -0.33         0.91           -10.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -45.67

winning pts = 74.4015 losing points = -120.0671

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------