UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Avon Lake 1
  
Avon Lake             
W-L: ( 2- 2) PR = 87.6580

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 316 A Copley ( 4- 1, 89.7) 8-15 321 A Riverside Painesvill ( 0- 6, 85.0) 11-10 324 A Olmsted Falls ( 2- 2, 88.7) 8- 7 327 H Rocky River ( 2- 0, 93.4) 6-15 331 H Brunswick ( 2- 2, 88.9) 411 H Ottawa Hills ( 1- 3, 84.8) 414 A Avon ( 3- 0, 91.0) 418 A Lake Uniontown ( 0- 4, 81.6) 421 H Walsh Jesuit ( 4- 1, 90.3) 424 A Strongsville ( 1- 4, 87.4) 428 H Bay ( 2- 2, 83.1) 430 A Padua Franciscan ( 1- 0, 88.9) 502 A Sylvania Southview ( 2- 4, 83.2) 505 H Westlake ( 1- 3, 82.8) 509 H Highland ( 1- 1, 88.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Copley                  8-15      -7    -3          -1.97
   321 A Riverside Painesvill   11-10       1     2          -0.66
   324 A Olmsted Falls           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.01
   327 H Rocky River             6-15      -9    -5          -0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Olmsted Falls           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.01

Avon Lake Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Anthony Wayne Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Archbishop Alter Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Archbishop Hoban Archbishop Hoban tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Archbishop Hoban
Archbishop McNichola Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Archbishop Moeller Archbishop Moeller   Archbishop Moeller
Aurora Aurora   Aurora
Avon Avon   Avon
Bay Avon Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Avon Lake
Beavercreek Beavercreek   Beavercreek
Bellbrook Bellbrook   Bellbrook
Benedictine Clevela Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Bexley Bexley   Bexley
Big Walnut Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Bishop Fenwick Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson   Bishop Watterson
Boardman Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Bowling Green Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Brecksville-Broadvie Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Brunswick Brunswick insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Brunswick
Buckeye Valley Buckeye Valley   Buckeye Valley
Canal Winchester Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Canfield Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Canton Central Catho Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Cardinal Mooney Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Carroll Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Centerville Centerville   Centerville
Chagrin Falls Chagrin Falls tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chagrin Falls
Chaminade Julienne Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Chardon Chardon   Chardon
Cincinnati Hills Chr Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Clay Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Cleveland Heights Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Clinton-Massie Clinton-Massie   Clinton-Massie
Columbus Academy Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Copley Copley Copley  
Cuyahoga Valley Chri Cuyahoga Valley Chri   Cuyahoga Valley Chri
Delaware Hayes Delaware Hayes   Delaware Hayes
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman   Dublin Coffman
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome   Dublin Jerome
Dublin Scioto Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Edgewood Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Elder Cincinnati Elder Cincinnati   Elder Cincinnati
Elyria Catholic Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Fairfield Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Fairmont Kettering Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Findlay Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Franklin Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gilmour Academy
GlenOak-Canton Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Granville Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Green Green   Green
Grove City Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Hawken School Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Highland Highland   Highland
Hilliard Bradley Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Hilliard Darby Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Hilliard Davidson Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Holy Name Holy Name   Holy Name
Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton   Hoover North Canton
Hudson Hudson   Hudson
Hudson Blue Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Indian Hill Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon   Jackson Massillon
John Glenn Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Johnstown Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Jonathan Alder Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Kenston Kenston   Kenston
Kent Roosevelt Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Keystone Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Kings Kings   Kings
Kirtland Kirtland   Kirtland
La Salle Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Lake Uniontown Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Lakewood Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Lakota East Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Lakota West Lakota West   Lakota West
Lebanon Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Licking Valley Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Lima Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Lincoln Gahanna Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Little Miami Little Miami   Little Miami
Louisville Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Loveland Loveland   Loveland
Madeira Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Mariemont Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Marysville Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Mason Mason   Mason
Medina Medina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Medina
Mentor Mentor tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mentor
Miamisburg Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Milford Milford   Milford
Monroe Avon Lake   Avon Lake
New Albany New Albany   New Albany
Newark Avon Lake   Avon Lake
North Ridgeville Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Northmont Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Notre Dame-Cathedral Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Oak Hills Oak Hills   Oak Hills
Oakwood Oakwood   Oakwood
Olentangy Berlin Olentangy Berlin   Olentangy Berlin
Olentangy HS Olentangy HS   Olentangy HS
Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty   Olentangy Liberty
Olentangy Orange Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Olmsted Falls Avon Lake Avon Lake  
Orange Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Ottawa Hills Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan   Padua Franciscan
Perrysburg Perrysburg   Perrysburg
Pickerington Central Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Pickerington North Pickerington North   Pickerington North
Poland Seminary Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Revere Revere   Revere
Riverside Painesvill Avon Lake Avon Lake  
Rocky River Rocky River Rocky River  
Seven Hills Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Shaker Heights Shaker Heights   Shaker Heights
Solon Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Southeast Ravenna Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Springboro Springboro   Springboro
St Charles Prep St Charles Prep   St Charles Prep
St Edward St Edward   St Edward
St Francis De Sales St Francis De Sales   St Francis De Sales
St Francis DeSales - St Francis DeSales -   St Francis DeSales -
St Ignatius Cle Blu Avon Lake   Avon Lake
St Ignatius Clevelan St Ignatius Clevelan   St Ignatius Clevelan
St Johns Jesuit St Johns Jesuit tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Johns Jesuit
St Vincent-St Mary Avon Lake   Avon Lake
St Xavier Cincinnat St Xavier Cincinnat   St Xavier Cincinnat
Stow-Munroe Falls Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Strongsville Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Summit CDS Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Sycamore Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Sylvania Northview Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Sylvania Southview Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington   Thomas Worthington
Tipp City Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Toledo United Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Turpin Avon Lake   Avon Lake
University School Cl University School Cl tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) University School Cl
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington   Upper Arlington
Wadsworth Wadsworth   Wadsworth
Walnut Hills Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walsh Jesuit
Waynesville Avon Lake   Avon Lake
West Geauga Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Western Reserve B Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Westerville Central Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Westerville North Westerville North   Westerville North
Westerville South Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Westlake Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Willoughby South Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Wilmington Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Winton Woods Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worthington Kilbourn Worthington Kilbourn   Worthington Kilbourn
Wyoming Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Xenia Avon Lake   Avon Lake

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Copley          ( 4- 1, 89.7)     8-15      -10.21      17.70       1.00         0.86            -7.94
   0 A Riverside Pain  ( 0- 6, 85.0)    11-10      -14.90      13.01       1.00         0.86            12.07
   0 A Olmsted Falls   ( 2- 2, 88.7)     8- 7      -11.23      16.68       1.00         0.86            15.23
   0 H Rocky River     ( 2- 0, 93.4)     6-15       -6.45      21.46      -1.00         0.86            -6.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        12.95

winning pts = 27.3067 losing points = -14.3576

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------