UPDATED: 05-01-26 10:11 PDT

boys Atherton 1
  
Atherton              
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 81.6301

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 309 A Eastern (10- 7, 89.6) 5-12 314 A Bowling Green ( 7- 4, 84.2) 6-11 320 A Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9) 4- 7 322 A Louisville Collegiat ( 8- 4, 85.8) 6- 7 326 A Ballard Louisville ( 3-10, 77.9) 10- 7 403 H North Hardin ( 1-13, 72.2) 17- 3 416 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-11, 69.1) 21- 0 421 A Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 15- 0 424 A Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1) 3- 6 429 H Male ( 3- 7, 73.5) 19- 4 505 A DuPont Manual ( 5- 6, 82.3) 507 H Lafayette (11- 2, 88.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Eastern                 5-12      -7    -8           0.00
   314 A Bowling Green           6-11      -5    -3          -1.97
   320 A Collins                 4- 7      -3    -4           0.70
   322 A Louisville Collegiat    6- 7      -1    -5    +      3.61
   326 A Ballard Louisville     10- 7       3     3          -0.31
   403 H North Hardin           17- 3      14    10           0.00
   416 A Paul Laurence Dunbar   21- 0      21    12           0.00
   421 A Oldham County          15- 0      15    12           0.00
   424 A Tates Creek             3- 6      -3    -1    -     -2.08
   429 H Male                   19- 4      15     9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Tates Creek             3- 6      -3    -1    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Louisville Collegiat    6- 7      -1    -5    +      3.61

Atherton PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Ballard Louisville Atherton Atherton  
Bluegrass Atherton   Atherton
Bowling Green Bowling Green Bowling Green  
Bryan Station Atherton tied -  1- 1 Atherton
Central Hardin Atherton tied -  2- 3 Atherton
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Collins Collins Collins  
Cooper Atherton tied -  1- 3 Atherton
Covington Catholic Covington Catholic tied -  0- 1 Covington Catholic
DeSales Atherton tied -  2- 0 Atherton
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights Dixie Heights   1- 0 vs 0- 1
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual tied -  3- 2 DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern Eastern  
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass tied -  0- 1 Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Atherton tied -  1- 1 Atherton
Greenwood Atherton tied -  1- 2 Atherton
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
Male Atherton Atherton  
North Hardin Atherton Atherton  
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Oldham County Atherton Atherton  
Owensboro Atherton tied -  0- 2 Atherton
Paul Laurence Dunbar Atherton Atherton  
Ryle Ryle Ryle   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sayre Sayre Sayre   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Scott County Atherton tied -  3- 1 Atherton
Shelby County Shelby County Shelby County   5- 2 vs 4- 3
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   2- 0 vs 1- 1
South Warren South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Henry Atherton tied -  1- 0 Atherton
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Walton-Verona Atherton tied -  0- 2 Atherton
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   3- 0 vs 1- 2

PairWisePlus = 16


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Eastern         (10- 7, 89.6)     5-12      -10.27      20.76       0.47         1.06           -10.37
   0 A Bowling Green   ( 7- 4, 84.2)     6-11      -15.71      15.32       0.47         1.06           -16.11
   0 A Collins         ( 8- 4, 84.9)     4- 7      -15.04      15.99       0.47         1.06           -15.40
   0 A Louisville Col  ( 8- 4, 85.8)     6- 7      -14.13      16.91       0.47         1.06           -14.44
   0 A Ballard Louisv  ( 3-10, 77.9)    10- 7      -22.04       8.99       0.47         1.06            10.00
   0 H North Hardin    ( 1-13, 72.2)    17- 3      -27.71       3.32      -0.47         1.06             3.01
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 0-11, 69.1)    21- 0      -30.76       1.00       0.47         1.06             1.55
   0 A Oldham County   ( 1-12, 68.9)    15- 0      -31.03       1.00       0.47         1.06             1.55
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 7- 8, 82.1)     3- 6      -17.81      13.22       0.47         1.06           -18.34
   0 H Male            ( 3- 7, 73.5)    19- 4      -26.38       4.65      -0.47         1.06             4.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -54.12

winning pts = 20.5358 losing points = -74.6562

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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