UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:04 PDT

boys Arrowhead 1
  
Arrowhead             
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 94.7689

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 A Waukesha ( 7- 6, 91.4) 15- 3 411 H Franklin ( 8- 9, 89.1) 12- 1 411 H Hamilton ( 6- 7, 89.2) 14- 3 423 A Oconomowoc ( 6- 7, 89.0) 13- 8 427 H Mukwonago ( 8- 5, 97.6) 5-12 430 H Kettle Moraine (12- 2, 98.2) 5-14 502 H Madison (12- 2, 98.0) 9-14 507 A Catholic Memorial ( 1-13, 83.8) 21- 2 509 A Wauwatosa ( 8- 8, 88.7) 19- 6 509 H De Pere (10- 5, 91.6) 16- 2 514 H Muskego (11- 6, 91.0) 9- 6 516 H Homestead (11- 5, 93.3) 9- 7 521 H Oregon (10- 5, 93.9) 15- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Waukesha               15- 3      12     3           1.79
   411 H Franklin               12- 1      11     6           0.00
   411 H Hamilton               14- 3      11     6           0.00
   423 A Oconomowoc             13- 8       5     6           0.00
   427 H Mukwonago               5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.36
   430 H Kettle Moraine          5-14      -9    -3          -1.80
   502 H Madison                 9-14      -5    -3          -1.96
   507 A Catholic Memorial      21- 2      19    11           0.00
   509 A Wauwatosa              19- 6      13     6           0.00
   509 H De Pere                16- 2      14     3           1.62
   514 H Muskego                 9- 6       3     4          -1.00
   516 H Homestead               9- 7       2     2           0.36
   521 H Oregon                 15- 7       8     1    +      3.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Mukwonago               5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Oregon                 15- 7       8     1    +      3.91

Arrowhead PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Appleton Arrowhead tied -  2- 1 Arrowhead
Bay Port Arrowhead Arrowhead   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Brookfield Arrowhead Arrowhead   7- 0 vs 1- 6
Catholic Memorial Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Cedarburg Arrowhead Arrowhead   3- 0 vs 0- 3
De Pere Arrowhead Arrowhead  
DeForest Arrowhead Arrowhead   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Elkhorn Arrowhead Arrowhead   7- 0 vs 4- 3
Franklin Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Hamilton Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Homestead Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Hudson Hudson tied -  0- 1 Hudson
Janesville Arrowhead Arrowhead   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Kenosha Arrowhead Arrowhead   7- 0 vs 0- 7
Kettle Moraine Kettle Moraine Kettle Moraine  
Kimberly Kimberly Kimberly   4- 1 vs 3- 2
La Crosse Arrowhead Arrowhead   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Madison Madison Madison  
Marquette University Arrowhead Arrowhead   5- 3 vs 4- 4
Middleton Middleton tied -  2- 2 Middleton
Mukwonago Mukwonago Mukwonago  
Muskego Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Neenah Arrowhead tied -  2- 2 Arrowhead
Notre Dame Green Ba Arrowhead Arrowhead   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Oak Creek Arrowhead Arrowhead   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Oconomowoc Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Oneida Nation Arrowhead Arrowhead   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oregon Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Pulaski Arrowhead Arrowhead   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sauk Prairie Arrowhead Arrowhead   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Sun Prairie Arrowhead Arrowhead   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Superior Arrowhead   Arrowhead
University Milwauke Arrowhead Arrowhead   5- 0 vs 4- 1
Verona Verona tied -  2- 2 Verona
Waukesha Arrowhead Arrowhead  
Waunakee Waunakee Waunakee   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Wausau Arrowhead Arrowhead   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wauwatosa Arrowhead Arrowhead  
West Bend Arrowhead Arrowhead   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Whitefish Bay Arrowhead Arrowhead   4- 0 vs 2- 2

PairWisePlus = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.24

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Waukesha        ( 7- 6, 91.4)    15- 3       -8.52      12.09       0.19         1.10            13.45
   0 H Franklin        ( 8- 9, 89.1)    12- 1      -10.84       9.78      -0.19         1.10            10.51
   0 H Hamilton        ( 6- 7, 89.2)    14- 3      -10.68       9.93      -0.19         1.10            10.68
   0 A Oconomowoc      ( 6- 7, 89.0)    13- 8      -10.88       9.74       0.19         1.10            10.87
   0 H Mukwonago       ( 8- 5, 97.6)     5-12       -2.31      18.31      -0.19         1.10            -2.73
   0 H Kettle Moraine  (12- 2, 98.2)     5-14       -1.74      18.87      -0.19         1.10            -2.11
   0 H Madison         (12- 2, 98.0)     9-14       -1.90      18.71      -0.19         1.10            -2.29
   0 A Catholic Memor  ( 1-13, 83.8)    21- 2      -16.12       4.50       0.19         1.10             5.14
   0 A Wauwatosa       ( 8- 8, 88.7)    19- 6      -11.23       9.39       0.19         1.10            10.49
   0 H De Pere         (10- 5, 91.6)    16- 2       -8.33      12.29      -0.19         1.10            13.26
   0 H Muskego         (11- 6, 91.0)     9- 6       -8.94      11.68      -0.19         1.10            12.59
   0 H Homestead       (11- 5, 93.3)     9- 7       -6.59      14.03      -0.19         1.10            15.17
   0 H Oregon          (10- 5, 93.9)    15- 7       -6.03      14.58      -0.19         1.10            15.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       110.79

winning pts = 117.9306 losing points = -7.1385

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------