UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Amity Regional 1
  
Amity Regional        
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 88.7569

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Lyman Hall ( 9- 7, 83.0) 11- 5 407 A Branford (12- 4, 85.3) 9- 8 411 A Sheehan ( 7- 9, 83.1) 15- 4 414 A Xavier ( 7- 9, 85.8) 12- 7 416 A Westhill ( 1-15, 75.5) 16- 2 418 A Hamden ( 8- 8, 83.7) 12- 7 420 H Cheshire HS ( 9- 4, 91.6) 7-13 423 A Daniel Hand ( 9- 7, 89.9) 5- 7 425 H Brookfield (10- 6, 85.9) 8- 7 430 H Foran (10- 6, 84.0) 14- 4 502 A Fairfield Prep ( 9- 2, 97.9) 3-16 506 H Notre Dame-West Have (11- 3, 93.5) 13-14 512 H Guilford (13- 3, 92.6) 4- 6 514 H East Lyme (13- 2, 89.8) 6- 7 516 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 80.7) 14- 3 519 H Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 75.2) 17- 0

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Lyman Hall             11- 5       6     6           0.00
   407 A Branford                9- 8       1     3    -     -2.17
   411 A Sheehan                15- 4      11     5           0.00
   414 A Xavier                 12- 7       5     3    +      2.40
   416 A Westhill               16- 2      14    13           0.00
   418 A Hamden                 12- 7       5     5           0.29
   420 H Cheshire HS             7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.46
   423 A Daniel Hand             5- 7      -2    -1          -0.51
   425 H Brookfield              8- 7       1     3    -     -2.18
   430 H Foran                  14- 4      10     5           0.00
   502 A Fairfield Prep          3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   506 H Notre Dame-West Have   13-14      -1    -4    +      3.43
   512 H Guilford                4- 6      -2    -4           1.51
   514 H East Lyme               6- 7      -1    -1          -0.27
   516 A Pomperaug              14- 3      11     8           0.00
   519 H Jonathan Law           17- 0      17    14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Branford                9- 8       1     3    -     -2.17
   420 H Cheshire HS             7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.46
   425 H Brookfield              8- 7       1     3    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Xavier                 12- 7       5     3    +      2.40
   506 H Notre Dame-West Have   13-14      -1    -4    +      3.43

Amity Regional PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Avon HS Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Bacon Academy Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
Berlin Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Bethel Amity Regional Amity Regional   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Branford Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Brien McMahon Amity Regional tied -  2- 1 Amity Regional
Bristol Co-Op Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Brookfield Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Bunnell-Stratford Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canton Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Capital-Classical Pr Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Conard Conard Conard   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Cromwell Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Danbury Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand  
Darien Darien Darien   2- 0 vs 1- 1
East Catholic Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Enfield Amity Regional   Amity Regional
EO Smith Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep  
Fairfield Warde Amity Regional tied -  4- 0 Amity Regional
Farmington Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Fitch Groton Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
Foran Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Granby Memorial Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
Hall Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hamden Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Holy Cross Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Immaculate Danbury Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Joel Barlow Amity Regional tied -  1- 3 Amity Regional
Jonathan Law Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Lakeview United Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ledyard-Griswold Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lewis Mills Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Lyman Hall Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Maloney-Platt Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Masuk Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Middletown Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Montville Amity Regional tied -  1- 1 Amity Regional
Morgan School Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  2- 3 New Fairfield
New Milford Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Newington Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Newtown Newtown tied -  2- 1 Newtown
North Branford Amity Regional tied -  3- 0 Amity Regional
North Haven Amity Regional Amity Regional   6- 2 vs 2- 6
Northwest Catholic Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Norwalk Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Norwich Free Academy Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Norwich Tech Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-Fairfield Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have  
Old Lyme Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Old Saybrook Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Pomperaug Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Prince-Cheney Tech Amity Regional   Amity Regional
RHAM Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Rocky Hill Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Sheehan Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Shelton Amity Regional Amity Regional   6- 2 vs 2- 6
Simsbury Amity Regional tied -  1- 2 Amity Regional
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
Southington Amity Regional tied -  1- 2 Amity Regional
St Bernard-Wheeler Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied -  1- 0 St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Stamford Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Trumbull Amity Regional tied -  1- 2 Amity Regional
Valley Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Waterford Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Watertown Amity Regional   Amity Regional
West Haven Amity Regional Amity Regional   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Westhill Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Weston Weston Weston   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Wethersfield Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Wilbur Cross Amity Regional Amity Regional   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Windsor Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Wolcott Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Woodstock Academy Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
Xavier Amity Regional Amity Regional  

PairWisePlus = 77


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lyman Hall      ( 9- 7, 83.0)    11- 5      -16.92      20.81      -0.33         0.91            18.64
   0 A Branford        (12- 4, 85.3)     9- 8      -14.65      23.09       0.33         0.91            21.32
   0 A Sheehan         ( 7- 9, 83.1)    15- 4      -16.75      20.98       0.33         0.91            19.40
   0 A Xavier          ( 7- 9, 85.8)    12- 7      -14.07      23.66       0.33         0.91            21.84
   0 A Westhill        ( 1-15, 75.5)    16- 2      -24.36      13.37       0.33         0.91            12.48
   0 A Hamden          ( 8- 8, 83.7)    12- 7      -16.19      21.54       0.33         0.91            19.92
   0 H Cheshire HS     ( 9- 4, 91.6)     7-13       -8.27      29.46      -0.33         0.91            -7.83
   0 A Daniel Hand     ( 9- 7, 89.9)     5- 7       -9.99      27.74       0.33         0.91            -8.79
   0 H Brookfield      (10- 6, 85.9)     8- 7      -13.99      23.74      -0.33         0.91            21.31
   0 H Foran           (10- 6, 84.0)    14- 4      -15.87      21.86      -0.33         0.91            19.59
   0 A Fairfield Prep  ( 9- 2, 97.9)     3-16       -2.01      35.72       0.33         0.91            -1.52
   0 H Notre Dame-Wes  (11- 3, 93.5)    13-14       -6.37      31.36      -0.33         0.91            -6.11
   0 H Guilford        (13- 3, 92.6)     4- 6       -7.29      30.44      -0.33         0.91            -6.94
   0 H East Lyme       (13- 2, 89.8)     6- 7      -10.08      27.65      -0.33         0.91            -9.48
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 80.7)    14- 3      -19.23      18.50       0.33         0.91            17.15
   0 H Jonathan Law    ( 5-11, 75.2)    17- 0      -24.68      13.05      -0.33         0.91            11.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       142.55

winning pts = 183.2206 losing points = -40.6711

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------