UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Amherst 1
  
Amherst               
W-L: ( 5- 1) PR = 86.4207

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Niagara Wheatfield ( 3- 2, 88.7) 9-14 320 A Depew ( 2- 2, 83.3) 13-10 324 A West Seneca West ( 1- 4, 84.8) 9- 8 325 A Lancaster ( 1- 4, 83.1) 12-11 327 H Williamsville North ( 0- 5, 83.2) 14- 4 331 A Sweet Home ( 2- 4, 81.4) 10- 4 414 A North Tonawanda ( 0- 1, 83.9) 418 A Clarence ( 2- 2, 84.8) 421 H West Seneca East ( 1- 1, 85.2) 423 H Grand Island ( 0- 4, 83.8) 428 A Hamburg ( 0- 2, 80.4) 430 A Starpoint ( 1- 2, 82.8) 502 A Wayne Central ( 0- 1, 83.5) 505 H Williamsville East ( 3- 0, 88.2) 507 H Iroquois ( 4- 1, 90.0) 511 A Williamsville South ( 4- 0, 89.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Niagara Wheatfield      9-14      -5    -3          -1.69
   320 A Depew                  13-10       3     2           0.87
   324 A West Seneca West        9- 8       1     1           0.39
   325 A Lancaster              12-11       1     2          -1.35
   327 H Williamsville North    14- 4      10     4           0.77
   331 A Sweet Home             10- 4       6     4           0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Amherst Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albert Tuitt Amherst   Amherst
AP Randolph Amherst   Amherst
Bronx HS Science Bronx HS Science   Bronx HS Science
Brooklyn Tech Brooklyn Tech   Brooklyn Tech
Cardozo Amherst   Amherst
Columbus Amherst   Amherst
Curtis Curtis   Curtis
Dalton School Amherst   Amherst
Eagle Academy Amherst   Amherst
Fieldston School Amherst   Amherst
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Hackley School Amherst   Amherst
Herbert Lehman Amherst   Amherst
Horace Mann Amherst   Amherst
Hunter College Amherst   Amherst
Jamaica Amherst   Amherst
James Madison Amherst   Amherst
John Dewey Amherst   Amherst
Long Island City Amherst   Amherst
Long Island Lutheran Long Island Lutheran   Long Island Lutheran
Maspeth Amherst   Amherst
Midwood Amherst   Amherst
New Dorp Amherst   Amherst
Poly Prep Poly Prep   Poly Prep
Port Richmond Amherst   Amherst
Portledge School Amherst   Amherst
Riverdale Country Sc Amherst   Amherst
South Bronx Prep South Bronx Prep   South Bronx Prep
Stony Brook School Stony Brook School   Stony Brook School
Stuyvesant Amherst   Amherst
Susan Wagner Amherst   Amherst
Tottenville Tottenville   Tottenville
Trinity School Amherst   Amherst
Archbishop Molloy Amherst   Amherst
Archbishop Stepinac Amherst   Amherst
Bishop Loughlin Amherst   Amherst
Cardinal Hayes Cardinal Hayes   Cardinal Hayes
Cardinal Spellman Cardinal Spellman   Cardinal Spellman
Chaminade Amherst   Amherst
Fordham Prep Amherst   Amherst
Holy Trinity Amherst   Amherst
Iona Prep Amherst   Amherst
Kellenberg Memorial Kellenberg Memorial   Kellenberg Memorial
Kennedy Catholic Kennedy Catholic   Kennedy Catholic
Monsignor Farrell Monsignor Farrell   Monsignor Farrell
Moore Catholic Amherst   Amherst
Mount St Michael Amherst   Amherst
St Anthonys St Anthonys   St Anthonys
St Dominic Amherst   Amherst
St John Baptist Amherst   Amherst
St Joseph By-The-Sea St Joseph By-The-Sea   St Joseph By-The-Sea
St Marys Manhasset Amherst   Amherst
St Peters Staten Isl St Peters Staten Isl   St Peters Staten Isl
St Raymonds Academy Amherst   Amherst
Xaverian Xaverian   Xaverian
Xavier Xavier   Xavier
Albertus Magnus Amherst   Amherst
Ardsley Amherst   Amherst
Arlington Amherst   Amherst
Blind Brook Amherst   Amherst
Brewster Amherst   Amherst
Briarcliff Amherst   Amherst
Bronxville Bronxville   Bronxville
Byram Hills Byram Hills   Byram Hills
Carmel Amherst   Amherst
Clarkstown North Amherst   Amherst
Clarkstown South Clarkstown South   Clarkstown South
Croton Harmon Amherst   Amherst
Dobbs Ferry Amherst   Amherst
Eastchester Amherst   Amherst
Edgemont Amherst   Amherst
Fox Lane Amherst   Amherst
Haldane Amherst   Amherst
Harrison Amherst   Amherst
Hastings-on-Hudson Hastings-on-Hudson   Hastings-on-Hudson
Hendrick Hudson Amherst   Amherst
Horace Greeley Amherst   Amherst
Irvington Irvington   Irvington
John Jay-Cross River John Jay-Cross River   John Jay-Cross River
Keio Academy Amherst   Amherst
Lakeland-Panas Lakeland-Panas   Lakeland-Panas
Mahopac Mahopac   Mahopac
Mamaroneck Mamaroneck   Mamaroneck
Nanuet Amherst   Amherst
New Rochelle Amherst   Amherst
North Rockland Amherst   Amherst
North Salem Amherst   Amherst
Nyack Nyack   Nyack
Ossining-Peekskill Amherst   Amherst
Pawling Amherst   Amherst
Pearl River Pearl River   Pearl River
Pelham Memorial Amherst   Amherst
Pleasantville Amherst   Amherst
Port Chester Amherst   Amherst
Putnam Valley Putnam Valley   Putnam Valley
Rye HS Rye HS   Rye HS
Rye Neck Amherst   Amherst
Scarsdale Scarsdale   Scarsdale
Sleepy Hollow Sleepy Hollow   Sleepy Hollow
Somers Somers   Somers
Suffern Amherst   Amherst
Tappan Zee Amherst   Amherst
Tuckahoe Amherst   Amherst
Wappingers Amherst   Amherst
Westlake Amherst   Amherst
White Plains White Plains   White Plains
Yonkers Amherst   Amherst
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown
Albany HS Amherst   Amherst
Amsterdam/Broadalbin Amherst   Amherst
Averill Park Amherst   Amherst
Ballston Spa Amherst   Amherst
Bethlehem Central Amherst   Amherst
Burnt Hills-Ballston Burnt Hills-Ballston   Burnt Hills-Ballston
Christian Brothers A Amherst   Amherst
Colonie Central Amherst   Amherst
Columbia Amherst   Amherst
Glens Falls Amherst   Amherst
Greenwich-Cambridge Amherst   Amherst
Guilderland Guilderland   Guilderland
Hoosick Falls-Tamara Amherst   Amherst
Hudson Falls Amherst   Amherst
Ichabod Crane-Maple Amherst   Amherst
Johnstown Amherst   Amherst
Lansingburgh Amherst   Amherst
LaSalle Institute Amherst   Amherst
Niskayuna Niskayuna   Niskayuna
Queensbury Queensbury   Queensbury
Saratoga Springs Amherst   Amherst
Schenectady/Mohonase Amherst   Amherst
Schuylerville Amherst   Amherst
Scotia-Glenville Amherst   Amherst
Shaker Shaker   Shaker
Shenendehowa Shenendehowa   Shenendehowa
South Glens Falls Amherst   Amherst
Stillwater-Mechanicv Stillwater-Mechanicv   Stillwater-Mechanicv
Troy Amherst   Amherst
Voorheesville Amherst   Amherst
Auburn Amherst   Amherst
Baldwinsville Amherst   Amherst
Carthage Amherst   Amherst
Cazenovia Cazenovia   Cazenovia
Central Square Amherst   Amherst
Chittenango Chittenango   Chittenango
Christian Brothers S Christian Brothers S   Christian Brothers S
Cicero-North Syracus Cicero-North Syracus   Cicero-North Syracus
Corcoran-Syracuse Ci Amherst   Amherst
Cortland Amherst   Amherst
East Syracuse-Minoa East Syracuse-Minoa   East Syracuse-Minoa
Fayetteville-Manlius Fayetteville-Manlius   Fayetteville-Manlius
Fulton Amherst   Amherst
General Brown General Brown   General Brown
Holland Patent Amherst   Amherst
Homer Amherst   Amherst
IHC Watertown Amherst   Amherst
Indian River Amherst   Amherst
Jamesville-DeWitt Jamesville-DeWitt   Jamesville-DeWitt
Jordan-Elbridge Amherst   Amherst
LaFayette-Onondaga Amherst   Amherst
Liverpool Amherst   Amherst
Lowville Lowville   Lowville
Marcellus Marcellus   Marcellus
New Hartford New Hartford   New Hartford
Oswego Amherst   Amherst
Rome Free Academy Rome Free Academy   Rome Free Academy
Skaneateles Amherst   Amherst
South Jefferson Amherst   Amherst
Thousand Islands Amherst   Amherst
Tully-Fabius-Pompey Amherst   Amherst
Utica Proctor Amherst   Amherst
Vernon-Verona Sheril Amherst   Amherst
Watertown Watertown   Watertown
West Genesee West Genesee   West Genesee
Westhill Amherst   Amherst
Whitesboro Amherst   Amherst
Binghamton Amherst   Amherst
Chenango Forks Amherst   Amherst
Chenango Valley Chenango Valley   Chenango Valley
Corning Corning   Corning
Dryden Amherst   Amherst
Elmira Amherst   Amherst
Horseheads Horseheads   Horseheads
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
Johnson City Amherst   Amherst
Maine-Endwell Maine-Endwell   Maine-Endwell
Owego Apalachin Amherst   Amherst
Seton Catholic Centr Amherst   Amherst
Union-Endicott Amherst   Amherst
Vestal Amherst   Amherst
Watkins Glen/Notre D Amherst   Amherst
Whitney Point Whitney Point   Whitney Point
Windsor Central Amherst   Amherst
Aquinas Institute Amherst   Amherst
Batavia-Notre Dame Amherst   Amherst
Bishop Kearney Amherst   Amherst
Bloomfield-Honeoye Bloomfield-Honeoye   Bloomfield-Honeoye
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brockport Central Amherst   Amherst
Canandaigua Canandaigua   Canandaigua
Churchville-Chili Amherst   Amherst
East United Amherst   Amherst
Fairport Amherst   Amherst
Gananda Central Amherst   Amherst
Gates-Chili Amherst   Amherst
Geneva Geneva   Geneva
Greece United Amherst   Amherst
Haverling Haverling   Haverling
Hilton Hilton   Hilton
Honeoye Falls-Lima Honeoye Falls-Lima   Honeoye Falls-Lima
Irondequoit Irondequoit   Irondequoit
Livonia-Avon Amherst   Amherst
Marcus Whitman Marcus Whitman   Marcus Whitman
McQuaid Jesuit McQuaid Jesuit   McQuaid Jesuit
Midlakes Amherst   Amherst
Mynderse Academy Amherst   Amherst
Newark Amherst   Amherst
Palmyra-Macedon Palmyra-Macedon   Palmyra-Macedon
Penfield Penfield   Penfield
Penn Yan Amherst   Amherst
Pittsford Pittsford   Pittsford
Rush-Henrietta Rush-Henrietta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rush-Henrietta
Spencerport Spencerport   Spencerport
Victor Victor   Victor
Waterloo Amherst   Amherst
Wayne Central Amherst   Amherst
Webster Schroeder Webster Schroeder   Webster Schroeder
Webster Thomas Webster Thomas   Webster Thomas
Akron Akron   Akron
Bishop Timon-St Jude Amherst   Amherst
Buffalo City Honors Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canisius HS Canisius HS   Canisius HS
Clarence Amherst tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Amherst
Depew Amherst Amherst  
East Aurora Amherst   Amherst
Eden/North Collins Eden/North Collins tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Eden/North Collins
Frontier Central Frontier Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Frontier Central
Gow School Amherst   Amherst
Gowanda Amherst   Amherst
Grand Island Amherst   Amherst
Hamburg Amherst   Amherst
Iroquois Iroquois tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Iroquois
Kenmore Combined Kenmore Combined   Kenmore Combined
Lake Shore/Silver Cr Lake Shore/Silver Cr tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Shore/Silver Cr
Lancaster Amherst Amherst  
Lewiston-Porter/Niag Amherst tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Amherst
Lockport Amherst   Amherst
Medina Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Newfane Amherst   Amherst
Niagara Wheatfield Niagara Wheatfield Niagara Wheatfield  
Nichols School Nichols School   Nichols School
North Tonawanda Amherst   Amherst
Orchard Park Orchard Park insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Orchard Park
Salamanca/Randolph Amherst   Amherst
St Francis St Francis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Francis
St Joseph Collegiate St Joseph Collegiate   St Joseph Collegiate
St Marys Lancaster Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Starpoint Amherst tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Amherst
Sweet Home Amherst Amherst  
Tonawanda Amherst   Amherst
West Seneca East Amherst tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Amherst
West Seneca West Amherst Amherst  
Williamsville East Williamsville East   Williamsville East
Williamsville North Amherst Amherst  
Williamsville South Williamsville South tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Williamsville South
Wilson Central Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Baldwin Amherst   Amherst
Bellmore JFK Amherst   Amherst
Bethpage Bethpage   Bethpage
Calhoun Calhoun   Calhoun
Carey Carey   Carey
Clarke Amherst   Amherst
Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor   Cold Spring Harbor
Division-Levittown Amherst   Amherst
East Meadow Amherst   Amherst
Elmont Amherst   Amherst
Farmingdale Farmingdale   Farmingdale
Floral Park Floral Park   Floral Park
Freeport Amherst   Amherst
Friends Academy Amherst   Amherst
Garden City Garden City   Garden City
Glen Cove Amherst   Amherst
Great Neck North Amherst   Amherst
Great Neck South Amherst   Amherst
Hempstead Amherst   Amherst
Herricks Herricks   Herricks
Hewlett Hewlett   Hewlett
Hicksville Amherst   Amherst
Island Trees Amherst   Amherst
Jericho Amherst   Amherst
Lawrence Amherst   Amherst
Locust Valley Locust Valley   Locust Valley
Long Beach Long Beach   Long Beach
Lynbrook Lynbrook   Lynbrook
MacArthur Levittown MacArthur Levittown   MacArthur Levittown
Malverne-ER Amherst   Amherst
Manhasset Manhasset   Manhasset
Massapequa Massapequa   Massapequa
Mepham Mepham   Mepham
Mineola Mineola   Mineola
New Hyde Park Amherst   Amherst
North Shore North Shore   North Shore
Oceanside Oceanside   Oceanside
Oyster Bay Amherst   Amherst
Plainedge Plainedge   Plainedge
Plainview JFK Plainview JFK   Plainview JFK
Port Washington Port Washington   Port Washington
Roosevelt Amherst   Amherst
Roslyn Roslyn   Roslyn
Seaford Seaford   Seaford
Sewanhaka Amherst   Amherst
South Side South Side   South Side
Syosset Syosset   Syosset
Uniondale Amherst   Amherst
Valley Stream Centra Amherst   Amherst
Wantagh Wantagh   Wantagh
West Hempstead Amherst   Amherst
Wheatley-Carle Place Amherst   Amherst
Cornwall Cornwall   Cornwall
Goshen Amherst   Amherst
Highland/Marlboro Highland/Marlboro   Highland/Marlboro
Kingston Kingston   Kingston
Middletown Amherst   Amherst
Minisink Valley Amherst   Amherst
Monroe-Woodbury Monroe-Woodbury   Monroe-Woodbury
New Paltz Amherst   Amherst
Newburgh Free Academ Amherst   Amherst
O'Neill Amherst   Amherst
Our Lady of Lourdes Our Lady of Lourdes   Our Lady of Lourdes
Pine Bush Amherst   Amherst
Red Hook-Pine Plains Amherst   Amherst
Rondout Valley Amherst   Amherst
Roosevelt Hyde Park Amherst   Amherst
Saugerties Saugerties   Saugerties
Valley Central Valley Central   Valley Central
Wallkill Amherst   Amherst
Warwick Valley Amherst   Amherst
Washingtonville Amherst   Amherst
Canton Central Amherst   Amherst
Malone Amherst   Amherst
Massena Central Massena Central   Massena Central
Ogdensburg Free Acad Ogdensburg Free Acad   Ogdensburg Free Acad
Plattsburgh Amherst   Amherst
Potsdam Central Amherst   Amherst
Salmon River Amherst   Amherst
Saranac Lake-Lake Pl Amherst   Amherst
St Lawrence Central Amherst   Amherst
Babylon Babylon   Babylon
Bay Shore Bay Shore   Bay Shore
Bayport-Blue Point Bayport-Blue Point   Bayport-Blue Point
Bellport Amherst   Amherst
Brentwood Amherst   Amherst
Center Moriches Amherst   Amherst
Commack Amherst   Amherst
Comsewogue Comsewogue   Comsewogue
Connetquot Connetquot   Connetquot
Copiague Amherst   Amherst
Deer Park Amherst   Amherst
East Islip East Islip   East Islip
Eastport-South Manor Amherst   Amherst
Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills   Half Hollow Hills
Harborfields Harborfields   Harborfields
Hauppauge Amherst   Amherst
Huntington Amherst   Amherst
Islip Amherst   Amherst
John Glenn - Elwood Amherst   Amherst
Kings Park Amherst   Amherst
Lindenhurst Lindenhurst   Lindenhurst
Longwood Amherst   Amherst
Mattituck-Greenport Amherst   Amherst
Middle Country Amherst   Amherst
Miller Place Miller Place   Miller Place
Mount Sinai Mount Sinai   Mount Sinai
North Babylon Amherst   Amherst
Northport Northport   Northport
Patchogue-Medford Amherst   Amherst
Port Jefferson Amherst   Amherst
Riverhead Amherst   Amherst
Rocky Point Amherst   Amherst
Sachem East Sachem East   Sachem East
Sachem North Sachem North   Sachem North
Sayville Sayville   Sayville
Shoreham-Wading Rive Shoreham-Wading Rive   Shoreham-Wading Rive
Smithtown East Smithtown East   Smithtown East
Smithtown West Smithtown West   Smithtown West
South Fork Unified Amherst   Amherst
Walt Whitman Amherst   Amherst
Ward Melville Ward Melville   Ward Melville
West Babylon Amherst   Amherst
West Islip West Islip   West Islip
Westhampton Amherst   Amherst
William Floyd William Floyd   William Floyd

PowerWise = 238


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 2.81

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Niagara Wheatf  ( 3- 2, 88.7)     9-14      -11.17      19.83       1.00         0.47            -4.76
   0 A Depew           ( 2- 2, 83.3)    13-10      -16.61      14.39       1.00         0.47             7.20
   0 A West Seneca We  ( 1- 4, 84.8)     9- 8      -15.09      15.91       1.00         0.47             7.91
   0 A Lancaster       ( 1- 4, 83.1)    12-11      -16.83      14.17       1.00         0.47             7.10
   0 H Williamsville   ( 0- 5, 83.2)    14- 4      -16.71      14.29      -1.00         0.47             6.22
   0 A Sweet Home      ( 2- 4, 81.4)    10- 4      -18.52      12.48       1.00         0.47             6.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        29.96

winning pts = 34.7222 losing points = -4.7576

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------