Annapolis Area Chris
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 81.8095
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 A Maret ( 2- 7, 78.1) 6- 2
320 H Gunston School ( 5- 4, 78.6) 15- 2
324 H Key School ( 4- 4, 78.5) 18-12
402 A Arundel ( 2- 8, 80.5) 11- 8
409 A St Andrews Episcopal ( 2- 2, 83.0) 4-10
414 A Gerstell Academy ( 3- 5, 87.0) 2-16
417 H St Vincent Pallotti ( 4- 4, 82.5) 7- 8
421 A Concordia Prep ( 5- 2, 85.1) 7-14
424 H Sts Peter & Paul ( 6- 5, 91.8) 2-18
428 A Indian Creek School ( 7- 5, 86.9)
501 A Archbishop Curley ( 8- 1, 93.6)
505 H St Johns Catholic Pr ( 1- 6, 77.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Maret 6- 2 4 3 0.50
320 H Gunston School 15- 2 13 3 1.55
324 H Key School 18-12 6 4 1.43
402 A Arundel 11- 8 3 1 2.00
409 A St Andrews Episcopal 4-10 -6 -1 - -3.54
414 A Gerstell Academy 2-16 -14 -5 0.00
417 H St Vincent Pallotti 7- 8 -1 0 -0.60
421 A Concordia Prep 7-14 -7 -4 -1.42
424 H Sts Peter & Paul 2-18 -16 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 A St Andrews Episcopal 4-10 -6 -1 - -3.54
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Annapolis Area Chris PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
Archbishop Curley   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
Bullis   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
Calvert Hall   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Chapelgate Christian |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
 
| |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
DeMatha   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
FCA LC |
| Friends |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Georgetown Day |
|
 
| Georgetown Day |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
 
| |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Glenelg Country |
|
Glenelg Country   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
Good Counsel   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Gunston School |
Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
 
| |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
Heights   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
Indian Creek School   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Jemicy School |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
 
| |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
 
| |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Annapolis Area Chris |
| Mount Carmel |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Park School |
|
 
| Park School |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
Sidwell Friends   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
St Andrews Episcopal |
St Andrews Episcopal |
 
| |
| St James |
St James |
|
St James   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
St Vincent Pallotti |
St Vincent Pallotti |
 
| |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
 
| |
| Tome School |
Tome School |
|
 
| Tome School |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
 
| Academy for College |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
 
| Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Annapolis Area Chris |
Annapolis Area Chris |
 
| |
| Atholton |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Blair |
Blair |
|
 
| Blair |
| Blake |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Bohemia Manor |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Boonsboro |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Bowie |
Bowie |
|
 
| Bowie |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Carver A&T |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
CH Flowers |
|
 
| CH Flowers |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
 
| Chesapeake AA |
| Chesapeake BC |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
 
| Chopticon |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
|
 
| Clarksburg |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
 
| Crofton |
| Damascus |
Damascus |
|
 
| Damascus |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Dundalk |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| DuVal |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Easton |
|
 
| Easton |
| Edgewood |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Eleanor Roosevelt |
|
 
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
| Elkton |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Fairmont Heights |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
Fallston   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Forest Park |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Francis Scott Key |
Francis Scott Key |
|
 
| Francis Scott Key |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Frederick Douglass B |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass B |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Great Mills |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Great Mills |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Gwynn Park |
|
 
| Gwynn Park |
| Hammond |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
|
 
| Harford Tech |
| Havre De Grace |
Havre De Grace |
|
 
| Havre De Grace |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
Hereford   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Howard |
|
 
| Howard |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Kennedy |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Kent County |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Lake Clifton |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Lansdowne |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Laurel |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Long Reach |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Magruder |
Magruder |
|
 
| Magruder |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Mergenthaler |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| MJ McDonough |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
 
| Mount Hebron |
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
New Town |
|
 
| New Town |
| North Caroline |
North Caroline |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
North Caroline |
| North County |
North County |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
North County |
| North Dorchester |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| North East Cecil |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| North Hagerstown |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
| Northwest |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Northwestern PG |
Northwestern PG |
|
 
| Northwestern PG |
| Northwood |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Oakdale |
Oakdale |
|
 
| Oakdale |
| Oakland Mills |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Old Mill |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Overlea |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Owings Mills |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Oxon Hill |
Oxon Hill |
|
 
| Oxon Hill |
| Paint Branch |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Parkdale |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Parkville |
|
 
| Parkville |
| Patapsco |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Patterson HS |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Patterson Mill |
Patterson Mill |
|
 
| Patterson Mill |
| Patuxent |
Patuxent |
|
 
| Patuxent |
| Perry Hall |
Perry Hall |
|
 
| Perry Hall |
| Perryville |
Perryville |
|
 
| Perryville |
| Pikesville |
Pikesville |
|
 
| Pikesville |
| Poolesville |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Reservoir |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Richard Montgomery |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Severn Run |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Severn Run |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
 
| Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| South River |
South River |
|
 
| South River |
| Southern AA |
Southern AA |
|
 
| Southern AA |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| St Charles |
St Charles |
|
 
| St Charles |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
 
| Urbana |
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Western STES |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Westlake |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
Westminster   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Wheaton |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Wicomico |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Woodlawn |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
 
| Annapolis Area Chris |
| DC International PCS |
Annapolis Area Chris |
|
Annapolis Area Chris   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Jackson Reed |
PairWisePlus = 84

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.55
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Maret ( 2- 7, 78.1) 6- 2 -21.85 9.66 0.26 0.95 9.42
0 H Gunston School ( 5- 4, 78.6) 15- 2 -21.28 10.22 -0.26 0.95 9.47
0 H Key School ( 4- 4, 78.5) 18-12 -21.40 10.11 -0.26 0.95 9.36
0 A Arundel ( 2- 8, 80.5) 11- 8 -19.35 12.16 0.26 0.95 11.80
0 A St Andrews Epi ( 2- 2, 83.0) 4-10 -16.89 14.61 0.26 0.95 -15.80
0 A Gerstell Acade ( 3- 5, 87.0) 2-16 -12.86 18.65 0.26 0.95 -11.97
0 H St Vincent Pal ( 4- 4, 82.5) 7- 8 -17.43 14.08 -0.26 0.95 -16.81
0 A Concordia Prep ( 5- 2, 85.1) 7-14 -14.77 16.74 0.26 0.95 -13.78
0 H Sts Peter & Pa ( 6- 5, 91.8) 2-18 -8.06 23.44 -0.26 0.95 -7.91
------
-26.22
|
winning pts = 40.0445 losing points = -66.2686
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------