UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Severn Run 1
  
Severn Run            
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 82.7683

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Southern AA ( 5-12, 83.7) 5-14 324 H Oakland Mills ( 3-10, 81.4) 4- 1 327 A North County ( 8- 5, 85.0) 2-14 408 A Guilford Park (10- 2, 84.2) 5-10 410 H Arundel ( 4- 9, 81.7) 9- 6 414 A Old Mill ( 2-10, 80.3) 5- 4 417 A Northeast AA ( 9- 4, 86.2) 3-15 421 H Meade ( 2-11, 78.8) 4- 3 424 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 88.5) 5- 7 427 H South River ( 8- 6, 88.0) 19- 3 501 H Glen Burnie (10- 4, 86.3) 3-12 506 H Old Mill ( 2-10, 80.3) 11- 6 508 A City College ( 7- 2, 85.1) 5-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Southern AA             5-14      -9    -1    -     -3.62
   324 H Oakland Mills           4- 1       3     2           1.19
   327 A North County            2-14     -12    -3    -     -2.38
   408 A Guilford Park           5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.12
   410 H Arundel                 9- 6       3     1           1.52
   414 A Old Mill                5- 4       1     2          -1.04
   417 A Northeast AA            3-15     -12    -4          -1.14
   421 H Meade                   4- 3       1     4    -     -3.39
   424 A Crofton                 5- 7      -2    -6    +      3.00
   427 H South River            19- 3      16    -5    +++    9.86
   501 H Glen Burnie             3-12      -9    -3          -1.88
   506 H Old Mill               11- 6       5     3    +      2.13
   508 A City College            5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Southern AA             5-14      -9    -1    -     -3.62
   327 A North County            2-14     -12    -3    -     -2.38
   408 A Guilford Park           5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.12
   421 H Meade                   4- 3       1     4    -     -3.39
   508 A City College            5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H South River            19- 3      16    -5    +++    9.86
   424 A Crofton                 5- 7      -2    -6    +      3.00
   506 H Old Mill               11- 6       5     3    +      2.13

Severn Run PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Severn Run tied -  1- 0 Severn Run
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Severn Run   Severn Run
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Severn Run   Severn Run
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Severn Run   Severn Run
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Severn Run   Severn Run
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Severn Run   Severn Run
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Severn Run   Severn Run
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Severn Run   Severn Run
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Severn Run   Severn Run
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Severn Run   Severn Run
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Severn Run   Severn Run
Mount Carmel Severn Run   Severn Run
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Severn Run   Severn Run
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Severn Run   Severn Run
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Severn Run   Severn Run
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Severn Run   Severn Run
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Severn Run   Severn Run
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Severn Run   Severn Run
Academy for College Academy for College Academy for College   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Annapolis Annapolis tied -  3- 3 Annapolis
Arundel Severn Run Severn Run  
Atholton Severn Run tied -  2- 3 Severn Run
Baltimore Polytechni Severn Run   Severn Run
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Severn Run   Severn Run
Blair Severn Run   Severn Run
Blake Severn Run   Severn Run
Bohemia Manor Severn Run   Severn Run
Boonsboro Severn Run   Severn Run
Bowie Severn Run   Severn Run
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Brunswick Severn Run   Severn Run
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Severn Run   Severn Run
Carver A&T Severn Run   Severn Run
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Centennial Centennial tied -  1- 1 Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Severn Run   Severn Run
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Chesapeake BC Severn Run   Severn Run
Chopticon Chopticon Chopticon   1- 0 vs 0- 1
City College City College City College  
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton Crofton  
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Severn Run   Severn Run
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Dundalk Severn Run   Severn Run
DuVal Severn Run   Severn Run
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Severn Run   Severn Run
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Severn Run   Severn Run
Eleanor Roosevelt Severn Run   Severn Run
Elkton Severn Run   Severn Run
Fairmont Heights Severn Run   Severn Run
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Frederick Douglass B Severn Run   Severn Run
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Severn Run   Severn Run
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie Glen Burnie  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gov Thomas Johnson Severn Run   Severn Run
Great Mills Great Mills tied -  1- 0 Great Mills
Guilford Park Guilford Park Guilford Park  
Gwynn Park Severn Run   Severn Run
Hammond Severn Run Severn Run   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Severn Run   Severn Run
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Severn Run Severn Run   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Severn Run Severn Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Joppatowne Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Kennedy Severn Run   Severn Run
Kent County Severn Run   Severn Run
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Severn Run   Severn Run
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Severn Run   Severn Run
Lake Clifton Severn Run   Severn Run
Lansdowne Severn Run   Severn Run
Laurel Severn Run Severn Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Severn Run   Severn Run
Long Reach Severn Run Severn Run   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Magruder Severn Run   Severn Run
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Meade Severn Run Severn Run  
Mergenthaler Severn Run   Severn Run
Middletown Middletown Middletown   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Milford Mill Severn Run   Severn Run
MJ McDonough Severn Run   Severn Run
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   1- 0 vs 0- 1
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town Severn Run   Severn Run
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County North County  
North Dorchester Severn Run   Severn Run
North East Cecil Severn Run   Severn Run
North Hagerstown Severn Run   Severn Run
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Severn Run   Severn Run
Northeast AA Northeast AA Northeast AA  
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert tied -  1- 2 Northern Calvert
Northwest Severn Run   Severn Run
Northwestern PG Severn Run   Severn Run
Northwood Severn Run   Severn Run
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Severn Run Severn Run  
Old Mill Severn Run Severn Run  
Overlea Severn Run   Severn Run
Owings Mills Severn Run   Severn Run
Oxon Hill Severn Run   Severn Run
Paint Branch Severn Run   Severn Run
Parkdale Severn Run Severn Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Severn Run   Severn Run
Patapsco Severn Run   Severn Run
Patterson HS Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Patterson Mill Severn Run tied -  1- 1 Severn Run
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Severn Run   Severn Run
Perryville Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Pikesville Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Poolesville Severn Run   Severn Run
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard tied -  0- 1 Quince Orchard
Randallstown Severn Run   Severn Run
Reginald F Lewis Severn Run tied -  0- 1 Severn Run
Reservoir Severn Run Severn Run   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Richard Montgomery Severn Run   Severn Run
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill tied -  1- 0 River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Severn Run   Severn Run
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Severn Run   Severn Run
South River Severn Run Severn Run  
Southern AA Southern AA Southern AA  
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Severn Run   Severn Run
St Charles St Charles   St Charles
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Severn Run   Severn Run
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Severn Run   Severn Run
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Severn Run   Severn Run
Urbana Urbana Urbana   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Severn Run   Severn Run
Western STES Severn Run   Severn Run
Westlake Severn Run   Severn Run
Westminster Westminster tied -  1- 0 Westminster
Wheaton Severn Run   Severn Run
Wicomico Severn Run   Severn Run
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Winston Churchill Severn Run   Severn Run
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodlawn Severn Run   Severn Run
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Severn Run   Severn Run
DC International PCS Severn Run   Severn Run
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PairWisePlus = 110


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Southern AA     ( 5-12, 83.7)     5-14      -16.16      17.86       0.42         0.93           -14.61
   0 H Oakland Mills   ( 3-10, 81.4)     4- 1      -18.52      15.50      -0.42         0.93            14.00
   0 A North County    ( 8- 5, 85.0)     2-14      -14.93      19.10       0.42         0.93           -13.47
   0 A Guilford Park   (10- 2, 84.2)     5-10      -15.67      18.36       0.42         0.93           -14.15
   0 H Arundel         ( 4- 9, 81.7)     9- 6      -18.19      15.83      -0.42         0.93            14.31
   0 A Old Mill        ( 2-10, 80.3)     5- 4      -19.59      14.44       0.42         0.93            13.79
   0 A Northeast AA    ( 9- 4, 86.2)     3-15      -13.69      20.34       0.42         0.93           -12.31
   0 H Meade           ( 2-11, 78.8)     4- 3      -21.11      12.92      -0.42         0.93            11.60
   0 A Crofton         ( 7- 8, 88.5)     5- 7      -11.40      22.63       0.42         0.93           -10.19
   0 H South River     ( 8- 6, 88.0)    19- 3      -11.86      22.17      -0.42         0.93            20.19
   0 H Glen Burnie     (10- 4, 86.3)     3-12      -13.60      20.43      -0.42         0.93           -13.00
   0 H Old Mill        ( 2-10, 80.3)    11- 6      -19.59      14.44      -0.42         0.93            13.01
   0 A City College    ( 7- 2, 85.1)     5-12      -14.84      19.19       0.42         0.93           -13.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -4.23

winning pts = 86.8921 losing points = -91.1237

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------