Severn Run
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 82.7683
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
321 A Southern AA ( 5-12, 83.7) 5-14
324 H Oakland Mills ( 3-10, 81.4) 4- 1
327 A North County ( 8- 5, 85.0) 2-14
408 A Guilford Park (10- 2, 84.2) 5-10
410 H Arundel ( 4- 9, 81.7) 9- 6
414 A Old Mill ( 2-10, 80.3) 5- 4
417 A Northeast AA ( 9- 4, 86.2) 3-15
421 H Meade ( 2-11, 78.8) 4- 3
424 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 88.5) 5- 7
427 H South River ( 8- 6, 88.0) 19- 3
501 H Glen Burnie (10- 4, 86.3) 3-12
506 H Old Mill ( 2-10, 80.3) 11- 6
508 A City College ( 7- 2, 85.1) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Southern AA 5-14 -9 -1 - -3.62
324 H Oakland Mills 4- 1 3 2 1.19
327 A North County 2-14 -12 -3 - -2.38
408 A Guilford Park 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.12
410 H Arundel 9- 6 3 1 1.52
414 A Old Mill 5- 4 1 2 -1.04
417 A Northeast AA 3-15 -12 -4 -1.14
421 H Meade 4- 3 1 4 - -3.39
424 A Crofton 5- 7 -2 -6 + 3.00
427 H South River 19- 3 16 -5 +++ 9.86
501 H Glen Burnie 3-12 -9 -3 -1.88
506 H Old Mill 11- 6 5 3 + 2.13
508 A City College 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Southern AA 5-14 -9 -1 - -3.62
327 A North County 2-14 -12 -3 - -2.38
408 A Guilford Park 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.12
421 H Meade 4- 3 1 4 - -3.39
508 A City College 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.29
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
427 H South River 19- 3 16 -5 +++ 9.86
424 A Crofton 5- 7 -2 -6 + 3.00
506 H Old Mill 11- 6 5 3 + 2.13
|
Severn Run PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Severn Run |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
FCA LC |
|
 
| FCA LC |
| Friends |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Garrett County LC |
Garrett County LC |
|
 
| Garrett County LC |
| Georgetown Day |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Mount Carmel |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
|
 
| Salisbury School |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Sandy Spring Friends |
|
 
| Sandy Spring Friends |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Academy for College |
Academy for College |
|
Academy for College   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
tied -  3- 3 |
Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Severn Run |
Severn Run |
 
| |
| Atholton |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  2- 3 |
Severn Run |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Blair |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Blake |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Bohemia Manor |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Boonsboro |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Bowie |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
Broadneck   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
| Brunswick |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
|
 
| Calvert |
| Cambridge SD |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Carver A&T |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
Catonsville   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
Chesapeake AA   5- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
| Chesapeake BC |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
|
Chopticon   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| City College |
City College |
City College |
 
| |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
|
 
| Clarksburg |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
Crofton |
 
| |
| Damascus |
Damascus |
|
 
| Damascus |
| Digital Harbor |
Digital Harbor |
|
 
| Digital Harbor |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Dundalk |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| DuVal |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Easton |
|
 
| Easton |
| Edgewood |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Edmondson-Westside |
|
 
| Edmondson-Westside |
| Einstein |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Elkton |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Fairmont Heights |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Francis Scott Key |
Francis Scott Key |
|
 
| Francis Scott Key |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Frederick Douglass P |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass P |
| Friendly |
Friendly |
|
 
| Friendly |
| Gaithersburg |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
 
| |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
Glenelg HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Great Mills |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Great Mills |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
 
| |
| Gwynn Park |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Hammond |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Harford Tech |
Harford Tech |
|
 
| Harford Tech |
| Havre De Grace |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Howard |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
 
| Huntingtown |
| JM Bennett |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Joppatowne |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Kennedy |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Kent County |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| La Plata |
La Plata |
|
 
| La Plata |
| Lackey |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Lake Clifton |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Lansdowne |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Laurel |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
 
| Leonardtown |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
 
| Liberty |
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
 
| Linganore |
| Loch Raven |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Long Reach |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Magruder |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
 
| Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
Marriotts Ridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Meade |
Severn Run |
Severn Run |
 
| |
| Mergenthaler |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
Middletown   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Milford Mill |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| MJ McDonough |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
Mount Hebron   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| National Academy Fou |
National Academy Fou |
|
 
| National Academy Fou |
| New Town |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| North Caroline |
North Caroline |
|
 
| North Caroline |
| North County |
North County |
North County |
 
| |
| North Dorchester |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| North East Cecil |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| North Hagerstown |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
 
| |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Northern Calvert |
| Northwest |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Northwestern PG |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Northwood |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Oakdale |
Oakdale |
|
 
| Oakdale |
| Oakland Mills |
Severn Run |
Severn Run |
 
| |
| Old Mill |
Severn Run |
Severn Run |
 
| |
| Overlea |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Owings Mills |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Oxon Hill |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Paint Branch |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Parkdale |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Patapsco |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Patterson HS |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Patterson Mill |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Patuxent |
Patuxent |
|
 
| Patuxent |
| Perry Hall |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Perryville |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Pikesville |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Poolesville |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
Queen Annes County   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Severn Run |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Severn Run |
| Reservoir |
Severn Run |
|
Severn Run   2- 2 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Richard Montgomery |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
 
| Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
River Hill |
| Rockville |
Rockville |
|
 
| Rockville |
| Seneca Valley |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
Severna Park   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
 
| Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| South River |
Severn Run |
Severn Run |
 
|
| Southern AA |
Southern AA |
Southern AA |
 
|
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| St Charles |
St Charles |
|
 
| St Charles |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
| Suitland |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Surrattsville |
Surrattsville |
|
 
| Surrattsville |
| Thomas Stone |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
Urbana   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
 
| Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Western STES |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Westlake |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Wicomico |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
Wilde Lake   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Winston Churchill |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodlawn |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Wootton |
Wootton |
|
 
| Wootton |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| DC International PCS |
Severn Run |
|
 
| Severn Run |
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PairWisePlus = 110

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Southern AA ( 5-12, 83.7) 5-14 -16.16 17.86 0.42 0.93 -14.61
0 H Oakland Mills ( 3-10, 81.4) 4- 1 -18.52 15.50 -0.42 0.93 14.00
0 A North County ( 8- 5, 85.0) 2-14 -14.93 19.10 0.42 0.93 -13.47
0 A Guilford Park (10- 2, 84.2) 5-10 -15.67 18.36 0.42 0.93 -14.15
0 H Arundel ( 4- 9, 81.7) 9- 6 -18.19 15.83 -0.42 0.93 14.31
0 A Old Mill ( 2-10, 80.3) 5- 4 -19.59 14.44 0.42 0.93 13.79
0 A Northeast AA ( 9- 4, 86.2) 3-15 -13.69 20.34 0.42 0.93 -12.31
0 H Meade ( 2-11, 78.8) 4- 3 -21.11 12.92 -0.42 0.93 11.60
0 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 88.5) 5- 7 -11.40 22.63 0.42 0.93 -10.19
0 H South River ( 8- 6, 88.0) 19- 3 -11.86 22.17 -0.42 0.93 20.19
0 H Glen Burnie (10- 4, 86.3) 3-12 -13.60 20.43 -0.42 0.93 -13.00
0 H Old Mill ( 2-10, 80.3) 11- 6 -19.59 14.44 -0.42 0.93 13.01
0 A City College ( 7- 2, 85.1) 5-12 -14.84 19.19 0.42 0.93 -13.39
------
-4.23
|
winning pts = 86.8921 losing points = -91.1237
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------