UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:46 PDT

boys Aurora 1
  
Aurora                
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 78.2381

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Southeast Ravenna ( 2-12, 74.8) 11- 3 320 H St Vincent-St Mary ( 7- 7, 76.5) 19- 7 331 A Kenston (15- 2, 90.0) 0- 6 402 A Poland Seminary ( 1-10, 73.5) 10- 4 407 H Lake Uniontown ( 1-13, 78.9) 5- 8 409 H Revere (12- 5, 86.5) 9-14 414 A Kent Roosevelt (10- 4, 84.5) 5-13 417 A Padua Franciscan (13- 3, 85.6) 6-14 421 H Stow-Munroe Falls ( 4-14, 78.7) 6- 7 430 A Solon ( 6-11, 82.0) 3-15 502 H Cardinal Mooney ( 6-10, 75.1) 14- 3 503 A Copley (13- 4, 88.9) 5-13 505 H Highland ( 9- 6, 86.3) 1-13 507 H Notre Dame-Cathedral ( 8- 8, 76.2) 12- 4 508 A West Geauga ( 1-14, 69.0) 13- 3 509 H Willoughby South ( 4-11, 73.7) 13- 7 511 A Benedictine Clevela ( 0-10, 69.6) 12- 7 512 H Orange ( 2- 7, 79.9) 3- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Southeast Ravenna      11- 3       8     4           1.10
   320 H St Vincent-St Mary     19- 7      12     2    +      2.86
   331 A Kenston                 0- 6      -6   -12           0.00
   402 A Poland Seminary        10- 4       6     4           0.67
   407 H Lake  Uniontown         5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.73
   409 H Revere                  9-14      -5    -8           0.00
   414 A Kent Roosevelt          5-13      -8    -7           0.00
   417 A Padua Franciscan        6-14      -8    -8           0.00
   421 H Stow-Munroe Falls       6- 7      -1     0          -0.98
   430 A Solon                   3-15     -12    -4          -0.81
   502 H Cardinal Mooney        14- 3      11     4           1.48
   503 A Copley                  5-13      -8   -11           0.00
   505 H Highland                1-13     -12    -8           0.00
   507 H Notre Dame-Cathedral   12- 4       8     2    +      2.52
   508 A West Geauga            13- 3      10     9           0.00
   509 H Willoughby South       13- 7       6     5           0.00
   511 A Benedictine  Clevela   12- 7       5     8           0.00
   512 H Orange                  3- 9      -6    -1    -     -3.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lake  Uniontown         5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.73
   512 H Orange                  3- 9      -6    -1    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H St Vincent-St Mary     19- 7      12     2    +      2.86
   507 H Notre Dame-Cathedral   12- 4       8     2    +      2.52

Aurora PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Anthony Wayne Anthony Wayne   Anthony Wayne
Archbishop Alter Archbishop Alter   Archbishop Alter
Archbishop Hoban Archbishop Hoban tied -  0- 2 Archbishop Hoban
Archbishop McNichola Archbishop McNichola   Archbishop McNichola
Archbishop Moeller Archbishop Moeller   Archbishop Moeller
Avon Avon Avon   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Avon Lake Avon Lake Avon Lake   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Bay Bay Bay   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Beavercreek Beavercreek   Beavercreek
Bellbrook Bellbrook   Bellbrook
Benedictine Clevela Aurora Aurora  
Bexley Bexley   Bexley
Big Walnut Big Walnut   Big Walnut
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson   Bishop Watterson
Boardman Boardman tied -  3- 2 Boardman
Bowling Green Aurora   Aurora
Brecksville-Broadvie Brecksville-Broadvie Brecksville-Broadvie   2- 5 vs 0- 7
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Buckeye Valley Buckeye Valley   Buckeye Valley
Canal Winchester Aurora   Aurora
Canfield Canfield Canfield   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Canton Central Catho Canton Central Catho Canton Central Catho   6- 2 vs 3- 5
Cardinal Mooney Aurora Aurora  
Carroll Aurora   Aurora
Centerville Centerville   Centerville
Chagrin Falls Chagrin Falls tied -  0- 1 Chagrin Falls
Chaminade Julienne Aurora   Aurora
Chardon Chardon Chardon   7- 1 vs 4- 4
Cincinnati Hills Chr Cincinnati Hills Chr   Cincinnati Hills Chr
Clay Aurora   Aurora
Cleveland Heights Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clinton-Massie Clinton-Massie   Clinton-Massie
Columbus Academy Columbus Academy   Columbus Academy
Copley Copley Copley  
Cuyahoga Valley Chri Cuyahoga Valley Chri tied -  2- 3 Cuyahoga Valley Chri
Delaware Hayes Delaware Hayes   Delaware Hayes
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman   Dublin Coffman
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome   Dublin Jerome
Dublin Scioto Dublin Scioto   Dublin Scioto
Edgewood Aurora   Aurora
Elder Cincinnati Elder Cincinnati   Elder Cincinnati
Elyria Catholic Aurora Aurora   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Fairfield Aurora   Aurora
Fairmont Kettering Fairmont Kettering   Fairmont Kettering
Findlay Findlay   Findlay
Franklin Aurora   Aurora
Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy   2- 0 vs 1- 1
GlenOak-Canton GlenOak-Canton GlenOak-Canton   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Granville Granville   Granville
Green Green Green   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Hawken School Hawken School Hawken School   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Highland Highland Highland  
Hilliard Bradley Hilliard Bradley   Hilliard Bradley
Hilliard Darby Hilliard Darby   Hilliard Darby
Hilliard Davidson Hilliard Davidson   Hilliard Davidson
Holy Name Holy Name tied -  5- 1 Holy Name
Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hudson Hudson Hudson   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hudson Blue Hudson Blue   Hudson Blue
Indian Hill Indian Hill   Indian Hill
Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon   1- 0 vs 0- 1
John Glenn John Glenn John Glenn   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Johnstown Johnstown   Johnstown
Jonathan Alder Jonathan Alder   Jonathan Alder
Kenston Kenston Kenston  
Kent Roosevelt Kent Roosevelt Kent Roosevelt  
Keystone Keystone   Keystone
Kings Kings   Kings
Kirtland Aurora tied -  2- 1 Aurora
La Salle La Salle   La Salle
Lake Uniontown Lake Uniontown Lake Uniontown  
Lakewood Aurora Aurora   2- 4 vs 1- 5
Lakota East Lakota East   Lakota East
Lakota West Lakota West   Lakota West
Lebanon Lebanon   Lebanon
Licking Valley Aurora   Aurora
Lima Aurora   Aurora
Lincoln Gahanna Lincoln Gahanna   Lincoln Gahanna
Little Miami Little Miami   Little Miami
Louisville Louisville Louisville   6- 2 vs 5- 3
Loveland Loveland   Loveland
Madeira Madeira   Madeira
Mariemont Mariemont   Mariemont
Marysville Marysville   Marysville
Mason Mason   Mason
Medina Medina Medina   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Mentor Mentor Mentor   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Miamisburg Aurora   Aurora
Milford Milford   Milford
Monroe Aurora   Aurora
New Albany New Albany   New Albany
Newark Aurora   Aurora
North Ridgeville Aurora tied -  1- 0 Aurora
Northmont Northmont   Northmont
Notre Dame-Cathedral Aurora Aurora  
Oak Hills Oak Hills   Oak Hills
Oakwood Oakwood   Oakwood
Olentangy Berlin Olentangy Berlin   Olentangy Berlin
Olentangy HS Olentangy HS   Olentangy HS
Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty   Olentangy Liberty
Olentangy Orange Olentangy Orange   Olentangy Orange
Olmsted Falls Olmsted Falls Olmsted Falls   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Orange Orange Orange  
Ottawa Hills Ottawa Hills tied -  0- 1 Ottawa Hills
Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan  
Perrysburg Perrysburg   Perrysburg
Pickerington Central Pickerington Central   Pickerington Central
Pickerington North Pickerington North   Pickerington North
Poland Seminary Aurora Aurora  
Revere Revere Revere  
Riverside Painesvill Riverside Painesvill tied -  1- 1 Riverside Painesvill
Rocky River Rocky River Rocky River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Seven Hills Aurora   Aurora
Shaker Heights Shaker Heights Shaker Heights   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Solon Solon Solon  
Southeast Ravenna Aurora Aurora  
Springboro Springboro   Springboro
St Charles Prep St Charles Prep   St Charles Prep
St Edward St Edward   St Edward
St Francis De Sales St Francis De Sales   St Francis De Sales
St Francis DeSales - St Francis DeSales -   St Francis DeSales -
St Ignatius Cle Blu St Ignatius Cle Blu   St Ignatius Cle Blu
St Ignatius Clevelan St Ignatius Clevelan   St Ignatius Clevelan
St Johns Jesuit St Johns Jesuit tied -  0- 1 St Johns Jesuit
St Vincent-St Mary Aurora Aurora  
St Xavier Cincinnat St Xavier Cincinnat   St Xavier Cincinnat
Stow-Munroe Falls Stow-Munroe Falls Stow-Munroe Falls  
Strongsville Strongsville   Strongsville
Summit CDS Summit CDS   Summit CDS
Sycamore Sycamore   Sycamore
Sylvania Northview Sylvania Northview   Sylvania Northview
Sylvania Southview Sylvania Southview   Sylvania Southview
Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington   Thomas Worthington
Tipp City Aurora   Aurora
Toledo United Toledo United   Toledo United
Turpin Turpin   Turpin
University School Cl University School Cl tied -  0- 2 University School Cl
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington   Upper Arlington
Wadsworth Wadsworth Wadsworth   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Walnut Hills Aurora   Aurora
Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Waynesville Waynesville   Waynesville
West Geauga Aurora Aurora  
Western Reserve B Western Reserve B   Western Reserve B
Westerville Central Westerville Central   Westerville Central
Westerville North Westerville North   Westerville North
Westerville South Westerville South   Westerville South
Westlake Westlake tied -  2- 3 Westlake
Willoughby South Aurora Aurora  
Wilmington Aurora   Aurora
Winton Woods Winton Woods   Winton Woods
Wooster Wooster Wooster   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Worthington Kilbourn Worthington Kilbourn   Worthington Kilbourn
Wyoming Aurora   Aurora
Xenia Aurora   Aurora

PairWisePlus = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Southeast Rave  ( 2-12, 74.8)    11- 3      -25.14      10.03      -0.42         0.79             7.58
   0 H St Vincent-St   ( 7- 7, 76.5)    19- 7      -23.38      11.80      -0.42         0.79             8.97
   0 A Kenston         (15- 2, 90.0)     0- 6       -9.90      25.27       0.42         0.79            -7.48
   0 A Poland Seminar  ( 1-10, 73.5)    10- 4      -26.41       8.76       0.42         0.79             7.25
   0 H Lake  Uniontow  ( 1-13, 78.9)     5- 8      -20.97      14.21      -0.42         0.79           -16.88
   0 H Revere          (12- 5, 86.5)     9-14      -13.39      21.78      -0.42         0.79           -10.90
   0 A Kent Roosevelt  (10- 4, 84.5)     5-13      -15.39      19.78       0.42         0.79           -11.81
   0 A Padua Francisc  (13- 3, 85.6)     6-14      -14.27      20.91       0.42         0.79           -10.92
   0 H Stow-Munroe Fa  ( 4-14, 78.7)     6- 7      -21.22      13.96      -0.42         0.79           -17.07
   0 A Solon           ( 6-11, 82.0)     3-15      -17.89      17.28       0.42         0.79           -13.78
   0 H Cardinal Moone  ( 6-10, 75.1)    14- 3      -24.76      10.41      -0.42         0.79             7.88
   0 A Copley          (13- 4, 88.9)     5-13      -11.03      24.14       0.42         0.79            -8.37
   0 H Highland        ( 9- 6, 86.3)     1-13      -13.58      21.59      -0.42         0.79           -11.05
   0 H Notre Dame-Cat  ( 8- 8, 76.2)    12- 4      -23.71      11.46      -0.42         0.79             8.71
   0 A West Geauga     ( 1-14, 69.0)    13- 3      -30.90       4.28       0.42         0.79             3.71
   0 H Willoughby Sou  ( 4-11, 73.7)    13- 7      -26.24       8.93      -0.42         0.79             6.71
   0 A Benedictine  C  ( 0-10, 69.6)    12- 7      -30.31       4.86       0.42         0.79             4.17
   0 H Orange          ( 2- 7, 79.9)     3- 9      -20.05      15.12      -0.42         0.79           -16.15
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -69.43

winning pts = 54.9800 losing points = -124.4128

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------