UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Aurora 1
  
Aurora                
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 88.6393

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Southeast Ravenna ( 0- 2, 82.3) 11- 3 320 H St Vincent-St Mary ( 1- 3, 81.3) 19- 7 331 A Kenston ( 3- 0, 92.6) 0- 6 402 A Poland Seminary ( 0- 4, 77.6) 10- 4 404 H West Geauga ( 0- 3, 79.5) 407 H Lake Uniontown ( 0- 4, 81.6) 409 H Revere ( 4- 1, 91.2) 414 A Kent Roosevelt ( 2- 1, 85.5) 417 A Padua Franciscan ( 1- 0, 88.9) 421 H Stow-Munroe Falls ( 2- 1, 86.5) 423 A Copley ( 4- 1, 89.7) 430 A Solon ( 0- 2, 83.4) 502 H Cardinal Mooney ( 2- 3, 83.3) 505 H Highland ( 1- 1, 88.7) 507 H Notre Dame-Cathedral ( 1- 1, 84.0) 509 H Willoughby South ( 0- 2, 85.3) 511 A Benedictine Clevela ( 0- 3, 78.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Southeast Ravenna      11- 3       8     7           0.00
   320 H St Vincent-St Mary     19- 7      12     8           0.00
   331 A Kenston                 0- 6      -6    -5          -0.00
   402 A Poland Seminary        10- 4       6    10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Aurora Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Anthony Wayne Aurora   Aurora
Archbishop Alter Aurora   Aurora
Archbishop Hoban Aurora   Aurora
Archbishop McNichola Aurora   Aurora
Archbishop Moeller Archbishop Moeller   Archbishop Moeller
Avon Avon   Avon
Avon Lake Aurora   Aurora
Bay Aurora   Aurora
Beavercreek Beavercreek   Beavercreek
Bellbrook Bellbrook   Bellbrook
Benedictine Clevela Aurora   Aurora
Bexley Bexley   Bexley
Big Walnut Aurora   Aurora
Bishop Fenwick Aurora   Aurora
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson   Bishop Watterson
Boardman Aurora   Aurora
Bowling Green Aurora   Aurora
Brecksville-Broadvie Aurora   Aurora
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Buckeye Valley Buckeye Valley   Buckeye Valley
Canal Winchester Aurora   Aurora
Canfield Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Canton Central Catho Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Cardinal Mooney Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Carroll Aurora   Aurora
Centerville Centerville   Centerville
Chagrin Falls Chagrin Falls   Chagrin Falls
Chaminade Julienne Aurora   Aurora
Chardon Chardon   Chardon
Cincinnati Hills Chr Aurora   Aurora
Clay Aurora   Aurora
Cleveland Heights Aurora   Aurora
Clinton-Massie Clinton-Massie   Clinton-Massie
Columbus Academy Aurora   Aurora
Copley Copley   Copley
Cuyahoga Valley Chri Aurora   Aurora
Delaware Hayes Delaware Hayes   Delaware Hayes
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman   Dublin Coffman
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome   Dublin Jerome
Dublin Scioto Aurora   Aurora
Edgewood Aurora   Aurora
Elder Cincinnati Elder Cincinnati   Elder Cincinnati
Elyria Catholic Aurora   Aurora
Fairfield Aurora   Aurora
Fairmont Kettering Aurora   Aurora
Findlay Aurora   Aurora
Franklin Aurora   Aurora
Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy   Gilmour Academy
GlenOak-Canton Aurora   Aurora
Granville Aurora   Aurora
Green Green   Green
Grove City Aurora   Aurora
Hawken School Aurora   Aurora
Highland Highland   Highland
Hilliard Bradley Aurora   Aurora
Hilliard Darby Aurora   Aurora
Hilliard Davidson Aurora   Aurora
Holy Name Holy Name   Holy Name
Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton   Hoover North Canton
Hudson Hudson   Hudson
Hudson Blue Aurora   Aurora
Indian Hill Aurora   Aurora
Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon   Jackson Massillon
John Glenn Aurora   Aurora
Johnstown Aurora   Aurora
Jonathan Alder Aurora   Aurora
Kenston Kenston Kenston  
Kent Roosevelt Aurora tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Aurora
Keystone Aurora   Aurora
Kings Kings   Kings
Kirtland Kirtland   Kirtland
La Salle Aurora   Aurora
Lake Uniontown Aurora   Aurora
Lakewood Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Lakota East Aurora   Aurora
Lakota West Lakota West   Lakota West
Lebanon Aurora   Aurora
Licking Valley Aurora   Aurora
Lima Aurora   Aurora
Lincoln Gahanna Aurora   Aurora
Little Miami Little Miami   Little Miami
Louisville Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Loveland Loveland   Loveland
Madeira Aurora   Aurora
Mariemont Aurora   Aurora
Marysville Aurora   Aurora
Mason Mason   Mason
Medina Medina   Medina
Mentor Mentor   Mentor
Miamisburg Aurora   Aurora
Milford Milford   Milford
Monroe Aurora   Aurora
New Albany New Albany   New Albany
Newark Aurora   Aurora
North Ridgeville Aurora   Aurora
Northmont Aurora   Aurora
Notre Dame-Cathedral Aurora   Aurora
Oak Hills Aurora   Aurora
Oakwood Oakwood   Oakwood
Olentangy Berlin Olentangy Berlin   Olentangy Berlin
Olentangy HS Olentangy HS   Olentangy HS
Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty   Olentangy Liberty
Olentangy Orange Aurora   Aurora
Olmsted Falls Olmsted Falls   Olmsted Falls
Orange Aurora   Aurora
Ottawa Hills Aurora   Aurora
Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan   Padua Franciscan
Perrysburg Perrysburg   Perrysburg
Pickerington Central Aurora   Aurora
Pickerington North Pickerington North   Pickerington North
Poland Seminary Aurora Aurora  
Revere Revere   Revere
Riverside Painesvill Aurora   Aurora
Rocky River Rocky River   Rocky River
Seven Hills Aurora   Aurora
Shaker Heights Shaker Heights   Shaker Heights
Solon Aurora   Aurora
Southeast Ravenna Aurora Aurora  
Springboro Springboro   Springboro
St Charles Prep St Charles Prep   St Charles Prep
St Edward St Edward   St Edward
St Francis De Sales St Francis De Sales   St Francis De Sales
St Francis DeSales - St Francis DeSales -   St Francis DeSales -
St Ignatius Cle Blu Aurora   Aurora
St Ignatius Clevelan St Ignatius Clevelan   St Ignatius Clevelan
St Johns Jesuit St Johns Jesuit   St Johns Jesuit
St Vincent-St Mary Aurora Aurora  
St Xavier Cincinnat St Xavier Cincinnat   St Xavier Cincinnat
Stow-Munroe Falls Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Strongsville Aurora   Aurora
Summit CDS Aurora   Aurora
Sycamore Aurora   Aurora
Sylvania Northview Aurora   Aurora
Sylvania Southview Aurora   Aurora
Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington   Thomas Worthington
Tipp City Aurora   Aurora
Toledo United Aurora   Aurora
Turpin Aurora   Aurora
University School Cl University School Cl   University School Cl
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington   Upper Arlington
Wadsworth Wadsworth   Wadsworth
Walnut Hills Aurora   Aurora
Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit   Walsh Jesuit
Waynesville Aurora   Aurora
West Geauga Aurora   Aurora
Western Reserve B Aurora   Aurora
Westerville Central Aurora   Aurora
Westerville North Aurora   Aurora
Westerville South Aurora   Aurora
Westlake Aurora   Aurora
Willoughby South Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Wilmington Aurora   Aurora
Winton Woods Aurora   Aurora
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worthington Kilbourn Worthington Kilbourn   Worthington Kilbourn
Wyoming Aurora   Aurora
Xenia Aurora   Aurora

PowerWise = 96


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Southeast Rave  ( 0- 2, 82.3)    11- 3      -17.61      10.30      -1.00         0.86             8.02
   0 H St Vincent-St   ( 1- 3, 81.3)    19- 7      -18.58       9.33      -1.00         0.86             7.18
   0 A Kenston         ( 3- 0, 92.6)     0- 6       -7.26      20.65       1.00         0.86            -5.39
   0 A Poland Seminar  ( 0- 4, 77.6)    10- 4      -22.35       5.56       1.00         0.86             5.65
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        15.46

winning pts = 20.8504 losing points = -5.3947

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------