Shelby County
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 80.8389
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
303 A Louisville Collegiat ( 8- 4, 85.8) 6-10
305 H Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9) 1-17
307 H Greenwood ( 5- 6, 81.6) 13-11
311 A South Oldham ( 5- 3, 93.9) 0-18
312 A Bryan Station ( 2- 9, 74.5) 8- 5
314 A North Oldham (11- 3, 91.6) 3-16
317 H Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 14- 9
319 A Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 14- 3
324 H Male ( 3- 7, 73.5) 15- 1
326 A St Henry ( 1- 7, 74.8) 10- 7
407 A Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9) 6-13
414 A Scott County ( 3-10, 73.4) 20- 1
416 H Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 21- 0
420 H Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1) 7- 6
424 H North Hardin ( 1-13, 72.2) 22- 0
428 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-11, 69.1) 21- 0
502 H Bluegrass ( 1- 1, 77.8)
504 H Central Hardin ( 3- 8, 78.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 A Louisville Collegiat 6-10 -4 -5 1.00
305 H Collins 1-17 -16 -4 -1.45
307 H Greenwood 13-11 2 0 + 2.25
311 A South Oldham 0-18 -18 -14 0.00
312 A Bryan Station 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00
314 A North Oldham 3-16 -13 -11 0.00
317 H Cooper 14- 9 5 3 1.95
319 A Oldham County 14- 3 11 12 0.00
324 H Male 15- 1 14 8 0.00
326 A St Henry 10- 7 3 6 - -2.00
407 A Collins 6-13 -7 -4 -0.51
414 A Scott County 20- 1 19 7 0.00
416 H Oldham County 21- 0 21 12 0.00
420 H Tates Creek 7- 6 1 -1 1.78
424 H North Hardin 22- 0 22 9 0.00
428 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 21- 0 21 12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 A Bryan Station 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00
326 A St Henry 10- 7 3 6 - -2.00
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Greenwood 13-11 2 0 + 2.25
|
Shelby County PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson County |
Anderson County |
|
 
| Anderson County |
| Atherton |
Shelby County |
|
Shelby County   5- 2 vs 4- 3 |
|
| Ballard Louisville |
Shelby County |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Shelby County |
| Bluegrass |
Shelby County |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Shelby County |
| Bowling Green |
Bowling Green |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Bowling Green |
| Bryan Station |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| Central Hardin |
Shelby County |
|
Shelby County   4- 1 vs 3- 2 |
|
| Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
|
 
| Christian Academy-Lo |
| Collins |
Collins |
Collins |
 
| |
| Cooper |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied -  3- 2 |
Covington Catholic |
| DeSales |
Shelby County |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Shelby County |
| Dixie Heights |
Dixie Heights |
|
tied -  4- 0 |
Dixie Heights |
| DuPont Manual |
DuPont Manual |
|
tied -  2- 2 |
DuPont Manual |
| Eastern |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 1 vs 3- 2 |
|
| Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied -  2- 2 |
Frederick Douglass |
| Great Crossing |
Shelby County |
|
Shelby County   5- 0 vs 4- 1 |
|
| Greenwood |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
|
Kentucky Country Day   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   7- 0 vs 6- 1 |
|
| Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Lexington Christian |
| Louisville Collegiat |
Louisville Collegiat |
Louisville Collegiat |
 
| |
| Male |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| North Hardin |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| North Oldham |
North Oldham |
North Oldham |
 
| |
| Oldham County |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| Owensboro |
Shelby County |
|
Shelby County   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| Ryle |
Ryle |
|
tied -  3- 1 |
Ryle |
| Sayre |
Sayre |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Sayre |
| Scott County |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| South Oldham |
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
 
| |
| South Warren |
South Warren |
|
South Warren   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| St Henry |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
St Xavier Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Tates Creek |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
|
Trinity Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Walton-Verona |
Shelby County |
|
Shelby County   3- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Woodford County |
Woodford County |
|
Woodford County   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
PairWisePlus = 18

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Louisville Col ( 8- 4, 85.8) 6-10 -14.13 16.91 0.47 0.66 -9.02
0 H Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9) 1-17 -15.04 15.99 -0.47 0.66 -10.25
0 H Greenwood ( 5- 6, 81.6) 13-11 -18.34 12.69 -0.47 0.66 8.08
0 A South Oldham ( 5- 3, 93.9) 0-18 -5.96 25.07 0.47 0.66 -3.63
0 A Bryan Station ( 2- 9, 74.5) 8- 5 -25.43 5.60 0.47 0.66 4.01
0 A North Oldham (11- 3, 91.6) 3-16 -8.27 22.76 0.47 0.66 -5.15
0 H Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 14- 9 -21.65 9.38 -0.47 0.66 5.89
0 A Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 14- 3 -31.03 1.00 0.47 0.66 0.97
0 H Male ( 3- 7, 73.5) 15- 1 -26.38 4.65 -0.47 0.66 2.77
0 A St Henry ( 1- 7, 74.8) 10- 7 -25.11 5.92 0.47 0.66 4.22
0 A Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9) 6-13 -15.04 15.99 0.47 0.66 -9.63
0 A Scott County ( 3-10, 73.4) 20- 1 -26.47 4.56 0.47 0.66 3.32
0 H Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 21- 0 -31.03 1.00 -0.47 0.66 0.35
0 H Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1) 7- 6 -17.81 13.22 -0.47 0.66 8.42
0 H North Hardin ( 1-13, 72.2) 22- 0 -27.71 3.32 -0.47 0.66 1.88
0 H Paul Laurence ( 0-11, 69.1) 21- 0 -30.76 1.00 -0.47 0.66 0.35
------
2.59
|
winning pts = 40.2608 losing points = -37.6756
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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