UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Tocoi Creek 1
  
Tocoi Creek           
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 82.0786

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Creekside (10- 5, 89.4) 5-18 213 A Flagler Palm Coast ( 2-11, 73.3) 9- 3 217 A Menendez ( 9- 6, 85.6) 1- 6 220 H Matanzas ( 3-10, 79.4) 17- 5 225 H Forest (11- 6, 81.4) 11- 8 302 A Fernandina Beach ( 7- 8, 82.0) 3-13 304 A St Augustine (11- 7, 87.9) 4-13 306 H Nease (12- 3, 91.2) 0-17 310 H Fletcher ( 8- 5, 90.7) 7-15 312 A Bartram Trail ( 9- 4, 89.6) 3- 9 324 H Fleming Island ( 6- 6, 85.4) 7- 3 327 H Beachside ( 4- 8, 81.7) 4- 6 330 A St Joseph Academy ( 2- 9, 73.3) 12- 5 401 H Providence School (10- 3, 84.9) 6-17 403 A Buchholz (12- 5, 89.0) 0- 1

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 H Creekside               5-18     -13    -7           0.00
   213 A Flagler Palm Coast      9- 3       6     8           0.00
   217 A Menendez                1- 6      -5    -4          -1.18
   220 H Matanzas               17- 5      12     3    +      2.02
   225 H Forest                 11- 8       3     1           1.99
   302 A Fernandina Beach        3-13     -10     0    --    -4.80
   304 A St Augustine            4-13      -9    -6           0.00
   306 H Nease                   0-17     -17    -9           0.00
   310 H Fletcher                7-15      -8    -8           0.00
   312 A Bartram Trail           3- 9      -6    -8           0.00
   324 H Fleming Island          7- 3       4    -3    +++    7.06
   327 H Beachside               4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.62
   330 A St Joseph Academy      12- 5       7     8           0.00
   401 H Providence School       6-17     -11    -3    -     -2.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Fernandina Beach        3-13     -10     0    --    -4.80
   327 H Beachside               4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.62
   401 H Providence School       6-17     -11    -3    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Fleming Island          7- 3       4    -3    +++    7.06
   220 H Matanzas               17- 5      12     3    +      2.02

Tocoi Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Admiral Farragut Aca Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
All Saints Academy Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Alonso Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
American Heritage De American Heritage De   American Heritage De
American Heritage Pl American Heritage Pl   American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Apopka Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Archbishop McCarthy Archbishop McCarthy   Archbishop McCarthy
Atlantic Coast Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Tocoi Creek
Atlantic-Delray Beac Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers   Aubrey Rogers
Barron Collier Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Bartow Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Bartram Trail Bartram Trail Bartram Trail  
Beachside Beachside Beachside  
Belen Jesuit Belen Jesuit   Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School Benjamin School   Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep Berkeley Prep   Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Bishop Moore Bishop Moore insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Moore
Bishop Verot Bishop Verot   Bishop Verot
Bloomingdale Bloomingdale   Bloomingdale
Boca Ciega Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Boca Raton Boca Raton   Boca Raton
Bolles Bolles Bolles   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Boone Boone tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boone
Bradenton Christian Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Buchholz Buchholz Buchholz  
Calvary Christian Ac Calvary Christian Ac   Calvary Christian Ac
Calvary Christian HS Calvary Christian HS   Calvary Christian HS
Canterbury School Canterbury School   Canterbury School
Cardinal Gibbons Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney   Cardinal Mooney
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Celebration Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Chiles Tocoi Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
Clearwater Central C Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Cocoa Beach Tocoi Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tocoi Creek
Colonial Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Columbus Catholic Columbus Catholic   Columbus Catholic
Community School-Nap Community School-Nap   Community School-Nap
Cooper City Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Coral Glades Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Coral Reef Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Coral Shores Coral Shores   Coral Shores
Coral Springs Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Countryside Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Creekside Creekside Creekside  
Cypress Bay Cypress Bay   Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
Cypress Lake Cypress Lake   Cypress Lake
Dr Phillips Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Durant Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Dwyer Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
East Lake Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
East Ridge Tocoi Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tocoi Creek
East River Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Eastside Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Edgewater Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Edgewood Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Estero Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Evans Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Father Lopez Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Fernandina Beach Fernandina Beach Fernandina Beach  
First Academy First Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) First Academy
Flagler Palm Coast Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek  
Fleming Island Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek  
Fletcher Fletcher Fletcher  
Florida Christian Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Forest Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek  
Fort Myers Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Fort Walton Beach Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Foundation Academy Foundation Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Foundation Academy
Freedom Orlando Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Freedom Tampa Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Golden Gate Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Gulf Breeze Gulf Breeze tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast Gulf Coast   Gulf Coast
Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep   Gulliver Prep
Hagerty Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Holy Trinity Episcop Holy Trinity Episcop   Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
IMG Academy-White IMG Academy-White   IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Immokalee Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Indian Rocks Christi Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Innovation Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Jensen Beach Jensen Beach   Jensen Beach
Jesuit Tampa Jesuit Tampa   Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Jupiter Jupiter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jupiter
Jupiter Christian Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Key West Key West   Key West
Keys Gate Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Kings Academy Kings Academy   Kings Academy
Lake Brantley Lake Brantley   Lake Brantley
Lake Buena Vista Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep   Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lake Mary Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lake Minneola Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lake Nona Lake Nona   Lake Nona
Lake Wales Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lakeland Christian Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lakeland HS Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lakewood Ranch Lakewood Ranch   Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Lely Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Leon Leon insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Leon
Lincoln Tallahassee Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Tocoi Creek
Lyman Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
Maclay Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Tocoi Creek
Manatee Manatee   Manatee
Mandarin Tocoi Creek tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) Tocoi Creek
Marco Island Academy Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Martin County Martin County   Martin County
Matanzas Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek  
Melbourne Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Melbourne Central Ca Tocoi Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
Menendez Menendez Menendez  
Merritt Island Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Miami Country Day Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Miami Palmetto Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Milton Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montverde Academy Montverde Academy   Montverde Academy
Naples Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Navarre Navarre   Navarre
Nease Nease Nease  
Newberry Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Tocoi Creek
Newsome Newsome   Newsome
Niceville Niceville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Niceville
North Bay Haven Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
North Broward Prep North Broward Prep   North Broward Prep
Northeast St Petersb Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Northside Christian Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
NSU University Schoo NSU University Schoo   NSU University Schoo
Oak Hall Oak Hall Oak Hall   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Ocoee Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Okeechobee Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Olympia Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Olympic Heights Olympic Heights   Olympic Heights
Osceola Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Out-of-Door Academy Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Oviedo Oviedo   Oviedo
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy   Oxbridge Academy
Palm Beach Central Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Palm Beach Gardens Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Palm Harbor Universi Palm Harbor Universi   Palm Harbor Universi
Palmer Trinity Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Palmetto Ridge Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Park Vista Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Pasco Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Paxon Institute Tocoi Creek tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Tocoi Creek
Pensacola Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Pensacola Catholic Pensacola Catholic   Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest Pine Crest   Pine Crest
Plant Plant   Plant
Pompano Beach Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Providence School Providence School Providence School  
Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades   Ransom Everglades
Rickards Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Riverdale Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Riverside Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Tocoi Creek
Riverview Sarasota Riverview Sarasota   Riverview Sarasota
Robinson Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Rockledge Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Sandalwood Tocoi Creek tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Tocoi Creek
Santa Fe Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Sarasota HS Sarasota HS   Sarasota HS
Satellite Tocoi Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
Sebastian River Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Seminole Seminole   Seminole
Seminole Ridge Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Sickles Sickles   Sickles
South Fork Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
South Lake Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
South Plantation Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
South Walton South Walton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) South Walton
Spanish River Spanish River   Spanish River
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Augustine St Augustine St Augustine  
St Brendan Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
St Cloud Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
St Edwards School St Edwards School   St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad St John Paul II Acad   St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek  
St Petersburg Cathol Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
St Petersburg HS Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
St Stephens Episcopa Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep Tocoi Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Tocoi Creek
Steinbrenner Steinbrenner   Steinbrenner
Stoneman Douglas Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Suncoast Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Sunlake Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Tampa Catholic Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Tampa Prep Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Taravella Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Timber Creek Timber Creek   Timber Creek
Tohopekaliga Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Trinity Catholic Trinity Catholic tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Trinity Catholic
Trinity Prep Tocoi Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tocoi Creek
University Orlando Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Venice Venice   Venice
Vero Beach Vero Beach   Vero Beach
Viera Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Village School Naple Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Washington Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Wellington Wellington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wellington
Wesley Chapel Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
West Boca Raton West Boca Raton   West Boca Raton
West Broward Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
West Florida Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
West Orange West Orange   West Orange
West Shore Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Western Davie Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Westminster Academy Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Westminster Christia Westminster Christia   Westminster Christia
Wharton Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Windermere HS Windermere HS   Windermere HS
Windermere Prep Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Winter Haven Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Winter Park Winter Park   Winter Park
Winter Springs Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Wiregrass Ranch Wiregrass Ranch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wiregrass Ranch

PowerWise = 135


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Creekside       (10- 5, 89.4)     5-18      -10.50      24.69      -0.29         0.83            -8.92
   0 A Flagler Palm C  ( 2-11, 73.3)     9- 3      -26.60       8.58       0.29         0.83             7.34
   0 A Menendez        ( 9- 6, 85.6)     1- 6      -14.29      20.90       0.29         0.83           -11.58
   0 H Matanzas        ( 3-10, 79.4)    17- 5      -20.51      14.68      -0.29         0.83            11.91
   0 H Forest          (11- 6, 81.4)    11- 8      -18.54      16.65      -0.29         0.83            13.54
   0 A Fernandina Bea  ( 7- 8, 82.0)     3-13      -17.92      17.27       0.29         0.83           -14.58
   0 A St Augustine    (11- 7, 87.9)     4-13      -11.98      23.21       0.29         0.83            -9.67
   0 H Nease           (12- 3, 91.2)     0-17       -8.67      26.51      -0.29         0.83            -7.42
   0 H Fletcher        ( 8- 5, 90.7)     7-15       -9.20      25.99      -0.29         0.83            -7.85
   0 A Bartram Trail   ( 9- 4, 89.6)     3- 9      -10.31      24.88       0.29         0.83            -8.29
   0 H Fleming Island  ( 6- 6, 85.4)     7- 3      -14.47      20.72      -0.29         0.83            16.90
   0 H Beachside       ( 4- 8, 81.7)     4- 6      -18.15      17.03      -0.29         0.83           -15.26
   0 A St Joseph Acad  ( 2- 9, 73.3)    12- 5      -26.59       8.60       0.29         0.83             7.36
   0 H Providence Sch  (10- 3, 84.9)     6-17      -14.97      20.22      -0.29         0.83           -12.62
   0 A Buchholz        (12- 5, 89.0)     0- 1      -10.94      24.25       0.29         0.83            -8.81
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -47.96

winning pts = 57.0449 losing points = -105.0075

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------