Bellows Free Academy
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 89.2036
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
414 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 5-13
424 H Green Mountain Valle ( 3- 5, 86.9) 10- 7
428 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 0-12
501 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 6-17
504 H Otter Valley Union ( 0- 8, 91.4) 1- 0
508 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 11- 9
513 H Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 10-16
515 A Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 13-12
518 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 14-11
520 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 16- 2
523 H Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 5-12
526 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 16- 1
528 A Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4)
530 A St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 A Milton 5-13 -8 -4 -1.11
424 H Green Mountain Valle 10- 7 3 2 0.69
428 H Harwood Union 0-12 -12 -8 0.00
501 H Milton 6-17 -11 -4 -1.13
508 A Burlington 11- 9 2 1 0.91
513 H Montpelier 10-16 -6 -3 -1.97
515 A Stowe 13-12 1 -2 + 3.47
518 A Colchester 14-11 3 2 1.09
520 A Spaulding 16- 2 14 5 0.00
523 H Mount Abraham 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.17
526 H Lyndon Institute 16- 1 15 5 0.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
523 H Mount Abraham 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.17
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
515 A Stowe 13-12 1 -2 + 3.47
|
Bellows Free Academy PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Bellows Free Academy |
| Brattleboro Union |
Brattleboro Union |
|
 
| Brattleboro Union |
| Burlington |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| Burr and Burton Acad |
Burr and Burton Acad |
|
 
| Burr and Burton Acad |
| Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
|
 
| Champlain Valley Uni |
| Colchester |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| Essex Junction |
Essex Junction |
|
 
| Essex Junction |
| Green Mountain Valle |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union  10- 0 vs 6- 4 |
|
| Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
 
| |
| Lamoille Union |
Lamoille Union |
|
 
| Lamoille Union |
| Lyndon Institute |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| Middlebury Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Milton |
Milton |
Milton |
 
| |
| Montpelier |
Montpelier |
Montpelier |
 
| |
| Mount Abraham |
Mount Abraham |
Mount Abraham |
 
| |
| Mt Anthony Union |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
 
| Bellows Free Academy |
| Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Otter Valley Union |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| Randolph Union |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
Bellows Free Academy   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Rice Memorial |
Rice Memorial |
|
 
| Rice Memorial |
| Rutland |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Bellows Free Academy |
| South Burlington |
South Burlington |
|
 
| South Burlington |
| Spaulding |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
| |
| St Johnsbury Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
Bellows Free Academy   5- 4 vs 3- 6 |
|
| Stowe |
Bellows Free Academy |
Bellows Free Academy |
 
|
| Stratton Mountain Sc |
Bellows Free Academy |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Bellows Free Academy |
| Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Woodstock Union |
PairWisePlus = 12

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 5-13 -6.82 8.98 0.01 0.91 -6.18
0 H Green Mountain ( 3- 5, 86.9) 10- 7 -13.00 2.80 -0.01 0.91 2.53
0 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 0-12 -2.35 13.45 -0.01 0.91 -2.14
0 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 6-17 -6.82 8.98 -0.01 0.91 -6.20
0 H Otter Valley U ( 0- 8, 91.4) 1- 0 -8.48 7.32 -0.01 0.91 6.63
0 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 11- 9 -11.80 4.00 0.01 0.91 3.64
0 H Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 10-16 -7.66 8.14 -0.01 0.91 -6.96
0 A Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 13-12 -8.24 7.56 0.01 0.91 6.87
0 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 14-11 -12.62 3.18 0.01 0.91 2.90
0 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 16- 2 -15.80 1.00 0.01 0.91 0.92
0 H Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 5-12 -7.85 7.94 -0.01 0.91 -7.14
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 0-11, 84.4) 16- 1 -15.49 1.00 -0.01 0.91 0.90
------
-4.24
|
winning pts = 24.3900 losing points = -28.6280
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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