UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:02 PDT

boys Bellows Free Academy 1
  
Bellows Free Academy  
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 89.2036

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 5-13 424 H Green Mountain Valle ( 3- 5, 86.9) 10- 7 428 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 0-12 501 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 6-17 504 H Otter Valley Union ( 0- 8, 91.4) 1- 0 508 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 11- 9 513 H Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 10-16 515 A Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 13-12 518 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 14-11 520 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 16- 2 523 H Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 5-12 526 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 16- 1 528 A Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4) 530 A St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Milton                  5-13      -8    -4          -1.11
   424 H Green Mountain Valle   10- 7       3     2           0.69
   428 H Harwood Union           0-12     -12    -8           0.00
   501 H Milton                  6-17     -11    -4          -1.13
   508 A Burlington             11- 9       2     1           0.91
   513 H Montpelier             10-16      -6    -3          -1.97
   515 A Stowe                  13-12       1    -2    +      3.47
   518 A Colchester             14-11       3     2           1.09
   520 A Spaulding              16- 2      14     5           0.00
   523 H Mount Abraham           5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.17
   526 H Lyndon Institute       16- 1      15     5           0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Mount Abraham           5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Stowe                  13-12       1    -2    +      3.47

Bellows Free Academy PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy tied -  1- 0 Bellows Free Academy
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union   Brattleboro Union
Burlington Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Essex Junction Essex Junction   Essex Junction
Green Mountain Valle Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union  10- 0 vs 6- 4
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Milton Milton  
Montpelier Montpelier Montpelier  
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Mt Anthony Union Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Randolph Union Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   Rice Memorial
Rutland Bellows Free Academy tied -  2- 0 Bellows Free Academy
South Burlington South Burlington   South Burlington
Spaulding Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
St Johnsbury Academy Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   5- 4 vs 3- 6
Stowe Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Stratton Mountain Sc Bellows Free Academy tied -  2- 0 Bellows Free Academy
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union tied -  1- 0 Woodstock Union

PairWisePlus = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Milton          (10- 3, 93.1)     5-13       -6.82       8.98       0.01         0.91            -6.18
   0 H Green Mountain  ( 3- 5, 86.9)    10- 7      -13.00       2.80      -0.01         0.91             2.53
   0 H Harwood Union   (11- 1, 97.6)     0-12       -2.35      13.45      -0.01         0.91            -2.14
   0 H Milton          (10- 3, 93.1)     6-17       -6.82       8.98      -0.01         0.91            -6.20
   0 H Otter Valley U  ( 0- 8, 91.4)     1- 0       -8.48       7.32      -0.01         0.91             6.63
   0 A Burlington      ( 2- 9, 88.1)    11- 9      -11.80       4.00       0.01         0.91             3.64
   0 H Montpelier      ( 8- 3, 92.2)    10-16       -7.66       8.14      -0.01         0.91            -6.96
   0 A Stowe           ( 7- 6, 91.7)    13-12       -8.24       7.56       0.01         0.91             6.87
   0 A Colchester      ( 3- 9, 87.3)    14-11      -12.62       3.18       0.01         0.91             2.90
   0 A Spaulding       ( 2-10, 84.1)    16- 2      -15.80       1.00       0.01         0.91             0.92
   0 H Mount Abraham   ( 8- 4, 92.0)     5-12       -7.85       7.94      -0.01         0.91            -7.14
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 0-11, 84.4)    16- 1      -15.49       1.00      -0.01         0.91             0.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -4.24

winning pts = 24.3900 losing points = -28.6280

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------