Helena West
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 92.0541
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 H Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 7- 9
404 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 15- 3
411 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 12- 9
412 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 6- 7
416 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 11- 7
425 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 5- 3
425 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 6-10
430 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 4- 2
502 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 3- 6
507 A Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 8- 4
509 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 10- 6
515 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 14- 4
516 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 10- 5
516 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 H Billings Beartooth 7- 9 -2 -2 0.36
404 A Bozeman White 15- 3 12 4 1.44
411 A Bozeman White 12- 9 3 4 -0.56
412 A Great Falls 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.53
416 H Helena East 11- 7 4 3 1.31
425 H Missoula Wild 5- 3 2 1 0.57
425 A Billings Beartooth 6-10 -4 -3 -1.15
430 H Bozeman White 4- 2 2 4 - -2.05
502 A Great Falls 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.53
507 A Helena East 8- 4 4 2 1.79
509 A Missoula Wild 10- 6 4 1 + 3.06
515 H Bozeman White 14- 4 10 4 0.95
516 A Great Falls 10- 5 5 2 + 3.47
516 A Billings Beartooth 6-13 -7 -3 - -2.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 A Great Falls 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.53
412 A Great Falls 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.53
430 H Bozeman White 4- 2 2 4 - -2.05
516 A Billings Beartooth 6-13 -7 -3 - -2.15
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
509 A Missoula Wild 10- 6 4 1 + 3.06
516 A Great Falls 10- 5 5 2 + 3.47
|
Helena West PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Bozeman Black |
Bozeman Black |
|
 
| Bozeman Black |
| Bozeman White |
Helena West |
Helena West |
 
| |
| Cody |
Cody |
|
 
| Cody |
| Great Falls |
Great Falls |
Great Falls |
 
|
| Helena East |
Helena West |
Helena West |
 
| |
| Missoula Wild |
Helena West |
Helena West |
 
| |
| Northwest Black |
Northwest Black |
|
Northwest Black   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Northwest Green |
Northwest Green |
|
 
| Northwest Green |
| Sheridan |
Sheridan |
|
 
| Sheridan |
PairWisePlus = 3

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Billings Beart (10- 1, 94.7) 7- 9 -5.24 6.41 -0.24 0.48 -2.63
0 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 15- 3 -11.65 1.00 0.24 0.48 0.60
0 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 12- 9 -11.65 1.00 0.24 0.48 0.60
0 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 6- 7 -9.61 2.04 0.24 0.48 -4.50
0 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 11- 7 -10.30 1.36 -0.24 0.48 0.54
0 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 5- 3 -9.03 2.62 -0.24 0.48 1.14
0 A Billings Beart (10- 1, 94.7) 6-10 -5.24 6.41 0.24 0.48 -2.40
0 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 4- 2 -11.65 1.00 -0.24 0.48 0.36
0 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 3- 6 -9.61 2.04 0.24 0.48 -4.50
0 A Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 8- 4 -10.30 1.36 0.24 0.48 0.77
0 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 10- 6 -9.03 2.62 0.24 0.48 1.38
0 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 14- 4 -11.65 1.00 -0.24 0.48 0.36
0 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 10- 5 -9.61 2.04 0.24 0.48 1.10
0 A Billings Beart (10- 1, 94.7) 6-13 -5.24 6.41 0.24 0.48 -2.40
------
-9.60
|
winning pts = 6.8449 losing points = -16.4414
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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