UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:38 PDT

boys Helena West 1
  
Helena West           
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 92.0541

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 7- 9 404 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 15- 3 411 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 12- 9 412 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 6- 7 416 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 11- 7 425 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 5- 3 425 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 6-10 430 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 4- 2 502 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 3- 6 507 A Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 8- 4 509 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 10- 6 515 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 14- 4 516 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 10- 5 516 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 6-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Billings Beartooth      7- 9      -2    -2           0.36
   404 A Bozeman White          15- 3      12     4           1.44
   411 A Bozeman White          12- 9       3     4          -0.56
   412 A Great Falls             6- 7      -1     2    -     -2.53
   416 H Helena East            11- 7       4     3           1.31
   425 H Missoula Wild           5- 3       2     1           0.57
   425 A Billings Beartooth      6-10      -4    -3          -1.15
   430 H Bozeman White           4- 2       2     4    -     -2.05
   502 A Great Falls             3- 6      -3     2    --    -4.53
   507 A Helena East             8- 4       4     2           1.79
   509 A Missoula Wild          10- 6       4     1    +      3.06
   515 H Bozeman White          14- 4      10     4           0.95
   516 A Great Falls            10- 5       5     2    +      3.47
   516 A Billings Beartooth      6-13      -7    -3    -     -2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Great Falls             3- 6      -3     2    --    -4.53
   412 A Great Falls             6- 7      -1     2    -     -2.53
   430 H Bozeman White           4- 2       2     4    -     -2.05
   516 A Billings Beartooth      6-13      -7    -3    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Missoula Wild          10- 6       4     1    +      3.06
   516 A Great Falls            10- 5       5     2    +      3.47

Helena West PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Bozeman Black Bozeman Black   Bozeman Black
Bozeman White Helena West Helena West  
Cody Cody   Cody
Great Falls Great Falls Great Falls  
Helena East Helena West Helena West  
Missoula Wild Helena West Helena West  
Northwest Black Northwest Black Northwest Black   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Northwest Green Northwest Green   Northwest Green
Sheridan Sheridan   Sheridan

PairWisePlus = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     7- 9       -5.24       6.41      -0.24         0.48            -2.63
   0 A Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)    15- 3      -11.65       1.00       0.24         0.48             0.60
   0 A Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)    12- 9      -11.65       1.00       0.24         0.48             0.60
   0 A Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)     6- 7       -9.61       2.04       0.24         0.48            -4.50
   0 H Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)    11- 7      -10.30       1.36      -0.24         0.48             0.54
   0 H Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     5- 3       -9.03       2.62      -0.24         0.48             1.14
   0 A Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     6-10       -5.24       6.41       0.24         0.48            -2.40
   0 H Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)     4- 2      -11.65       1.00      -0.24         0.48             0.36
   0 A Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)     3- 6       -9.61       2.04       0.24         0.48            -4.50
   0 A Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)     8- 4      -10.30       1.36       0.24         0.48             0.77
   0 A Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)    10- 6       -9.03       2.62       0.24         0.48             1.38
   0 H Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)    14- 4      -11.65       1.00      -0.24         0.48             0.36
   0 A Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)    10- 5       -9.61       2.04       0.24         0.48             1.10
   0 A Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     6-13       -5.24       6.41       0.24         0.48            -2.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -9.60

winning pts = 6.8449 losing points = -16.4414

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------