UPDATED: 04-14-26 09:09 PDT

boys Douglas 1
  
Douglas               
W-L: ( 5- 4) PR = 84.6468

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Damonte Ranch ( 1- 5, 76.1) 17- 0 304 H Galena ( 4- 4, 87.8) 7-13 309 H Reno ( 4- 4, 80.6) 15- 4 311 A Spanish Springs ( 8- 3, 92.2) 1-13 316 H Reed ( 1- 8, 75.5) 17- 1 318 H McQueen ( 1- 5, 79.4) 14- 5 324 A Bishop Manogue ( 5- 0, 95.5) 0-11 406 A Reno ( 4- 4, 80.6) 13- 4 408 A Truckee/North Tahoe ( 4- 2, 90.9) 4-12 415 A McQueen ( 1- 5, 79.4) 427 A Reed ( 1- 8, 75.5) 504 H Damonte Ranch ( 1- 5, 76.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Damonte Ranch          17- 0      17     8           0.00
   304 H Galena                  7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.26
   309 H Reno                   15- 4      11     4           0.56
   311 A Spanish Springs         1-13     -12    -8           0.00
   316 H Reed                   17- 1      16    10           0.00
   318 H McQueen                14- 5       9     6           0.00
   324 A Bishop Manogue          0-11     -11   -11           0.00
   406 A Reno                   13- 4       9     4           1.39
   408 A Truckee/North Tahoe     4-12      -8    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Galena                  7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Douglas Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bishop Gorman Bishop Gorman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Gorman
Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue  
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Clark County Clark County   Clark County
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Damonte Ranch Douglas Douglas  
Faith Lutheran Faith Lutheran   Faith Lutheran
Foothill Hendersonvi Foothill Hendersonvi   Foothill Hendersonvi
Galena Galena Galena  
McQueen Douglas Douglas  
Palo Verde Palo Verde insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Palo Verde
Reed Douglas Douglas  
Reno Douglas Douglas  
Spanish Springs Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Truckee/North Tahoe Truckee/North Tahoe Truckee/North Tahoe  

PowerWise = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 5.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Damonte Ranch   ( 1- 5, 76.1)    17- 0      -23.75       1.00       0.41         0.64             0.90
   0 H Galena          ( 4- 4, 87.8)     7-13      -12.10      12.35      -0.41         0.64            -8.00
   0 H Reno            ( 4- 4, 80.6)    15- 4      -19.28       5.17      -0.41         0.64             3.04
   0 A Spanish Spring  ( 8- 3, 92.2)     1-13       -7.67      16.78       0.41         0.64            -4.63
   0 H Reed            ( 1- 8, 75.5)    17- 1      -24.45       1.00      -0.41         0.64             0.38
   0 H McQueen         ( 1- 5, 79.4)    14- 5      -20.52       3.93      -0.41         0.64             2.24
   0 A Bishop Manogue  ( 5- 0, 95.5)     0-11       -4.37      20.08       0.41         0.64            -2.53
   0 A Reno            ( 4- 4, 80.6)    13- 4      -19.28       5.17       0.41         0.64             3.57
   0 A Truckee/North   ( 4- 2, 90.9)     4-12       -9.00      15.45       0.41         0.64            -5.49
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -10.51

winning pts = 10.1325 losing points = -20.6465

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------