UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Swansboro 1
  
Swansboro             
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 86.3090

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A John Paul II Catholi ( 1- 8, 80.2) 9- 5 302 A Jacksonville ( 6- 3, 87.6) 8-11 304 A Cape Fear Academy ( 5- 3, 89.6) 7-14 305 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 14-11 309 A North Brunswick ( 4-11, 83.4) 11- 6 313 A West Brunswick ( 2- 9, 83.8) 11- 5 320 H West Carteret ( 4- 4, 85.8) 14-10 323 A DH Conley ( 0- 4, 76.0) 17- 4 326 A First Flight ( 3- 1, 90.1) 8-13 408 A Northside ( 8- 1, 88.8) 13-15 414 H JH Rose ( 7- 1, 88.1) 14-19 417 H Havelock ( 1- 5, 80.3) 418 H Terry Sanford ( 5- 4, 85.0) 420 A Croatan ( 6- 4, 95.3) 422 A New Bern ( 3-10, 84.8) 424 A Cape Fear HS ( 0- 7, 76.0) 427 H Northside ( 8- 1, 88.8) 430 H Grays Creek ( 3- 7, 81.3) 505 H Jacksonville ( 6- 3, 87.6) 507 A West Carteret ( 4- 4, 85.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A John Paul II Catholi    9- 5       4     6          -1.00
   302 A Jacksonville            8-11      -3    -2          -1.34
   304 A Cape Fear Academy       7-14      -7    -4          -1.39
   305 A New Hanover            14-11       3     3          -0.23
   309 A North Brunswick        11- 6       5     3    +      2.45
   313 A West Brunswick         11- 5       6     2    +      2.79
   320 H West Carteret          14-10       4     1    +      3.20
   323 A DH Conley              17- 4      13    10           0.00
   326 A First Flight            8-13      -5    -4          -0.85
   408 A Northside              13-15      -2    -3           0.76
   414 H JH Rose                14-19      -5    -1    -     -3.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H JH Rose                14-19      -5    -1    -     -3.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A North Brunswick        11- 6       5     3    +      2.45
   313 A West Brunswick         11- 5       6     2    +      2.79
   320 H West Carteret          14-10       4     1    +      3.20

Swansboro Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Swansboro   Swansboro
Asheville School Swansboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Swansboro
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Swansboro   Swansboro
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Swansboro   Swansboro
Bradford Prep Swansboro   Swansboro
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Swansboro   Swansboro
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
Cape Fear HS Swansboro insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Swansboro
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Swansboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Swansboro
Cary HS Swansboro   Swansboro
Cedar Ridge Swansboro   Swansboro
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Swansboro   Swansboro
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Swansboro   Swansboro
Croatan Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Swansboro Swansboro  
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Swansboro   Swansboro
Eastern Alamance Swansboro   Swansboro
Eastern Guilford Swansboro   Swansboro
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight First Flight  
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Swansboro   Swansboro
Garner Swansboro   Swansboro
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek Swansboro tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Swansboro
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Swansboro   Swansboro
Havelock Swansboro tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Swansboro
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Swansboro   Swansboro
High Point Central High Point Central   High Point Central
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Swansboro   Swansboro
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Swansboro Swansboro   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville  
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose  
John Paul II Catholi Swansboro Swansboro  
Jordan Swansboro   Swansboro
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Swansboro   Swansboro
Mountain Island Char Swansboro   Swansboro
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern Swansboro insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Swansboro
New Hanover Swansboro Swansboro  
North Brunswick Swansboro Swansboro  
North Davidson Swansboro   Swansboro
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Swansboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Swansboro
Northern Durham Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside Northside  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Swansboro   Swansboro
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Swansboro   Swansboro
Pine Forest Pine Forest   Pine Forest
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Swansboro   Swansboro
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Swansboro   Swansboro
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Swansboro   Swansboro
Riverside Durham Swansboro   Swansboro
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Swansboro   Swansboro
Roxboro Community Swansboro   Swansboro
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) South Brunswick
South Garner Swansboro   Swansboro
South Iredell Swansboro   Swansboro
South Mecklenburg Swansboro   Swansboro
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Swansboro   Swansboro
Southeast Guilford Swansboro   Swansboro
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Swansboro   Swansboro
St Davids School Swansboro   Swansboro
St Stephens Swansboro   Swansboro
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
TC Roberson Swansboro   Swansboro
Terry Sanford Swansboro   Swansboro
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Vance Charter   Vance Charter
Voyager Academy Swansboro   Swansboro
Wake Forest Swansboro   Swansboro
Wake Prep Swansboro   Swansboro
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Watauga Swansboro   Swansboro
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Swansboro Swansboro  
West Carteret Swansboro Swansboro  
West Forsyth Swansboro   Swansboro
West Stokes Swansboro   Swansboro
Western Alamance Swansboro   Swansboro
Western Guilford Swansboro   Swansboro
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 61


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A John Paul II C  ( 1- 8, 80.2)     9- 5      -19.75      10.28       0.32         0.86             9.07
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 6- 3, 87.6)     8-11      -12.25      17.77       0.32         0.86           -10.21
   0 A Cape Fear Acad  ( 5- 3, 89.6)     7-14      -10.30      19.73       0.32         0.86            -8.54
   0 A New Hanover     ( 2-10, 82.8)    14-11      -17.14      12.89       0.32         0.86            11.30
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 4-11, 83.4)    11- 6      -16.46      13.57       0.32         0.86            11.88
   0 A West Brunswick  ( 2- 9, 83.8)    11- 5      -16.12      13.91       0.32         0.86            12.17
   0 H West Carteret   ( 4- 4, 85.8)    14-10      -14.07      15.95      -0.32         0.86            13.37
   0 A DH Conley       ( 0- 4, 76.0)    17- 4      -23.88       6.15       0.32         0.86             5.53
   0 A First Flight    ( 3- 1, 90.1)     8-13       -9.76      20.27       0.32         0.86            -8.07
   0 A Northside       ( 8- 1, 88.8)    13-15      -11.15      18.88       0.32         0.86            -9.26
   0 H JH Rose         ( 7- 1, 88.1)    14-19      -11.80      18.23      -0.32         0.86           -10.37
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        16.87

winning pts = 63.3202 losing points = -46.4489

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------