UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:52 PDT

boys Middletown 1
  
Middletown            
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 72.5940

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Westhill ( 1-15, 74.8) 6-12 420 A Windsor ( 8- 9, 74.0) 5-10 421 H Vinal/Goodwin Tech ( 1-14, 65.4) 12- 2 423 A Rocky Hill ( 9- 8, 74.7) 9-15 428 A Vinal/Goodwin Tech ( 1-14, 65.4) 13- 3 430 H Bristol Co-Op ( 7-10, 77.5) 4-11 504 A Wilbur Cross ( 0-15, 61.5) 21- 7 506 H Rocky Hill ( 9- 8, 74.7) 13- 9 509 A Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 71.4) 10- 8 511 H Windsor ( 8- 9, 74.0) 6- 8 512 H Watertown ( 8- 8, 76.7) 8-12 514 A Enfield (12- 5, 84.2) 3-17 518 A EO Smith ( 8-10, 77.6) 8-18 519 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 4-12, 73.8) 10-15 521 H Maloney-Platt ( 4-12, 70.7) 14- 8 523 A Norwich Tech ( 3-13, 68.9) 16- 4 529 A Windsor ( 8- 9, 74.0) 7- 6 603 A Notre Dame-West Have (14- 5, 93.0) 1-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Westhill                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.19
   420 A Windsor                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.00
   421 H Vinal/Goodwin Tech     12- 2      10     8           0.00
   423 A Rocky Hill              9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.24
   428 A Vinal/Goodwin Tech     13- 3      10     7           0.00
   430 H Bristol Co-Op           4-11      -7    -4          -0.72
   504 A Wilbur Cross           21- 7      14    10           0.00
   506 H Rocky Hill             13- 9       4    -1    ++     5.48
   509 A Bunnell-Stratford      10- 8       2     1           1.48
   511 H Windsor                 6- 8      -2    -1          -1.28
   512 H Watertown               8-12      -4    -3          -0.57
   514 A Enfield                 3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   518 A EO Smith                8-18     -10    -6           0.00
   519 H Ledyard-Griswold       10-15      -5    -1    --    -4.42
   521 H Maloney-Platt          14- 8       6     3    +      2.48
   523 A Norwich Tech           16- 4      12     3           1.91
   529 A Windsor                 7- 6       1    -2    +      3.00
   603 A Notre Dame-West Have    1-22     -21   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Ledyard-Griswold       10-15      -5    -1    --    -4.42
   404 A Westhill                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.19
   420 A Windsor                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.00
   423 A Rocky Hill              9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Rocky Hill             13- 9       4    -1    ++     5.48
   521 H Maloney-Platt          14- 8       6     3    +      2.48
   529 A Windsor                 7- 6       1    -2    +      3.00

Middletown PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Avon HS Avon HS Avon HS   1- 1 vs 1- 2
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Berlin Berlin Berlin   3- 0 vs 2- 3
Bethel Bethel Bethel   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Branford Branford tied -  1- 0 Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op  
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Middletown Middletown  
Canton Canton Canton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS tied -  0- 1 Cheshire HS
Conard Conard tied -  0- 1 Conard
Cromwell Middletown Middletown   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Darien Darien Darien   1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ellington Middletown Middletown   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Enfield Enfield Enfield  
EO Smith EO Smith EO Smith  
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Foran Foran tied -  1- 0 Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied -  0- 1 Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Guilford Guilford Guilford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall Hall   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hamden Hamden tied -  1- 0 Hamden
Holy Cross Holy Cross tied -  1- 1 Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law Jonathan Law   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Lakeview United Middletown tied -  0- 1 Middletown
Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied -  1- 0 Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Middletown Middletown  
Masuk Masuk tied -  1- 0 Masuk
Montville Montville Montville   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  0- 1 New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford New Milford   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Newington Middletown Middletown   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven North Haven tied -  1- 1 North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk Norwalk   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Middletown Middletown  
Notre Dame-Fairfield Middletown Middletown   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have  
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied -  1- 0 Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM RHAM   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op   3- 0 vs 3- 1
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   3- 3 vs 3- 4
Sheehan Sheehan tied -  1- 0 Sheehan
Shelton Shelton tied -  1- 1 Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
South Windsor South Windsor tied -  0- 1 South Windsor
Southington Southington tied -  0- 1 Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stamford Stamford Stamford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Suffield Suffield Suffield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tolland Tolland tied -  1- 0 Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Valley Regional Middletown Middletown   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Middletown Middletown  
Waterford Waterford Waterford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Watertown Watertown Watertown  
West Haven Middletown Middletown   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Westhill Westhill Westhill  
Weston Weston Weston   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Wethersfield Wethersfield Wethersfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Wilbur Cross Middletown Middletown  
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Windsor Windsor Windsor  
Wolcott Wolcott Wolcott   4- 2 vs 5- 3
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Xavier Xavier tied -  0- 1 Xavier

PairWisePlus = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Westhill        ( 1-15, 74.8)     6-12      -25.13      13.30       0.64         0.91           -22.24
   0 A Windsor         ( 8- 9, 74.0)     5-10      -25.95      12.49       0.64         0.91           -22.98
   0 H Vinal/Goodwin   ( 1-14, 65.4)    12- 2      -34.53       3.90      -0.64         0.91             2.96
   0 A Rocky Hill      ( 9- 8, 74.7)     9-15      -25.19      13.25       0.64         0.91           -22.29
   0 A Vinal/Goodwin   ( 1-14, 65.4)    13- 3      -34.53       3.90       0.64         0.91             4.13
   0 H Bristol Co-Op   ( 7-10, 77.5)     4-11      -22.39      16.05      -0.64         0.91           -20.91
   0 A Wilbur Cross    ( 0-15, 61.5)    21- 7      -38.44       1.00       0.64         0.91             1.49
   0 H Rocky Hill      ( 9- 8, 74.7)    13- 9      -25.19      13.25      -0.64         0.91            11.45
   0 A Bunnell-Stratf  ( 3-13, 71.4)    10- 8      -28.46       9.97       0.64         0.91             9.63
   0 H Windsor         ( 8- 9, 74.0)     6- 8      -25.95      12.49      -0.64         0.91           -24.14
   0 H Watertown       ( 8- 8, 76.7)     8-12      -23.23      15.20      -0.64         0.91           -21.68
   0 A Enfield         (12- 5, 84.2)     3-17      -15.69      22.74       0.64         0.91           -13.67
   0 A EO Smith        ( 8-10, 77.6)     8-18      -22.33      16.10       0.64         0.91           -19.70
   0 H Ledyard-Griswo  ( 4-12, 73.8)    10-15      -26.09      12.35      -0.64         0.91           -24.26
   0 H Maloney-Platt   ( 4-12, 70.7)    14- 8      -29.18       9.25      -0.64         0.91             7.82
   0 A Norwich Tech    ( 3-13, 68.9)    16- 4      -31.03       7.41       0.64         0.91             7.30
   0 A Windsor         ( 8- 9, 74.0)     7- 6      -25.95      12.49       0.64         0.91            11.92
   0 A Notre Dame-Wes  (14- 5, 93.0)     1-22       -6.92      31.52       0.64         0.91            -5.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -140.86

winning pts = 56.7055 losing points = -197.5692

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------