List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Annes-Belfiel 22 1 1 101 2 104 42.00
2 Potomac School 14 8 11 36 17 64 17.00
3 St Stephens & St 18 8 7 133 12 152 14.00
4 Bishop Ireton 11 7 27 17 33 77 8.00
5 Yorktown 21 1 3 6 3 12 4.00
6 Paul VI 11 11 29 27 43 99 3.00
7 Collegiate Schoo 18 6 10 43 10 63 3.00
8 Covenant School 18 2 20 9 6 35 3.00
9 Western Albemarl 20 0 2 1 1 4 3.00
10 Cosby 13 4 42 46 21 109 0.00
11 James Madison 8 8 14 18 34 66 0.00
12 Meridian 16 3 4 3 4 11 0.00
13 Bishop OConnell 11 8 99 132 73 304 0.00
14 Episcopal 5 14 74 31 63 168 0.00
15 Flint Hill Schoo 11 10 83 125 68 276 0.00
16 Madeira School 2 8 154 156 38 348 0.00
17 Albemarle 7 9 57 10 74 141 0.00
18 Alexandria City 10 8 80 72 72 224 0.00
19 Annandale 2 11 129 152 132 413 0.00
20 Atlee 7 9 56 35 91 182 0.00
21 Battlefield 15 6 13 7 26 46 0.00
22 Bayside 11 4 48 62 40 150 0.00
23 Blacksburg 12 6 38 16 55 109 0.00
24 Brentsville Dist 5 9 90 68 98 256 0.00
25 Briar Woods 4 11 113 76 127 316 0.00
26 Broad Run 2 13 131 79 152 362 0.00
27 Brooke Point 2 11 135 115 144 394 0.00
28 Cape Henry Colle 16 3 21 26 22 69 0.00
29 Catholic HS 8 8 54 19 87 160 0.00
30 Cave Spring 10 5 55 73 56 184 0.00
31 Centreville 3 11 82 55 99 236 0.00
32 Chantilly 6 8 71 77 100 248 0.00
33 Charlottesville 4 12 126 74 130 330 0.00
34 Chatham Hall 0 9 98 86 101 285 0.00
35 Christiansburg 0 11 142 114 145 401 0.00
36 Clover Hill 4 11 123 81 128 332 0.00
37 Colgan 14 4 44 39 41 124 0.00
38 Colonial Forge 14 6 49 42 64 155 0.00
39 Cox 8 6 67 69 77 213 0.00
40 Culpeper County 5 8 93 98 94 285 0.00
41 Deep Run 5 9 52 15 88 155 0.00
42 Dominion 14 4 41 40 18 99 0.00
43 Douglas Freeman 16 2 6 11 11 28 0.00
44 Eastern View 5 8 110 117 95 322 0.00
45 EC Glass 9 7 53 38 78 169 0.00
46 Edison 5 8 105 104 110 319 0.00
47 Fairfax 6 9 111 99 108 318 0.00
48 Falls Church 7 9 100 94 117 311 0.00
49 Fauquier 7 8 70 80 92 242 0.00
50 First Colonial 7 5 76 107 69 252 0.00
51 Fluvanna County 6 9 127 120 111 358 0.00
52 Forest Park 11 4 50 56 47 153 0.00
53 Foxcroft School 3 11 153 155 131 439 0.00
54 Franklin County 2 13 138 91 154 383 0.00
55 Fredericksburg A 3 8 120 122 113 355 0.00
56 Freedom South Ri 6 10 65 90 102 257 0.00
57 Gainesville 5 7 84 92 90 266 0.00
58 Gar-Field 2 12 141 108 151 400 0.00
59 Glen Allen 7 11 78 25 114 217 0.00
60 Goochland 1 11 155 149 140 444 0.00
61 Grafton Club 0 10 150 144 137 431 0.00
62 Grassfield Club 8 4 43 54 51 148 0.00
63 Great Bridge Clu 4 6 109 141 83 333 0.00
64 Green Run 0 9 143 137 129 409 0.00
65 Hanover 14 3 16 34 19 69 0.00
66 Hayfield 3 9 130 127 122 379 0.00
67 Heritage 3 12 116 66 147 329 0.00
68 Herndon 5 9 86 53 103 242 0.00
69 Hidden Valley 6 8 81 64 104 249 0.00
70 Highland School 8 9 89 126 75 290 0.00
71 Hylton 3 12 136 113 149 398 0.00
72 Independence 11 7 31 22 42 95 0.00
73 James Monroe 12 3 59 105 23 187 0.00
74 James River 5 9 91 58 112 261 0.00
75 Jamestown Club 6 5 61 95 66 222 0.00
76 Jefferson Forest 4 10 92 50 123 265 0.00
77 John Champe 8 9 87 57 96 240 0.00
78 John Handley 3 3 94 119 57 270 0.00
79 John R Lewis 2 10 149 147 133 429 0.00
80 Justice 13 2 58 110 13 181 0.00
81 Kellam 9 5 62 85 65 212 0.00
82 Kempsville 4 9 121 118 121 360 0.00
83 Kettle Run 11 4 28 59 24 111 0.00
84 Lake Braddock 9 7 51 49 67 167 0.00
85 Landstown 3 11 124 89 142 355 0.00
86 Langley 13 4 25 13 8 46 0.00
87 Liberty-Bealeton 5 6 108 138 76 322 0.00
88 Lightridge 16 6 8 4 14 26 0.00
89 Loudoun County 7 8 104 103 107 314 0.00
90 Loudoun Valley 10 7 72 67 84 223 0.00
91 Manchester 0 14 148 109 157 414 0.00
92 Marshall 3 12 122 70 146 338 0.00
93 Massaponax 3 12 114 63 150 327 0.00
94 Maury Club 4 6 96 123 85 304 0.00
95 McLean 7 7 69 61 62 192 0.00
96 Mechanicsville 5 8 85 96 97 278 0.00
97 Menchville Club 2 8 139 146 116 401 0.00
98 Midlothian 9 5 45 48 44 137 0.00
99 Mills Godwin 11 5 46 51 39 136 0.00
100 Monacan 6 8 115 130 105 350 0.00
101 Monticello 8 6 79 97 58 234 0.00
102 Mountain View 15 4 26 29 35 90 0.00
103 Mt Vernon 2 10 144 145 134 423 0.00
104 Nansemond-Suffol 8 10 64 134 118 316 0.00
105 Norfolk Academy 13 6 30 102 48 180 0.00
106 Norfolk Collegia 3 12 106 52 148 306 0.00
107 North Cross Scho 4 7 101 112 93 306 0.00
108 North Stafford 3 13 125 71 156 352 0.00
109 Oakcrest School 4 9 145 154 109 408 0.00
110 Oakton 11 8 37 60 60 157 0.00
111 Ocean Lakes 14 4 36 100 25 161 0.00
112 Orange County 1 13 152 131 153 436 0.00
113 Osbourn 6 7 132 151 89 372 0.00
114 Osbourn Park 0 15 146 111 159 416 0.00
115 Park View 3 11 151 148 143 442 0.00
116 Patrick Henry As 4 10 103 83 119 305 0.00
117 Patrick Henry Ro 14 2 22 32 9 63 0.00
118 Patriot 12 7 33 12 61 106 0.00
119 Potomac Falls 10 6 73 65 53 191 0.00
120 Potomac HS 6 11 118 93 138 349 0.00
121 Powhatan 14 3 15 8 15 38 0.00
122 Princess Anne 7 6 102 121 81 304 0.00
123 Riverbend 7 7 75 82 86 243 0.00
124 Riverside 14 6 9 24 16 49 0.00
125 Robinson 19 4 5 37 7 49 0.00
126 Rock Ridge 0 14 156 128 158 442 0.00
127 Rockbridge Count 17 2 12 5 5 22 0.00
128 Salem 7 9 66 33 106 205 0.00
129 Salem Virginia B 2 9 134 124 124 382 0.00
130 South County 2 10 117 106 125 348 0.00
131 South Lakes 15 6 32 20 32 84 0.00
132 St Catherines 8 10 24 2 49 75 0.00
133 St Gertrude 1 9 95 78 115 288 0.00
134 St John Paul The 8 5 63 129 54 246 0.00
135 Stafford 8 6 68 84 79 231 0.00
136 Steward School 3 11 133 116 141 390 0.00
137 Stone Bridge 11 5 40 44 29 113 0.00
138 Tabb Club 5 5 97 143 70 310 0.00
139 Tallwood 1 9 137 135 126 398 0.00
140 Thomas Dale 5 9 147 153 120 420 0.00
141 Thomas Jefferson 10 4 88 142 52 282 0.00
142 Trinity Christia 8 6 107 150 80 337 0.00
143 Trinity Episcopa 10 6 18 28 37 83 0.00
144 Tuscarora 4 11 119 88 135 342 0.00
145 Virginia Episcop 14 4 35 41 36 112 0.00
146 Wakefield HS 0 14 140 136 155 431 0.00
147 Warhill Club 8 4 34 47 50 131 0.00
148 Washington-Liber 3 11 128 139 136 403 0.00
149 West Potomac 13 5 23 23 20 66 0.00
150 West Springfield 10 9 60 140 82 282 0.00
151 Westfield 10 6 39 30 59 128 0.00
152 William Byrd 4 11 112 75 139 326 0.00
153 Woodbridge 9 6 77 87 71 235 0.00
154 Woodgrove 13 6 47 21 45 113 0.00
155 Woodson 12 8 19 14 46 79 0.00
156 York Club 11 2 17 45 27 89 0.00
157 Freedom Woodbrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
158 Unity Reed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
159 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00