List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Potomac School 16 7 1 31 9 41 26.00
2 St Annes-Belfiel 17 7 2 14 2 18 22.00
3 Collegiate Schoo 15 7 11 66 11 88 14.00
4 St Stephens & St 22 4 4 44 8 56 10.00
5 James Madison 18 5 3 9 5 17 7.00
6 Yorktown 21 1 5 2 1 8 6.00
7 Powhatan 17 1 12 24 7 43 5.00
8 Western Albemarl 17 1 6 8 4 18 3.00
9 Oakton 12 6 13 13 24 50 2.00
10 Paul VI 8 13 47 4 39 90 0.00
11 Battlefield 17 4 9 10 10 29 0.00
12 Douglas Freeman 13 7 15 5 48 68 0.00
13 Mills Godwin 16 1 19 62 6 87 0.00
14 South Lakes 15 3 22 41 17 80 0.00
15 Bishop Ireton 6 11 73 3 43 119 0.00
16 Bishop OConnell 6 13 116 117 74 307 0.00
17 Episcopal 8 11 20 110 27 157 0.00
18 Flint Hill Schoo 7 10 50 1 54 105 0.00
19 Madeira School 6 6 81 154 34 269 0.00
20 Albemarle 7 9 78 29 80 187 0.00
21 Alexandria City 7 8 97 122 100 319 0.00
22 Annandale 1 11 143 125 144 412 0.00
23 Atlee 7 7 56 60 75 191 0.00
24 Bayside 10 4 53 79 51 183 0.00
25 Blacksburg 14 3 30 38 23 91 0.00
26 Brentsville Dist 8 7 71 49 81 201 0.00
27 Briar Woods 4 12 110 69 136 315 0.00
28 Broad Run 5 11 106 71 128 305 0.00
29 Brooke Point 2 11 130 93 142 365 0.00
30 Cape Henry Colle 5 10 77 46 123 246 0.00
31 Catholic HS 6 10 94 103 113 310 0.00
32 Cave Spring 4 10 121 95 124 340 0.00
33 Centreville 5 9 65 36 90 191 0.00
34 Chantilly 11 7 37 32 52 121 0.00
35 Charlottesville 2 13 139 97 152 388 0.00
36 Christiansburg 0 13 148 99 154 401 0.00
37 Clover Hill 5 9 128 116 110 354 0.00
38 Colgan 11 5 58 58 60 176 0.00
39 Colonial Forge 15 2 25 52 20 97 0.00
40 Cosby 12 6 29 16 37 82 0.00
41 Covenant School 15 3 16 30 13 59 0.00
42 Cox 12 4 35 40 40 115 0.00
43 Culpeper County 4 9 131 133 119 383 0.00
44 Deep Run 9 8 33 12 64 109 0.00
45 Dominion 14 4 26 17 29 72 0.00
46 Eastern View 10 4 76 129 53 258 0.00
47 EC Glass 9 6 63 65 65 193 0.00
48 Edison 3 9 136 142 122 400 0.00
49 Fairfax 8 11 95 80 129 304 0.00
50 Falls Church 8 9 112 98 111 321 0.00
51 Fauquier 3 12 98 81 149 328 0.00
52 First Colonial 5 9 104 88 116 308 0.00
53 Fluvanna County 6 9 99 75 109 283 0.00
54 Forest Park 13 4 59 78 44 181 0.00
55 Foxcroft School 8 2 88 155 35 278 0.00
56 Franklin County 2 13 138 92 153 383 0.00
57 Fredericksburg A 0 10 146 139 133 418 0.00
58 Freedom South Ri 10 9 34 11 77 122 0.00
59 Gainesville 10 6 39 47 61 147 0.00
60 Gar-Field 1 14 152 135 159 446 0.00
61 Glen Allen 4 12 108 54 134 296 0.00
62 Goochland 0 14 156 132 158 446 0.00
63 Grafton Club 2 7 119 124 93 336 0.00
64 Grassfield Club 2 6 113 121 83 317 0.00
65 Great Bridge Clu 1 7 137 138 96 371 0.00
66 Green Run 0 10 149 140 137 426 0.00
67 Hanover 12 6 17 15 49 81 0.00
68 Hayfield 6 8 109 114 105 328 0.00
69 Heritage 2 12 134 96 151 381 0.00
70 Herndon 3 11 118 84 130 332 0.00
71 Hidden Valley 5 8 107 107 101 315 0.00
72 Highland School 7 6 111 143 78 332 0.00
73 Hylton 6 11 132 108 135 375 0.00
74 Independence 6 9 83 59 94 236 0.00
75 James Monroe 8 5 87 119 66 272 0.00
76 James River 5 10 93 106 120 319 0.00
77 Jamestown Club 6 4 68 127 55 250 0.00
78 Jefferson Forest 5 8 115 111 102 328 0.00
79 John Champe 13 5 32 25 38 95 0.00
80 John Handley 5 0 117 158 25 300 0.00
81 John R Lewis 2 11 145 137 143 425 0.00
82 Justice 14 2 61 123 21 205 0.00
83 Kellam 14 2 27 48 18 93 0.00
84 Kempsville 8 6 90 151 67 308 0.00
85 Kettle Run 13 4 28 19 26 73 0.00
86 Lafayette Club 4 5 91 134 69 294 0.00
87 Lake Braddock 6 9 103 120 114 337 0.00
88 Landstown 3 11 125 90 140 355 0.00
89 Langley 14 5 18 26 12 56 0.00
90 Liberty-Bealeton 1 11 135 112 145 392 0.00
91 Lightridge 16 5 8 42 14 64 0.00
92 Loudoun County 9 8 80 70 97 247 0.00
93 Loudoun Valley 12 5 55 61 58 174 0.00
94 Manchester 3 12 142 113 146 401 0.00
95 Marshall 3 9 122 104 112 338 0.00
96 Massaponax 1 14 133 72 160 365 0.00
97 Matoaca 0 11 157 156 148 461 0.00
98 Maury Club 6 4 46 101 50 197 0.00
99 McLean 5 9 79 34 79 192 0.00
100 Mechanicsville 4 11 100 51 125 276 0.00
101 Menchville Club 7 3 51 126 41 218 0.00
102 Meridian 10 4 21 18 19 58 0.00
103 Midlothian 10 6 66 77 68 211 0.00
104 Monacan 6 9 96 86 107 289 0.00
105 Monticello 13 4 60 89 36 185 0.00
106 Mountain View 13 4 62 91 45 198 0.00
107 Mt Vernon 2 10 151 149 131 431 0.00
108 Nansemond-Suffol 10 6 48 74 73 195 0.00
109 Norfolk Academy 16 6 24 109 32 165 0.00
110 Norfolk Christia 0 8 153 146 117 416 0.00
111 Norfolk Collegia 10 5 43 64 63 170 0.00
112 North Cross Scho 8 9 72 102 89 263 0.00
113 North Stafford 4 11 123 76 138 337 0.00
114 Oakcrest School 3 7 89 115 86 290 0.00
115 Ocean Lakes 7 8 84 55 103 242 0.00
116 Orange County 5 8 127 130 99 356 0.00
117 Osbourn 8 5 120 150 62 332 0.00
118 Osbourn Park 2 9 150 152 118 420 0.00
119 Park View 4 11 147 145 139 431 0.00
120 Patrick Henry As 9 8 75 37 82 194 0.00
121 Patrick Henry Ro 11 6 40 27 46 113 0.00
122 Patriot 5 8 44 53 84 181 0.00
123 Potomac Falls 7 10 86 43 106 235 0.00
124 Potomac HS 1 13 154 131 157 442 0.00
125 Princess Anne 8 7 85 82 87 254 0.00
126 Riverbend 10 9 69 22 91 182 0.00
127 Riverside 20 3 7 6 3 16 0.00
128 Robinson 12 7 23 20 47 90 0.00
129 Rock Ridge 1 11 141 118 147 406 0.00
130 Rockbridge Count 15 3 14 7 16 37 0.00
131 Salem 8 8 64 39 88 191 0.00
132 Salem Virginia B 2 10 129 100 132 361 0.00
133 South County 5 13 114 85 150 349 0.00
134 St Catherines 7 10 36 73 70 179 0.00
135 St Gertrude 0 14 105 45 155 305 0.00
136 St John Paul The 10 2 45 136 22 203 0.00
137 Stafford 10 7 52 21 76 149 0.00
138 Steward School 6 9 102 105 115 322 0.00
139 Stone Bridge 13 6 31 28 33 92 0.00
140 Tabb Club 8 4 42 68 42 152 0.00
141 Tallwood 1 9 140 141 126 407 0.00
142 Thomas Dale 4 10 155 153 127 435 0.00
143 Thomas Jefferson 9 4 92 144 56 292 0.00
144 Trinity Christia 4 7 124 148 98 370 0.00
145 Trinity Episcopa 6 10 54 67 95 216 0.00
146 Tuscarora 3 13 144 147 156 447 0.00
147 Virginia Episcop 8 7 38 33 72 143 0.00
148 Wakefield HS 3 12 126 128 141 395 0.00
149 Washington-Liber 7 10 70 35 104 209 0.00
150 West Potomac 12 7 41 50 57 148 0.00
151 West Springfield 10 9 67 56 92 215 0.00
152 Westfield 10 6 49 63 59 171 0.00
153 William Byrd 9 6 74 83 71 228 0.00
154 Woodbridge 7 9 101 87 108 296 0.00
155 Woodgrove 8 8 82 57 85 224 0.00
156 Woodson 8 12 57 23 121 201 0.00
157 York Club 10 0 10 94 15 119 0.00
158 Chatham Hall 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
159 Unity Reed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
160 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00